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Table of Contents
5.3.3 Education ..................................................................................... 5-4 5.3.4 Collection Vehicles...................................................................... 5-4 5.3.5 Collection Operations .................................................................. 5-5 5.3.6 Pay-As-You-Throw ..................................................................... 5-7 5.3.7 Pilot Program Coordination......................................................... 5-9 Implementation Schedule ........................................................................ 5-9 Recycling ............................................................................................... 5-10 Collection Operations Data Management.............................................. 5-11 Pilot Program Survey............................................................................. 5-12
This report has been prepared for the use of the client for the specific purposes identified in the report. The conclusions, observations and recommendations contained herein attributed to R. W. Beck, Inc. (R. W. Beck) constitute the opinions of R. W. Beck. To the extent that statements, information and opinions provided by the client or others have been used in the preparation of this report, R. W. Beck has relied upon the same to be accurate, and for which no assurances are intended and no representations or warranties are made. R. W. Beck makes no certification and gives no assurances except as explicitly set forth in this report. Copyright 2008, R. W. Beck, Inc. All rights reserved.
ii R. W. Beck
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R. W. Beck iii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The City of Clevelands Solid Waste Division (the City) retained R. W. Beck, Inc. (R. W. Beck) to perform an evaluation of the productivity gains, financial impacts, City staff perception and feedback, and implementation challenges related to the extension of their existing solid waste collection Pilot Program (the Pilot Program) to an additional 30,000 households. The City is currently running its Pilot Program in three regions the Carr Center, the Glenville Center, and the Ridge Road Center. In each region, there are both SemiAutomated and Fully-Automated service areas (the alternative scenarios), which take advantage of either retrofitted rear-load vehicles or fully automated ASL trucks to complete collection. As part of this Pilot Program, the City collects detailed daily log information and statistics on key productivity metrics for each region, and for each service area. The City is currently considering an expansion of the current program to additional households, and eventual full implementation of the most holistically attractive alternative collection scenario, which would completely replace rear-load manual collection (the Baseline system) within an estimated 2-year timeframe. In order to perform the review of productivity metrics and evaluation of the collection system alternatives, multiple objectives were pursued, which included: In-depth review and comparison of field metrics gathered for the Baseline system by R. W. Beck in March of 2007 against detailed daily log data provided by the City for each Pilot region, with an emphasis on maximizing the comparability of the two data sets, Modeling of the labor, vehicle, and cost savings/increase (the delta) to both the Solid Waste Division and the City in aggregate of both alternative scenarios (focusing on residential refuse), leveraging data from the productivity metrics review as well as supplemental capital cost, salary and benefits, and operation and maintenance costs provided by the City; R. W. Becks proprietary route model and associated system average assumptions were used to buttress existing information and maximize the representative nature of the models, Facilitation of several focus groups, interviews, and one half-day ride along with City crews to acquire valuable qualitative feedback from internal staff on existing challenges and proposed solutions, and to obtain first-hand observations regarding current program challenges, and Summarization of the expected set-out policy, enforcement, education, vehicle choices, and logistical and operational challenges likely to be faced as the Pilot Program expands, with recommendations on an integrated approach for achieving an efficient transition to the preferred alternative scenario. The key findings of this effort are summarized below. The remaining sections of this report focus on the individual objectives summarized above, and provide more detail regarding each facet of the analysis.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Key Findings
Both the Semi-Automated and Fully-Automated Pilot regions have seen improvements in productivity and uncontainerized set-out percentages as compared to the existing Baseline scenario. Unproductive times across these regions are at an above average level of efficiency. Due to the increased capacity of the ASL trucks utilized in the program, and because the Pilot regions are not servicing as many households, loads per day have also declined considerably in the Pilot regions. These improvements are strong indicators that considerable savings can be actualized under full implementation of either the Semi-automated or Fullyautomated collection scenario. The graphic below summarizes the estimated cost savings impact of both alternative residential refuse scenarios as compared to the estimated cost per customer under the Baseline system for the same cost components. The savings shown reflect the net impact to both the Capital Budget (cost increases related to retrofitting existing vehicles or procuring new vehicles, and cart capital costs) and the General Fund (the net cost savings related to staffing adjustments, vehicle O&M costs and cart replacement costs under the alternative scenarios).
Comparison of Operational Costs per Customer Baseline and Alternative Scenarios
$49.00 $47.00 $45.00 $43.00
$47.38
$41.25
$41.00 $39.00 $37.00 $35.00 Baseline Semi Auto
$39.72
It is important to note that the graphic above represents the comparison of the net cost impacts to both the General Fund and Capital Budget as compared to the estimated operational cost of the Baseline system for only those cost components examined as part of this analysis, and that the savings assume a City customer base of 186,000 units served. This chart does not reflect an all-in cost savings estimate. Based on the results of the proprietary route modeling performed for the City and summarized in the graphic above,
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Within the context of the City in total, the results of the modeling process indicate that the Semi-automated scenario will save the City an estimated $1.14 million ($6.13 per customer) over the Baseline system on an annual basis. Full implementation of the Automated scenario is estimated to result in a cost savings of about $1.4 million annually, or about $7.66 per customer. The delta between the Automated scenario and the Semi-automated scenario is an estimated $285,000, which is the net difference in cost impact to the City (a cost savings in favor of the Automated alternative in this case) when the scenarios are considered in isolation, and With respect to the net impacts to the Solid Waste Divisions General Fund (i.e., excluding all capital cost impacts related to procurement of vehicles and carts), the results of the modeling process indicate that the Semi-automated scenario will save the City an estimated $2.2 million ($12.06 per customer) over the Baseline system on an annual basis. Full implementation of the Automated scenario is estimated to result in a cost savings of about $4.3 million annually, or about $23.30 per customer. The delta between the Automated scenario and the Semi-automated scenario is an estimated $2.1 million, which is the net difference in cost impact to the City (a cost savings in favor of the Automated alternative in this case) when the scenarios are considered in isolation. Because the cost burden of vehicle and cart capital is reported to be only an indirect cost consideration for the Solid Waste Division, the net savings impact to the Division for the Automated scenario increases significantly when capital costs are excluded from the analysis, as the fundamental cost burden associated with this scenario resides with financing costs for new vehicles and carts. Despite some challenges and areas for potential improvement cited by City staff, the vast majority of the current operations staff supports the direction that the City is heading with respect to alternative collection methods. A few key field issues observed by R. W. Beck, most notably the relatively high level of contamination in the recycling set-outs, should be addressed through incentives and enforcement. Extension of the Pilot program is a logical next step for the City. The City should actively engage in the development and maintenance of an integrated approach to program development, which gives consideration to the following key program components: Set-out policies that align with system goals, Proper support of crew by enforcing policies and limitations of the new program, Proactive and strategically-targeted education materials to enhance public awareness of program advantages and guidelines, Consideration of automated collection vehicles or other vehicle alternatives as based on the financial analysis conducted in Section 3,
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R. W. Beck ES-3
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Planning of collection operations to maximize the number of homes serviced by automated collection vehicles, as well as minimizing the number of trips made to service each customer, Conduction of a program survey from Pilot program participants to obtain valuable customer feedback on program perceptions and challenges from a customer perspective, and Development and maintenance of a customized set of data management templates that target the highest priority system metrics for continual tracking, which may be ultimately supported by a dedicated data management staff member. Supportive analysis and further detailed discussion related to all of these components can be found in the body of this report.
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Section 1 INTRODUCTION
The City of Cleveland (City) Solid Waste Division provides weekly waste collection services to approximately 186,000 households. The division has traditionally collected municipal solid waste (MSW) using rear-load collection vehicles with helpers riding on the back of the vehicle. The Division was interested in exploring options to improve the operational and financial efficiency of the collection operations. Additionally, the Division was interested in implementing a curbside recycling program that could recover more material than the existing drop-off facilities. In March 2007, R. W. Beck conducted preliminary benchmarking of the Citys existing collection operations. This included collecting detailed data on collection routes distributed across the Citys collection areas and conducting focus groups with collections personnel. After the results of that study were presented to the Division, the City decided to proceed with a pilot program of Automated and Semi-automated collection of MSW and recyclables. In October 2007, the Division implemented a Pilot Program in fifteen 1,000-household routes distributed throughout the Divisions collection jurisdiction. The pilot collection areas were evenly serviced by the Carr, Glenville, and Ridge Road Centers. Each route was collected by Fully-automated and Semi-automated vehicles which collected MSW from approximately 700 and 300 households, respectively. Additionally, Automated or Semi-automated recycling vehicles collected recyclable materials from all 1,000 households on the route. The Division next desired to evaluate the Pilot Program and determine if it makes sense to expand the program to an additional 30,000 households. The Division wanted to analyze the Pilot Program in terms of operational statistics, and also in terms of how those metrics translate into operational costs. Additionally, the Division wanted a high-level assessment of the overall collection operations, as well as some assistance developing community education materials related to the MSW collection and recycling programs. This report provides the evaluation of the Pilot Program and how it compares operationally and financially to the operations that were benchmarked in March 2007, as well as recommendations for program expansion.
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Section 2
Loads per day per route, as with average tons per load, is a measure of both the appropriateness of vehicle capacity and whether the length of a route is too long or short. These variables also serve as primary inputs into a more comprehensive analysis of routing requirements and associated financial implications for refuse collection as modeled and detailed in Section 3.
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[1] Route time per stop and associated productivity metrics have been measured relative to actual stops serviced for a crosssection of time in each Pilot region. The metric shown herein represents the total demands (or houses) available for servicing in each region. Recycling households shown reflect serviced units.
[1] Route time per stop and associated productivity metrics have been measured relative to actual stops serviced for a crosssection of time in each Pilot region. The metric shown herein represents the total demands (or houses) available for servicing in each region. Recycling households shown reflect serviced units.
The Glenville Center is reported by the City to have been participating in more handson training and this may in part explain the higher average route times in this region as compared to the other regions.
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R. W. Beck 2-3
Section 2
[1] Route time per stop and associated productivity metrics have been measured relative to actual stops serviced for a crosssection of time in each Pilot region. The metric shown herein represents the total demands (or houses) available for servicing in each region. Recycling households shown reflect serviced units.
These inputs were utilized to compare the March 2007 metrics against the average conditions at each of the Pilot regions. The table below summarizes this evaluation. Information regarding Bulk collection was relatively limited across the Pilot Regions. This does not materially impact the modeling and cost evaluation of collection system alternatives, because the modeling and cost evaluation focused on refuse collection. Table 2-4 Summary of Key Operational and Performance Metrics
Baseline March 2007 Customer Metrics Set-out rate [1] Percent of set-outs with uncontained material [2] Households per route [2] Average pounds per set-out [2] Productivity Metrics Productive seconds per stop [3] Unproductive minutes per route [3] Average tons per load [4] Loads per day per route [4] 51.1 9.0 9.6 1.5 44.8 7.9 8.7 1.1 49.8 8.8 7.6 1.1 24.8 4.4 2.7 1.0 n/a n/a 1.2 1.1 80% 43% 526 66.5 82.9% 14.3% 645 58.2 64.4% 7.6% 345 29.2 30.5% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a All Pilot Regions Average Auto Semi Rec. Bulk
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2.3 Findings
The following represents the key findings of this phase of the analysis. As the City reviews these findings, it is important to keep in mind the distinction between a service region (a part of the City) and a service area (which corresponds to a particular type of collection system being Pilot tested).
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R. W. Beck 2-5
Section 2
Set-out rates and pounds per set-out in the Semi-automated service areas are considerably lower than both the Baseline and the Automated service areas. This may be due to the specific demographic makeup of the areas in which these services are being Pilot tested. R. W. Beck has adjusted these empirical findings upward for purposes of Section 3 modeling, in an effort to better align them with average expectations. Notwithstanding this finding, both the Automated and Semi-automated service areas appear to be performing either better or comparably to the Baseline system. Productivity data is more directly comparable to the Baseline data, and appears to point to an improvement overall, in terms of productive seconds per stop and unproductive minutes per route (which are down on average for the Automated and Semi-automated service areas primarily because the average route times are down). This is due for the most part to apparent improvements in the Automated service areas as opposed to the Semi-Automated service areas, which actually performed worse in one region and nearly identical to the Baseline overall. The City is operating well above average with respect to non-productive time spent on routes. The City reports that drivers and collectors are executing their duties with essentially no time allotted for breaks. Benchmark communities in prior studies have shown non-productive times upwards of 20 minutes, and City staff should be recognized for their efficiency in this regard. Loads per day per route appear to be down across the board. This may be due to the fact that the size and structure of the Pilot routes have been more recently designed when compared to the 2007 observations. In addition, the more current estimate of loads per day represents an annual average, whereas the 2007 data reflects solely the month of March. Consequently, a small amount of seasonal variation may also be driving this difference. An examination of March 2008 data reveals an average for this metric that is much closer to the 2008 annual average than to the 2007 average. Both the Automated and Semi-automated service areas have seen a significant reduction in the amount of uncontained material. This decrease has apparently had a greater impact on improvements in productivity metrics in the Automated service areas as compared to the Semi-Automated service areas. This is a key metric to monitor that directly impacts the efficiency of the waste collection system. Productive Seconds per Stop decreased by approximately twelve percent when comparing the Automated to the Baseline observations. This equates to approximately six seconds per household on average, and when extrapolated to the entire City, as shown in Section 3, could generate substantial savings in terms of capital expenditures for vehicles, as well as direct labor costs. Both Average tons per load and Average loads per day per route decreased for the Automated route when compared to the Baseline observations. The Automated collection vehicles have a capacity of 33 cubic yards compared to the 25 cubic yard capacity of the rear loader collection vehicles. This partially explains why the loads per day decreased, but the decrease in Average tons per load is a strong
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R. W. Beck 2-7
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Section 3
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Because the City is already Pilot testing the various collection scenarios, key productivity metrics are far less abstract and much more concrete, in that they reflect current operations as summarized in the Citys route logs. It has been assumed that these metrics will remain essentially unchanged once the system expands (i.e., learning curve impacts have not been modeled).
$47.38
$41.25
$41.00 $39.00 $37.00 $35.00 Baseline Semi Auto
$39.72
It is important to note that the graphic above represents the comparison of the net cost impacts to both the General Fund and Capital Budget as compared to the estimated operational cost of the Baseline system for only those cost components examined as part of this analysis, and that the savings assume a City customer base of 186,000 units served. This chart does not reflect an all-in cost savings estimate.
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Section 3
The Conclusion subsection will present the ultimate cost comparison of the Automated and Semi-automated collection alternatives, and the remainder of this section will build up the set of calculations and associated cost implications of the factors that lead to the savings shown in the graphic above, taking care to distinguish between the net savings impact (as shown above to incorporate both the General Fund and the Capital Budget) as well as the impact of each respective fund individually. As the City reviews these results, it is important to note that while the Pilot Program was conducted in fifteen 1,000 household areas, the Model has been constructed to examine the full implementation cost impacts of each alternative To the extent an alternative is extended to more areas gradually, the resultant cost impacts would be equally gradual. Modeling the entire system provides the advantages of (i) utilizing true system tonnage quantities and customer counts, thereby preserving the relationship between these measures without ad hoc assumptions and ii) testing each collection alternative in its ultimate form to gain an understanding of the outcomes at a true planning level. Table 3-1 summarizes the key modeling inputs and resultant route count requirements from the proprietary route model.
Table 3-1 Summary of Key Modeling Inputs and Route Model Results
Rear-load Manual Modeling Metrics Customers Served [1] Annual Tons Collected Set-out Rate (%)
[3] [2]
Semi-Automated (1x/wk) 186,000 252,000 80.0% 49.8 8.0/9.0 25 1.1 7,737,600 768 29,760 54
Fully-Automated (1x/wk) 186,000 252,000 80.0% 44.8 8.0/9.0 33 1.1 7,737,600 1,013 29,760 48
(1x/wk) 186,000 252,000 80.0% 51.1 8.0/9.0 25 1.5 7,737,600 768 29,760 55
Seconds Per Stop [4] Sched/Actual Hrs/Day Truck Capacity (CY) [5] Loads/Day/Truck Total Annual Stops Stops to Fill Truck Stops per Day Routes per Day [6]
[1] Based on most recent estimate as provided by the City. [2] Extrapolation based on actual data through May 2008 and monthly data provided by the City for 2007. [3] Based on productivity metrics observed in 2007 and supplemental 2008 data on Pilot Regions. Set-out rates have been cross referenced against system averages. [4] Based on productivity metrics observed in 2007 and supplemental 2008 data on Pilot Regions. [5] Truck capacity differs for automated vehicles, and has a significant impact on cost deltas reported. Refer to the report for further details. [6] Represents the number of routes output by the proprietary route model as being required, given all inputs and relative differences in productivity across service offerings. Frequency of collection is identical and based on desired frequency as reported by the City, so as to provide an "apples to apples" comparison.
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The City estimates a total customer base of 186,000 units, with annual tonnage reaching approximately 252,000 tons. Notice the differential in productivity for the Semi-automated and Automated alternatives as compared to the Baseline, which results in a decline in the amount of routes required in the Semi-automated scenario, and an even greater decline in the amount of routes required for the Automated scenario. The larger ASL truck capacity in the Automated scenario leads to more stops to fill each truck, which impacts the number of required routes when coupled with improvements in productivity over the Baseline system. The Baseline model outcome of 55 routes benchmarks well with information provided by the City regarding the actual number of routes currently running. It is important to note that collection frequencies modeled are based on the Citys reported and desired collection frequency, and that in order for the financial comparisons across scenarios to be relevant, the underlying level of service must be equivalent. Routing requirements have been used to estimate staffing levels, with the assumption that the City will retain one helper in the Semi-automated scenario, and that the ASL drivers will assume sole route responsibility once that system is fully implemented. These requirements are summarized in Table 3-2. Table 3-2 Staffing Requirements by Scenario
Staff Count Scenario Rear-load Manual (1x) Semi-Automated (1x) Fully Automated (1x) Truck Drivers [1] 55 54 48 Staff Collectors [2] 110 54 0 Cart Maint. [3] Total Staff 0 2 2 165 110 50
[1] Based on routes determined to be necessary from route model. [2] Semi-automated scenario assumes requiring only one collector per truck during initial phases of full implementation. [3] Collection cart maintenance staff commensurate with size and scope of the City's current customer base and collection area responsibilities. Additional support from other staff members/departments may be needed initially during the start-up and customer education phase of implementation.
Cost results in this section do not assume a phase-out of Laborers in the Semiautomated scenario. Staffing levels and associated route requirements were then mapped to certain key individual and equipment specific cost assumptions, including Operating and Maintenance (O&M) costs as summarized in Table 3-3 and Table 3-4.
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Section 3
Table 3-3 Salary and Benefits Assumptions
Salary & Benefits Assumptions [1] Annual Salary $37,128 $42,697 $30,514 $30,514 Annual Salary plus Benefits Benefits (%) 37% 37% 37% 37% $50,774 $58,391 $41,729 $41,729
[1] Based on Staff salary data provided by the City, and benefits calculations provided by the City. Annual salary excludes overtime, and assumes a continuous 40-hour work week.
The hourly rates in Table 3-3 have been extracted from salary data provided by the City, and it can be expected that salaries for well-qualified drivers that transition to ASL trucks will be increased relative to rear loader drivers given the increase in overall responsibility associated with such a transition. The City will also likely need to hire cart maintenance/program coordination personnel (or reassign existing staff) in either scenario to assist with the short-term transition as well as the long term care and maintenance of carts. It should be noted that significant changes to the labor rates shown above will materially impact any savings incurred after full implementation of either modeled scenario. This is due to the fact that the preponderance of cost savings associated with both Scenarios centers on considerable reductions in staffing. Table 3-4 Equipment Costs
Equipment Cost Assumptions Vehicle Rear Loader Automated Side Loader Rear Loader (Semi-Auto) Retrofit (Semi-Auto) Pick-up Truck Carts
[2]
O&M Costs (per year) [1] $26,000 $32,500 $27,000 $27,000 $3,400 $1
[1] O&M Cost estimates adjusted from route model assumptions to reflect current fuel cost trends. Includes estimated annual cost of tires, parts and labor for preventative maintenance, and fuel. Fuel costs have essentially doubled relative to the base year fuel cost assumptions in the route model, and O&M costs have been adjusted to reflect more current fuel costs. [2] Retrofit estimate assumes the City can utilize its existing fleet and would fully implement the change over to semi-automated vehicles.
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[1] Represents the estimated net change in staffing as compared to the Baseline manual collection system. Represents full implementation staffing levels.
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Section 3
[1] Based on City provided 2008 customer count of 186,000 customers served. Note that the increase in driver costs in the Automated scenario is related to the fact that ASL drivers have been assumed to be paid a premium salary, and even though the net driver differential is a loss of 7 drivers, there is a slight increase in overall driver costs related to this premium.
Based on other projects conducted by R. W. Beck, it is anticipated that two full-time staff members will be needed, at least initially, to manage complaints, coordinate cart repairs and replacement, report on cart misuse, help collection staff enforce violations, and manage and log cart inventories for the Citys 186,000 customers. Once compliance and system education levels have matured such that participation and violations are mitigated, this position may be able to be filled by one part-time employee. Overall, it is estimated that given current salary levels, the Automated scenario would save the City approximately $4.5 million per year, or $24.18 per customer per year, in labor costs. The Semi-automated scenario would save the City approximately $2.3 million per year, or $12.39 per customer per year in labor costs. Tables 3-7, 3-8, and 3-9 summarize the impact on vehicle quantities for the alternative scenarios, and represent both total and annualized cost estimates of the respective impacts. Annualized capital cost estimates for vehicles assume a straight line depreciation of the asset in question over a life of seven years for rear loaders and six years for ASL trucks. Table 3-7 Vehicle Requirements (Changes to the Number of Vehicles)
Net Gain (Loss) Scenario Semi-Automated (1x) Fully Automated (1x) Rear Loader (1) (55) Automated Side Loader 0 48 Pick-up 2 2 Net Change 1 (5)
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[1] Based on City provided 2008 customer counts of 186,000 customers served. Reduced route counts and costs under the semi-automated collection scenario are offset in part by the retrofit costs for the entire collection fleet. Salvage cost for retired trucks included in costs estimated as a credit to capital cost delta under the Rear Loader column. Capital costs do not directly impact the Solid Waste Division from a cost standpoint. Refer to the Conclusion sub-section for a compartmentalization of cost savings with and without capital costs.
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R. W. Beck 3-9
Section 3
It is important to describe how the two scenarios differ procedurally with respect to capital costs as summarized in Table 3-8: In the Semi-automated scenario, the City bears the cost burden of retrofitting its existing fleet up front, and also invests in pick-up trucks in support of cost maintenance personnel. Alternatively, in the Automated scenario, the City must acquire a significant amount of ASL trucks in addition to pick-up truck costs, which are relatively expensive on a per-unit basis. The Semi-automated scenario would increase the Citys vehicle costs by $52,869 per year ($0.28 per customer), whereas the Automated scenario, which involves a significant up-front investment, would increase vehicle costs by approximately $1.5 million per year ($8.20 per customer). Note again that capital costs do not directly impact the Solid Waste Division from a cost standpoint. Refer to the Conclusion subsection for a compartmentalization of cost savings with and without vehicle and cart capital costs. Additionally, the Citys existing fleet of rear-load vehicles will eventually be depleted and the capital costs associated with acquiring vehicles for a semi-automated system will be more comparable to the capital costs of an automated system. Notice the flow of increases/decreases, as the deltas related to staffing must be combined with the deltas related to vehicles and other cost components to result in the net impact on the system. Table 3-9 Vehicle O&M Cost Impact
O&M Cost Increase (Decrease) Automated Side Loader $0 $1,560,000 Total Change $34,614 $136,800 Total Change per Customer [1] $0.19 $0.74
[1] Based on City provided 2008 customer counts of 186,000 customers served. O&M costs are slightly higher for semi-automated vehicles, and significantly higher for ASL trucks.
O&M costs for ASL trucks are typically higher than rear loader trucks due to the increased cost to repair mechanical equipment. This results in a delta of approximately $137,000 per year, or $0.74 per customer in the Automated scenario, and only a nominal increase in the Semi-automated scenario due to the slightly lower anticipated number of routes. Both of these scenarios involve changes to cost to reflect the investment in carts, as well as the amount of spare vehicles required to be available. Tables 3-10 and 3-11 summarize these impacts.
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[1] There is no assumed cart cost under the Baseline scenario. Consequently, the cart cost impacts shown in Table 2-10 reflect a net increase as a result of newly incurred costs. [2] Based on City provided 2008 customer counts of 186,000 customers served.
Pick-up 0 0
Total Change 0 2
[1] Based on a spare vehicle multiplier of 15% for rear loaders and 20% for ASL trucks.
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Section 3
3.4 Conclusion
Table 3-12 below summarizes and compares the cost increase (savings) of labor, vehicle operation, annualized capital costs, and cart costs for each of the scenarios analyzed, as it relates to the City in total. Table 3-13 summarizes the net impact on the Capital Budget, and Table 3-14 summarizes the net impact on the Solid Waste Divisions General Fund, which excludes the impact of vehicle and cart capital costs from the comparison. It is important to stress again that the savings or increases shown are all relative to the Baseline system and the associated Baseline per customer costs as detailed in the introductory graphic in this section, and are driven from the routing differences modeled and summarized in Tables 3-1 through 3-11. Within the context of the City in total, the results of the modeling process indicate that the Semi-automated scenario will save the City an estimated $1.14 million in operating costs ($6.13 per customer) over the Baseline scenario on an annual basis. Full implementation of the Automated scenario is estimated to result in a cost savings of about $1.4 annually, or about $7.66 per customer. The delta between the Automated scenario and the Semi-automated scenario is an estimated $285,000, which is the net difference in cost impact to the City (a cost savings in favor of the Automated alternative in this case) when the scenarios are considered in isolation. The differences in cost impacts of the alternative scenarios for the City in total, as detailed throughout this section, are driven from several key factors, which can be summarized as follows: Near-term capital costs for the Semi-automated scenario are lower due to the ability of the City to retrofit its existing fleet, Capital costs for the Automated scenario are significant, in that the per-unit cost of an ASL truck is not only higher than the cost of a rear load truck, but the City must acquire a large amount of such trucks assuming full implementation, The net gains in productivity in the Automated scenario, coupled with improvements in productivity and increased capacity only partially offset capital costs related to procurement of ASL trucks; this cost notwithstanding, gains in productivity and staffing adjustments result in more savings under the Automated scenario, O&M costs for the ASL trucks are higher, primarily due to the more complex nature of the equipment on the vehicle, and Despite the larger staffing savings associated with the Automated scenario, ASL drivers are typically paid a premium for their increased level of route responsibility. Several factors that are inherently uncertain, such as whether the City could negotiate a lower price for ASL trucks, increased costs of retrofitting the existing fleet (or the inability to do so for some older vehicles), the greater potential for productivity gains in the long-run related to a fully-implemented ASL truck based operation, and the willingness of existing staff to fulfill alternative roles for comparable levels of
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compensation may make the Automated scenario even more financially attractive as compared to the Semi-Automated scenario. Ultimately, however, the City cannot expect significantly more cost savings in the Automated scenario with the current capital cost level of the ASL trucks, at least during the amortization period whereby these capital costs must be financed by the system. There may be a window of opportunity past this period whereby the ASL fleet would still be usable, and consequently the savings for the ASL operation in those years could be larger.
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Section 3
Table 3-12 Net Program Savings General Fund and Capital Budget (Relative to the Baseline)
Annual Vehicle Costs Scenario Semi-Automated (1x) Fully Automated (1x) Labor Cost ($2,304,134) ($4,496,565) Annualized Capital Cost $52,869 $1,524,600 Annual Cart Costs Annualized Capital Cost $1,052,210 $1,052,210 Cart Replacement[1] $26,305 $26,305 Spare Vehicles Annualized Cost (Savings) ($1,667) $331,667 Total Change Cost (Savings) ($1,139,802) ($1,424,983) Per Customer Cost (Savings)[2] ($6.13) ($7.66)
[1] Represents a cart surcharge that serves as a pass-through of costs incurred by the City as a result of lost or stolen carts, either through vandalism or as a result of renter occupied units transporting carts with them when they move. [2] Based on City provided 2008 customer counts of 186,000 customers served.
Table 3-13 Capital Budget Cost Comparison of Scenarios (Relative to the Baseline)
Annual Vehicle Costs Scenario Semi-Automated (1x) Fully Automated (1x) Labor Cost $0 $0 Annualized Capital Cost $52,869 $1,524,600 Annual Cart Costs Annualized Capital Cost $1,052,210 $1,052,210 Cart Replacement [1] $0 $0 Spare Vehicles Annualized Cost (Savings) ($1,667) $331,667 Total Change Cost (Savings) ($1,103,412) ($2,903,476) Per Customer Cost (Savings)[2] $5.93 $15.64
O&M Cost $0 $0
[1] Represents a cart surcharge that serves as a pass-through of costs incurred by the City as a result of lost or stolen carts, either through vandalism or as a result of renter occupied units transporting carts with them when they move. [2] Based on City provided 2008 customer counts of 186,000 customers served.
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Table 3-14 General Fund Cost Comparison of Scenarios (Relative to the Baseline)
Annual Vehicle Costs Annualized Capital Cost $0 $0 Annual Cart Costs Annualized Capital Cost $0 $0 Cart Replacement [1] $26,305 $26,305 Spare Vehicles Annualized Cost (Savings) $0 $0 Total Change Cost (Savings) ($2,243,214) ($4,333,459) Per Customer Cost (Savings)[2] ($12.06) ($23.30)
[1] Represents a cart surcharge that serves as a pass-through of costs incurred by the City as a result of lost or stolen carts, either through vandalism or as a result of renter occupied units transporting carts with them when they move. [2] Based on City provided 2008 customer counts of 186,000 customers served.
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Section 3
With respect to the net impacts to the Solid Waste Divisions General Fund, the results of the modeling process indicate that the Semi-automated scenario will save the City an estimated $2.2 million ($12.06 per customer) over the Baseline scenario on an annual basis. Full implementation of the Automated scenario is estimated to result in a cost savings of about $4.3 million annually, or about $23.30 per customer. The delta between the Automated scenario and the Semi-automated scenario is an estimated $2.1 million annually, which is the net difference in cost impact to the City (a cost savings in favor of the Automated alternative in this case) when the scenarios are considered in isolation. Because the cost burden of vehicle and cart capital is reported to be only an indirect cost consideration for the Solid Waste Division, the net savings impact to the Division for the Automated scenario increases significantly in Table 3-14, as the fundamental cost burden associated with this scenario resides with financing costs for new vehicles and carts. Additionally, the projected results of full implementation as shown above assume that operational efficiency of the Pilot Program areas remain unchanged. If improvements are made, as suggested in Section 5, it is possible for the program savings and benefits to be greater than presented above. The results of the productivity and financial evaluation of the Citys system presented in Sections 2 and 3 must be carefully reviewed in light of qualitative feedback obtained from key City stakeholders and delineated in Section 4. Section 5 of this report will tie all of the findings of this analysis together to frame a series of recommendations to the City for Pilot program expansion.
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Section 4
The purpose of these focus groups was three fold: 1. Provide an organized forum for staff to share ideas they believe will improve performance in the Pilot Program area; 2. Provide an open forum for staff to express concerns regarding operations of the Pilot Program; and 3. Provide a structured framework that helps staff discuss the pros and cons of various suggestions and solicit levels of shared vision for these suggestions. R. W. Beck conducted two focus groups on June 30, 2008. Focus groups were conducted with both Laborers and Drivers from all three service centers, mostly from within the Pilot Program areas. The focus groups were conducted under the condition of anonymity, and comments, results, and feedback reviewed here are not attributable to any specific individual(s). Three primary questions were posed to each focus group: 1. What is working? 2. What is not working? 3. What are the solutions? Suggestions provided in response to Question 3 were intended to address specific issues raised in Question 2, while trying to minimize the impact on the issues discussed to Question 1. Frequently, it is possible to make suggestions that only impact the problem, but participants soon realize that recommendations can also have negative or unintended consequences, and they are forced to evaluate the pros and cons of each suggestion. After Question 3 was answered, each participant was given the opportunity to place three votes for any of the suggestions generated. Each participant could place all three votes with one suggestion, or spread them out among up to three suggestions. This allows the City to understand what suggestions the employees believe would have the greatest impact on improving the Pilot Program operations, and can be used to help prioritize future actions.
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4.2.3 Findings
The following is a summary of the responses received from the participants in the two focus groups.
What is Working?
Initially, participants struggled with developing a list of things that appear to be working well within the Pilot Program area. This is somewhat typical as most participants come eager to discuss challenges. However, after a few minutes, they began generating substantive comments regarding things that appear to be working well in the Pilot Program areas, namely: Labrie Vehicle no height issue on the automated arm Heil faster cycle time Automated program has great potential Toter carts heavier, sturdier, easier to roll Grass clipping collection Garbage being collected faster Less injuries Residents like new carts Cart placement works when residents comply Ticketing non-compliant set-outs makes a difference Teamwork among Pilot Program crew Rehrig Carts Streets look cleaner Time to service homes has improved Tippers 140H20, 138H124, and 140H19 seem to work best Dedication of crews Pilot Program is preferred by Drivers Steps on rear of Semi-automated vehicles has helped The participants genuinely appeared to be supportive of the Pilot Program becoming successful, and understood that a more broadly implemented alterative collection system is the direction the City is moving towards.
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Section 4
Automated / Semi-automated
Some residents are not using the automated carts. They are still placing waste at the curb in cans, bags or loose. Many residents are using the blue cart for regular waste, in addition to the automated cart for waste. For a large portion of the Pilot Program area, both the automated and the semiautomated vehicles are driving down the same streets. The automated vehicle is collecting waste in the automated carts in approximately 70 percent of the area, and the semi-automated vehicle is collecting all waste in 30 percent of the area, and the un-containerized waste in 70 percent of the area. Drivers used to collect contaminated blue recycling carts, but are now leaving them. Semi-automated crews would prefer two flippers to help spread waste in the rear hopper. This would reduce the compaction cycle frequency and reduce spillage over the back of the hopper.
Recycling
Driver is recording address of contaminated carts and providing list to Supervisor. It is unclear if citations are being issued. Residents have been requested to bag their paper and container recyclables separately. The majority of the bags make it difficult to ascertain the contamination level, which requires every cart to be manually inspected prior to collection. Clear bags seem to work well, in addition to the light-blue plastic bags from Giant Eagle. Many phone books are being placed in recycling containers. They are being manually removed from the recycling cart and placed in the waste cart.
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Section 5
One of the biggest challenges to balance with the above goals is the need to maintain a high level of customer satisfaction. If the City achieves all of the above goals by providing services that the residents dislike and/or do not utilize, the program is not a success. Therefore, a logical and balanced approach is required. There are a few keys to balancing the above priorities: Minimize the number of trucks and crews traveling through a collection area; Maintain convenience for residents; Give residents the information they need to comply with the Citys operations plan; Provide the residents incentives for compliance with the behavior the City desires (or disincentives for contrary behavior); and Implement an effective enforcement structure through the creation of targeted ordinances and empowered Code Enforcement personnel. A successful approach requires integrating areas of responsibilities throughout the Solid Waste Division as well as the City.
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Expansion Assessment
Some of these issues have been communicated to residents, but without an enforcement mechanism, there is little incentive for the resident to comply. One of the primary limitations the City needs to determine is how much uncontained waste a resident may place curbside for collection with their contained waste. Collecting uncontained waste greatly affects the efficiency of the automated vehicles, which directly impacts the number of routes, crews and vehicles required, crews, cost of operations, etc. Based on route observations and conversations with the Drivers and Laborers, it appears that residents set-out waste believing they can set-out as much waste as they want, knowing it will all be collected. Also, the perceived difficulty of holding residents accountable for their set-out actions was brought up in focus groups and interviews. The difficulty is attributed to the charge for waste services being rolled into the owners property tax bill, and the out of sight, out of mind mentality that gives some residents the perception that waste services are free and their actions do not impact their costs. The concern is especially strong as it relates to tenants who never directly pay the property taxes. As the City evaluates ordinances, as well as various rate incentives discussed below, special consideration should be given to creating mechanisms that allow the City to pass along charges or fines to residents or tenants on a timely basis.
5.3.2 Enforcement
After establishing the proper ordinances, it is necessary to implement the proper structure for enforcing the ordinances. Prior experience shows that communities that actively enforce policies when they are implemented experience significant violations initially, but eventually obtain compliance. While other communities who never truly enforce policies, for fear of upsetting residents and voters, tend to experience ongoing violations and inefficiencies. Certainly the front lines of defense are the drivers on the route. They are extremely observant of set-out practices, repeat offenders, special needs of the residents, etc. It is also important for them to maintain good relationships with the people they serve, and they take pride in cleaning their assigned areas. Therefore, for customer service purposes, it is generally not suggested that drivers become the primary mode of enforcement. A friendly verbal reminder can sometimes be effective, but someone from a Code Enforcement position should carry the burden regarding code enforcement. If the City has general Code Enforcement Officers who are also responsible for enforcing all of the Citys ordinances, they should receive extra training regarding the solid waste ordinances, and be allowed to focus on enforcing them during the implementation period. Proper enforcement of the ordinances from the beginning of the Pilot Program usually leads to greater compliance in the long-run by the residents. If the City is not able to dedicate general Code Enforcement Officers for use in Solid Waste, the Division should consider hiring a few full-time, dedicated Code Enforcement Officers to assist with the implementation and maintenance of the automated program.
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Section 5
Regardless of where the Code Enforcement Officer is positioned within the Citys organizational structure, it is important to ensure that proper communication channels are established between Drivers, Laborers, Supervisors and Code Enforcement personnel.
5.3.3 Education
Once the appropriate ordinances and enforcement practices have been established, the residents need to be thoroughly educated on the collection services being provided by the City. Based on observed set-out practices by residents, there is substantial room for improvement on their behalf for both MSW and recycling set-outs. An effective education plan should at a minimum communicate the following: the solid waste collection services being provided by the City; how the resident complies with the new program; the benefit to the resident, both personally and as a City, of compliance; and the penalties for non-compliance. Numerous people in the focus groups and interviews indicated that they thought the majority of residents will pay more attention to the penalties than they will the benefits to the City. While there may be some truth to this belief, a holistic communication strategy should be utilized. The data in Sections 2 and 3 of this report can be leveraged as the City desires to help communicate how this program benefits the residents individually and the City as a whole. Task 5 of this project provides assistance with developing community outreach and messaging materials, and will be conducted after this report has been finalized.
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Expansion Assessment
Semi-automated and recycling crews, which are both using rear-loaders retrofitted with tippers, expressed an interest in having two tippers at the hopper rather than one. This double configuration is used elsewhere, and can make the crews more productive due to the increased tipping capacity and the decrease in time waiting to tip a cart. Additionally, it helps spread the material in the bucket, reduces the compactor cycling frequency and reduces the amount of material that spills onto the street.
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Section 5
70 percent of the households will likely need to be serviced by a minimum of three vehicles each collection day: Automated collecting carts Semi-Automated collecting uncontainerized material Recycling recyclable materials Only 30 percent of the households have the possibility of being serviced by two vehicles: Semi-automated carts and uncontainerized waste Recycling recyclable materials 70 percent of the households have the possibility of being serviced by four collection vehicles: Automated collecting carts Semi-Automated collecting uncontainerized material Recycling recyclable materials Automated or Semi-Automated collecting contaminated recycling carts The last scenario likely happens on a regular basis on any given street. Under this scenario, four different passes are being made on the same street, completely undermining the potential efficiency of the automated, containerized system. Assuming that the Citys overarching goal is to collect as many set-outs as possible with two vehicles (Automated and Recycling), the scenarios listed above indicate there is room to tweak the operations plan for collecting material. Following are recommendations to improve the collection efficiency of the collection operations: The City should work towards shifting as much of the collection operation towards the automated vehicles as possible. These vehicles collect waste much more efficiently, and as shown in Section 3, can produce significant gains in productivity and cost efficiency. The Citys ability to accomplish this successfully will be predicated on the implementation of appropriate set-out ordinances, and the procurement of vehicles that can load uncontainerized material more easily. The City should minimize the amount of trips down any particular street. Most streets should only require two vehicles an automated collection vehicle that can collect carts and small amounts of uncontained waste, and a recycling vehicle. The City should consider collecting recyclables using automated collection vehicles. As shown in Section 3, the operational efficiencies of collecting material with automated vehicles can be substantial. If the City is committed to implementing an efficient recycling collection program, additional gains in efficiency will be generated if automated collection vehicles are utilized. Additionally, the consolidation of vehicle types typically generates improvements in O&M practices and costs.
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Expansion Assessment
The City should consider enlarging the route sizes for the Automated vehicles. Given the extra capacity and increased efficiency, routes should be targeted to serve 1,000-1,200 homes. Assuming an approximate set-out rate of 80 percent, this equates to each vehicle servicing 800-960 homes per route, which is within industry standards. The sizing of these routes will be somewhat dependent on the set-out policies established regarding uncontainerized material. Currently, the laborers on the recycling vehicle hand check nearly every container prior to dumping the material. In many instances, they are hand picking materials out of the container and either placing them in the waste container if they are contaminants, or placing them in the vehicles collection hopper if it was a small amount of recyclables. Additionally, this encourages them to walk from home to home, further decreasing the productivity of the route. The Citys intent is to abandon manual collection, and this practice seems to revert to it. Minimizing the need to evaluate every recycling cart will be dependent on implementing an effective education program, and providing effective incentives for compliance. The City should consider removing the requirement that residents bag their recyclables before placing them in the automated recycling cart. It is R. W Becks understanding that the City receives a premium on its paper stream revenue if the material has been segregated. The additional cost of manually scanning each cart potentially offsets the premium received from bagging and manually checking the carts. These bags frequently make it difficult for the Recycling crews to evaluate the contents of a cart. Although the manual evaluation of recycling carts will hopefully be minimized, when it does need to occur, the bagging of recyclables makes it a laborious process. A cost-benefit analysis should be conducted to determine the net impact of this requirement.
5.3.6 Pay-As-You-Throw
A growing number of communities across the county are implementing variable rate structures commonly referred to as Pay-As-You-Throw, or PAYT. PAYT programs attempt to charge residents rates that are proportionate to the amount of waste they generate. The U.S. EPA supports this approach to solid waste management because it encompasses three interrelated components that are key to successful community programs: 1. Economic sustainability PAYT is an effective tool for communities struggling to cope with soaring municipal solid waste management expenses. Well-designed programs generate the revenues communities need to cover their solid waste costs, including the costs of such complementary programs as recycling and composting. Residents benefit, too, because they have the opportunity to take control of their trash bills. 1 2. Equity PAYT systems are inherently fair. When the cost of managing trash is hidden in taxes or charged at a flat rate, residents who recycle and prevent waste
1
http://www.epa.gov/epaoswer/non-hw/payt/intro.htm
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Section 5
subsidize their neighbors' wastefulness. Under PAYT, residents pay only for what they throw away. 2 3. Environmental sustainability Communities with programs in place have reported significant increases in recycling and reductions in waste, due primarily to the waste reduction incentive created by PAYT. Less waste and more recycling mean that fewer natural resources need to be extracted.3 According to previous studies by the EPA, communities with PAYT systems, on average, have reduced their waste from 14-17 percent and increased recycling from 32-59 percent. While PAYT programs possess significant potential benefits for a community, there are potential or perceived challenges to implementing a PAYT program. These challenges include: public opposition to changes in the fee structure; concerns regarding increased illegal dumping; servicing and billing multi-family residents who dispose of their material in central collection containers; establishing a reliable accounting and billing system (for options that require direct billing); and potential impacts on lower-income residents. The existence of thousands of communities across the country that have established PAYT systems indicates that these challenges can be overcome. However, doing so requires careful planning, accurate accounting of existing service costs, and responsive communication with residents in advance of and during implementation. Some options for the City to consider regarding PAYT implementation include: Charging residents or tenants for extra waste carts A one-time charge should at least recover the capital costs of the cart A monthly service fee should cover the costs to service the container Additional recycling carts should be distributed free of charge as requested and only collected by the recycling crews. Allowing the residents to select the size of their waste cart(s) smaller containers would cost the resident less, thereby creating an incentive to generate less waste and recycle more material. By implementing a carefully designed PAYT program, it is likely that the City of Cleveland would experience a reduction in waste generation, a diversion of waste into the recycling stream, and a more stable business model. There are many variations of PAYT programs and rate structures, each specifically tailored to the individual communitys demographics, financial plan, operations plan and political culture. R.
2 3
http://www.epa.gov/epaoswer/non-hw/payt/intro.htm http://www.epa.gov/epaoswer/non-hw/payt/intro.htm
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Expansion Assessment
W. Beck would be pleased to assist the City develop a PAYT program if the City decides to proceed in that direction.
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Section 5
Extends period of transitional challenges from having multiple collection plans and services Two Year Implementation Plan Achieves financial benefits faster Creates shorter period of transitional challenges Minimizes challenges associated with multiple collection plans and policies Requires more aggressive capital planning Requires more thorough training for staff and education for residents Generally speaking, the roll-out of the Automated program to the rest of the City should be conducted in the shortest amount of time that is feasible given the procurement, education and training requirements. Given the strategy of implementing two phases of Pilot Programs, the City should be able to fully implement Automated collection throughout the rest of the City within two years. Extending the implementation period longer than two years often creates more challenges and headaches than it prevents.
5.5 Recycling
One important aspect of the Citys Pilot Program is the recycling collection operation. While this report focuses primarily on the operational and financial impacts of Automated, Semi-Automated and manual collection of solid waste, it is important to mention the benefits to the City of recycling, and how these benefits can be increased when the recyclables are collected in a cost-efficient manner. According to the United States Environmental Protection Agency 4 , some of the benefits of recycling include: Reducing the need for landfilling and incineration; Preventing pollution caused by the manufacturing of products from virgin materials; Saving energy; Decreasing emissions of greenhouse gases that contribute to climate change; Conserving natural resources such as timber, water and minerals; Protecting and expanding the U.S. manufacturing jobs and increases U.S. competitiveness; and Sustaining the environment for future generations. While most of these benefits have impacts felt beyond the City of Cleveland, there are additional benefits of an efficient recyclable collection operation that directly impact the City. These include:
4
http://www.epa.gov/epawaste/conserve/rrr/recycle.htm
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Expansion Assessment
Increased revenue from the sale of recyclable materials; Reduced tipping fees associated with municipal solid waste; Extended life of the landfill; and Reduced carbon footprint in accordance with Mayor Jacksons signing of the U.S. Conference of Mayors Climate Protection Agreement. The City reports that they plan on supplying a recycling cart for each of the 186,000 residents, and have selected the 64 gallon cart for this purpose. Assuming a roughly equivalent capital cost to implement this cart procurement as compared to the solid waste collection carts, it can be estimated that recycling carts will cost approximately $1.1 million per year, or $5.80 per customer. If the City applies some of the efficiency-related concepts discussed in this report (Automated collection, effective education and enforcement, etc.) to the collection of recyclable materials, it is expected that the City will experience the benefits listed above, and be a model community for others to emulate.
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Section 5
To the extent future or current technology can be leveraged to minimize the burden of such collection on the drivers, such an investment should be considered, as the actual productivity achieved when the additional burden of data collection is not present can be expected to be higher than during periods of widespread data collection.
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APPENDIX A
Baseline March 2007 Customer Metrics Set-out rate [1] Percent of set-outs with uncontained material [2] Average pounds per set-out [2] Productivity Metrics Productive seconds per stop [3] Unproductive minutes per route [3] Average tons per load [4] Loads per day per route [4] 51.1 9.0 9.6 1.5 40.9 7.2 7.4 1.03 34.4 6.1 8.4 1.15 21.2 3.7 2.3 1.03 80% 43% 66.5 Auto Carr Center Semi Rec. n/a n/a
Pilot Regions Glenville Center Auto 4.9% n/a 54.4 9.6 8.9 1.08 Semi 6.3% n/a 66.3 11.7 7.5 1.09 Rec. n/a n/a 27.6 4.9 2.2 1.01 Ridge Road Center Auto Semi n/a n/a 39.0 6.9 9.8 1.14 5.7% n/a 48.7 8.6 6.9 1.01 Rec.
All Pilot Regions Average Auto Semi 7.6% 29.2 49.8 8.8 7.6 1.08 Rec. n/a n/a 24.8 4.4 2.7 1.02
100.0% 63.6% 34.3% 65.7% 67.8% 28.5% 23.8% 10.8% 58.2 29.2
n/a 61.8% 28.8% 82.9% 64.4% 30.5% n/a 14.3% n/a 25.5 4.5 3.7 1.03 58.2 44.8 7.9 8.7 1.08
[1] Set-out rates for Recycling are inclusive of recycling participation statistics provided by the City for January - April 2008, and recycling cart set-out statistics collected by the City in November 2007. [2] Based on set-out statistics provided by the City. To be refined pending further data availability. [3] Metrics shown for pilot regions reflect assumptions related to system average productive vs. non-productive ratios, which have been assumed to remain stable when compared to Baseline observations. Subsequent to review of physical field logs, more representative productive vs. non-productive time ratios will be used to adjust the results. [4] Derived from the Pilot Program Daily reports provided by the City for the period October 2007 - June 2008.
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R. W. Beck A-1