Environmental IPv6

Monitoring Application

BoF-05

Patrick Grossetete
Product Management and Customers Solutions
patrick@archrock.com

BoF-05 © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 0
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BoF-05 © 2009 Cisco Systems, Inc. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 1
 Are you ready for the
coming IP(v6!) traffic
explosion?

CORPORATE
Cisco Networkers
Barcelona, january 26th 2009

Yves Poppe
Director Bus. Dev.
IP Services
©2008 Tata Communications, Ltd. All Rights Reserved
BoF-05 2
 Member of the Tata Group

125-year old largest private sector group

$62.5 billion in revenues

Acquired VSNL in February 2002

VSNL acquired Tyco in Nov 2004

VSNL acquired Teleglobe in Feb 2006

Teleglobe, Tyco, VSNL and VSNL

International became Tata
Communications on February 13th 2008

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS)

Major shareholder in Neotel

CORPORATE 3

BoF-05 3
The Internet as seen by 113 ISP’s of the Global Fingerprint Sharing Alliance

70Gbps total approx.

Approx. 20% of the worldwide Internet traffic

93%
•Transmission Control Protocol
6% •User Datagram Protocol
•Encapsulating Security Payload over IP or IPSec
•Generic Routing Encapsulation for tunneling 4
CORPORATE
•Internet Control Message Protocol
Real-time
BoF-05 Internet statistics provided by ISPs participating in the global Fingerprint Sharing Alliance 4
 The per meg revenue dilemma

From a 5 meg mp3 file for 0.99$ ….

to a 1.5 Gb movie rental for 4.99$ …
to flat rate all you can eat starting at
8.99$ per month

CORPORATE 5

BoF-05 5
 Where does telecom revenue come from?
1300
1200
Mobile Data
1100
Fixed Data
1000 Mobile Voice
Global Revenue € Bn

900 Fixed Voice

800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0

2006
2007
2008
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
1996
1992
1993
1994
1995

1997
1998
1999

CORPORATE 6

BoF-05 From: Nokia March 2006 6

 Projected Internet traffic growth – residential users

42% CAGR 2006-2011

14,000
PB/month

12,000
Internet Video to TV
10,000
Internet Video to PC
8,000 VoIP
Video Communications
6,000 Gaming
P2P
4,000 Web / Email

2,000

0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

CORPORATE 7
PB: PetaBytes
EB: ExaBytes
BoF-05 Source: Cisco analysis of multiple sources, 2007
7
Consumer Networking is the fashion! November 2008: 97 million US
viewers watched 5.1 billion
Internet Traffic Mix (PageViews) videos on YouTube.com

30% 26%
Content 35%

20%
Communication 21%
22%

Community 9% 21% 33%

Commerce 21% 15%

11%
Search 13% 13% 10%

2005 2006 2007

Total (Bn) 94 139 174

Source: Nielson Netratings Youtube numbers: source: Commscore

CORPORATE 8

BoF-05 8
Running out of IPv4 addresses: Crash landing or comet impact?

If lack of addresses endangers internet

growth and revenue imperatives, self
preservation dynamics will prevail.

Some ISP’s will be trampled, some will
ride a new growth wave, some new ones
could emerge.

Some transitory turbulences but no major
service discontinuities or meltdowns

Address hoarding, reclamation, black
markets, multiple NAT levels and other
transition gimmicks is just bad business.

CORPORATE 9

BoF-05 9
 The promises of IPv6

Solves address shortage Auto configuration

Restores p2p communication
Mobility

Much easier roaming

Better spectrum utilization

Better battery life!
Security

IPsec mandatory
Multicast
Better QoS (flow labels)

Mobile Ad-Hoc networking

Mobile networks

Sensor networks

Plug and Play networks
Permanent addresses

Identity (CLID)

Traceability (RFID)

Addressability!

IP address based billing

CORPORATE 10

BoF-05 10
 AS 6453 as tier 1 carrier’s carrier network

OC48/192 MPLS backbone

1500+ Gbps of Backbone Capacity

Carries 700+ Petabits per month;

Dual stack IPv4 and IPv6

60+% year over year traffic growth
Courtesy of User generated Content
and p2p: Youtube, Myspace etc

Did an early IPv6 lead pay off? YES
Home Global Foreign
Ready for the upcoming IPv6 traffic
Carrier Carrier Carrier
or ISP or ISP or ISP component growth explosion

AS
IPv6 catalysts
6453
Exhaustion of IPv4 addresses

Government push

Mobile? VoIP? Grid? Cloud?

Vista? Sensors? P2P?

CORPORATE 11

BoF-05 11
 Some pieces still wanting or missing?
Comprehensive DNS support

A great step forward was the IPv6 glue in 6 of the 13 roots

More generalized support in DNS servers thoughout would help
Inter-AS IPv6 routing on par with IPv4

Google measurements (see RIPE 57 presentation by Lorenzo Colitti) show major
deficiencies in IPv6 routing leading to occasionally long RTT due to long paths.

Generalization of dual stack inter-AS connectivity should be a priority
IPv6 accessible content

Still minimal but likely to improve. Google initiatives could set the stage.

Lack of hardware accelerated load balancing for IPv6 often cited as problem
Clarification or enhancement of some operational aspects:

Security: Firewalls? Spam filters? Tunneling à la Teredo? Network Management?
Pervasiveness of IPv6 support in access boxes

refresh cycle for DSLAM’s and cablemodems, 3G, WiMax, where is Linksys?
Next frontier: Mobile Operator, Sensor and Enterprise networks

CORPORATE 12

BoF-05 12
2008 saw the inflection point for IPv6 traffic growth

AMS-IX in Amsterdam
CORPORATE 13

BoF-05 13
In conclusion : Before anything else plan for sufficient bandwidth

Exploding bandwidth on the access side:
ADSL, cable, WiMax, 3G HSDPA and HSUPA, FTTx, Power line access..

Powerful new chipsets and access devices (handsets, laptops)

Intel: new generation of low powered high performance chips that deliver
broadband internet access « in your pocket «

approx 100 million smartphones sold in 2008!

Bandwidth hungry applications

Youtube, Facebook, Second life, Interactive Games, music & movie
downloads, IPTV, webTV, personal videoconferencing etc. etc.

Buy sufficient IP transit from your upstream suppliers, peer at local IP exchanges for
exchange of local traffic. Be proactive: buy and peer in both IPv4 and IPv6

CORPORATE 14

BoF-05 14
If not done yet, you should urgently…

Audit your network for IPv6 upgradeability and mandate immediate IPv6 support in
all IT procurements: services, products and applications

Obtain an IPv6 address block from your RIR or LIR

Start to deploy IPv6 as part of the upgrade cycle to avoid a capital expense surge
when IPv6 traffic ramps up

… in order to be ready for

The unavoidable IPv4 address exhaustion and IPv6 traffic surge

Conform to the now prevailing IPv6 requirements in major RFQ’s from ISP’s and
Government and even more and more in major enterprise projects.

Revenue streams induced by a profusion of addresses, enhanced mobility and
security, ad-hoc networking, plug and play and IP convergence

CORPORATE 15

BoF-05 15
 « These days all competitive advantages
are fleeting. So the smartest companies
are learning to create new ones – again
and again and again »

Robert D. Hof , Business Week,

« Whatever advantage you have, someone will take itwww.tatacommunications.com

BUSINESS
away from
you »
C.K. Prahalad, professor of Corporate Strategy

BoF-05 16
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