THI MN XC SUT THNG K

Thi gian lm bi:120

Cu 1.
a. Tn sut bch tng l 0,6 % vi nam v 0,36% vi n. Tm xc sut trong mt
lng c s nam = s n ta gp c.
1. Trong lng 1 ngi b bnh bch tng.
2. Trong nhm bch tng mt ngi l nam.
b. Sinh i ng trng th cng gii, khc trng th sc xut cng gii bng xc sut
khc gii. Xc sut sinh di ng trng l . Tm xc sut mt cp tr sinh i
cng gii l ng trng.
Cu 2:
a. Thi gian sng ca mt ging ngi l mt bin ngu tun theo quy lut m vi
mt : f ( x) = e x ( > 0, x 0, f ( x) = 0 (x < 0)).
Tm xc sut mt ngi ging y th 60 tui, bit thi gian sng trung bnh ca h
l 40 tui
b. Cho
bin
ngu
X
lin
tc
c
hm
phn
phi
2
F ( x) = 0( x 2); F ( x ) = ax + bx +1( 2 < x 4), F ( x) = 1( x > 4) .
Tnh a,b ri v th F. Tm xc sut sau 6 ln th c lp X (3;4) ng 2 ln.
Cu 3.
xc nh kch thc trung bnh cc chi tit do mt x nghip sn xut ngi ta ly
ngu 200 chi tit v c kt qu:
Kch thc (cm) 52,815 52,825 52,825 52,835 52,835 52,845 52,845 52,855 52,855 52,865
S chi tit
22
35
56
59
28
Vi tin cy 95% hy c lng:
1. Khong tin cy i xng ca
2. Khong tin cy 2 pha ca phng sai cc kch thc chi tit
2
2
Bit cc kch thc y l mt bin chun v 0,975 (30 ) = 47 , 0,025 (30 ) = 16 ,8
Cu 4.
a. nh gi chi ph nguyn liu bnh qun ca hai phng n gia cng mt loi
cng c c khc nhau khng, ngi ta sn xt th c kt qu:
Phng n 1 2. 2. 3. 3.
4
9
4
8
Phng n 2 2, 2, 2, 2, 2,4
1
5
9
3
Vi mc ngha 0,05 hy kt lun vn trn, bit chi ph nguyn liu cho c 2
phng n u chun vi 12 = 22 = 0,15
b. o ngu 25 chi tit do mt my sn xut tnh c s2=1,6. vi mc ngha 0,05
cho bit my c hot ng bnh thng khng, bit kch thc chi tit l mt bin
2
2
2
chun c dung sai thit k 0 = 12 ; 0, 025 (24 ) = 12 ,4; 0,975 (24 ) = 39 ,4

 THI MN XC SUT THNG K

Thi gian lm bi:120
Cu 1.
c. Ba thy thuc c xc sut chn bnh ng l 0,8:0,9:0,7.Tm xc sut sau khi
chn bnh c 1 v ch 1 kt qu ng th l ca ngi th 3.
d. Anh c 5% cha mt en khi con mt en v tng t 7,9% cha en-con xanh,
8,9% cha xanh con en, 78,2% cha xanh-con xanh. Tm xc sut :
1. Cha xanh th con xanh
2. cha en m con khng en.
Cu 2:
c. T l ngi b dch mt vng hng nm (theo n v %l mt bin ngu nhin
X c mt : f ( x ) =1 / 20 (15 x 35 ); f(x) = 0 (x < 15 x > 35).
M
X
, DX , P ( X 20 >5)
Tm
d. Mt bu trm truyn tin trong 10-5s, s tn hiu n ngn trung bnh l 10 -4 trong
1s . Trong thi gian truyn tin, nu c tn hiu n th trm ngng vic. tm xc
sut vic truyn tin gin on, bit s ting n vo my trong thi gian truyn
tin c phn phi Poisson.
Cu 3.
xc nh chiu cao ca sinh vin mt trng , ngi ta ly mu:
Chiu cao
150 - 154
154 - 158
158 - 162
162 - 166
166 170
S ngi
20
34
22
19
9
Vi tin cy 95% hy c lng:
3. Khong tin cy i xng ca bnh qun chiu cao sinh vin.
4. Khong tin cy 2 pha ca phng sai chiu cao sinh vin
2
2
Bit chiu cao sinh vin c phn phi chun v 0,975 (30 ) = 47 , 0,025 (30 ) = 16 ,8
Cu 4.
c. Trong iu kin bnh thng thi gian sng ca mt nguyn t mt loi nguyn t
l X N (2200 s 24 s 2 ) . Ng iu kin bo quan rlm gim tui th ca chng,
ngi ta ch to 18 nguyn t trong iu kin y v thy tui th bnh qun l
1999s. Vi mc ngha = 0,001 hy gii p nghi vn y, bit u0,99=2,326.
d. 2 loi c nng sut bnh qun xp x, nhng mc phn tn nng sut c th
khc nhau. S liu thu hoch 41 im trng u loi I v 30 im trng u loi II
c cc phng sai iu chnh mu tng ng l 9,35 T/ha v 7,42 T/ha. Vi mc
ngha = 0,001 hy kt lun vn trn bit nng sut hai loi l chun v
f 0 , 025 ( 40 ,29 ) =1,19 ; f 0 , 975 ( 40 ,29 ) = 2,028

 THI MN XC SUT THNG K

Thi gian lm bi:120
Cu 1.
e. Tnh xc sut 12 ngi chn ngu nhin c ngy sinh ri vo 12 thng khc
nhau.
f. Thng k cc cp v chng mt vung cho thy:30% cc b v thng xem ti vi,
50% cc ng chng thng xem ti vi, xong nu v xem ti vi th 60% chng
xem cng. Ly ngu nhin mt cp v chng tm xc sut :
1. C t nht 1 ngi xem ti vi.
2. Nu chng khng xem th v vn xem.
Cu 2:
Chiu di mt loi sn phm l bin lng ngu vi chiu di trung bnh l 21cm, lch
tiu chun l 2cm. tm t l ph phm, bit sn phm c s dng nu c di t 18 cm n
23cm. Hu ht cc sn phm lm ra c di thuc khong no.
Cu 3.(7.72, 7.79, 7.80)
iu tra mc chi tiu hng nm ca 100 cng nhn mt cng ty thu c s liu sau:
Mc chi tiu (triu ng/nm) 15, 16, 16, 16, 17, 17, 18,0
S h gia nh

10

14

26

28

12

a. Vi tin cy 95% hy c lng: s cng nhn ca cng ty c mc chi tiu

hng nm di 16 triu ng, bit cng ty c 1000 cng nhn
b. Nu nm trc mc chi tiu trung bnh mi cng nhn l 16 triu ng/ nm th
vi mc ngha 0,05 c th cho tng mc chi tiu ca mi cng nhn nm nay
cao hn nm trc khng? Gi thit mc chi tiu ni trn c phn phi chun
Cu 4.
Xt 2 phng n u t . Bit t l li nhun l bin lng ngu phn phi chun vi k
vng v lch tiu chun c cho bi bng sau. Ta s u t nu t l li nhun ti
thiu 10% v s u t vo phng n no c kh nng p ng yu cu ny cao hn ;
Vy nn u t vo phng n no?
ri ro (o bng phng sai ) l nh nht nn u t vo c 2 phng n A v B theo t
l no?
Phng n A
Phng n B
Cho bit:

K vng ton (%) lch chun (%)

10,5
1,5
11
2,5

(0,33 ) = 0,1293 ; u 0, 975 =1,96 ; (0,1666 ) = 0,0636

(0,01 ) = 0,0160 ; u 0,95 =1,645 ; (0,1111 ) = 0,0438
0
(
) = (
)

 THI MN XC SUT THNG K

Thi gian lm bi:120
Cu 1.
g. Gieo n con xc sc i xng v ng cht. tm xc st c tng s chm l
n+1.
h. Trung bnh trong 3 thng cui nm dng lch ma ln 5 ln.Tm xc sut
khng c ngy no ma ln qu 1 ln.
Cu 2:
C 2 l sn phm: l I gm 6 chnh phm v 4 ph phm, l II c 7 chnh phm v 3 ph
phm. Ly ngu 2 sn phm t l I b vo l II; t l II ly ngu ra 2 sn phm.
a. Tm xc sut ly c 2 chnh phm.
b. Gi s ly c 2 chnh phm. Tm xc sut l 2 sn phm ca l I.
Cu 3. Bin lng ngu X c hm mt xc sut:
k
f ( x) = x
(- < x < +)
e + e x
a.Tm k.
b.
Cu 4.
c lng tui th trung bnh ca mt loi bng n, ngi ta kim tra ngu 16 bng
v tnh c tui th trung bnh ca chng l X =1200 gi vi lch tiu chun mu
iu chnh 26,094 gi. Hy c lng tui th trung bnh ca bng n bng khong tin
cy i xng vi h s tin cy 0,95.; gi thit tui th ca bng n l bin lng ngu
tun chun. Phi chn kch thc mu ti thiu n bng bao nhiu vi tin cy 95%,
sai lch ca c lng tui th trung bnh loi bng n ny khng vt qu 20 gi.
Cu 5:
Mt thanh b ngu nhin thnh 3 on. Tnh xc sut t 3 on ny ghp c thnh
tam gic.