You are on page 1of 34

CHAPTER 10

The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Learning Objectives

1. Discuss why capital budgeting decisions are the most important decisions made by a firm’s

management.

2. Explain the benefits of using the net present value (NPV) method to analyze capital

expenditure decisions, and be able to calculate the NPV for a capital project.

3. Describe the strengths and weaknesses of the payback period as a capital expenditure

decision-making tool, and be able to compute the payback period for a capital project.

4. Explain why the accounting rate of return (ARR) is not recommended for use as a capital

expenditure decision-making tool.

5. Be able to compute the internal rate of return (IRR) for a capital project, and discuss the

conditions under which the IRR technique and the NPV technique produce different

results.

6. Explain the benefits of a postaudit review of a capital project.

I. Chapter Outline

10.1 An Introduction to Capital Budgeting

A. The Importance of Capital Budgeting

 Capital budgeting decisions are the most important investment decisions made by

management.

Prepared by Jim Keys 1


 The goal of these decisions is to select capital projects that will increase the value of

the firm.

 Capital investments are important because they involve substantial cash outlays and,

once made, are not easily reversed.

 Capital budgeting techniques help management to systematically analyze potential

business opportunities in order to decide which are worth undertaking.

Imagine you were to start your own business. No matter what type you started, you would have
to answer the following three questions in some form or another:

1. What long-term investments should you take on? That is, what lines of business will
you be in and what sorts of buildings, machinery, and equipment will you need?
2. Where will you get the long-term financing to pay for your investment? Will you bring in
other owners or will you borrow the money?
3. How will you manage your everyday financial activities such as collecting from
customers and paying suppliers?

Capital Budgeting   The first question concerns the firm's long-term investments. The process of
planning and managing a firm's long-term investments is called capital budgeting. In capital
budgeting, the financial manager tries to identify investment opportunities that are worth more to
the firm than they cost to acquire. Loosely speaking, this means that the value of the cash flow
generated by an asset exceeds the cost of that asset. Regardless of the specific investment under
consideration, financial managers must be concerned with how much cash they expect to receive,
when they expect to receive it, and how likely they are to receive it. Evaluating the size, timing,
and risk of future cash flows is the essence of capital budgeting. In fact, whenever we
evaluate a business decision, the size, timing, and risk of the cash flows will be, by far, the most
important things we will consider.

B. Sources of Information

 Most of the information needed to make capital budgeting decisions is generated

internally, beginning likely with the sales force.

 Then the production team is involved, followed by the accountants.

 All this information is then reviewed by the financial managers, who evaluate the

feasibility of the project.

Prepared by Jim Keys 2


C. Classification of Investment Projects

 Capital budgeting projects can be broadly classified into three types: (1) independent

projects; (2) mutually exclusive projects; and (3) contingent projects.

1. Independent Projects

 Projects are independent when their cash flows are unrelated.

 If two projects are independent, accepting or rejecting one project has no

bearing on the decision on the other.

Prepared by Jim Keys 3


2. Mutually Exclusive Projects

 When two projects are mutually exclusive, accepting one automatically

precludes the other.

 Mutually exclusive projects typically perform the same function.

3. Contingent Projects

 Contingent projects are those in which the acceptance of one project is

dependent on another project.

 There are two types of contingency situations:

 Projects that are mandatory

 Projects that are optional

D. Basic Capital Budgeting Terms

 The cost of capital is the minimum return that a capital budgeting project must earn

for it to be accepted.

 It is an opportunity cost since it reflects the rate of return investors can earn on

financial assets of similar risk.

 Capital rationing implies that a firm does not have the resources necessary to fund

all of the available projects.

 It implies that funding needs exceed funding resources.

 Thus, the available capital will be allocated to the set of projects that will benefit the

firm and its shareholders the most.

Prepared by Jim Keys 4


Capital budgeting criteria checklist
 Does the method account for the time value of money (TVM)?
 Are all cash flows included?
 Can we adjust for differential project risk?
 Is there a decision rule?
 Can we measure the effect on the value of the firm?

10.2 Net Present Value

 It is a capital budgeting technique that is consistent with the goal of maximizing shareholder

wealth.

 The method estimates the amount by which the benefits or cash flows from a project exceeds

the cost of the project in present value terms.

A. Valuation of Real Assets

 Valuing real assets calls for the same steps as valuing financial assets.

 Estimate future cash flows.

 Determine the investor’s cost of capital or required rate of return.

 Calculate the present value of the future cash flows.

 However, there are some practical difficulties in following the process for real assets.

 First, cash flow estimates have to be prepared in-house and are not readily available

as they are for financial assets in legal contracts.

 Second, estimates of required rates of return are more difficult than it is for financial

assets because no market data is available for real assets.

Prepared by Jim Keys 5


B. NPV—The Basic Concept

 The present value of a project is the difference between the present value of the expected

future cash flows and the initial cost of the project.

 Accepting a positive NPV project leads to an increase in shareholder wealth, while

accepting a negative NPV project leads to a decline in shareholder wealth.

 Projects that have an NPV equal to zero imply that management will be indifferent

between accepting and rejecting the project.

 The Basic Idea – The NPV measures the increase in firm value, which is also the increase
in the value of what the shareholders own. Thus, making decisions with the NPV rule
facilitates the achievement of our goal – making decisions that will maximize
shareholder wealth.

 Estimating Net Present Value: Discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation – finding the
market value of assets or their benefits by taking the present value of future cash flows by
estimating what the future cash flows would trade for in today’s dollars.

 The cost of the project must be determined.


 Cash flows from the project are estimated.
 The riskiness of the projected cash flows is determined, so the appropriate rate of
return is used to discount the cash flows.
 Cash flows are discounted to their present value to obtain an estimate of the
asset’s value to the firm.
 The present value of the future expected cash flows is compared with the required
outlay, or cost. If the asset’s value exceeds its cost, the project should be accepted;
otherwise, it should be rejected. Alternatively, the project’s expected rate of return
is compared with the rate of return considered appropriate for the project.
 If a firm identifies an investment opportunity with a present value greater than its
cost, the firm’s value will increase. There is a very direct link between capital
budgeting and stock values. The more effective the firm’s capital budgeting
procedures, the higher the price of its stock.

C. Framework for Calculating NPV

 The NPV technique uses the discounted cash flow technique.

Prepared by Jim Keys 6


 Our goal is to compute the net cash flow (NCF) for each time period t, where NCFt = (Cash

inflows – Cash outflows) for the period t.

 A five-step approach can be utilized to compute the NPV.

1. Determine the cost of the project.

 Identify and add up all expenses related to the cost of the project.

 While we are mostly looking at projects whose entire cost occurs at the start of the

project, we need to recognize that some projects may have costs occurring beyond

the first year also.

 The cash flow in year 0 (NCF0) is negative, indicating a cost.

2. Estimate the project’s future cash flows over its expected life.

 Both cash inflows (CIF) and cash outflows are likely in each year of the project.

Estimate the net cash flow (NCFt) = CIFt – COFt for each year of the project.

 Remember to recognize any salvage value from the project in its terminal year.

3. Determine the riskiness of the project and the appropriate cost of capital.

 The cost of capital is the discount rate used in determining the present value of the

future expected cash flows.

 The riskier the project, the higher the cost of capital for the project.

4. Compute the project’s NPV.

 Determine the difference between the present value of the expected cash flows from

the project and the cost of the project.

5. Make a decision.

 Accept the project if it produces a positive NPV or reject the project if NPV is

negative.

Prepared by Jim Keys 7


n
NCFt
NPV   ,
t 0 (1  k) t
where:

NCFt = Net cash flow cash inflows – cash outflows) in period t, where t =

1, 2, 3,…, n

k = The cost of capital

n = The project’s estimated life

Example - Compute the Net Present Value (NPV) given a required return of 12% and the following net
cash flows:

Year NCFt
0 ($20,000)
1 $6,000
2 $7,000
3 $8,000
4 $5,000
5 $4,000

 20,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 5,000 4,000


NPV  0
 1
 2
 3
 4

(1.12) (1.12) (1.12) (1.12) (1.12) (1.12) 5

NPV  $20,000  $5,357.14  $5,580.36  $5,694.24  $3,177.59  $2,269.71

NPV  $20,000  $22,079.04  $2,079.04 (Since the NPV>0, the project should be accepted).

Excel Solution (in class)

(note on Excel NPV function)

Calculator Solution (in class)

What is the NPV if the required return is 17%?

 20,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 5,000 4,000


NPV  0
 1
 2
 3
 4

(1.17) (1.17) (1.17) (1.17) (1.17) (1.17) 5

NPV  $20,000  $5,128.21  $5,113.59  $4,994.96  $2,668.25  $1,824.44

NPV  $20,000  $19,729.45  $270.55 (Since the NPV<0, the project should be rejected).
Note: It is not the rather mechanical process of discounting the cash flows that is important. Once we

Prepared by Jim Keys 8


have the cash flows and the appropriate discount rate, the required calculations are fairly
straightforward. The task of coming up with the cash flows and the discount rate in the first place is
much more challenging.

NPV is superior to the other methods of analysis presented in the text because it has no serious flaws.
The method unambiguously ranks mutually exclusive projects, and can differentiate between projects of
different scale and time horizon. The only drawback to NPV is that it relies on cash flow and discount
rate values that are often estimates and not certain, but this is a problem shared by the other
performance criteria as well.

Suppose the firm uses the NPV decision rule. At a required return of 11 percent, should the firm accept
this project? What if the required return was 16 percent? What if the required return was 27 percent?

The NPV of a project is the PV of the outflows minus by the PV of the inflows. The equation for the
NPV of this project at an 11 percent required return is:

NPV = – $130,000 + $68,000/(1.11)1 + $71,000/(1.11)2 + $54,000/(1.11)3


NPV = $28,730.79

At an 11 percent required return, the NPV is positive, so we would accept the project.

The equation for the NPV of the project at a 16 percent required return is:

NPV = – $130,000 + $68,000/(1.16)1 + $71,000/(1.16)2 + $54,000/(1.16)3


NPV = $15,980.77

At a 16 percent required return, the NPV is positive, so we would accept the project.

The equation for the NPV of the project at a 27 percent required return is:

NPV = – $130,000 + $68,000/(1.27)1 + $71,000/(1.27)2 + $54,000/(1.27)3


NPV = – $6,074.35

At a 27 percent required return, the NPV is negative, so we would reject the project.

D. Concluding Comments on NPV

Prepared by Jim Keys 9


 Beware of optimistic estimates of future cash flows.

 Recognize that the estimates going into calculating NPV are estimates and not market

data. Estimates based on informed judgments are considered acceptable.

 The NPV method of determining project viability is the recommended approach for

making capital investment decisions.

 The NPV decision criteria can be summed up as follows:

Summary of Net Present Value (NPV) Method


Decision Rule: NPV > 0: Accept the project.

NPV < 0: Reject the project.


Key Advantages Key Disadvantages
1. Uses the discounted cash flow 1. Difficult to understand without an
valuation technique. accounting and finance background.
2. Provides a direct measure of how much
a capital project will increase the value
of the firm.
3. Consistent with the goal of maximizing
shareholder wealth.

10.3 The Payback Period

 It is one of the most widely used tools for evaluating capital projects.

 The payback period represents the number of years it takes for the cash flows from a

project to recover the project’s initial investment.

 A project is accepted if its payback period is below some prespecified threshold.

 This technique can serve as a risk indicator—the more quickly you recover the cash, the less

risky is the project.

A. Computing the Payback Period

Prepared by Jim Keys 10


 To compute the payback period, we need to know the project’s cost and to estimate its

future net cash flows.

 Equation 10.2 shows how to compute the payback period.

Remaining cost to recover


PB  Years before cost recovery 
Cash flow during the year

Example: Compute the Payback Period (PB) given a required return of 12% and the following net cash
flows:
Year NCFt Cumulative NCF
0 ($20,000)
1 $6,000 $6,000
2 $7,000 $13,000
3 $8,000 $21,000
4 $5,000
5 $4,000

Therefore, payback occurs between two and three years:


$20,000 - $13,000 $7,000
PB  2   2  2.875 years Excel Solution (in class)
$8,000 $8,000

NCF0
Note: The PB period when the cash flows are in the form of an annuity is calculated as: PB 
NCFn

Year NCFt
0 ($5,000)
1 $2,000
2 $2,000
3 $2,000
4 $2,000

NCF0 $5,000
PB    2.50 years
NCFn $2,000

 There is no economic rationale that links the payback method to shareholder wealth

maximization.

Prepared by Jim Keys 11


 If a firm has a number of projects that are mutually exclusive, the projects are selected in

order of their payback rank: projects with the lowest payback period are selected first.

B. How the Payback Period Performs

 The payback period analysis can lead to erroneous decisions because the rule does not

consider cash flows after the payback period.

 A rapid payback does not necessarily mean a good investment. See Exhibit 10.6—

Projects D and E.

C. The Discounted Payback Period

 One weakness of the ordinary payback period is that it does not take into account the

time value of money.

 The discounted payback period calculation calls for the future cash flows to be

discounted by the firm’s cost of capital.

 The major advantage of the discounted payback is that it tells management how long it

takes a project to reach a positive NPV.

 However, this method still ignores all cash flows after the arbitrary cutoff period, which

is a major flaw.

Example - Compute the Discounted Payback Period (DPB) given a required return of 12% and the
following net cash flows:

Year NCFt PVNCFt @12% Cumulative NCF


0 ($20,000)

Prepared by Jim Keys 12


1 $6,000 $5,357.14 $5,357.14
2 $7,000 $5,580.36 $10,937.50
3 $8,000 $5,694.24 $16,631.74
4 $5,000 $3,177.59 $19,809.33
5 $4,000 $2,269.71 $22,079.04

$20,000 - $19,809.33 $190.67


DPB  4   4  4.084 years
$2,269.71 $2,269.71

D. Evaluating the Payback Rule

 The standard payback period is widely used in business.

 It provides a simple measure of an investment’s liquidity risk.

 The greatest advantage of the payback period is its simplicity.

 It ignores the time value of money.

 It does not adjust or account for differences in the overall, or total, risk for a project,

which could include operating, financing, and foreign exchange risk.

 The biggest weakness of either the standard or discounted payback methods is their

failure to consider cash flows after the payback.

 The following table summarizes this capital budgeting technique.

While the payback period is widely used in practice, it is rarely the primary decision criterion. As
William Baumol pointed out in the early 1960s, the payback rule serves as a crude “risk screening”
device – the longer cash is tied up, the greater the likelihood that it will not be returned. The payback
period may be helpful when comparing mutually exclusive projects. Given two similar projects with
different paybacks, the project with the shorter payback is often, but not always, the better project.

 Redeeming Qualities of the Rule

Despite its shortcomings, the payback period rule is often used by large and sophisticated companies
when they are making relatively minor decisions. There are several reasons for this. The primary reason
is that many decisions simply do not warrant detailed analysis because the cost of the analysis would
exceed the possible loss from a mistake. As a practical matter, an investment that pays back rapidly and
has benefits extending beyond the cutoff period probably has a positive NPV.

In addition to its simplicity, the payback rule has two other positive features. First, because it is biased
towards short-term projects, it is biased towards liquidity. In other words, a payback rule tends to

Prepared by Jim Keys 13


favor investments that free up cash for other uses more quickly. This could be very important for a
small business; it would be less so for a large corporation. Second, the cash flows that are expected to
occur later in a project's life are probably more uncertain. Arguably, a payback period rule adjusts for
the extra riskiness of later cash flows, but it does so in a rather draconian fashion—by ignoring them
altogether.

Summary of Payback Method


Decision Rule: Payback period ≤ Payback cutoff point ] Accept the project.

Payback period > Payback cutoff point ] Reject the project.


Key Advantages Key Disadvantages
1. Easy to calculate and understand for 1. Most common version does not account

people without strong finance for time value of money.

backgrounds. 2. Does not consider cash flows past the

2. A simple measure of a project’s payback period

liquidity. 3. Bias against long-term projects such as

research and development and new

product launches.

4. Arbitrary cutoff point.

10.4 The Accounting Rate of Return

 It is sometimes called the book rate of return.

 This method computes the return on a capital project using accounting numbers—the

project’s net income (NI) and book value (BV) rather than cash flow data.

 The most common definition is the one given in Equation 10.3:

Average NI
ARR 
Average BV

Prepared by Jim Keys 14


Average net income = [$100,000 + 150,000 + 50,000 + 0 + (−50,000)]/5= $50,000

 It has a number of major flaws as a tool for evaluating capital expenditure decisions.

 First, the ARR is not a true rate of return. ARR simply gives us a number based on

average figures from the income statement and balance sheet. Since it involves

accounting figures rather than cash flows, it is not comparable to returns in capital

markets.

 It ignores the time value of money.

 There is no economic rationale that links a particular acceptance criterion to the goal of

maximizing shareholders’ wealth.

10.5 Internal Rate of Return

 The IRR is an important and legitimate alternative to the NPV method.

Prepared by Jim Keys 15


 The NPV and IRR techniques are similar in that both depend on discounting the cash flows

from a project.

 When we use the IRR, we are looking for the rate of return associated with a project so we

can determine whether this rate is higher or lower than the firm’s cost of capital.

 The IRR is the discount rate that makes the NPV to equal zero.

n
NCFt
NPV    0,
t 0 (1  IRR) t

A. Calculating the IRR

 The IRR is an expected rate of return, much like the yield to maturity calculation that

was made on bonds.

 We will need to apply the same trial-and-error method to compute the IRR.

Example - Compute the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) given a required return of 12% and the following
cash flows:

Year CFt
0 ($20,000)
1 $6,000
2 $7,000
3 $8,000
4 $5,000
5 $4,000

o Set the NPV equation equal to zero and solve for the IRR:

 20,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 5,000 4,000


NPV  0      
(1  IRR) 0
(1  IRR) (1  IRR)
1 2
(1  IRR) (1  IRR)
3 4
(1  IRR)5

o At this point, unless you are using a financial calculator or spreadsheet, solving for
the IRR is a trial and error process. That is, we would “plug” in different estimates
for the IRR, work through the calculations, and determine if we have found the rate
that causes NPV to equal $0. We have already computed the NPV of this project at a
12% discount rate and found the NPV to be positive. In addition, we computed the
NPV of the project at a discount rate of 17% and found NPV to be negative.

Prepared by Jim Keys 16


Therefore, we know that the IRR lies somewhere between 12% and 17% (in fact, we
can see that the IRR is much closer to 17%).

o Using a financial calculator, we find the IRR = 16.3757%.

o Since the IRR > k (16.38% > 12%), the project should be accepted.

Excel Solution (in class)

Calculator Solution (in class)

Note: The calculation of the project’s IRR does not depend upon the required rate of return. The IRR is
compared to the required rate of return to determine whether to accept or reject the project. Also, if a
project’s NPV is positive, its IRR will exceed the required rate of return. If a project’s NPV is negative,
its IRR will be below the required rate of return.

Special cases (IRR)


(1/n)
 NCFn 
 “Lump Sum” case: IRR     1
 NCF0 

Prepared by Jim Keys 17


Year NCFt
0 ($750,000)
1 0
2 0
3 0
4 $1,350,000
(1/4)
 $1,350,000 
 1  1.80
(.25)
IRR     1  .15829  15.83%
 $750,000 

 “Annuity” case: Use the PVIFA tables to estimate the IRR

Year NCFt
0 ($32,000)
1 $14,000
2 $14,000
3 $14,000
4 $14,000

NPV = 0 = $14,000(PVIFA 4, IRR) - $32,000

(PVIFA 4, IRR) = $32,000 / $14,000 = 2.285714

Looking down the period column to four periods, we then move to the right to find the interest rate that
corresponds to the PVIFA of 2.285714. This occurs somewhere between 24% and 28%. With a
financial calculator, we find the exact IRR to be 26.86%.
.

B. When the IRR and NPV Methods Agree

 The two methods will always agree when the projects are independent and the projects’

cash flows are conventional.

 After the initial investment is made (cash outflow), all the cash flows in each future year

are positive (inflows).

Prepared by Jim Keys 18


Net Present Value Profile
Graphical representation of the relationship between a project’s NPVs and various discount rates:

Discount 0% 5% 10% 13% 14% 15% 20%


Rate

Prepared by Jim Keys 19


NPV $20.0 $11.56 $4.13 $0.09 -$1.20 -$2.46 -$8.33
0

The point at which the project’s NPV profile intersects with the x-axis is by definition the project’s
IRR, since the NPV at this point is equal to $0.

C. When the IRR and NPV Methods Disagree

 The IRR and NPV methods can produce different accept/reject decisions if a project

either has unconventional cash flows or the projects are mutually exclusive.

1. Unconventional Cash Flows

 Unconventional cash flows could follow several different patterns.

 A positive initial cash flow followed by negative future cash flows.

 Future cash flows from a project could include both positive and negative cash

flows.

 A cash flow stream that looks similar to a conventional cash flow stream except

for a final negative cash flow.

Prepared by Jim Keys 20


 In these circumstances, the IRR technique can provide more than one solution. This

makes the result unreliable and should not be used in deciding about accepting or

rejecting a project.

2. Mutually Exclusive Projects

 When you are comparing two mutually exclusive projects, the NPVs of the two

projects will equal each other at a certain discount rate. This point at which the NPVs

intersect is called the crossover point. Depending on whether the required rate of

return is above or below this crossover point, the ranking of the projects will be

Prepared by Jim Keys 21


different. While it is easy to identify the superior project based on the NPV, one

cannot do so based on the IRR. Thus, ranking conflicts can arise.

 A second situation arises when you compare projects with different costs. While IRR

gives you a return based on the dollar invested, it does not recognize the difference in

the size of the investments. NPV does!

Prepared by Jim Keys 22


Example - Calculation of crossover point:

Expected after-
tax net cash
  flows (NCFt)    
    Cash flow
Year (t) Project S Project L differential
0 ($100) ($100) 0
1 50 20 30
2 40 30 10
3 30 50 (20)
4 30 65 (35)

IRR = Crossover rate = 14.2978%

Mutually Exclusive Investments   Even if there is a single IRR, another problem can arise concerning mutually
exclusive investment decisions, a If two investments, X and Y, are mutually exclusive, then taking one of them
means that we cannot take the other. Given two or more mutually exclusive investments, which one is the best?

Investment NPV IRR PB


A $10,000 22% 2.50 years
B $11,000 20% 7.00 years
C $8,000 24% 3.00 years
.

D. Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)

 A major weakness of the IRR compared to the NPV method is the reinvestment rate

assumption.

 IRR assumes that the cash flows from the project are reinvested at the IRR, while the

NPV assumes that they are invested at the firm’s cost of capital.

 This optimistic assumption in the IRR method leads to some projects being accepted

when they should not be.

Prepared by Jim Keys 23


 An alternative technique is the modified internal rate of return (MIRR). Here, each

operating cash flow is reinvested at the firm’s cost of capital.

 The compounded values are summed up to get the project’s terminal value.

 The MIRR is the interest rate that equates the project’s cost to the terminal value at the

end of the project.

 Equation 10.5 shows how to calculate the MIRR.

Modified Internal Rate of Return

1) Using the required rate of return as the compounding rate, find the terminal value (future value) of all
of the net cash inflows (positive net cash flows) at the end of the project life.

2) Using the required rate of return as the discounting rate, find the present value at t = 0 of all of the net
cash outflows (negative net cash flows).

3) Compute the MIRR.


(1/n)
 TVinflows 
MIRR    1 ,
 PVoutflows 

Where n is equal to the life of the project.

Example - Compute the Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR) given a required return of 12% and
the following net cash flows:

Year NCFt
0 ($20,000)
1 $6,000
2 $7,000
3 $8,000
4 $5,000
5 $4,000

1) TVinflows = $6,000(1.12)4 + $7,000(1.12)3 + $8,000(1.12)2 + $5,000(1.12)1 + $4,000(1.12)0

TVinflows = $9,441.12 + $9,834.50 + $10,035.20 + $5,600.00 + $4,000.00 = $38,910.82

2) PVoutflows = $20,000

Prepared by Jim Keys 24


(1/n) (1/5)
 TV inflows   $38,910.82 
 1  1.945541
(.20)
3) MIRR    1     1  .14238  14.24%
 PVoutflows   $20,000 

Excel Solution (in class)

MIRR example with positive and negative cash flows:


Safeway estimates that its required rate of return is 6 percent. The company is considering two mutually
exclusive projects whose after-tax cash flows are as follows:

Year Project S Project L


0 ($1,255) ($1,060)
1 625 (470)
2 905 905
3 930 780
4 (245) 920

For Project S:

TVinflows = $625(1.06)3 + $905(1.06)2 + $930(1.06)1 = $744.39 + $1,016.86 + $985.80 = $2,747.05

PVoutflows = $1,255 + $245(1.06)-4 = $1,255 + $194.06 = $1,449.06

MIRRS = ($2,747.05 / $1,449.06)1/4 – 1.0 = 17.34%

For Project L:

TVinflows = $905(1.06)2 + $780(1.06)1 + $920(1.06)0 = $1,016.86 + $826.80 + $920 = $2,763.66

PVoutflows = $1,060 + $470(1.06)-1 = $1,060 + $443.40 = $1,503.40

MIRRL = ($2,763.66 / $1,503.40)1/4 – 1.0 = 16.44%

Since these projects are mutually exclusive, we would choose Project S.

Prepared by Jim Keys 25


E. IRR versus NPV: A Final Comment

 While the IRR has an intuitive appeal to managers because the output is in the form of a

return, the technique has some critical problems.

 On the other hand, decisions made based on the project’s NPV are consistent with the

goal of shareholder wealth maximization. In addition, the result shows management the

dollar amount by which each project is expected to increase the value of the firm.

 For these reasons, the NPV method should be used to make capital budgeting decisions.

 The following table summarizes the IRR decision-making criteria.

Review of Internal Rate of Return (IRR)


Decision Rule: IRR > Cost of capital ] Accept the project.
IRR < Cost of capital ] Reject the project.
Key Advantages Key Disadvantages
1. Intuitively easy to understand. 1. With nonconventional cash flows, IRR
2. Based on the discounted cash flow approach can yield no or multiple answers.
technique. 2. A lower IRR can be better if a cash inflow is
followed by cash outflows.
3. With mutually exclusive projects, IRR can
lead to incorrect investment decisions.

The Profitability Index - present value of the future cash flows divided by the initial investment (both

Prepared by Jim Keys 26


numerator and denominator are positive). This definition assumes no negative cash flows after year
zero. Technically, PI = PV of inflows / PV of outflows, thus a nonconventional project’s PI will have a
PV in the numerator and the denominator.

 PVinflows 
PI   
 PVoutflows 

Decision rule
An investment should be accepted if the PI > 1.0 and rejected if the PI < 1.0.

Example - Compute the Profitability Index (PI) given a required return of 12% and the following net
cash flows:

Year CFt
0 ($20,000)
1 $6,000
2 $7,000
3 $8,000
4 $5,000
5 $4,000

6,000 7,000 8,000 5,000 4,000


PVinflows  1
 2
 3
 4
  $22,079.04
(1.12) (1.12) (1.12) (1.12) (1.12) 5

PVoutflows  $20,000

 $22,079.04 
PI     1.104
 $20,000 

Therefore, the project should be accepted since the PI > 1.0.

10.6 Capital Budgeting in Practice

A. Practitioners’ Methods of Choice

Prepared by Jim Keys 27


 Exhibit 10.12 summarizes surveys of practitioners on the capital budgeting methods of

choice.

 In the late 1950s, less than 20 percent of managers used the NPV or IRR methods.

 By 1981, over 65 percent of financial managers surveyed used the IRR, but only 16.5

percent of managers used the NPV.

 In a recent study of Fortune 1000 managers, 85 percent of managers used the NPV while

77 percent used the IRR. Surprisingly, over 50 percent of managers used the payback

method.

B. Ongoing and Postaudit Reviews

 Management should systematically review the status of all ongoing capital projects and

perform postaudits on all completed capital projects.

 In a postaudit review, management compares the actual results of a project with what

was projected in the capital budgeting proposal.

Prepared by Jim Keys 28


 A postaudit examination would determine why the project failed to achieve its

expected financial goals.

 Managers should also conduct ongoing reviews of capital projects in progress.

 The review should challenge the business plan, including the cash flow projections

and the operating cost assumptions.

 Management must also evaluate people responsible for implementing a capital project.

Chapter 10 Sample Problems

Multiple Choice
Identify the choice that best completes the statement or answers the question.

Prepared by Jim Keys 29


1. Net present value: Cortez Art Gallery is adding to its existing buildings at a cost of $2 million. The
gallery expects to bring in additional cash flows of $520,000, $700,000, and $1,000,000 over the next
three years. Given a required rate of return of 10 percent, what is the NPV of this project?

a. $1,802,554
b. $197,446
c. -$1,802,554
d. -$197,446
2. Net present value: Gao Enterprises plans to build a new plant at a cost of $3,250,000. The plant is
expected to generate annual cash flows of $1,225,000 for the next five years. If the firm's required rate
of return is 18 percent, what is the NPV of this project?

a. $2,875,000
b. $3,830,785
c. $580,785
d. $2,1225,875
3. Payback: Binder Corp. has invested in new machinery at a cost of $1,450,000. This investment is
expected to produce cash flows of $640,000, $715,250, $823,330, and $907,125 over the next four
years. What is the payback period for this project?

a. 2.12 years
b. 1.88 years
c. 4.00 years
d. 3.00 years.
4. Discounted payback: Roswell Energy Company is installing new equipment at a cost of $10 million.
Expected cash flows from this project over the next five years will be $1,045,000, $2,550,000,
$4,125,000, $6,326,750, and $7,000,000. The company's discount rate for such projects is 14 percent.
What is the project's discounted payback period?

a. 4.2 years
b. 4.4 years
c. 4.8 years
d. 5.0 years
5. Internal rate of return: Modern Federal Bank is setting up a brand new branch. The cost of the project
will be $1.2 million. The branch will create additional cash flows of $235,000, $412,300, $665,000 and
$875,000 over the next four years. The firm's cost of capital is 12 percent. What is the internal rate of
return on this branch expansion? (Round to the nearest percent.)

a. 20%
b. 23%
c. 25%
d. 27%

Prepared by Jim Keys 30


6. Internal rate of return: Casa Del Sol Property Development Company is refurbishing a 200-unit
condominium complex at a cost of $1,875,000. It expects that this will lead to expected annual cash
flows of $415,350 for the next seven years. What internal rate of return can the firm earn from this
project? (Round to the nearest percent.)

a. 10%
b. 12%
c. 14%
d. 16%
7. Modified internal rate of return: Jamaica Corp. is adding a new assembly line at a cost of $8.5
million. The firm expects the project to generate cash flows of $2 million, $3 million, $4 million, and
$5 million over the next four years. Its cost of capital is 16 percent.
What is the MIRR on this project?

a. 18.6%
b. 19.8%
c. 20.2%
d. 21.4%

Prepared by Jim Keys 31


Chapter 10 Sample Problems
Answer Section

MULTIPLE CHOICE

1. ANS: D
Learning Objective: LO 2
Level of Difficulty: Medium
Feedback: Initial investment = $2,000,000
Length of project = n = 3 years
Required rate of return = k = 10%
Net present value = NPV

2. ANS: C
Learning Objective: LO 2
Level of Difficulty: Medium
Feedback: Initial investment = $3,250,000
Annual cash flows = $1,225,000
Length of project = n = 5 years
Required rate of return = k = 18%
Net present value = NPV

3. ANS: A
Learning Objective: LO 3
Level of Difficulty: Medium
Feedback:
Binder Corp.
Year CF Cumulative CF
0 $(1,450,000) $(1,450,000)
1 640,000 (810,000)
2 715,250 (94,750)
3 823,330 728,580
4 907,125 1,635,705

PB = Years before cost recovery + (Remaining cost to recover/ Cash flow during the year
= 2 + ($94,750 / $823,330)
= 2.12 years
Prepared by Jim Keys 32
4. ANS: A
Learning Objective: LO 3
Level of Difficulty: Medium
Feedback:
Roswell Energy
i = 14%
Cumulative PVCF
Year CF PVCF
0 $(10,000,000) $(10,000,000) $(10,000,000
1 1,045,000 916,667 (9,083,333)
2 2,550,000 1,962,142 (7,121,191)
3 4,125,000 2,784,258 (4,336,934)
4 6,326,750 3,745,944 (590,990)
5 7,000,000 3,635,581 3,044,591

PB = Years before cost recovery + (Remaining cost to recover/ Cash flow during the year
= 4 + ($590,990/ $3,635,581)
= 4.16 years

5. ANS: B
Learning Objective: LO 5
Level of Difficulty: Medium
Feedback: Initial investment = $1,200,000
Length of project = n = 4 years
To determine the IRR, the trial-and-error approach can be used. Set NPV = 0.
Try IRR =23.1%.

The IRR of the project is 23.1 percent. Using a financial calculator, we find that the IRR is 23.119 percent.

6. ANS: B
Learning Objective: LO 5
Level of Difficulty: Medium
Feedback: Initial investment = $1,875,000
Annual cash flows = $415,350
Length of investment = n = 7 years
To determine the IRR, the trial-and-error approach can be used. Set NPV = 0.
Try IRR =12.3%.

Prepared by Jim Keys 33


The IRR of the project is 12.3 percent. Using a financial calculator, we find that the IRR is 12.345 percent.

7. ANS: B
Refer To: Ref 10-3
Learning Objective: LO 5
Level of Difficulty: Medium
Feedback: Initial investment = $8,500,000
Length of investment = n = 4 years
Cost of capital = k = 16%

Prepared by Jim Keys 34

You might also like