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CHAPTER 9: FORCASTING EXCHANGE RATES

1. Reasons for FX forecasting: page 273, 274 a. Hedging decision. MNCs constantly face the decision of whether to hedge the future payables and receivables in foreign currencies. Whether a firm hedges may be determined by its forecasts or foreign currency values. b. Short-term investment decision: To deal with excess cash available for a short time period. The ideal currency for deposits will (1) exhibit a high interest rate and (2) strengthen in value over the invest ment period. c. Capital budgeting decision: An MNC's parent asseses whether to invest funds in a foreign project, the firm takes into account that th project may periodically require the exchange of currencies. The K budgeting analysis can be analysis can be completed only when all estimated cash flows are measured in the parent's local currency. d. Earnings assessment: e. Longterm financing decision: Model:

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