Professional Documents
Culture Documents
- Indonesia –
Agus Purnomo
Head of Secretariat, National Council on Climate Change
Indonesia's GHG emissions are growing fast and are driven
by forestry and peat
1
85 percent of Indonesia’s emissions in 2005 stem from land
use related activities
Land use related emissions
Emissions from other sectors
313
1,739
129
550
Percent of
total
50 26 10 5 4 3
reduction
potential
Water
changed water balance leading to droughts and
floods – regionally differentiated
Agriculture
food security threatened, and declining
productivity in particular rice cultivation
Health
spread of diseases correlated to effects of climate change
(malaria, dengue, cholera, diarrhea etc)
President Yudhoyono has taken the climate change agenda from obscurity
to national prominence
Events
Results
CO2
Mitigation
Insti-
“We are devising an energy mix tutional
policy that will reduce our enablers
Economic
emissions by 26% by 2020. With development Adaptation
international support, we are
confident we can reduce
emissions by as much as 41%”
6
MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE INTO
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AGENDA
GoI’s own
budget
BALI ACTION M Mainstream
PLAN ing into
Bi-/Multilateral
ROADMAPS RPJM
cooperation
(ICCSR)
PRES RAN - GRK
STATEMENT: ICCTF
G20 2009 A
7
NATIONAL PRIORITY & ACTION PLAN 2010-2014
2 Education
3 Health
4 Poverty Alleviation
5 Food Security
11 National Priorities
- 6 Infrastructure
Indonesian Cabinet
7 Investment Climate
2010-2014
8 Energy
9 Environment and Disaster Management
(incl. Climate Change)
10 Disadvantaged, Borders and Post-Conflict Areas
8
PRIORITY FOCUS
•Land, Area Development & Agriculture Spatial
Plan
•Infrastructure
FOOD SECURITY •Research and Development
•Investment, Finance and Subsidy
•Food and Nutrition
•Adaptation to Climate Change
•Policy
•Restructuring of State Enterprises
•Energy Capacity
ENERGY •Alternative Energy
•Oil and Gas Derivative Production
•Gas Conversion
•Climate Change
ENVIRONMENTAL •Environmental Degradation Control
AND DISASTER •Early Warning System
MANAGEMENT •Capacity Building on Disaster Mitigation & Forest
Fire
9
The National CC Roadmap
10
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
RAN-GRK
11
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
RAN-GRK
Based on proposals of actions from Implementing Agencies
Quick start: existing actions with co-benefits emissions reduction
Criteria:
Potentially measured, reported and verified
(MRV), clear and concise contracts, clear
+15% executing agencies, higher abatement cost ,
not included in CDM project
26%
Criteria:
Potentially measured, reported and verified
(MRV), lower abatement cost, Mid-Term Dev.
Plan, national priorities, economically feasible,
not included in CDM project
12
Emission Rate (Gt CO2)
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
BAU
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Skenario 26%
2017
2018
2019
2020
Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction
26%
13
Approach Toward Low Carbon Economy
14
A low carbon growth plan is a holistic approach where economic growth,
CO2 mitigation and adaptation go hand in hand
Framework for Low-Carbon Growth Plan Key elements
CO2 Mitigation
▪ Estimate the size of current and future emissions
Low-Carbon Growth Plan ▪ Assess the technical abatement potential and
feasibility, and implementation cost of individual
CO2 mitigation initiatives
Mitigation Economic development
▪ Analyse existing competitive strengths and
weaknesses
▪ Explore potential new sources
Insti- of growth (requiring less carbon emissions)
tutional
enablers Adaptation
Economic
Adaptation ▪ Analyse existing and future climate threats
development
▪ Explore adaptation measures and estimate total
cost of realization
Institutional enablers
▪ Develop strategy for critical enablers (e.g.,
monitoring and evaluation, spatial planning,
community engagement)
▪ Estimate the total costs of realizing these
opportunities
Papua
Jambi
Central
Kalimantan
Lampung South
Sulawesi
West Java
Central
Java
Bali
SOURCE: DNPI 16
Detailed low carbon growth strategies have been developed
Low-Carbon Growth Plans Key elements of LCGS
Indonesia Kalteng Sustainable economic development
strategy
▪ Competitive strengths and weaknesses
▪ New sources of growth
Sector strategies
▪ Abatement opportunities, pilot projects,
policies required
▪ Palm oil, forestry, agriculture, coal, oil &
gas
Jambi Kaltim
District strategies
▪ District’s size and land use
▪ Emissions and potential for abatement
▪ GDP and employment
Implementation and enablers
▪ Detailed action plan
▪ Critical enablers required
▪ Estimate of total costs
SOURCE: DNPI; Pemda Kaltim, Pemda Kalteng, Pemda Jambi 17
East Kalimantan’s low carbon
strategy and challenges
Introducing East Kalimantan
Significant remaining natural forest Large share of emissions is generated by the
cover agriculture, palm oil and forestry sectors
100% = 103 255
Trillion Million 1.26 Million
Land area: 19.7 Agriculture IDR Ton CO2e Workers
million ha 4
Palm oil/ 1
Natural Forest: 12.8 Estate crops 5 18
million ha Forestry 34
20
Population: Coal & Mining
12
3,550,586
GDP: IDR 103 trillion 6
3
GDP per capita 2
25 6
ranked 2nd out of 33
provinces1 Oil & Gas 46 7
18
Construction 3 45
Manufacturing 2 9
5
Services/Others 19
8
1 2
1 In year 2007
SOURCE: BPS Kaltim; “East Kalimantan Environmentally Sustainable Development Strategy” by National Council for
Climate Change and Government of East Kalimantan
East Kalimantan’s economy has been driven by the oil and gas sector,
however this is in decline while coal, palm oil, and services are growing fast
Real GDP growth, 1983-2008
IDR Trillion, Constant price 2000
55 Services/Others
50 49
47
42 43 43 44 43 44
35
SOURCE: BPS 20
In the BAU scenario, CO2e emissions would reach 331 Mt by 2030, however
pursuing a sustainable growth path can reduce this by 60 percent
11
16
184 -60%
13
Agri- Palm oil Forest & Mining PetroleumManu- Services Con- Total Major Minor Emissions
culture Forest and facturing struction initia- initia- after
Industry Refining tives tives abatement
Share of
emissions, 18.5 21.0 22.9 16.8 6.1 4.8 3.2 6.7 100
percent
Gross emissions are excluding absorption from managed forests and oil palm plantation
SOURCE: team analysis 21
Sources of emissions differ between provinces
SOURCE: Kaltim Green, Wetlands International, East Kalimantan Statistics 2009, DNPI – Indonesia GHG Abatement Cost Curve 22
Emissions are not evenly distributed with the three largest
districts contributing more than 50% of all emissions EAST KALIMANTAN EXAMPLE
31
21
18
12
8
7 6 6
3 2
0
Kutai Kutai Nunukan Kutai Berau Bulungan Paser Bontang Malinau Panajam Balik- Sama- Tana Tarakan
Ker- Barat Timur Paser papan rinda Tidung
Share of tanagara Utara
total East
Kalimantan 20.5 18.2 16.4 12.9 8.5 7.3 4.8 3.2 2.8 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.1
emissions;
Percent
Palm oil Agriculture Forestry Oil & Gas Coal mining Other Total
Forest
Deforest- Peat Agric Deforest- Peat degra- Deforest Peat Upstream Gas Refining Deforest- Mining Methane
Fires ation decomp POME1 process ation Fires decomp dation -ation decomp Fires process Flaring and LNG ation process release Other Total
Balikpapan 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 - - 3.3 - - - 2.5 5.9
Berau 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 1.5 1.0 0.3 4.7 3.9 0.5 1.3 - - - 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 21.8
Bontang 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 - - 15.1 - - - 0.7 18.5
Bulungan 2.0 1.5 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.9 2.5 0.6 2.5 2.4 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.1 - 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 18.2
Kutai Barat 7.8 4.1 1.9 0.4 0.2 1.9 3.1 0.8 8.7 4.0 1.7 3.9 - - - 4.4 0.9 0.5 0.6 44.9
Kutai
5.6 6.0 4.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 7.7 2.0 1.8 2.7 4.2 2.8 5.9 1.4 - 5.4 1.5 0.8 2.8 57.6
Kertanegara
Kutai Timur 4.5 3.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.7 0.5 6.3 3.1 0.8 2.3 0.3 0.2 - 3.7 8.1 4.3 0.2 43.6
Malinau 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.9
Nunukan 1.4 0.9 7.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 12.1 3.1 1.5 2.8 6.8 0.7 - - - 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 40.2
Panajam
0.4 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.8 0.0 0.2 - - - 0.7 1.4 0.8 0.1 8.3
Paser Utara
Pasir 1.6 2.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.2 2.4 0.3 0.8 - - - 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.6 12.3
Samarinda 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.1 3.5
Tana
Tidung 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.3
0.3
Tarakan 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0.2
East
26.0 22.4 16.9 3.2 3.2 9.4 31.0 8.0 33.8 23.9 16.8 13.0 6.2 1.7 18.4 18.4 13.5 7.2 11.8 284.3
Kalimantan
De- Yield Con- Zero Avoid Zero Re- Zero Stop Reduce
Zero graded in- cession Water burn Peat de- Peat burn forest- Flaring, illegal Recla- Process methane
burning land crease buyouts mgmt POME policy rehab RIL1 forest2 rehab policy ation Process mining mation efficiency release Total
Balikpapan 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 - - - - 0.5
Berau 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.2 4.7 3.9 0.3 0.8 0.9 - 0.67
0.9 0.16
0.1 0.05
0.2 0.09
0.3 16.2
Bontang 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 - - - 2.6
-
Bulungan 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.5 0.4 2.5 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.34
0.4 0.08
0.1 0.03
0.0 0.05
0.1 12.2
Kutai Barat 4.7 1.2 0.4 1.9 0.7 0.4 1.9 0.5 8.7 4.0 1.0 2.3 2.0 - 1.90
2.4 0.46
0.5 0.14
0.2 0.26
0.4 33.2
Kutai
3.4 1.9 0.8 2.6 1.8 0.7 4.6 1.3 1.8 2.7 2.5 1.7 2.8 1.4 2.41
3.0 0.58
0.6 0.18
0.3 0.33
0.6 34.5
Kertanegara
Kutai Timur 2.7 3.4 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.3 6.3 3.1 0.5 1.4 3.2 0.2 1.39
2.9 0.34
0.4 0.10
1.5 0.19
2.8 31.5
Malinau 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 - 0.04
0.1 0.01
0.0 0.00
0.0 0.01
0.0 6.8
Nunukan 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 2.8 0.2 7.2 2.1 1.5 2.8 4.0 0.4 0.5 - 0.56
0.7 0.13
0.1 0.04
0.1 0.08
0.1 25.0
Panajam
0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 - 0.30
0.6 0.07
0.1 0.02
0.3 0.04
0.5 6.3
Paser Utara
Pasir 1.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.2 2.4 0.2 0.5 1.1 - 0.21
0.3 0.05
0.1 0.02
0.0 0.03
0.0 9.8
Samarinda 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 - 0.06
0.1 0.01
0.0 0.00
0.0 0.01
0.1 1.0
Tana Tidung 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 - 0.02
0.0 0.00
0.0 0.00
0.0 0.00
0.0 1.5
Tarakan 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - -- -- - 0.1
-
East
15.6 11.4 3.3 6.0 6.8 3.1 18.5 5.4 34.0 23.8 10.0 7.7 12.5 2.7 8.11
11.3 2.01
2.0 1.56
2.6 2.90
4.8 184
Kalimantan
▪ Although East Kalimantan has fewer fires than its neighbours, fires from 47 MtCO2e
Zero smallholders, particularly in peat areas, cause significant emissions
1 Burning ▪ Prohibiting fire as a tool for land preparation, establishing fire brigades and
Policy ensuring strong enforcement and large penalties for rule violations
▪ Most of the emissions from legal logging are due to destruction of biomass
Reduced 34 MtCO2e
that is not the commercial timber removed and sold.
2 Impact ▪ Reduced impact logging, e.g. skidding tracks, winches, harvest planning
Logging can remove the same about of commercial timber but at lower emissions
▪ KPH forest management units are required, with about 1 forest employee
overseeing 10,000 ha of HPH
▪ Significant emissions from palm oil and agriculture are due to the clearing of 25.3 MtCO2e
Use of
forests for land for the crops/plantations
3 degraded
▪ Use of degraded land (lahan critis) for future expansion oil palm, HTI, and
land
agriculture will allow expansion with lower emissions
▪ Initiate land swaps of already granted concessions on forested land with
equal sized plots of degraded land
▪ Reducing emissions from peat decomposition of agricultural areas can be 18 MtCO2e
Reduce peat achieved by adjusting and maintaining the water table at a sustainable
4
decomposition level via dam systems and applying best practices in rice cultivation
▪ Rehabilitate “slightly critical land” that has been partially degraded. The 12 MtCO2e
reforestation will restore ecosystem services and also sequester carbon
5 Re-
forestation
Emissions from the palm oil sector could be reduced by … and would 25% higher economic development than in
60% against business as usual a business-as-usual scenario
16
3
2005 10 15 20 25 2030
Flare/use
methane leakage
Grow low Accelerate Use methane Raise land REDD readiness Raising Yields
carbon and exploration leakage productivity
high value
add sectors Develop CBM Build crude palm Develop 2.6m ton New crops and
potential oil refinery in East capacity pulp & aquaculture
Kalimantan paper and forest
products
mills/plant
Develop new
LNG/petro-
chemical complex
▪ Develop a low carbon growth ▪ Design organizational set up ▪ Roll out pilot program across
strategy that identifies: of Governor green delivery the whole province once
– Identifies major sources of unit readiness program has been
emissions across the ▪ Identify KPIs and reporting completed and funding for
province and across mechanisms of delivery unit continuation has been secured
different industry sectors
– Identifies major abatement ▪ Develop detailed ▪ Continue to develop key
opportunities and actions implementation plan and KPIs enablers (e.g. spatial planning,
for promoting sustainable for each district MRV, etc)
livelihoods ▪ Identify funding sources and
– Identifies critical enablers proposals
Description
1
• Define organizational structure, key processes, deliverables, KPIs and reporting
Setting up the relationships
Governor’s Green • Establish regular operations and meetings with clear leadership of the Governor
Delivery Unit • Define responsibilities vis-à-vis existing government departments, connection to
DNPI and national institutions, and counterparts in the districts
• Support hiring of new positions and building day-to-day capabilities to implement
the strategy
2
District • Support districts to develop a pipeline of projects based on identified priorities
incubators: pilots and targets
projects and • Develop implementation plans to support launch of low carbon growth plan
programs • Identify potential sources of readiness funds and understand requirements for
accessing funds
• Develop required materials to access funds, e.g. donor-ready proposals
3
• Build critical enablers such as a basic MRV system, integrated spatial planning,
Rapid capacity community engagement/public awareness
building for • Develop regulatory responses (e.g. optimizing land allocation through spatial
critical enablers planning, land titling, environmental impact assessments, permitting, etc)
34
Making progress from plans to actions
1. Mobilize public and market resources for green investments
(beyond CDM), not only in Europe or US, but also in China,
Japan, Korea, Australia and NZ
2. Innovative policy incentives
3. Change the way ODA and MDB operates
4. Start now with selected green investments in the region
5. MRV Financial Assistance and its Emission Reduction Results
35
Implementing REDD+ and Low Carbon Growth
requires a different financing mechanism
Phase 3:
Phase 1: Phase 2:
Contributions for verified
Preparation Transformation
reductions
Need for ▪ Formation of task force ▪ Carbon neutral economic ▪ Carbon neutral economic
funding ▪ Outside technical resources development development
▪ Task Force/Agency infrastructure ▪ Implementation of strategy in pilot ▪ MRV operation
▪ Operations of task force province ▪ Policy and legal enforcement
▪ Pilot province assessment ▪ Implementation and enforcement ▪ Stakeholder management
of moratorium, including MRV
▪ Development of functional bodies ▪ Policy development
(MRV, Financing, Agency)
▪ Stakeholder management
▪ Stakeholder management ▪ National capability building
Key ▪ Transparency, accountability, and ▪ Transparency, accountability, and ▪ Transparency, accountability, and
mechanism appropriate safeguards appropriate safeguards appropriate safeguards
requirements ▪ Established trustee with immediate ▪ Established trustee ▪ Established trustee
credibility ▪ Flexibility to accommodate ▪ Scale to manage large program
▪ Speed of implementation evolution of REDD+ Agency ▪ Multilateral capability
▪ Quick approval and disbursement ▪ Administrative capability
processes ▪ Capability to disburse
▪ Short term involvement
Potential ▪ UN-REDD ▪ World Bank ▪ ADB ▪ Private Int’l banks ▪ ADB ▪ Private Int’l banks
mechanism ▪ UNDP ▪ ADB ▪ UNDP ▪ Private domestic ▪ UNDP ▪ Private domestic
▪ World Bank banks ▪ World Bank banks
Thanks a bunch.