d1

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Custo
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
0
0 #NAME?
0
0
0
0
0
1
0 #NAME?
0
0
-5000
0
0
2
0 #NAME?
0
0
-10000
0
0
3
0 #NAME?
0
0
-15000
0
0
4
0 #NAME?
0
0
-20000
1
-30000
0
1 #NAME?
0
-330
0
1
-30000
1
0 #NAME?
35000
0
0
1
-30000
2
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-5000
1
-30000
3
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-10000
1
-30000
4
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-15000
2
-60000
0
2 #NAME?
0
-660
0
2
-60000
1
1 #NAME?
35000
-330
0
2
-60000
2
0 #NAME?
70000
0
0
2
-60000
3
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-5000
2
-60000
4
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-10000
3
-90000
0
3 #NAME?
0
-990
0
3
-90000
1
2 #NAME?
35000
-660
0
3
-90000
2
1 #NAME?
70000
-330
0
3
-90000
3
0 #NAME? 105000
0
0
3
-90000
4
0 #NAME? 105000
0
-5000
4 -120000
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
4 -120000
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
4 -120000
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
4 -120000
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
4 -120000
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

Perda de
Proba
credibilid
bilidad
Receita
ade
Total
e
#NAME Esperada
0 #NAME?
0.2 #NAME
?-660 #NAME?
0.3 5462.4
?
-1320 #NAME? 0.35
5- #NAME?
-1980
-21267
0.1 -2126.7
1346.3
-2640
-26927 0.05
5
0
-9216
0.2 -1843.20
713
0.3 1731.4
213.9
-660
-4947 0.35
5 5,234.80
-1320
-10607
0.1 -1060.7
-1980
-16267 0.05 -813.35
0 #NAME?
0.2 -3876.2
0
-4216
0.3 -1264.8
1999.5
0
5713 0.35
5 3,416.50
-660
53
0.1
5.3
-1320
-5607 0.05 -280.35
0 -43892.5
0.2 -8778.5
0 #NAME?
0.3 -4314.3
0
784 0.35 274.4 11,494.45
0
10713
0.1 1071.3-660
5053 0.05 252.65
14500.0
-72503
0.2 11667.
60 -38892.5
0.3 3283.3
75
0
-9381 0.35
5 28,087.65
0
5784
0.1 578.4
0
15713 0.05 785.65

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 2 j=

d2

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Custo
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
0
0 #NAME?
0
0
0
0
0
1
0 #NAME?
0
0
-5000
0
0
2
0 #NAME?
0
0
-10000
0
0
3
0 #NAME?
0
0
-15000
0
0
4
0 #NAME?
0
0
-20000
1
-30000
0
1 #NAME?
0
-330
0
1
-30000
1
0 #NAME?
35000
0
0
1
-30000
2
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-5000
1
-30000
3
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-10000
1
-30000
4
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-15000
2
-60000
0
2 #NAME?
0
-660
0
2
-60000
1
1 #NAME?
35000
-330
0
2
-60000
2
0 #NAME?
70000
0
0
2
-60000
3
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-5000
2
-60000
4
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-10000
3
-90000
0
3 #NAME?
0
-990
0
3
-90000
1
2 #NAME?
35000
-660
0
3
-90000
2
1 #NAME?
70000
-330
0
3
-90000
3
0 #NAME? 105000
0
0
3
-90000
4
0 #NAME? 105000
0
-5000
4 -120000
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
4 -120000
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
4 -120000
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
4 -120000
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
4 -120000
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
Receita
ade
Total
dade
Esperada
0 #NAME?
0.2 #NAME?
-660 #NAME?
0.3 #NAME?
-1320 #NAME?
0.35 -4962.3 #NAME?
-1980
-19838
0.1 -1983.8
-2640
-25498
0.05 -1274.9
0
-12386
0.2 -2477.2
0
2142
0.3
642.6
-660
-3518
0.35 -1231.3 4,725.60
-1320
-9178
0.1
-917.8
-1980
-14838
0.05
-741.9
0 #NAME?
0.2 -4510.2
0
-7386
0.3 -2215.8
0
7142
0.35
2499.7 4,287.00
-660
1482
0.1
148.2
-1320
-4178
0.05
-208.9
0 -47062.5
0.2 -9412.5
0 #NAME?
0.3 -5265.3
0
-2386
0.35
-835.1 13,974.60
0
12142
0.1
1214.2
-660
6482
0.05
324.1
0
-75673
0.2 -15134.60 -42062.5
0.3 12618.75
0
-12551
0.35 -4392.85 31,027.70
0
2614
0.1
261.4
0
17142
0.05
857.1

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 2 j=

d2

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Custo
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
0
1 #NAME?
0
-330
0
0
0
1
0 #NAME?
35000
0
0
0
0
2
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-5000
0
0
3
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-10000
0
0
4
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-15000
1
-30000
0
2 #NAME?
0
-660
0
1
-30000
1
1 #NAME?
35000
-330
0
1
-30000
2
0 #NAME?
70000
0
0
1
-30000
3
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-5000
1
-30000
4
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-10000
2
-60000
0
3 #NAME?
0
-990
0
2
-60000
1
2 #NAME?
35000
-660
0
2
-60000
2
1 #NAME?
70000
-330
0
2
-60000
3
0 #NAME? 105000
0
0
2
-60000
4
0 #NAME? 105000
0
-5000
3
-90000
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
3
-90000
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
3
-90000
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
3
-90000
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
3
-90000
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
Receita
ade
Total
dade
Esperada
0 #NAME?
0.2 #NAME?
0 #NAME?
0.3 #NAME?
-660 #NAME?
0.35
9268.7 #NAME?
-1320
20822
0.1
2082.2
-1980
15162
0.05
758.1
0
-12716
0.2 -2543.2
0
1812
0.3
543.6
0
37142
0.35 12999.7 15,439.40
-660
31482
0.1
3148.2
-1320
25822
0.05
1291.1
0 #NAME?
0.2 -4576.2
0
-7716
0.3 -2314.8
0
6812
0.35
2384.2 1,531.50
0
42142
0.1
4214.2
-660
36482
0.05
1824.1
0 -47392.5
0.2 -9478.5
0 #NAME?
0.3 -5364.3
0
-2716
0.35
-950.6 12,255.10
0
11812
0.1
1181.2
0
47142
0.05
2357.1

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 2 j=

d2

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Custo
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
0
2 #NAME?
0
-660
0
0
0
1
1 #NAME?
35000
-330
0
0
0
2
0 #NAME?
70000
0
0
0
0
3
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-5000
0
0
4
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-10000
1
-30000
0
3 #NAME?
0
-990
0
1
-30000
1
2 #NAME?
35000
-660
0
1
-30000
2
1 #NAME?
70000
-330
0
1
-30000
3
0 #NAME? 105000
0
0
1
-30000
4
0 #NAME? 105000
0
-5000
2
-60000
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
2
-60000
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
2
-60000
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
2
-60000
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
2
-60000
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
ade
Total
dade
0 #NAME?
0.2
0 #NAME?
0.3
0 #NAME?
0.35
-660
61482
0.1
-1320
55822
0.05
0
-13046
0.2
0
1482
0.3
0
36812
0.35
0
72142
0.1
-660
66482
0.05
0 #NAME?
0.2
0
-8046
0.3
0
6482
0.35
0
41812
0.1
0
77142
0.05

Receita
Esperada
#NAME?
#NAME?
23499.7 #NAME?
6148.2
2791.1
-2609.2
444.6
12884.2 21,257.90
7214.2
3324.1
-4642.2
-2413.8
2268.7 3,251.00
4181.2
3857.1

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 2 j=

d2

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Custo
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
0
3 #NAME?
0
-990
0
0
0
1
2 #NAME?
35000
-660
0
0
0
2
1 #NAME?
70000
-330
0
0
0
3
0 #NAME? 105000
0
0
0
0
4
0 #NAME? 105000
0
-5000
1
-30000
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
1
-30000
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
1
-30000
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
1
-30000
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
1
-30000
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
ade
Total
dade
0 #NAME?
0.2
0 #NAME?
0.3
0 #NAME?
0.35
0 102142
0.1
-660
96482
0.05
0
-13376
0.2
0
1152
0.3
0
36482
0.35
0
71812
0.1
0 107142
0.05

Receita
Esperada
#NAME?
#NAME?
23384.2 #NAME?
10214.2
4824.1
-2675.2
345.6
12768.7 22,977.40
7181.2
5357.1

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 2 j=

d2

Custo
0
0
0
0
0

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
0
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
0
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
0
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
0
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
ade
Total
dade
0 #NAME?
0.2
0 #NAME?
0.3
0 #NAME?
0.35
0 101812
0.1
0 137142
0.05

Receita
Esperada
#NAME?
#NAME?
23268.7
10181.2
6857.1

#NAME?

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 3 j=

d3

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Custo
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
0
0 #NAME?
0
0
0
0
0
1
0 #NAME?
0
0
-5000
0
0
2
0 #NAME?
0
0
-10000
0
0
3
0 #NAME?
0
0
-15000
0
0
4
0 #NAME?
0
0
-20000
1
-30000
0
1 #NAME?
0
-330
0
1
-30000
1
0 #NAME?
35000
0
0
1
-30000
2
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-5000
1
-30000
3
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-10000
1
-30000
4
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-15000
2
-60000
0
2 #NAME?
0
-660
0
2
-60000
1
1 #NAME?
35000
-330
0
2
-60000
2
0 #NAME?
70000
0
0
2
-60000
3
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-5000
2
-60000
4
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-10000
3
-90000
0
3 #NAME?
0
-990
0
3
-90000
1
2 #NAME?
35000
-660
0
3
-90000
2
1 #NAME?
70000
-330
0
3
-90000
3
0 #NAME? 105000
0
0
3
-90000
4
0 #NAME? 105000
0
-5000
4 -120000
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
4 -120000
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
4 -120000
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
4 -120000
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
4 -120000
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
Receita
ade
Total
dade
Esperada
0 #NAME?
0.2 #NAME?
-660 #NAME?
0.3 #NAME?
-1320 #NAME?
0.35 -6071.8 #NAME?
-1980
-23008
0.1 -2300.8
-2640
-28668
0.05 -1433.4
0
-6358
0.2 -1271.6
0
-1028
0.3
-308.4
-660
-6688
0.35 -2340.8 6,056.00
-1320
-12348
0.1 -1234.8
-1980
-18008
0.05
-900.4
0 #NAME?
0.2 -3304.6
0
-1358
0.3
-407.4
0
3972
0.35
1390.2 2,858.00
-660
-1688
0.1
-168.8
-1320
-7348
0.05
-367.4
0 -41034.5
0.2 -8206.9
0 #NAME?
0.3 -3456.9
0
3642
0.35
1274.7 9,326.30
0
8972
0.1
897.2
-660
3312
0.05
165.6
0
-69645
0.2
-139290 -36034.5
0.3 10810.35
0
-6523
0.35 -2283.05 25,459.60
0
8642
0.1
864.2
0
13972
0.05
698.6

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 3 j=

d3

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Custo
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
0
1 #NAME?
0
-330
0
0
0
1
0 #NAME?
35000
0
0
0
0
2
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-5000
0
0
3
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-10000
0
0
4
0 #NAME?
35000
0
-15000
1
-30000
0
2 #NAME?
0
-660
0
1
-30000
1
1 #NAME?
35000
-330
0
1
-30000
2
0 #NAME?
70000
0
0
1
-30000
3
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-5000
1
-30000
4
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-10000
2
-60000
0
3 #NAME?
0
-990
0
2
-60000
1
2 #NAME?
35000
-660
0
2
-60000
2
1 #NAME?
70000
-330
0
2
-60000
3
0 #NAME? 105000
0
0
2
-60000
4
0 #NAME? 105000
0
-5000
3
-90000
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
3
-90000
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
3
-90000
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
3
-90000
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
3
-90000
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
Receita
ade
Total
dade
Esperada
0 #NAME?
0.2 #NAME?
0 #NAME?
0.3 #NAME?
-660 #NAME?
0.35
8159.2 #NAME?
-1320
17652
0.1
1765.2
-1980
11992
0.05
599.6
0
-6688
0.2 -1337.6
0
-1358
0.3
-407.4
0
33972
0.35 11890.2 14,109.00
-660
28312
0.1
2831.2
-1320
22652
0.05
1132.6
0 #NAME?
0.2 -3370.6
0
-1688
0.3
-506.4
0
3642
0.35
1274.7 2,960.50
0
38972
0.1
3897.2
-660
33312
0.05
1665.6
0 -41364.5
0.2 -8272.9
0 #NAME?
0.3 -3555.9
0
3312
0.35
1159.2 7,606.80
0
8642
0.1
864.2
0
43972
0.05
2198.6

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 3 j=

d3

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Custo
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
0
2 #NAME?
0
-660
0
0
0
1
1 #NAME?
35000
-330
0
0
0
2
0 #NAME?
70000
0
0
0
0
3
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-5000
0
0
4
0 #NAME?
70000
0
-10000
1
-30000
0
3 #NAME?
0
-990
0
1
-30000
1
2 #NAME?
35000
-660
0
1
-30000
2
1 #NAME?
70000
-330
0
1
-30000
3
0 #NAME? 105000
0
0
1
-30000
4
0 #NAME? 105000
0
-5000
2
-60000
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
2
-60000
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
2
-60000
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
2
-60000
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
2
-60000
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
ade
Total
dade
0 #NAME?
0.2
0 #NAME?
0.3
0 #NAME?
0.35
-660
58312
0.1
-1320
52652
0.05
0
-7018
0.2
0
-1688
0.3
0
33642
0.35
0
68972
0.1
-660
63312
0.05
0 #NAME?
0.2
0
-2018
0.3
0
3312
0.35
0
38642
0.1
0
73972
0.05

Receita
Esperada
#NAME?
#NAME?
22390.2 #NAME?
5831.2
2632.6
-1403.6
-506.4
11774.7 19,927.50
6897.2
3165.6
-3436.6
-605.4
1159.2 4,680.00
3864.2
3698.6

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 3 j=

d3

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Custo
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
0
3 #NAME?
0
-990
0
0
0
1
2 #NAME?
35000
-660
0
0
0
2
1 #NAME?
70000
-330
0
0
0
3
0 #NAME? 105000
0
0
0
0
4
0 #NAME? 105000
0
-5000
1
-30000
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
1
-30000
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
1
-30000
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
1
-30000
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
1
-30000
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
ade
Total
dade
0 #NAME?
0.2
0 #NAME?
0.3
0 #NAME?
0.35
0
98972
0.1
-660
93312
0.05
0
-7348
0.2
0
-2018
0.3
0
33312
0.35
0
68642
0.1
0 103972
0.05

Receita
Esperada
#NAME?
#NAME?
22274.7 #NAME?
9897.2
4665.6
-1469.6
-605.4
11659.2 21,647.00
6864.2
5198.6

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 3 j=

d3

Custo
0
0
0
0
0

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de
Estoque Rec
Custo
Lucro
Demanda final
Anterior Receita Estoque (nao real)
0
0
4 #NAME?
0
-1320
0
0
1
3 #NAME?
35000
-990
0
0
2
2 #NAME?
70000
-660
0
0
3
1 #NAME? 105000
-330
0
0
4
0 #NAME? 140000
0
0

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Perda de
credibilid
Probabili
Receita
ade
Total
dade
Esperada
0 #NAME?
0.2 #NAME?
0 #NAME?
0.3 #NAME?
0 #NAME?
0.35 22159.2 #NAME?
0
98642
0.1
9864.2
0 133972
0.05
6698.6

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocagem
Unid. nao
vendida por
falta

Estagio 4

d4

-30000

-100

35000

Probabil
idade

0.2

200

0.3

-330

-10

0.35

-660

-20

3
4

0.1
0.05

Estoqu
e j=

Perda
Perda
Custo de Lucro de
Deman
Estoqu (nao
credibili
Probabi
Custo da
Receita e
real)
dade
Total
lidade
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
0
0
1
0
0
-5000
-660
-5660
0.3
0
0
2
0
0 -10000
-1320 -11320
0.35
0
0
3
0
0 -15000
-1980 -16980
0.1
0
0
4
0
0 -20000
-2640 -22640
0.05
1 -30000
0
0
-330
0
0 -30330
0.2
1 -30000
1 35000
0
0
0
5000
0.3
1 -30000
2 35000
0
-5000
-660
-660
0.35
1 -30000
3 35000
0 -10000
-1320
-6320
0.1
1 -30000
4 35000
0 -15000
-1980 -11980
0.05
2 -60000
0
0
-660
0
0 -60660
0.2
2 -60000
1 35000
-330
0
0 -25330
0.3
2 -60000
2 70000
0
0
0 10000
0.35
2 -60000
3 70000
0
-5000
-660
4340
0.1
2 -60000
4 70000
0 -10000
-1320
-1320
0.05
3 -90000
0
0
-990
0
0 -90990
0.2
3 -90000
1 35000
-660
0
0 -55660
0.3
3 -90000
2 70000
-330
0
0 -20330
0.35
3 -900003 105000
0
0
0 15000
0.1
3 -90000
4 105000
0
-5000
-660
9340
0.05
120004 12000
00
0 -1320
0
0 -121320
0.2
4 12000
01 35000
-990
0
0 -85990
0.3
4 12000
02 70000
-660
0
0 -50660
0.35
4 12000
0
3 105000
-330
0
0 -15330
0.1
4
0
4 140000
0
0
0 20000
0.05

Receita
Esperada
0
-1698
-3962
-1698
-1132
-6066
1500
-231
-632
-599
-12132
-7599
3500
434
-66
-18198
-16698
-7115.5
1500
467
-24264
-25797
-17731
-1533
1000

8,490.00

6,028.00

15,863.00

40,044.50

68,325.00

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 4 j=

d4

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de Perda de
Custo
Lucro
credibilid
Custo
Demanda Receita Estoque (nao real) ade
Total
0
0
0
0
-330
0
0
-330
0
0
1
35000
0
0
0
35000
0
0
2
35000
0
-5000
-660
29340
0
0
3
35000
0
-10000
-1320
23680
0
0
4
35000
0
-15000
-1980
18020
1
-30000
0
0
-660
0
0
-30660
1
-30000
1
35000
-330
0
0
4670
1
-30000
2
70000
0
0
0
40000
1
-30000
3
70000
0
-5000
-660
34340
1
-30000
4
70000
0
-10000
-1320
28680
2
-60000
0
0
-990
0
0
-60990
2
-60000
1
35000
-660
0
0
-25660
2
-60000
2
70000
-330
0
0
9670
2
-60000
3 105000
0
0
0
45000
2
-60000
4 105000
0
-5000
-660
39340
3
-90000
0
0
-1320
0
0
-91320
3
-90000
1
35000
-990
0
0
-55990
3
-90000
2
70000
-660
0
0
-20660
3
-90000
3 105000
-330
0
0
14670
3
-90000
4 140000
0
0
0
50000

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Probabili
dade
0.2
0.3
0.35
0.1
0.05
0.2
0.3
0.35
0.1
0.05
0.2
0.3
0.35
0.1
0.05
0.2
0.3
0.35
0.1
0.05

Receita
Esperada
-66
10500
10269
2368
901
-6132
1401
14000
3434
1434
-12198
-7698
3384.5
4500
1967
-18264
-16797
-7231
1467
2500

23,972.00

14,137.00

10,044.50

38,325.00

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 4 j=

d4

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de Perda de
Custo
Lucro
credibilid
Custo
Demanda Receita Estoque (nao real) ade
Total
0
0
0
0
-660
0
0
-660
0
0
1
35000
-330
0
0
34670
0
0
2
70000
0
0
0
70000
0
0
3
70000
0
-5000
-660
64340
0
0
4
70000
0
-10000
-1320
58680
1
-30000
0
0
-990
0
0
-30990
1
-30000
1
35000
-660
0
0
4340
1
-30000
2
70000
-330
0
0
39670
1
-30000
3 105000
0
0
0
75000
1
-30000
4 105000
0
-5000
-660
69340
2
-60000
0
0
-1320
0
0
-61320
2
-60000
1
35000
-990
0
0
-25990
2
-60000
2
70000
-660
0
0
9340
2
-60000
3 105000
-330
0
0
44670
2
-60000
4 140000
0
0
0
80000

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Probabili
Receita
dade
Esperada
0.2
-132
0.3
10401
0.35
24500 44,137.00
0.1
6434
0.05
2934
0.2
-6198
0.3
1302
0.35 13884.5 19,955.50
0.1
7500
0.05
3467
0.2
-12264
0.3
-7797
0.35
3269 8,325.00
0.1
4467
0.05
4000

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 4 j=

d4

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de Perda de
Custo
Lucro
credibilid
Custo
Demanda Receita Estoque (nao real) ade
Total
0
0
0
0
-990
0
0
-990
0
0
1
35000
-660
0
0
34340
0
0
2
70000
-330
0
0
69670
0
0
3 105000
0
0
0 105000
0
0
4 105000
0
-5000
-660
99340
1
-30000
0
0
-1320
0
0
-31320
1
-30000
1
35000
-990
0
0
4010
1
-30000
2
70000
-660
0
0
39340
1
-30000
3 105000
-330
0
0
74670
1
-30000
4 140000
0
0
0 110000

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Probabili
Receita
dade
Esperada
0.2
-198
0.3
10302
0.35 24384.5 49,955.50
0.1
10500
0.05
4967
0.2
-6264
0.3
1203
0.35
13769 21,675.00
0.1
7467
0.05
5500

Custo do
Produto
Venda do
produto
Custo de
estocage
m
Unid. nao
vendida
por falta

-100

35000

200

-330

-10

-660

-20

3
4

Estoque
Estagio 4 j=

d4

Custo
0
0
0
0
0

Probabili
dade

-30000

Perda de Perda de
Custo
Lucro
credibilid
Demanda Receita Estoque (nao real) ade
Total
0
0
0
-1320
0
0
-1320
0
1
35000
-990
0
0
34010
0
2
70000
-660
0
0
69340
0
3 105000
-330
0
0 104670
0
4 140000
0
0
0 140000

0.2
0.3

0.35

0.1
0.05

Probabili
dade
0.2
0.3
0.35
0.1
0.05

Receita
Esperada
-264
10203
24269 51,675.00
10467
7000

Demanda Probabilidade
0
20%
1
30%
2
35%
3
10%
4
5%