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DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

ADissertationReportOn
DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,
ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

Submittedinpartialfulfillmentofrequirementfortheawardofthedegreeof
MasterofBusinessAdministrationofBangaloreUniversity
BY
ABDULHAFEEZ
REGNO:05XQCM6001

UndertheGuidanceandSupervisionof
Dr.NAGESH.S.MALAVALLI

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT
(AssociateBharatiyaVidyaBhavan)
#43.RACECOURSEROAD,BANGALORE560001
200507

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

DECLARATION

I hereby declare that this dissertation entitled DIVIDEND


ANNOUNCEMENTS, SECURITY PERFORMANCE AND CAPITAL
MARKET EFFICIENCY is the result of my own research work
carried out under the guidance and supervision of Dr. Nagesh S.
Malavalli,principalMPBirlaInstituteofManagementBangalore.

I also declare that this dissertation has not been submitted

earlier to any Institute/organization for the award of any degree or


diploma.

Place:Bangalore

Date:

AbdulHafeez

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

TABLEOFCONTENT

SL.NO.

PARTICULARS

PAGENO

1.

EXECUTIVESUMMARY

01

2.

INTRODUCTION ..

02

3.

RESEARCHMETHODOLOGY..

3.1

PROBLEMSTATEMENT

3.2

OBJECTIVES

3.3

HYPOTHESIS

3.4

SOURCESOFDATA

3.5

LIMITATIONS

3.6

METHODOLOGY

4.

ANALYSISANDINTERPRETATION.

09

5.

SUMMARYandCONCLUSIONS..

45

6.

BIBLIOGRAPHY&REFERENCES..

46

06

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

LISTOFTABLES

TABLENO.

TABLENAME

PAGENO

1.

ABNORMALRETURNS

0920

2.

CUMULATIVEABNORMALRETURNS

2132

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

RESEARCHMETHODOLOGY

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

ANALYSIS
AND

INTERPRETATION

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

SUMMARY
AND
CONCLUSION

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my research guide


DR. NAGESH S. MALAVALLI, Principal, M.P.Birla Institute of
Management, Bangalore for his constant encouragement and guidance in the
course of the research investigation.

I would like to thank DR. T.V. NARSHIMA RAO, Adjunct Faculty,


M.P.Birla Institute of Management, Bangalore for his constant guidance and
timely support in the course of the research.

I would also like to thank PROF. S. SANTHANAM, Adjunct Faculty,


M.P.Birla Institute of Management, Bangalore who helped me to analysis
data with his expertise knowledge in statistics.

And further I would like to thank all the faculty members of MPBIM
who have helped me in completing my project. I have gained a lot of
knowledge throughout the course of carrying out this project.

I would like to sincerely thank my Parents and all my Friends who


have helped me in completing this project by extending their support.

Abdul Hafeez

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

BIBLIOGRAPHY
AND
REFERENCES

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

INTRODUCTION

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DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

EXECUTIVESUMMARY:

This paper investigates the stock market reaction associated with

dividends announcements in the Indian stock market, and to verify


whether these announcements possess any informational value. An event
studywasconductedon34companies,comprisingtheCNXNiftyIndex.

Returnswerecomputedusingtheadjustedpricedataofcompanies

andtheNiftyIndexwiththehelpofCapitalLinePlus.Theeventdayis
the day when the quarterly announcement is made. The event day was
taken from Prowess (the events section). The Abnormal Returns (AR),
Average Abnormal Returns (AAR), and Cumulative Average Abnormal
Returns (CAAR) were computed based on the Single Index Model. The
behaviorofthesevariableswasexaminedfor30daysbeforeandafterthe
eventday.

The sample study found significant Abnormal Return (AR) in and

around the days of announcement. It has been observed that the


Cumulative Average Abnormal Returns (CAAR) also has significance in
and around the event day. Thus, the results of the study indicate that
dividends announcements contain important information which causes
stockpricestochange.

Further, in an efficient market, CAAR should flatten out after the

eventdaytoindicatethatthemarkethasabsorbedtheresultsquickly.But
this was not the case. Hence strengthens the belief that the Indian stock
marketisnotefficientbutsemistrong.

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INTRODUCTION:

In a market that is essentially characterized by a large number of

rationalandprofitseekinginvestorswhocompetewithoneanotherfreely,
the prices should reflect all the available and expected information. An
efficient market is one that rapidly absorbs new information and adjusts
the prices swiftly. Researchers and analysts who have worked onis the
efficiencyofstockmarkethaverealizedthatnostockmarketisabsolutely
efficient.

Researchers in this area have classified the stock market efficiency

into three separate forms weak, semi-strong, and strong. Fuller and
Farell(1987)haveattemptedtodividethestrongformofmarketefficiency
into two distinct parts: The super-strong form and near-strong form. The
threeformsofmarketefficiencyhavebeenasubjectofintenseresearchin
the field of finance. While there have been an overwhelming number of
studiestotesttheweakformofEMH,studiestotestthestrongformare
not many. Because of problems in getting the relevant data to test the
strongformofEMH,studiesinthisareaarelimited.Semi-strong form has
alsobeentestedbutnotasextensivelyastheweakform.Amajorityofthe
studieshaveaffirmedthatstockmarketsareefficientintheweakform.
Studiesonthesemistrongformhaveyieldmixedresults.Thesemistrongform
of EMH has been extensively researched in the US, the UK, other European
countries,andAustralia.However,therearelimitedstudiesinIndia.

A number of studies have confirmed that markets are efficient in the


semistrongform.However,alargenumberofstudieshavealsoconcluded
that markets are not efficient in the semistrong form. In their seminal

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

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DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

studyofstockpricereactiontostocksplits,Famaetal.(1969)foundthat
there was considerable market reaction prior to the stock split
announcement and the cumulative abnormal returns taered off after the
eventday.Theyconcludedthatthemarketisefficientinthesemistrongform.
May (1971), Brown and Kennely (1972) and Jordan (1973) studied the
behavior of security prices by taking the quarterly earnings as the event
and found that the results were consistet with the semistrong form of
EMH.
BallandBrown(1968),Beaver(1968)andBeaveretal.(1980)examinedthe
magnitude of price changes surrounding the announcement of a firms
annual earnings. Their results showed that the reaction occurred quickly and,
therefore, the EMH in the semistrong form holds good. Kormendi and Lipe
(1987), and Easton and Zmijewski (1989) found evidence consistent with stock
prices reflecting crosssectional differences in the time series behavior of
earnings, which support the existence of efficient markets. Ball and
Bartov(1996)reportedthatinvestorsareawareoftheexistenceaswellasof
the signs of serial correlation for all the lags. They found that all the
variables had predicted signs. However, they report that the market
systematically underestimates serial correlation in standardizedunexpected
earnings.
Some of the studies on the Indian market have also supported the
semistrong form of EMH. Obaidullah (1992) examined the bonus issues
andshowedthatthemarketwascapableofreactingtobonusissues.Dixit
(1986)foundthatdividendwasthemostimportantdeterminantofshareprices.
Based on the study of rights issues, Srinivasan (1997) concluded that the
market was efficient in the semistrong form. Narayana Rao (1994),who
examined the share price responses to some of the corporate financial
policy announcements, reported that the stock market is efficient in the
semistrongform.

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DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

Whereastheabovestudieshavefoundtheexistenceoftheefficientmarket,
there are others that contradict this. Joy et al. (1977) found that the
favorable information contained in quarterly earnings was not reflected in
share prices. Basu (1977) tested the predictive content of PriceEarnings
(P/E) multiples and concluded that the result was a contradiction of
semistrongformofEMH.Charest(1978)foundnoevidencefortheNYSE
being efficient in interpreting selected cash dividend change information
during19471967.Thisisbasedonhisfindingthatasystematictraderin
dividend changing stocks would have earned significant abnormal returs.
Jensen(1978)andJoyandJones(1979)reportedthatthesemistrongform
of EMH does not hold well.Watts (1978), Rendleman et al. (1982) Fosteret
al.(1984), Bernard and Thomas (1989, 1990), Freeman and Tse (1989),
Mendenhall(1991)andBartov(1992)foundstatisticallysignificantabnormal
returnsafterquarterlyearningsannouncements.AccordingtoBrown(1979)
stock markets failed to adjust instantaneously to the new Earnings Per
Share (EPS) information. The results of Poterba and Summers (1988) and
Ou and Penman (1989a, b), are inconsistent with the semistrong form of
EMH.BajajandVijh(1995)foundthatalldividendannouncementswithout
any expost selection criteria are accompanied by positive average excess
returns. They also found that positive average excess returns increase as
firm size and stock prices decrease. Cuthbertson et al. (1997) rejected the
existence of efficient market based on astudy of the behavior of the UK
stock market under the null hypothesis tat the expected returns are
constant. Porta et al. (1997) found evidence that is inconsistent with the
riskbased explanation for return differential. They reported that
postformationearningsannouncementreturnsweresubstantiallyhigherfor
valuestocksthanforglamorstocks.Thisfindinggoesagainstthesemistrong
form of EMH. Rangan and Sloan (1998) reported that earnings expectations
embedded in stock prices systematically underestimate the time series

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

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DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

properties resulting from quarterly reporting requirements. Studies on the


Indian market in this area have cast doubt on the existence of the EMH.
Obaidullah (1990) examined the market reaction to halfyearly earnings
announcementsandfoundthatthesemistrongformofEMHcouldnotbe
accepted.BaruaandRaghunathan(1990),Sundaram(1991)andObaidullah
(1991) cast doubt on the consistency of the observed priceearnings ratios
with fundamental factors like dividend growth and payoutratios.
Chaturvedi (2000a) found that low P/E stocks outperformed the high P/E
onesandconcludedthatthemarketisinefficient.Chaturvedi(2000b)studied
the behavior of stock returns surrounding the announcement of halfyearly
earnings. His results showed that abnormal returns were present both
during the pre and postearnings announcement periods. Mohanty (2002)
foundthatcompanieswhichannouncedbuybackyieldedexcessreturnseven
threemonthsaftertheannouncementdates.Thiscastsdoubtontheexistence
of the Semistrong form of EMH. However, he attributes the excess returns to
highpremiumofferedonbuybacks.
Moreoverinvestorsassignagreatdealofsignificancetoannouncementof
earningsanddividendsreportsasitreflectsthefinancialperformanceofthe
company and is an indicator of the future direction of the company.
Earningsanddividendsannouncementsprovidethemarketparticipantswith
the single most important piece of public information by which they can
evaluate the performance of a firm. The market is filled with anticipation at
thetimewhenfinancialresultsofacompanyaretobeannouncedasthey
formthebiasforrevalidationofthefuturegrowthprospectsofacompany
which would be reflected in a buy, hold or sell strategy. Thus, the
adjustment of stock prices to the announcement of earnings reports is an
importantempiricalissue.

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

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DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

RESEARCHMETHODOLOGY:

PROBLEMSTATEMENT:
There exists conflicting views with regard to the impact of Earnings
announcements on the stock prices. Some are of the opinions that
earnings announcements do affect the stock price of the shares while
others argue it does not. Thus there exists a research gap. The research
problemunderconsiderationisasfollows:
Whether there is any significant effect on the stock prices due to
dividendsannouncementsornot.

OBJECTIVE:
1. To examine whether the dividends s announcements has any

impactonthestockmarketreaction.

2.Tochecktheinformationalvalueoftheseannouncements.

HYPOTHESIS:
H0=DividendsannouncementsdonothaveanyimpactonStockPrices.
H1=DividendsannouncementsdohaveimpactonStockPrices.
SOURCESOFDATA:
The Dividends announcements made by companies included in CNX
NIFTY during the year 200607 is considered. Daily adjusted market price
dataforthesamplestocksfor30daysbeforeand30daysaftertheboard
meeting date are taken. The board meeting date is taken as event or
announcement date. The required data is extracted from Prowess,
CapitaLinePlus

and

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

NSE

website

16

DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

LIMITATIONS:
1.Samplesizeof34isconsidered.
2.Macroeconomicfactorsaremottakenintoconsideration.
3.Eventwindowoft=30to+30istaken.

METHODOLOGY:
Event study methodology is used to calculate Average Abnormal Return
(AAR) and Cumulative Abnormal Return (CAAR) for the event window
period.i.e.30daysbeforeandafterthedayofannouncement.

Dailyreturnsforeachsamplecompanyarecomputedas:

Rit=Ln[Pit/Pit1]

WherePit&Pit1arerespectivedailypricesforcompanyiattimetand
t1.

Similarly,theactualreturnsforthemarketarealsocomputedas:

Rmt=Ln[(It)/It1]

WhereItandIt1aredailyindexvaluesattimetandt1.
SharpesMarketmodelisusedtocomputetheexpectedreturnas:

Rit=i+iRmt+it

WhereRit=expectedreturnonsecurityiattimet.Rmtisthereturnon
themarketindexattimet,iistheestimateoftheinterceptforshareof
companyianditistheindependentlyandidenticallydistributedresidual
errorterm.

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

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DIVIDENDANNOUNCEMENT,SECURITYPERFORMANCE,ANDCAPITALMARKETEFFICIENCY

Inthenextstep,wecalculatedabnormalreturnas:
ARit=Riti+iRmt.
ARs are averaged over the number of companies for each day
surrounding the event day (i.e, 30 to +30 days) by using the following
equation:
(AARt)=ARit/N
InthenextstepCAARiscalculatedonthedayssurroundingtheeventas:
(CAARd)=AARt.
Furtherttestingisdonetotestthehypothesis.

M.P.BIRLAINSTITUTEOFMANAGEMENT

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DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

ANALYSISANDINTERPRETATION:

ABNORMALRETURNS(AR):

T0

RELIANCE

INFOSYS

TCS

-30
-29

0.0028605
-0.0049497

-0.001823
-0.010513

-0.0043704
-0.0037959

-0.0082994
0.03088824

ICICI

0.00899467
0.00015094

ONGC

-28
-27
-26
-25
-24

-0.0010492
0.0014261
0.0024854
0.0055566
0.0046934

-0.014942
-0.005469
0.014579
0.00361
0.006756

0.02154405
-0.016187
-0.0119749
0.00638151
-0.0021259

-0.0260884
0.01018012
-0.0159377
0.01482426
-0.0860125

-0.01221923
-0.02073437
-0.00654829
-0.00728445
0.00767766

-23
-22
-21
-20
-19

-0.0038127
0.0028737
0.0058485
-0.0059019
0.0138423

-0.014024
-0.000792
0.007547
-0.004713
-0.009291

0.00803071
-0.0128556
-0.0086554
0.00219379
0.00531973

-0.0273367
0.03196647
-0.0509609
-0.0369972
-0.017301

-0.01114729
0.01313339
0.0152847
0.00297892
-0.01310221

-18
-17
-16
-15
-14

0.0216495
-0.0082492
0.0078679
-0.004964
-0.0077991

-0.003089
-0.003147
-0.000163
-0.003938
0.01202

0.01538091
-0.0045711
0.01311954
0.00831306
0.01148228

0.06929049
0.04835402
-0.0180355
-0.0255178
0.00576606

0.00348661
-0.00289795
-0.01024922
-0.00106636
0.01020299

-13
-12
-11
-10

-0.0203388
-0.0086271
0.0069629
-0.0025288

-0.009592
-0.013428
0.002501
0.022365

0.02047208
-0.0097734
0.00341825
-0.0050939

0.03565115
-0.0115489
-0.0052145
-0.0358051

-0.00392898
-0.01552053
0.01300292
-0.01130385

-9
-8
-7
-6
-5

-0.0009952
-0.004989
-0.0088214
-0.0033301
-0.0019617

0.002373
0.011712
0.003415
0.040167
0.003772

0.01411452
-0.0038875
0.01191921
0.01039033
-0.0047227

0.01418502
-0.0180457
0.01583405
-0.0402262
0.01635272

-0.02699515
0.00241821
0.01494487
0.03457889
0.00649424

-4
-3
-2
-1
0

-0.0049338
0.0191871
0.0104939
-0.0003651
-0.0066731

0.019393
-0.006947
-0.012981
0.001379
0.004611

-0.0030596
-0.0148311
0.00031566
-0.0100835
0.00816256

-0.0026684
0.00045995
0.01815464
-0.0068631
-0.0256872

0.01871309
-0.00332535
0.00554163
0.01203332
-0.02007948

1
2
3
4
5

-0.0039421
0.0013778
-0.0012082
0.0009541
-0.0065692

-0.00281
0.002188
-0.01029
0.009682
-0.006378

-0.0012823
-0.0026417
-0.0069468
-0.0095006
-0.007355

0.02797434
-0.0152946
-0.0110566
-0.0029239
0.01438978

0.00385833
-0.0049265
6.5549E-05
-0.00711302
0.00871907

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

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DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

6
7

0.0011002
0.0021719

0.008766
-0.010292

-0.0015834
-0.0041979

-0.0202843
-0.0161868

0.0251411
0.02684961

8
9
10
11
12

0.0029145
0.0031837
-0.0106725
-0.006647
-0.0038298

-0.002507
-0.01547
-0.008927
-0.004175
0.017032

-0.0035255
-0.0025152
-0.000777
-0.0021096
-0.0065585

-0.0108632
-0.0100198
0.04657122
0.02675515
-0.0435785

0.0102472
-0.01737718
0.01137153
-0.00810996
-0.01185786

13
14
15
16

-0.0046894
0.0058096
-0.0063343
0.0066111

0.015199
-5.2E-05
-0.008527
0.003058

0.00184026
-0.0002289
0.00478233
0.00244868

0.0671674
-0.0133689
0.04939687
-0.0042863

0.00450614
-0.02610927
0.01710732
-0.01665735

17
18
19
20
21

0.0161392
-0.0025304
0.0051672
0.0098067
0.0051718

0.020524
0.002183
-0.011299
-0.001602
0.028687

0.00868946
0.00351056
-0.0107528
0.01937441
0.00823455

0.00390947
-0.0035291
0.01821263
-0.0092952
-0.0041189

-0.00343377
0.0038146
0.01982712
0.00034491
-0.00022336

22
23
24
25
26

0.0026583
0.0012233
-0.0061002
-0.0182861
0.0103168

-0.013791
-0.022891
0.006321
-0.002807
-0.012875

0.00523649
-0.0073022
-0.0242088
0.03376934
-0.0185946

0.016593
-0.0223182
0.03481733
0.04601299
-0.0106992

0.0015679
-0.00889782
-0.0126905
0.00049572
0.00174783

27
28
29
30
AR/N

0.0238562
-0.0220331
0.0132673
-0.0033576
-1.536E-18

-0.014517
-0.006175
0.003842
-0.003444
1.61E-18

-0.0094838
0.01525066
0.00150037
-0.0109976
0.00030566

0.01256731
-0.0274986
-0.0147628
0.0223564
-2.275E-19

-0.02199762
0.00314758
-0.00492155
0.00226991
3.1282E-19

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DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

SAIL

SBIN

GUJAMB

SIEMENS

CIPLA

STER

0.0116169

-0.012758

-0.0257909

0.0007879

0.0031395

0.0013082

0.004158

-0.031356

0.0035998

-0.019342

-0.0046354

0.049882

0.0317292

0.005838

0.0258731

0.0141679

-0.001826

-0.0112022

-0.0143657

0.0714124

-0.0027886

0.0805224

0.0346564

0.0025407

-0.0307912

-0.085255

0.0072928

-0.031912

-0.013848

0.0129125

-0.0192925

-0.042892

-0.0072213

-0.084023

0.0235523

-0.01035

0.0037956

-0.005406

0.0178022

-0.025282

-0.0116018

-0.0215701

-0.0155053

0.0234766

0.0028766

0.0162557

-0.0079394

0.0153973

0.0014577

0.1775558

0.0090265

-0.009254

0.0147799

0.0216846

0.0226235

-0.188909

0.003374

-0.016964

-0.0077892

0.0444225

-0.0022657

0.0006258

0.0317544

0.0305964

-0.0002642

-0.0184686

0.0001863

0.0141321

-0.0127664

0.0138058

0.0274717

-0.0146397

-0.0154258

0.1569487

-0.0577674

-0.019265

-0.0295772

0.0072433

-0.0340247

-0.140275

0.0044566

-0.010771

0.0195869

-0.0242718

0.0028547

-0.018885

-0.0062354

0.0245827

-0.0015729

-0.0091176

-0.0111359

-0.027811

-0.0187048

0.0083927

0.0030858

0.0027017

-0.0021831

0.1804641

0.035223

0.0069603

0.0093611

0.0147907

-0.0046607

-0.194267

0.0070771

-0.019256

0.0106724

-0.0535067

-0.0080951

0.0238863

0.0196131

0.0438196

-0.0196925

-0.0132975

0.0786941

-0.01973

-0.0004076

-0.004767

0.0012294

0.0040119

-0.0343512

0.0329274

0.0041391

-0.017267

-0.010855

0.0029552

-0.0062772

-0.039619

-0.0088118

0.0106675

-0.0211296

0.0302785

-0.0013991

-0.047548

0.0052452

0.0119092

0.0133937

0.0044884

-0.0166282

0.0022122

-0.0092993

-0.002715

-0.0121701

0.0099567

0.0044748

-0.021832

-0.0166363

-0.014195

-0.0053247

0.0023465

-0.0022725

0.005881

-0.0056099

0.0011374

0.0170543

0.0005276

0.0539802

0.1121832

0.0133653

-0.012621

0.0140155

-0.019057

0.0386414

-0.122622

0.0181939

-0.012123

0.0255826

0.0234898

0.0143249

0.0535977

-0.0305995

-0.011382

-0.0279723

0.0538119

-0.0320306

0.0019957

-0.0042027

0.0212544

-0.0079439

-0.0234004

0.0056009

-0.012027

0.0154582

-0.005774

0.0180864

-0.0021822

-0.0140189

-0.020212

-0.0249659

-0.011294

0.004388

-0.0076119

-0.0405673

0.0117186

0.0041068

0.0007399

-1.538E-06

-0.008227

0.001409

0.0605799

0.0372633

0.0052134

-0.019899

-0.0097048

0.0294249

-0.00173

0.000342

-0.010404

-0.005259

-0.011578

-0.0147034

-0.00915

-0.0441785

-0.005748

-0.006002

0.0255185

-0.005913

-0.011478

-0.0470266

0.0072552

-0.0179349

-0.0136533

-0.0044864

-0.027982

0.0061172

-0.014357

0.0119467

0.0265865

0.0014927

0.0064366

0.0592229

0.0050685

-0.002532

-0.0372319

0.0002721

-0.016061

-0.0032606

0.0521905

0.012747

0.0015633

-0.0021908

0.0019784

-0.0767614

0.0101136

0.0200609

-0.0038797

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

21

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

0.0349821

0.0320723

0.0562402

0.0270511

-0.0076785

0.0042163

-0.0137516

0.0242544

-0.011079

-0.017073

0.0101211

-0.0160873

0.0077555

0.024599

-0.0429877

-0.01929

-0.0028512

0.0203825

-0.0112128

0.0018709

0.0009837

-0.024088

-0.0248737

-0.0204077

0.0266144

-0.007794

0.035927

0.0045962

0.0055553

-0.0028565

0.0107962

-0.028701

0.002481

-0.00015

-0.0272297

0.0197918

0.0213195

0.0141531

-0.0091229

-0.029902

0.0137977

0.0085576

0.0136974

-0.000992

0.0201145

0.0216449

-0.0054612

-0.0185153

-0.0364193

0.0111066

0.0326709

0.0166605

0.005202

-0.0048414

0.0114952

0.0129337

-0.0519127

0.0017758

-0.0049963

0.0139903

-0.0204409

-0.007087

-0.0065855

-0.005997

0.0184993

-0.0099834

-0.0473837

0.012333

-0.0180048

-0.002321

-0.0168791

-0.0001913

-0.0402702

-0.038435

0.0036699

0.012945

-0.0057273

0.0101228

0.0507651

-0.00144

-0.0029813

0.0034989

0.0018382

-0.0122956

0.0092214

-0.014299

0.0178546

-0.001777

0.0048183

-0.0150251

-0.009688

0.0565545

0.0195571

0.0051494

-0.0100038

-0.0090026

-0.0122676

-0.007145

0.0193243

0.0002223

0.0003132

-0.0168489

0.0097753

0.0417348

0.0078238

-0.011726

0.0118956

-0.0099813

0.0158132

0.0168843

-0.0134591

0.0064449

-0.0065393

-0.0107463

0.0050464

0.0113519

0.0110981

0.0056083

-0.0088404

0.0242536

5.261E-19

1.393E-18

8.247E-19

-1.56E-18

6.825E-19

1.081E-18

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

22

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

SUZLON

ACC

ITC

0.012147

-0.016475

0.0020104

0.0234945

0.0196386

0.0223235

IPCL

MARUTHI

DR.REDDY

-0.00377

-0.012716

0.002836

-0.025967

-0.01563

0.0077608

-0.01793

0.0068411

0.0062489

-0.017138

-0.00406

0.012085

0.0249317

0.0008366

-0.018413

-0.020069

0.0025732

0.024042

-0.023161

0.0059986

-0.000567

0.0135021

-0.002998

0.02636

-0.010702

0.0213999

-0.019427

-0.005366

-0.002321

0.012847

0.0037496

0.0061904

0.023486

0.0083645

-0.008017

0.013014

-0.106348

-0.0263165

0.0241696

0.0036193

-0.020965

0.027993

0.0206176

-0.0126553

0.0302592

-0.015061

-0.001855

0.013937

-0.026929

0.0041685

-0.004851

-0.004749

-0.001017

0.0274

-0.0565

0.0132549

-0.009727

0.0074171

0.0039607

0.0495

-0.016021

0.001769

0.0200798

-0.024237

-0.001083

0.004473

-0.029326

-0.0033106

-0.009639

0.0082502

0.0028531

0.005665

0.039663

0.0007165

0.014138

0.0077429

-0.00505

0.02257

0.032453

-0.0024535

-0.000987

0.0140601

0.0193586

0.0028

0.0364012

-0.0414931

0.0029628

0.0364158

-0.007342

0.029217

-0.001043

-0.0419149

0.0207287

-0.01993

-0.017562

0.000524

0.0161331

0.0392386

-0.012642

0.0041059

0.0094321

0.008097

0.0361687

0.0226862

-0.016633

-0.040752

-0.003446

0.018844

0.0051557

-0.0569894

0.0033409

-0.042154

-0.009549

0.008766

0.0091891

-0.0170645

0.0059122

-0.003169

-0.002614

0.007164

-0.018403

-0.0253155

0.0428495

0.0826874

-0.001832

0.000796

-0.002535

-0.043342

0.007138

0.0404086

-0.006622

0.011072

0.037895

0.0617273

-0.01259

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0.036326

-0.033583

-0.0515264

-0.00763

-0.008196

-0.007344

0.015785

-0.018583

0.0328539

0.0069321

0.0008113

-0.000759

-0.004867

0.0169852

-0.0048707

-0.028972

0.0033575

0.0066917

-0.010427

0.0370571

-0.0575795

0.012585

0.0128966

0.02409

0.024588

-0.004064

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-0.002979

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0.007965

-0.028803

0.0051389

-0.008457

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-0.000758

-0.040732

0.0077938

-0.022034

-0.020212

-0.001822

-0.695268

-0.006207

-0.0170156

0.0142753

-0.01804

-0.007577

0.004855

0.0043419

-0.0062279

0.0042475

0.0067149

-0.002579

0.019009

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

23

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

-0.018006

0.0216956

0.007596

0.0105188

-0.00817

0.020131

-0.020592

0.0157837

-0.009876

0.0014001

0.0190715

0.036534

-0.002243

0.0045561

0.0147815

-0.004339

0.0065337

-0.00406

-0.009342

-0.0012773

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-0.002188

0.0050424

-0.001103

-0.000469

-0.0054353

0.0093698

0.0004507

0.0075073

0.018096

0.0095728

-0.0112822

0.0125032

0.0072577

0.0162463

0.006885

0.0090012

0.0083991

-0.017243

0.0058159

-0.008374

0.023261

0.0076115

0.00162

-0.031905

-0.009234

-0.003358

0.001262

-0.011054

0.0030001

-0.020241

-0.009567

0.031027

0.005631

-0.015865

-0.0285171

6.661E-06

-0.005365

0.0238108

0.030701

0.0049839

0.0001158

-0.021341

-0.001983

0.0141345

0.022155

-0.008826

0.0311967

-0.005539

0.0049215

-0.00339

0.007882

0.0031712

-0.0132707

0.0134267

-0.004275

0.011625

0.022571

0.0567358

0.0089046

0.0098747

0.0063118

-0.013695

0.019648

0.0039927

0.0304943

0.0132114

0.0146134

-0.001838

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0.0226576

0.010415

-0.010587

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0.004485

0.0454545

-0.0146494

-0.017228

0.008085

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0.003193

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0.0101742

0.0044437

-0.003682

0.002097

0.0226267

0.0282769

0.0026939

0.0107873

4.766E-05

0.002673

0.003172

0.0533827

0.0239715

0.0092994

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0.008725

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0.0315743

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0.0137103

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0.0042255

0.020899

0.0037224

-0.0352041

0.0066634

-0.006575

0.01552

0.010237

0.0100013

0.007589

-9.35E-05

0.0085604

-0.018801

0.003722

0.0255043

0.0058717

0.0022092

0.0187732

0.0336015

0.000539

-0.007055

0.0282394

-0.007951

-0.009426

-0.006105

0.00649

0.0007118

0.0207396

0.0030706

0.00112

-0.003182

0.009671

-0.005398

0.0103091

0.0072091

0.0017158

-0.017365

0.019021

-2.99E-19

6.256E-19

1.507E-18

-1.21E-18

-9.67E-19

2.5E-18

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

24

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

HINDALCO

BPCL

GAIL

MTNL

TATAPWR

PNB

0.0300901

-0.025764

0.0043107

0.0215754

0.0174255

-0.011715

3.405E-05

-0.004334

0.0066906

-0.021092

0.0260914

-0.002286

-0.0368743

-0.005859

0.0148091

0.0173434

-0.007099

0.0035782

-0.0131351

-0.000308

0.0024142

0.0671761

-0.012666

0.0015263

0.0399105

-0.006306

-0.009077

-0.016399

-0.038649

0.0035301

-0.0357263

0.0006153

0.0030626

0.0227833

-4.45E-05

0.0137536

0.0035008

-0.008362

0.0217455

0.0089256

0.0209167

-0.022012

-0.1221294

-0.019364

0.006511

-0.004762

0.0131286

0.0027751

-0.0376079

-0.016372

-0.005372

-0.027788

-0.047151

-0.031977

0.0280197

0.0146733

-0.007072

0.0009969

-0.018532

0.0291777

0.0171191

0.0047885

-0.00216

0.0087778

-0.00344

-0.000522

-0.0207925

0.0097827

0.0119492

-0.014078

-0.049791

-0.003863

0.0142656

0.0103916

0.0120689

0.0560554

0.0441647

0.0168043

0.0172947

-0.019735

0.0265625

-0.015151

0.0088261

-0.008062

-0.0063631

0.0038516

-0.011675

0.0101869

-0.015826

-0.007192

0.0044368

-0.003854

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-0.015593

-0.004599

0.0151741

0.0130237

0.0063627

-0.012935

0.0184426

0.0028699

-0.011896

0.0010584

-0.005064

0.0133746

-0.014062

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-0.013948

0.005239

0.023582

-0.042383

-0.011687

0.0136423

-0.013807

-0.0264912

0.032163

-0.033601

0.009624

0.0014977

-0.008416

0.0269212

0.0123985

0.0338908

-0.012674

-0.006208

0.0163263

0.0136415

-0.00824

0.0158482

-0.019758

-0.023672

0.025997

-0.0464705

0.0135708

-0.016272

-0.009716

0.0442018

-0.03305

-0.0179288

0.0239624

0.0376349

-0.01109

0.0062539

0.000372

0.0164166

0.0220142

-0.016584

-0.000869

0.0365436

0.0034537

-0.0173493

0.0018398

-0.0038

-0.03285

-0.012852

-0.011346

0.001444

-0.017717

-0.063276

-0.065025

-0.00613

-0.003041

0.0086153

-0.000241

0.0330473

-0.018524

-0.026512

-0.010927

0.0158949

0.0296699

0.0220717

0.0352782

0.0118259

0.0088726

0.022826

0.0388572

-0.018691

0.0156975

0.0055538

-0.010441

0.0039378

-0.04095

-0.030925

-0.022148

0.0073844

-0.048046

-0.0202136

-0.00948

-0.01255

-0.018009

-0.006409

-0.018152

0.0340612

0.0363924

0.0218509

-0.010637

0.0191426

-0.001201

-0.0079657

0.0186587

-0.009817

-0.007901

-0.031597

0.0172566

-0.0079811

0.0010761

0.024231

0.0092325

0.0395281

0.0011651

0.0044049

0.0045103

-0.024391

0.0132636

-0.022254

-0.026332

-0.0053637

-0.024873

0.0378265

-0.003042

0.0351343

0.0023642

-0.0061496

-0.009826

0.0346704

-0.009136

0.0132704

0.0505919

-0.0221354

0.0157773

-0.019158

-0.011252

-0.002371

-0.003834

0.0166294

0.01505

-0.023721

0.0274617

-0.012268

-0.011635

0.0252772

-0.00647

-0.014963

0.0268627

-0.022514

0.0247917

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

25

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

0.0016418

-0.006901

-0.001101

0.0323963

0.0060214

-0.010222

0.0046445

-0.011954

-0.010659

0.0197829

0.0073189

0.0134816

0.0130984

0.0194019

-0.014292

0.0166086

0.0144765

0.0101278

0.0094785

-0.005861

-0.001098

-0.044689

-0.002691

0.0068224

0.0055885

-0.024789

0.0316401

-0.027657

-0.004327

-0.015381

0.0413847

0.0134615

0.0394554

0.0112957

-0.017688

-0.001443

-0.0035283

-0.012741

0.0120381

0.007244

-0.007182

-4.96E-05

-0.0164242

-0.036263

0.022092

0.0242601

0.016509

0.0046381

0.0134643

-0.007373

-0.013566

0.0044156

-0.006111

0.0162704

0.0017754

-0.011292

-0.010568

0.0226718

0.0039207

-0.01632

0.0104192

0.0139619

0.0162284

-0.02353

0.0066318

0.0034502

0.0076876

0.0256334

-0.031138

-0.006575

-0.000222

-0.006696

-0.0036458

-0.007634

-0.021579

-0.007558

-0.017655

0.0214533

0.0097711

0.0163748

0.0053436

-0.019109

0.0014833

0.0147469

-0.0051391

-0.018844

-0.001976

0.0271235

-0.00757

0.0342813

0.0040918

-0.034698

-0.003619

0.0102645

-0.005557

-0.000256

-0.0062335

-0.004459

0.0115347

-0.025458

-0.003517

0.0015764

0.0195525

-0.016851

0.0115832

-0.001251

0.0225298

-0.003137

-0.01019

0.0089145

-0.012661

0.0122071

0.0147671

0.0098056

-0.0108224

-0.004958

-0.01484

-0.008884

-0.003914

-0.006958

-2.076E-18

-4.55E-19

-2.56E-19

-1.37E-18

1.01E-18

1.066E-18

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

26

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

HERO
HONDA

HIND
PETRO

-0.005441

0.0248279

-0.008227

-0.010147

0.028921

0.0128443

0.004441

-0.005076

-0.009878

-0.006899

0.0074442

-0.012481

-0.006569

-0.014937

0.0054687

0.0197128

-0.00879

0.0098119

-0.014072

0.0655207

-0.011138

0.0197792

0.0187938

0.0398507

-0.025449

-0.009386

0.0075581

-0.005412

0.0191746

0.0068092

0.016893

0.0226117

0.0247105

-0.022169

-0.012249

-0.014958

-0.056845

-0.036375

-0.004535

-0.002622

-0.009857

-0.003386

0.000908

0.0065683

0.0051968

0.0006337

-0.014939

-0.003736

-0.019944

-0.001412

-0.0037

-0.014987

-0.004813

-0.015452

0.016237

-0.022961

0.0005129

-0.00104

-0.026444

0.0126708

0.005303

-0.014749

-0.0312

-0.001752

-0.01767

0.025689

0.016132

-0.034233

-0.017289

-0.002703

-0.010503

-0.005185

0.002044

-0.038872

-0.004199

-0.028186

0.0269019

-0.015019

-0.008646

0.0155147

-0.015782

-0.005769

0.0121097

0.0375473

0.002902

0.0173796

-0.004606

0.0084791

0.0028635

-0.048678

-0.001063

-0.008627

-0.037793

0.0125244

0.0035756

-0.002206

-0.005669

-0.020825

-0.042184

0.005181

0.0092837

0.0102512

-0.020575

-0.019753

0.0312647

0.000543

0.0003808

-0.000798

-0.022215

-0.003409

0.0111692

-0.006983

0.0234994

0.0121607

0.013377

-0.012923

-0.021933

-0.022896

0.0021767

-0.027562

0.010206

0.0044286

-0.033193

0.0086936

-0.005948

0.0273098

-0.012571

0.0470495

-0.012026

-0.032255

-0.01232

-0.030234

-0.00366

0.00457

0.0369361

0.0283574

-0.006384

-0.02504

0.005997

-0.019269

-0.005005

-0.004713

0.0005788

0.0065386

-0.015647

-0.013121

-0.001367

0.0081027

0.0002029

-0.01173

-0.022474

0.0097259

0.0330882

0.01731

0.0362222

-0.015067

-0.008323

0.0234221

-0.062342

0.0164159

-0.023436

-0.017006

0.009233

-0.026724

-0.029562

-0.027738

0.0054484

0.0104703

-0.005309

0.0034768

0.0146867

0.003494

-7.92E-05

-4.31E-06

0.030817

-0.00494

0.0168579

0.0247355

0.0096642

-0.005499

-0.023267

0.0107968

-0.003211

-0.008257

-1.29E-05

-0.030178

0.028292

-0.002181

0.0075723

0.0023511

0.0030949

-0.003498

-0.015176

0.0145386

0.0011472

-0.010261

0.0004514

-0.012842

0.018586

-0.006546

0.037725

0.0135813

-0.016106

0.0275086

-0.012378

-0.006114

-0.021347

0.0212875

0.0016517

0.0228408

0.012223

0.0530356

-0.030133

0.0253286

-0.009972

0.0320004

GRASIM

VSNL

GLAXO

DABUR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

27

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

-0.002867

0.029567

0.0044556

-0.012955

-0.022445

-0.020713

0.015516

-0.004674

0.0057766

0.0297796

-0.012172

0.0085048

0.000236

-0.008773

0.0138583

-0.004864

-0.002271

-0.006987

0.000781

-0.003547

-0.013999

-0.004632

-0.020603

0.0440744

0.003553

0.0113427

0.0169462

-0.002914

-0.016548

0.0079334

0.001975

0.0230614

0.024999

-0.004287

0.0326316

-0.00956

0.00381

-0.031097

0.0112128

0.0142825

-0.000813

-0.008938

0.00547

0.0116976

-0.026333

-0.001753

0.0084415

0.0133586

-0.009714

0.0519918

0.0212056

-0.007108

-0.007262

-0.029752

0.002478

0.0176028

0.0283277

0.0059664

-0.006129

0.005298

-0.003708

0.0050936

0.0155062

0.0038864

-0.006295

0.0017328

-0.009386

0.0051644

-0.005758

0.0011801

0.0238278

0.0111073

0.033459

-0.007312

0.0220651

0.0027401

-0.001174

-0.01873

0.026554

-0.023508

-0.001898

0.0023096

0.0069752

-0.006249

0.03289

0.0220281

0.0219983

-0.034943

-0.000647

0.0071117

0.00447

-0.015395

0.0065845

0.0002838

0.0035333

0.0487228

-0.019396

0.0018981

-0.015688

-0.002121

0.0167275

0.0135165

0.002265

-0.036992

0.0134138

0.0064423

0.0033907

-0.041981

0.005446

-0.007297

-0.000568

0.0054476

-0.008668

-0.002217

-0.000792

-0.005481

0.0047899

0.0071414

-0.010337

0.0154945

0.003433

-0.019316

-0.018133

-0.022953

0.0157379

-0.001778

-0.011265

-0.01323

0.0220754

0.004553

-0.015254

-0.014523

-0.001214

0.0142131

0.0289835

-0.005091

0.0285188

-0.018101

0.011007

-0.013127

-0.014184

-0.009918

-0.013105

0.0041899

0.0167

-0.004944

0.011119

0.0078052

-0.02898

0.0047408

-2.28E-19

-5.69E-20

3.128E-18

1.152E-18

3.981E-19

-5.83E-19

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

28

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

BAJAJ
AUTO

SATYAM

BHEL

TATA
MOTORS

TATASTEEL

0.0260349

0.001875

-0.008027

0.022985336

0.026831677

0.02743379

0.003573

-0.003063

-0.001081569

0.011540996

-0.00020898

-0.003271

-0.010814

0.008344703

-0.056224561

-0.01467125

0.007895

-0.006688

-0.001117357

0.021939582

-0.04287343

0.022503

-0.00082

-0.011349965

0.036759582

0.03969517

0.006852

0.0070123

0.010650863

0.01490657

-0.01822066

0.013432

0.0043382

-0.04338219

0.008323294

0.00019319

0.000167

-0.001031

-0.019357003

-0.007884758

0.00409379

-0.679689

-0.030351

0.035403349

0.004429973

-0.00824621

0.013997

-0.025143

0.009869811

-0.005847607

-0.00274539

0.03437

0.0110446

-0.002760123

-0.007572949

0.01011849

0.005827

-0.019556

0.011055765

-0.006727837

0.00026803

0.002267

0.0164117

-0.032192416

0.014242354

0.00965276

0.013453

0.0047999

0.041454847

-0.023397433

-0.02181256

0.048564

0.0018174

-0.017902627

-0.021941148

-0.00492288

0.011203

-0.006854

0.014390438

-0.033083004

-0.0144538

0.002566

0.0169197

0.023361588

-0.008607725

-0.00911583

-0.016958

0.0084299

0.006639866

0.009696657

0.03001492

0.012504

0.0151148

0.002252903

-0.004453087

0.03627497

0.01174

0.0154294

0.021443736

-0.022001719

0.02045729

0.015387

0.0314792

-0.006320785

0.029269858

0.0207648

-0.00138

0.0171009

-0.00270044

-0.025390162

-0.01876019

-0.008515

-0.02607

0.000875204

-0.032665767

-0.01963212

0.040317

-0.011988

-0.036194624

0.009392657

-0.0161031

-0.006976

-0.00303

-0.017134409

0.000737147

0.00601493

-0.016306

-0.002596

0.005909202

-0.007250633

0.00322517

0.004411

-0.010067

0.048720566

0.017959788

-0.00128142

0.002371

0.0054564

0.009694327

0.016454828

-0.01738568

0.002448

0.0080861

-0.018218013

-0.010906046

0.04205361

0.012823

-0.029834

-0.002960706

0.029150915

-0.02759171

0.035162

-0.008753

-0.021120961

0.025445278

0.00310986

-0.011071

6.043E-05

-0.003795327

0.037813092

-0.00794292

0.007259

-0.001156

-0.018831973

-0.013315572

0.01309164

0.023169

-0.009335

0.005831966

0.003875044

-0.00192757

-0.003886

0.0085836

-0.003769631

0.002956716

0.00030354

0.037278

-0.016712

0.025869057

-0.015995359

0.01921606

0.009572

0.0062729

-0.009220318

-0.006649255

-0.00468538

0.028591

0.0221073

-0.016213483

0.01445812

0.00429102

0.013968

-0.008742

0.017804799

0.001711327

-0.03250209

0.053256

-0.001499

-0.015541824

-0.000871102

-0.00188159

-0.019212

0.0254068

0.011510876

-0.01625877

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

29

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

-0.01016531

0.009895

-0.025783

-0.005043433

-0.014388144

-0.00715113

0.009746

-0.008437

-0.002442797

-0.026486335

-0.00891429

-0.007194

0.003615

-0.029349957

0.007590422

-0.01634732

0.01499

-0.01565

-0.009940635

-0.030071254

0.01699415

0.019811

0.0010582

0.010155316

0.050788976

0.00931298

0.013577

0.0335016

-0.023131929

0.01743922

-0.00466067

-0.009758

-0.022742

-0.017920863

0.008426274

-0.00871966

0.014619

-0.002273

-0.003176162

-0.012170256

-0.0199778

0.015819

-0.006131

-0.02006061

-0.018112641

0.00563166

0.020126

-0.000954

0.010156143

0.017830916

-0.02002623

0.000962

-0.012388

0.006688775

0.03205139

-0.00622482

0.034005

-0.017466

0.003006426

-0.010639779

0.0050816

0.034969

0.0407902

0.005199562

0.019105231

0.01705864

0.019464

-0.022332

0.013029328

-0.009025067

0.0127717

0.023053

0.0071087

-0.002219559

-0.019995781

0.02089503

0.015209

0.0220611

-0.003881685

-0.027216112

-0.00308063

0.005034

0.0218941

0.014649772

0.002239175

0.00939136

0.008291

0.0042351

-0.015007285

-0.003217396

-0.00039056

0.006625

0.0299164

0.024480481

0.014347955

-0.02082191

0.019219

-0.013769

0.011905653

-0.009347758

-1.1944E-18

8.13E-18

-8.53E-20

2.33192E-18

-2.10442E-18

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

30

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

CUMULATIVE AVERAGE ABNORMAL RETURNS (CAAR)


T
-30
-29
-28
-27
-26
-25
-24
-23
-22
-21
-20
-19
-18
-17
-16
-15
-14
-13
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

RELIANCE INFOSYS
0.0028605
-0.002089
-0.003138
-0.001712
0.0007731
0.0063297
0.0110231
0.0072104
0.0100841
0.0159326
0.0100307
0.023873
0.0455224
0.0372732
0.0451411
0.0401772
0.0323781
0.0120392
0.0034121
0.0103751
0.0078463
0.0068511
0.001862
-0.006959
-0.010289
-0.012251
-0.017185
0.0020021
-0.008492
-0.008857
-0.01553
-0.019472
-0.018094
-0.019303
-0.018348
-0.024918
-0.023817
-0.021646
-0.018731
-0.015547
-0.02622

-0.001823
-0.012336
-0.027277
-0.032747
-0.018168
-0.014558
-0.007802
-0.021826
-0.022618
-0.015071
-0.019784
-0.029075
-0.032165
-0.035312
-0.035475
-0.039413
-0.027393
-0.036985
-0.050413
-0.047912
-0.025547
-0.023174
-0.011462
-0.008047
0.0321205
0.0358927
0.0552857
0.0483383
0.0353575
0.0367368
0.0413481
0.0385383
0.040726
0.0304358
0.0401176
0.0337395
0.0425054
0.0322133
0.029706
0.0142358
0.0053084

TCS
-0.00437
-0.00817
0.01338
-0.00281
-0.01478
-0.0084
-0.01053
-0.0025
-0.01535
-0.02401
-0.02182
-0.0165
-0.00111
-0.00569
0.00743
0.01575
0.02723
0.0477
0.03793
0.04135
0.03625
0.05037
0.04648
0.0584
0.06879
0.06407
0.06101
0.04618
0.04649
0.03641
0.04457
0.04329
0.04065
0.0337
0.0242
0.01684
0.01526
0.01106
0.00754
0.00502
0.00424

ICICI
-0.0083
0.02259
-0.0035
0.00668
-0.00926
0.00557
-0.08045
-0.10778
-0.07582
-0.12678
-0.16377
-0.18107
-0.11178
-0.06343
-0.08147
-0.10698
-0.10122
-0.06557
-0.07712
-0.08233
-0.11813
-0.10395
-0.122
-0.10616
-0.14639
-0.13003
-0.1327
-0.13224
-0.11409
-0.12095
-0.14664
-0.11866
-0.13396
-0.14502
-0.14794
-0.13355
-0.15383
-0.17002
-0.18088
-0.1909
-0.14433

ONGC
0.008995
0.009146
-0.00307
-0.02381
-0.03036
-0.03764
-0.02996
-0.04111
-0.02798
-0.01269
-0.00971
-0.02282
-0.01933
-0.02223
-0.03248
-0.03354
-0.02334
-0.02727
-0.04279
-0.02979
-0.04109
-0.06809
-0.06567
-0.05072
-0.01614
-0.00965
0.009064
0.005739
0.011281
0.023314
0.003234
0.007093
0.002166
0.002232
-0.00488
0.003838
0.028979
0.055828
0.066076
0.048698
0.06007

SAIL
0.011617
0.015775
0.047504
0.033138
0.002347
-0.016945
-0.01315
-0.028655
-0.027197
-0.004574
-0.00684
-0.006653
-0.022079
-0.056104
-0.053249
-0.064385
-0.066568
-0.071229
-0.079324
-0.00063
-0.034981
-0.041258
-0.042657
-0.059285
-0.054811
-0.057083
-0.003103
0.035538
0.049863
0.017833
0.023434
0.009415
-0.031153
-0.029744
-0.000319
-0.015022
-0.020935
-0.025422
-0.023929
-0.023657
-0.025848

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

31

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

-0.032867
-0.036697
-0.041386
-0.035576
-0.041911
-0.0353
-0.01916
-0.021691
-0.016524
-0.006717
-0.001545
0.0011133
0.0023366
-0.003764
-0.02205
-0.011733
0.0121234
-0.00991
0.0033576
-9.37E-17

0.0011331
0.0181649
0.0333635
0.0333115
0.0247842
0.0278426
0.0483667
0.0505496
0.0392509
0.037649
0.0663362
0.0525451
0.029654
0.0359749
0.0331683
0.0202936
0.0057769
-0.000398
0.0034444
9.801E-17

0.00214
-0.00442
-0.00258
-0.00281
0.00197
0.00442
0.01311
0.01662
0.00587
0.02524
0.03348
0.03871
0.03141
0.0072
0.04097
0.02238
0.01289
0.02814
0.02964
0.01865

-0.11758
-0.16116
-0.09399
-0.10736
-0.05796
-0.06225
-0.05834
-0.06187
-0.04365
-0.05295
-0.05707
-0.04048
-0.06279
-0.02798
0.01804
0.00734
0.01991
-0.00759
-0.02236
0

0.05196
0.040102
0.044608
0.018499
0.035606
0.018949
0.015515
0.01933
0.039157
0.039502
0.039279
0.040846
0.031949
0.019258
0.019754
0.021502
-0.0005
0.002652
-0.00227
1.91E-17

0.009134
-0.004617
0.003138
-0.008074
0.01854
0.029336
0.050656
0.064353
0.027934
0.039429
0.018988
-0.028396
-0.068666
-0.017901
-0.008679
-0.018367
-0.030635
-0.02086
-0.005046
3.21E-17

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

32

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

SBIN

GUJ
AMB

-0.0128

-0.0258

0.0007879

-0.0441

-0.0222

-0.018554

-0.0015

0.05119

0.0356415

-0.0383

0.00368

-0.004386

-0.00332

0.039988

0.05796501

SIEMENS

CIPLA
0.00314

STER
0.001308

SUZLON
0.012147

0.03314

0.00089

0.0761365

0.031335

0.042529

0.08289666

-0.0521

0.00819

0.0442241

0.017487

0.055441

0.05973589

-0.095

0.00096

-0.039799

0.041039

0.045091

0.04903399

-0.1004

0.01877

-0.065081

0.029437

0.023521

0.05278357

-0.0769

0.02164

-0.048825

0.021498

0.038918

-0.05356483

0.10062

0.03067

-0.058079

0.036277

0.060603

-0.03294728

-0.0883

0.03404

-0.075043

0.028488

0.105025

-0.05987638

-0.0877

0.0658

-0.044446

0.028224

0.086557

-0.11637686

-0.0735

0.05303

-0.03064

0.055696

0.071917

-0.13239818

0.08341

-0.0047

-0.049905

0.026118

0.07916

-0.16172429

-0.0569

-0.0003

-0.060676

0.045705

0.054889

-0.12206128

-0.0757

-0.0065

-0.036093

0.044132

0.045771

-0.08960828

-0.1036

-0.0252

-0.027701

0.047218

0.048473

-0.05320709

0.07691

0.01

-0.02074

0.056579

0.063264

-0.05424987

-0.1174

0.01708

-0.039997

0.067252

0.009757

-0.03811675

-0.0935

0.03669

0.0038231

0.047559

-0.00354

-0.00194808

-0.1132

0.03629

-0.000943

0.048789

0.000471

0.00320759

-0.0803

0.04043

-0.018211

0.037934

0.003426

0.0123967

-0.1199

0.03161

-0.007543

0.016804

0.033705

-0.00600585

-0.1674

0.03686

0.004366

0.030198

0.038193

-0.00854127

-0.1652

0.02756

0.001651

0.018028

0.04815

0.02935377

-0.1871

0.01092

-0.012544

0.012703

0.050497

-0.00422935

-0.1812

0.00531

-0.011407

0.029757

0.051024

-0.02281237

-0.069

0.01868

-0.024027

0.043773

0.031967

-0.00582718

-0.1916

0.03687

-0.03615

0.069356

0.055457

0.03122991

-0.138

0.00627

-0.047532

0.041383

0.109269

0.02716572

-0.136

0.00207

-0.026278

0.033439

0.085868

-0.00163714

-0.1481

0.01753

-0.032052

0.051526

0.083686

-0.04236928

-0.1683

-0.0074

-0.043346

0.055914

0.076074

-0.04857587

-0.1565

-0.0033

-0.042606

0.055912

0.067847

-0.04423398

-0.096

0.03393

-0.037392

0.036013

0.058142

-0.06223979

-0.0977

0.03427

-0.047796

0.030754

0.046564

-0.08283207

-0.1069

-0.0099

-0.053545

0.024752

0.072083

-0.08507458

-0.1183

-0.0569

-0.04629

0.006817

0.05843

-0.09441634

-0.1463

-0.0508

-0.060646

0.018764

0.085016

-0.094885

-0.1399

0.00841

-0.055578

0.016232

0.047784

-0.08531218

-0.1559

0.00515

-0.003387

0.028979

0.049348

-0.07631096

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

33

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

-0.154

-0.0716

0.0067266

0.04904

0.045468

-0.0686995

-0.1219

-0.0154

0.0337777

0.041361

0.049684

-0.07975335

-0.0976

-0.0265

0.0167047

0.051482

0.033597

-0.09561817

-0.073

-0.0694

-0.002585

0.048631

0.053979

-0.0906343

-0.0712

-0.0685

-0.026673

0.023757

0.033572

-0.09946066

-0.079

-0.0325

-0.022077

0.029313

0.030715

-0.09628948

-0.1077

-0.03

-0.022227

0.002083

0.050507

-0.0395537

-0.0935

-0.0392

-0.052129

0.015881

0.059065

-0.035561

-0.0945

-0.0191

-0.030484

0.01042

0.040549

-0.01290338

-0.0834

0.01362

-0.013824

0.015622

0.035708

0.03255113

-0.0705

-0.0383

-0.012048

0.010625

0.049698

0.00300112

-0.0775

-0.0449

-0.018045

0.029125

0.039715

0.02562778

-0.0652

-0.0629

-0.020365

0.012245

0.039523

0.02879979

-0.1036

-0.0592

-0.00742

0.006518

0.049646

0.01219191

-0.1051

-0.0622

-0.003921

0.008356

0.037351

-0.02748686

-0.1194

-0.0443

-0.005699

0.013175

0.022326

-0.02376442

-0.0628

-0.0248

-0.000549

0.003171

0.013323

-0.01376316

-0.07

-0.0055

-0.000327

0.003484

-0.00353

0.01174114

-0.0282

0.00236

-0.012053

0.01538

-0.01351

0.00468612

-0.0114

-0.0111

-0.005608

0.00884

-0.02425

0.00539795

8.5E-17

5E-17

-9.54E-17

4.16E-17

6.59E-17

-1.8215E-17

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

34

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

ACC
-0.01647

ITC
0.00201

IPCL

MARUTHI

DR.REDDY

HINDALCO

-0.00377

-0.0127

0.0028364

0.03009

0.00316

-0.02396

-0.0194

-0.005

-0.0150937

0.030124

0.01

-0.01771

-0.036538

-0.009

-0.0030091

-0.00675

0.01084

-0.03612

-0.056607

-0.0064

0.02103337

-0.01989

0.01684

-0.03669

-0.043105

-0.0094

0.04739313

0.020025

0.03824

-0.05611

-0.048471

-0.0118

0.06024015

-0.0157

0.04443

-0.03263

-0.040106

-0.0198

0.07325392

-0.0122

0.01811

-0.00846

-0.036487

-0.0407

0.10124663

-0.13433

0.00546

0.0218

-0.051548

-0.0426

0.11518323

-0.17194

0.00963

0.016949

-0.056297

-0.0436

0.14258364

-0.14392

0.02288

0.007222

-0.04888

-0.0397

0.19208404

-0.1268

0.02465

0.027302

-0.073117

-0.0407

0.19655684

-0.14759

0.02134

0.017663

-0.064867

-0.0379

0.20222172

-0.13333

0.02206

0.031801

-0.057124

-0.0429

0.22479131

-0.11603

0.0196

0.030814

-0.043064

-0.0236

0.22759132

-0.12239

-0.02189

0.033777

-0.006648

-0.0309

0.25680811

-0.11796

-0.0638

0.054506

-0.026578

-0.0485

0.25733164

-0.10493

-0.02457

0.041864

-0.022472

-0.039

0.26542907

-0.10388

-0.00188

0.025231

-0.063224

-0.0425

0.28427351

-0.09864

-0.05887

0.028572

-0.105379

-0.052

0.29303912

-0.12513

-0.07593

0.034484

-0.108548

-0.0547

0.30020281

-0.09821

-0.10125

0.077333

-0.025861

-0.0565

0.30099834

-0.08456

-0.14459

0.084471

0.0145479

-0.0631

0.31207077

-0.13104

-0.08286

0.071882

-0.009184

-0.0654

0.34839713

-0.14896

-0.13439

0.064252

-0.01738

-0.0728

0.36418218

-0.13255

-0.10154

0.071184

-0.016569

-0.0735

0.35931549

-0.1499

-0.10641

0.042211

-0.013211

-0.0668

0.34888878

-0.14845

-0.16399

0.054796

-0.000315

-0.0427

0.37347689

-0.13984

-0.20641

0.051818

-0.007734

-0.0455

0.38144151

-0.12394

-0.20127

0.043361

-0.011775

-0.0505

0.38068305

-0.10112

-0.19348

0.021326

-0.031987

-0.0523

-0.3145852

-0.09718

-0.21049

0.035602

-0.050027

-0.0599

-0.3097297

-0.11739

-0.21672

0.039849

-0.043313

-0.0625

-0.2907205

-0.08333

-0.19503

0.047445

-0.032794

-0.0706

-0.2705893

-0.0913

-0.17924

0.037569

-0.031394

-0.0516

-0.2340553

-0.09928

-0.17469

0.05235

-0.035732

-0.045

-0.2381157

-0.09487

-0.17596

0.04333

-0.03792

-0.04

-0.2392187

-0.10024

-0.1814

0.0527

-0.037469

-0.0325

-0.2211222

-0.10639

-0.19268

0.065203

-0.030212

-0.0162

-0.2142376

-0.12852

-0.18428

0.04796

-0.024396

-0.0246

-0.1909763

-0.11189

-0.18266

0.016056

-0.03363

-0.028

-0.1897141

-0.08661

-0.17966

-0.00419

-0.043197

0.00305

-0.1840826

-0.08497

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

35

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

-0.20818

-0.00418

-0.048562

0.02686

-0.1533817

-0.08033

-0.20806

-0.02552

-0.050545

0.041

-0.1312269

-0.06723

-0.17687

-0.03106

-0.045623

0.03761

-0.123345

-0.05775

-0.19014

-0.01763

-0.049898

0.04923

-0.1007738

-0.05216

-0.18123

-0.00776

-0.043586

0.03554

-0.0811259

-0.01078

-0.15074

0.005454

-0.028973

0.0337

-0.0823406

-0.01431

-0.14032

-0.00513

-0.029578

0.02064

-0.0778554

-0.03073

-0.15497

-0.02236

-0.021493

0.00551

-0.0746624

-0.01727

-0.16449

-0.01219

-0.017049

0.00183

-0.0725655

-0.01549

-0.13621

-0.00949

-0.006262

0.00188

-0.069893

-0.00507

-0.08283

0.014478

0.0030379

-0.0038

-0.0611682

0.002615

-0.05125

-0.00096

-0.001148

-0.0079

-0.0705786

-0.00103

-0.03754

-0.01111

-0.014168

-0.0037

-0.0496799

0.008741

-0.07275

-0.00444

-0.020743

0.01185

-0.0394431

0.003602

-0.06516

-0.00454

-0.012183

-0.0069

-0.0357212

0.007693

-0.05929

-0.00233

0.0065905

0.02665

-0.0351824

0.00146

-0.03105

-0.01028

-0.002836

0.02055

-0.0286924

0.021012

-0.01031

-0.00721

-0.001716

0.01737

-0.0190211

0.010822

3.8E-17

9.19E-17

-7.37E-17

-6E-17

1.5266E-16

-1.3E-16

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

36

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

BPCL
-0.025764
-0.030099
-0.035958
-0.036266
-0.042572
-0.041956
-0.050318
-0.069682
-0.086054
-0.07138
-0.066592
-0.056809
-0.046417
-0.066153
-0.062301
-0.066155
-0.059792
-0.064857
-0.041275
-0.009112
0.003287
-0.004953
0.008617
0.03258
0.054594
0.056434
0.038716
0.038476
0.068146
0.107003
0.066053
0.056573
0.092965
0.111624
0.1127
0.11721
0.092337
0.082512
0.098289
0.113339
0.106869
0.099968

GAIL
0.004311
0.011001
0.02581
0.028224
0.019148
0.02221
0.043956
0.050467
0.045094
0.038023
0.035863
0.047812
0.059881
0.086443
0.074768
0.055804
0.042868
0.056243
0.01386
-0.01974
0.01415
0.029998
0.013726
0.051361
0.034776
0.030977
-0.0323
0.000748
0.02282
0.004129
-0.0268
-0.03935
-0.0175
-0.02731
-0.00308
-0.02747
0.010353
0.045023
0.025865
0.002144
-0.01282
-0.01392

MTNL
0.021575
0.000483
0.017826
0.085002
0.068603
0.091386
0.100312
0.09555
0.067762
0.068759
0.077537
0.063459
0.119514
0.104363
0.11455
0.098957
0.1174
0.103337
0.091651
0.101275
0.088601
0.068843
0.059126
0.048036
0.047167
0.014318
-0.05071
-0.06923
-0.03395
-0.01826
-0.0404
-0.05841
-0.06905
-0.07695
-0.06772
-0.05445
-0.0575
-0.06663
-0.07788
-0.05042
-0.02356
0.008837

TATA PWR
0.017425
0.043517
0.036418
0.023751
-0.014898
-0.014943
0.005974
0.019103
-0.028048
-0.04658
-0.05002
-0.099811
-0.055647
-0.04682
-0.062646
-0.067245
-0.064376
-0.078418
-0.064775
-0.063278
-0.069486
-0.093157
-0.048956
-0.042702
-0.006158
-0.01901
-0.02514
-0.051652
-0.039826
-0.034272
-0.026887
-0.033296
-0.014154
-0.045751
-0.006223
-0.028477
0.006657
0.019928
0.017557
0.00529
-0.017224
-0.011203

PNB
-0.011715
-0.014001
-0.010423
-0.008896
-0.005366
0.008387
-0.013625
-0.01085
-0.042827
-0.013649
-0.014171
-0.018035
-0.00123
-0.009292
-0.016484
-0.00131
-0.013207
-0.027155
-0.040962
-0.049378
-0.033052
-0.007055
-0.040105
-0.039733
-0.036279
-0.047625
-0.050666
-0.061592
-0.052719
-0.063161
-0.111207
-0.129359
-0.130559
-0.113303
-0.112138
-0.138469
-0.136105
-0.085513
-0.089348
-0.100983
-0.076191
-0.086413

HERO
HONDA
-0.00544
-0.001
-0.00757
-0.02164
-0.04709
-0.0302
-0.08704
-0.08614
-0.10608
-0.08984
-0.08454
-0.06841
-0.06636
-0.07501
-0.07211
-0.07317
-0.07884
-0.09941
-0.12163
-0.10825
-0.09805
-0.11062
-0.11428
-0.10828
-0.12393
-0.1464
-0.15472
-0.14549
-0.1508
-0.11998
-0.14325
-0.11496
-0.13013
-0.11155
-0.12392
-0.1117
-0.11457
-0.09905
-0.09882
-0.09804
-0.09448
-0.09251

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

37

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

0.088015
0.107417
0.101556
0.076767
0.090228
0.077488
0.041224
0.033851
0.022559
0.036521
0.062154
0.05452
0.070895
0.052051
0.017353
0.012894
-0.003957
0.004958
-2.78E-17

-0.02458
-0.03887
-0.03997
-0.00833
0.031127
0.043165
0.065257
0.051691
0.041123
0.057351
0.026213
0.004634
0.009977
0.008002
0.004383
0.015918
0.027501
0.01484
-1.6E-17

0.02862
0.045229
0.000539
-0.02712
-0.01582
-0.00858
0.015682
0.020098
0.04277
0.01924
0.012665
0.005107
-0.014
0.013122
0.023386
-0.00207
-0.00332
0.008884
-8.3E-17

-0.003884
0.010592
0.007901
0.003575
-0.014113
-0.021296
-0.004787
-0.010897
-0.006977
-0.000345
-0.000567
-0.018222
-0.016739
-0.024309
-0.029866
-0.033383
-0.010853
0.003914
6.16E-17

-0.072931
-0.062804
-0.055981
-0.071362
-0.072805
-0.072855
-0.068217
-0.051946
-0.068266
-0.064816
-0.071512
-0.050058
-0.035311
-0.00103
-0.001287
0.00029
-0.002847
0.006958
6.51E-17

-0.0887
-0.08323
-0.09294
-0.09046
-0.09417
-0.10356
-0.0701
-0.04354
-0.01065
-0.00618
-0.02558
-0.02332
-0.01787
-0.01866
-0.01523
-0.02649
-0.02771
-0.0167
0

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

38

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

HIND PETRO
0.02482794
0.01975184
0.00481517
0.07033583
0.06095011
0.08356179
0.04718723
0.05375556
0.05234333
0.0293821
0.01463324
-0.0196002
-0.0584723
-0.0429576
-0.0255781
-0.0342053
-0.0550304
-0.074783
-0.0781916
-0.0911146
-0.086686
-0.0396365
-0.0350665
-0.0543351
-0.0674559
-0.0577299
-0.0343079
-0.0610322
-0.0575554
-0.0624959
-0.0516991
-0.0538801
-0.0393416
-0.0458875
-0.0520016
0.00103402
0.03060102
0.02592737
0.01715389
0.01360674
0.02494944
0.04801088
0.01691373

GRASIM
-0.0082266
-0.0181045
-0.0126358
-0.0237739
-0.0162158
0.0084947
0.0039598
0.0091566
0.005457
0.0059699
-0.0252305
-0.0425196
-0.0467186
-0.0625008
-0.0671069
-0.1048999
-0.1470835
-0.1158188
-0.1046496
-0.1265825
-0.1597754
-0.1718017
-0.1348657
-0.139871
-0.1412384
-0.1081502
-0.170492
-0.2000537
-0.185367
-0.1685091
-0.1717203
-0.164148
-0.1630008
-0.1252758
-0.1466229
-0.1767561
-0.1723005
-0.1665239
-0.1526656
-0.1666647
-0.1497184
-0.1247194
-0.1135067

VSNL
-0.01015
-0.01705
0.002666
0.022446
0.017033
-0.00514
-0.00776
-0.00712
-0.02211
-0.02315
-0.0249
-0.02761
-0.05579
-0.06156
-0.05308
-0.04056
-0.03538
-0.03483
-0.04182
-0.06471
-0.05602
-0.08827
-0.05992
-0.06463
-0.05653
-0.03922
-0.0228
-0.05054
-0.04704
-0.02231
-0.03057
-0.02822
-0.03848
-0.02489
-0.00361
0.021721
0.008766
0.038545
0.033681
0.029049
0.026135
0.021849
0.036131

GLAXO
0.02892
0.03637
0.02757
0.04637
0.06554
0.05329
0.04344
0.0285
0.02369
-0.00276
-0.02043
-0.03093
-0.00403
0.00808
0.01094
0.01452
0.0238
0.02418
0.04768
0.04986
0.04391
0.03159
0.02521
0.02579
0.02599
0.06221
0.03878
0.04423
0.04415
0.05381
0.0538
0.05689
0.05734
0.04124
0.04289
0.03292
0.01047
-0.0017
-0.00397
-0.02457
-0.04112
-0.00849
-0.0093

DABUR
0.012844
0.000364
0.010176
0.050026
0.056836
0.041877
0.038492
0.034756
0.019304
0.031974
0.057663
0.052479
0.037459
0.075007
0.026329
0.024122
0.034374
0.033576
0.045737
0.018175
0.045484
0.015251
-0.00979
-0.00325
-0.01498
-0.03005
-0.04705
-0.03658
-0.03659
-0.04209
-0.07226
-0.07576
-0.0886
-0.0611
-0.03825
-0.00625
-0.02697
-0.01846
-0.02545
0.018624
0.026558
0.016997
0.008059

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

39

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

0.02861131
0.08060316
0.09820593
0.10329951
0.10846393
0.10115143
0.07764319
0.0996713
0.08427621
0.08617429
0.0491822
0.04188528
0.03640395
0.01708836
0.00385789
0.018071
0.00494398
0

-0.1398397
-0.118634
-0.0903064
-0.0748002
-0.0805581
-0.058493
-0.0603911
-0.0383928
-0.0318083
-0.0474966
-0.0340828
-0.0346509
-0.029861
-0.0479939
-0.0259184
0.0030651
-0.011119
1.908E-16

0.034378
0.02727
0.033236
0.037122
0.038303
0.041043
0.043352
0.008409
0.008693
0.006572
0.013015
0.018462
0.025603
0.00265
0.007203
0.002113
-0.00781
7.03E-17

-0.00086
-0.00812
-0.01425
-0.02055
0.00328
0.00211
0.00908
0.00844
0.01197
0.0287
0.03209
0.02342
0.01308
0.02882
0.01357
0.04208
0.02898
0

0.021418
-0.00833
-0.00304
-0.0013
0.009804
-0.00893
-0.01518
-0.00806
0.040659
0.054175
0.012194
0.009977
0.025471
0.023693
0.00917
-0.00893
-0.00474
-3.6E-17

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

40

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

BAJAJ AUTO

SATYAM

BHEL

TATA MOTORS

TATA STEEL

0.026034903

0.00187459

-0.008

0.022985336

0.02683168

0.053468693

0.00544712

-0.0111

0.021903767

0.03837267

0.053259713

0.00217642

-0.0219

0.03024847

-0.0178519

0.038588459

0.01007136

-0.0286

0.029131113

0.00408769

-0.004284974

0.03257465

-0.0294

0.017781148

0.04084728

0.0354102

0.03942671

-0.0224

0.028432011

0.05575385

0.017189545

0.05285903

-0.0181

-0.01495018

0.06407714

0.017382737

0.05302607

-0.0191

-0.034307183

0.05619238

0.021476531

-0.62666286

-0.0494

0.001096166

0.06062235

0.013230319

-0.61266619

-0.0746

0.010965977

0.05477475

0.010484933

-0.57829569

-0.0635

0.008205855

0.0472018

0.020603427

-0.57246897

-0.0831

0.01926162

0.04047396

0.020871456

-0.57020161

-0.0667

-0.012930796

0.05471632

0.030524218

-0.55674901

-0.0619

0.028524051

0.03131888

0.008711657

-0.50818537

-0.0601

0.010621424

0.00937774

0.003788782

-0.49698246

-0.0669

0.025011862

-0.0237053

-0.010665014

-0.49441645

-0.05

0.04837345

-0.032313

-0.019780848

-0.51137431

-0.0416

0.055013316

-0.0226163

0.010234071

-0.49887016

-0.0265

0.057266219

-0.0270694

0.046509041

-0.48712979

-0.011

0.078709955

-0.0490711

0.066966332

-0.47174254

0.02045

0.07238917

-0.0198013

0.087731136

-0.47312221

0.03755

0.06968873

-0.0451914

0.068970946

-0.48163674

0.01148

0.070563935

-0.0778572

0.049338831

-0.44132017

-0.0005

0.034369311

-0.0684646

0.033235729

-0.44829627

-0.0035

0.017234902

-0.0677274

0.039250654

-0.46460178

-0.0061

0.023144105

-0.074978

0.042475828

-0.46019057

-0.0162

0.071864671

-0.0570183

0.041194407

-0.45781954

-0.0107

0.081558998

-0.0405634

0.023808729

-0.45537128

-0.0027

0.063340985

-0.0514695

0.065862341

-0.44254801

-0.0325

0.060380279

-0.0223186

0.038270633

-0.40738599

-0.0412

0.039259317

0.00312672

0.041380492

-0.41845724

-0.0412

0.03546399

0.04093982

0.033437568

-0.41119851

-0.0423

0.016632016

0.02762424

0.046529204

-0.38802952

-0.0517

0.022463982

0.03149929

0.044601635

-0.39191534

-0.0431

0.018694351

0.034456

0.044905173

-0.35463728

-0.0598

0.044563408

0.01846064

0.06412123

-0.3450649

-0.0535

0.035343089

0.01181139

0.059435854

-0.316474

-0.0314

0.019129607

0.02626951

0.063726873

-0.30250587

-0.0402

0.036934405

0.02798084

0.031224787

-0.24924944

-0.0417

0.021392582

0.02710973

0.029343202

-0.26846188

-0.0163

0.032903457

0.01085096

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

41

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

0.019177893

-0.25856639

-0.042

0.027860024

-0.0035372

0.012026761

-0.24882009

-0.0505

0.025417227

-0.0300235

0.003112473

-0.25601454

-0.0469

-0.003932729

-0.0224331

-0.013234852

-0.24102455

-0.0625

-0.013873364

-0.0525043

0.003759296

-0.22121375

-0.0615

-0.003718048

-0.0017154

0.013072271

-0.20763686

-0.028

-0.026849977

0.01572385

0.008411605

-0.21739492

-0.0507

-0.04477084

0.02415012

-0.000308052

-0.20277574

-0.053

-0.047947001

0.01197987

-0.020285851

-0.18695639

-0.0591

-0.068007611

-0.0061328

-0.014654192

-0.16683064

-0.0601

-0.057851468

0.01169814

-0.034680424

-0.16586857

-0.0724

-0.051162693

0.04374953

-0.040905243

-0.13186357

-0.0899

-0.048156267

0.03310975

-0.035823639

-0.09689472

-0.0491

-0.042956705

0.05221498

-0.018764995

-0.0774306

-0.0714

-0.029927376

0.04318992

-0.005993299

-0.05437736

-0.0643

-0.032146935

0.02319414

0.014901727

-0.03916879

-0.0423

-0.03602862

-0.004022

0.011821101

-0.034135

-0.0204

-0.021378849

-0.0017828

0.02121246

-0.02584416

-0.0161

-0.036386134

-0.0050002

0.020821905

-0.01921882

0.01377

-0.011905653

0.00934776

-7.28584E-17

4.9613E-16

1.42247E-16

-1.284E-16

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

42

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

GRAPHSREPRESENTINGTHECAARSAROUNDTHEEVENTDAY:
RELIANCE
0.06
0.04
0.02

0
10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.02
-0.04
-0.06
31
CAAR

INFOSYS

0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
28
4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25
-0.02 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.04
-0.06
CAAR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

43

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

ICICI BANK
0.05

0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.05
-0.1
-0.15
-0.2
-0.25
CAAR

ONGC
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.02
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08

CAAR

SAIL
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
10 13 16 19 22 25
-0.02
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
-0.1
CAAR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

44

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

SBIN

10

13

16

19

22

0.15
0.1
0.05
0
25 -0.05
28 31
-0.1
-0.15
-0.2
-0.25

34

37

40

43

46

49

52

55

58

61

CAAR

GUJRAT AMBUJA

0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25
28
-0.02 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
CAAR

SIEMENS

0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
-0.02
10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
-0.1
CAAR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

45

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

CIPLA
0.08
0.07
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
1

0
-0.01
7 10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
CAAR

STER
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
10 13 16 19 22 25
28
-0.02 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.04
CAAR

ITC
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04

0.02
0
10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.02
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
CAAR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

46

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

IPCL
0.04
0.02

0
10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.02
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
-0.1
-0.12
CAAR

MARUTHI
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25
28
-0.02 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
CAAR

HINDALCO
0.05

0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.05
-0.1
-0.15
-0.2
CAAR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

47

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

BPCL
0.15
0.1
0.05

0
10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.05
-0.1
CAAR

GAIL
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.02

-0.04
-0.06
CAAR

TATA POWER

0.06
0.04
0.02
0
10 13 16 19 22 25 -0.02
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
-0.1
-0.12
CAAR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

48

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

GRASIM
0.05

0
10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.05
-0.1
-0.15
-0.2
-0.25
CAAR

VSNL
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.02
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
-0.1
CAAR

glaxo
0.1
0.05

0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.05
CAAR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

49

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

DABUR

0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
-0.02
10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
-0.1
CAAR

BAJAJ AUTO
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.02
-0.04
-0.06
CAAR

SATYAM
0.1
1

0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25-0.1
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
-0.6
-0.7
CAAR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

50

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

BHEL
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.02
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
-0.1
CAAR

TATA MOTORS
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04

0.02
0
7 10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.02
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
CAAR

TATA STEEL
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
1

0
-0.02
7 10 13 16 19 22 25
28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-0.04
-0.06
-0.08
-0.1
CAAR

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

51

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

Interpretation on the based of CAAR graphs


In an efficient market, CAAR should flatten out after the event day to
indicate that the market has absorbed the results quickly. But this was not the
casein this study since there were no cases were no cases were the CAAR if
flattened out after the event day. Hence strengthens the belief that the Indian
stock market is not efficient.

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

52

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

TTESTresultsforthesamples:
no.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34

company
RELIANCE
INFOSYS
TCS
ICICI
ONGC
SAIL
SBIN
GUJ AMB
SIEMENS
CIPLA
STER
SUZLON
ACC
ITC
IPCL
MARUTHI
DR.REDDY
HINDALCO
BPCL
GAIL
MTNL
TATA PWR
PNB
HERO HONDA
HIND PETRO
GRASIM
VSNL
GLAXO
DABUR
BAJAJ AUTO
SATYAM
BHEL
TATA MOTORS
TATA STEEL

t values
2.666024168
0.103220573
7.646778456
-10.00944612
-7.960748426
0.957307182
-5.795615775
8.516228704
-4.863896407
13.75374545
13.02250186
-1.319019088
-5.217604674
4.32069809
-6.798507146
-12.46489549
1.003487457
-10.4568785
-1.960496657
-0.571497448
2.814308312
-7.059569256
-7.979765698
-14.67354818
-8.164949556
-9.723215497
-12.89905444
11.75255696
-6.031951143
7.918749854
-11.22419442
-3.528594133
9.732444725
-1.441692815

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

53

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

Interpretation based on t- test values


T-test indicate that the in 29 out of 34 companies the average of abnormal returns
before and the after the event day or not equal this supports the hypothesis that the
market is not semi-strong efficient because there is potential opportunity for
making more than normal profit.

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

54

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION:


In an efficient market, CAAR should flatten out after the eventday to
indicate that the markethasabsorbed the results quickly. But this was not
thecaseinthisstudysincetherewerenocaseswerenocasesweretheCAARif
flattened out after the event day. Hence strengthens the belief that the Indian
stockmarketisnotefficient.

Ttestindicatethatthein29outof34companiestheaverageofabnormalreturns
beforeandtheaftertheeventdayornotequalthissupportsthehypothesisthat
themarketisnotsemistrongefficientbecausethereispotentialopportunityfor
makingmorethannormalprofit.

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

55

DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

BIBLIOGRAPHYANDREFERENCE:

1.Foster,G,COlsen,andTShevlin(1984),EarningsReleases,Anomalies,
andtheBehaviorofSecurityPrices,TheAccountingReview,574603.
2. Obaidullah, M (1990), Stock Price Adjustment to Half Yearly Earnings

AnnouncementsA Test of Market Efficiency, Chartered Accountant,

38,922924.

3. Mallikarjunappa, T (2004), How Do the Indian Stock Prices React to

Quarterly Earnings, The ICFAI Journal of Applied Finance, 10(3),

113.

4.AmitabhGupta,(2006),ImpactofEarningsAnnouncementsonStock

Prices:Some Empirical Evidences from IndiaThe ICFAI Journal of

AppliedFinance.

5.FundamentalsofStatisticsS.C.Gupta.
6.InvestmentsKaneandBodie.

WEBSITES:
1.www.investopedia.com
2.www.blonnet.com
3.www.nseindia.com
4.www.indiainfoline.com
5.www.equitymasters.com

DATABASE:Prowess&CapitalLinePlus

TOOLS USED: SPSS, EXCEL SPREAD SHEETS.

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

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DIVIDEND ANNOUNCEMENT, SECURITY PERFORMANCE, AND CAPITAL MARKET EFFICIENCY

M. P.BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT

57

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