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Blackburn

Ipswich

Goals conceded vs. scored inside the 6 yard box Ipswich have relied heavily on close range goals, but their hosts concede one of the divisions lowest proportions of these Shots per goal scored (home) vs. conceded (away) Blackburn have one of the most wasteful home attacking records in the division, but theyre up against one of its least resilient defences Shots per goal conceded vs. scored

22%

36%

11.2

5.3

9.7

Ipswich have had difficulty converting their chances this season, which doesnt bode well against one of the Championships more resilient defences

9.6

The stats dont point to a goal-fest here Ipswich will do well to find the net at all, and their poor away defensive record gives Blackburn the greater chance of snatching a win.

Prediction: 1-0

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Blackpool

Millwall

Shots taken (home) vs. faced (away) per match Blackpool tend to batter the away goalmouth at Bloomfield Road and their visitors today are one of the more likely to allow this trend to continue Goals scored vs. conceded inside the 6 yard box Blackpool are the divisions close range specialists but theyre up against a side who police their goalmouth better than most Goals scored vs. conceded in last 15 mins

14.7

13.8

40%

22%

35%

No Championship side relies more on the final minutes of games to score than Blackpool, but this is when Millwall have proven admirably resilient

7%

Millwall look capable of grinding out a point here, particularly given the off-field disruptions afflicting their shot-happy hosts.

Prediction: 1-1

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Bolton

Burnley

Goals scored vs. conceded per match from set pieces Boltons ability from set pieces has generated a goal virtually every other game, which is a similar rate to that which Burnley have been shipping them at

0.45

0.43

Goals conceded vs. scored from open play down the left Burnley make good use of the wings but theyre unlikely to have much joy on the left where Bolton have been comparatively tight Shots take per match

15%

31%

12.7

This match pits two of the divisions most energetic attacks against each other, which should (and now Ive jinxed it, wont) provide an entertaining spectacle

12.2

Boltons dead ball expertise should be enough for them to edge this one, although both sides should have ample chances to take the points here.

Prediction: 2-1

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Brighton

Hull

Goals scored vs. conceded from open play down the right Both these teams are dangerous attacking from the right, but where they differ is that Hull are vulnerable on their left side while their hosts are reasonably solid Goals scored vs. conceded from outside the area Brighton are a threat from distance but theyre hosting a side who rarely let long range thunderbolts through their rearguard Shots faced per match (home vs. away)

41%

38%

22%

6%

6.9

While Brighton are adept at closing down their opponents at home, Hull tend to do likewise on the road itll be interesting to see who prevails here

10.3

Hull have the divisions best away record and look capable of adding to their hosts unwanted tally of home draws.

Prediction: 1-1

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Bristol C

Nottm Forest

Goals scored vs. conceded from outside the area

21%

The Robins like to shoot from range but they seem unlikely to catch Forest out this way

7%

Goals scored vs. conceded in the opening 15 minutes The hosts have a good chance of drawing first blood their tendency to score early is mirrored by the shaky starts their visitors have endured this season Points won after conceding first (home vs. away) The first goal may well determine the outcome here where City concede the opener at home their record at getting back into the game is poor, while Forest have been relatively successful in recovering from a goal down on the road

17%

17%

13%

30%

The divisions most newsworthy clash sees Sean ODriscoll facing a team hes probably increasingly glad to have left, helmed by a re-hired Billy Davies. A tense clash surely awaits.

Prediction: 1-1

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Charlton

Birmingham

Goals scored vs. conceded in the 6 yard box Charlton are lethal at close range and theyre hosting the side who concede the divisions highest proportion of goals in the 6 yard box Shots faced per goal conceded The hosts have one of the most resilient defences in the Championship while their visitors have one of the leakiest, which could make all the difference in a close contest Shots faced vs. taken per game

38%

38%

9.0

6.8

12.6

Charlton are used to soaking up a lot of shots, but theyre hosting one of the meekest attacks in the division this could give them more licence to push forward than theyre used to

9.2

On paper Charlton look capable of containing Birminghams threat and causing their visitors a decisive number of problems.

Prediction: 2-0

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Huddersfield

Cardiff

Goals conceded vs. scored from set pieces per match While Cardiffs haul from set pieces is fearsome, theyre up against one of the best-drilled defences in the division when it comes to dead balls Goals scored in the opening 15 minutes Both these sides score a lot of early goals and concede few in return, so the opening minutes of this contest could be very interesting indeed Shots taken (home) vs. faced (away) per match

0.2

0.55

21%

18%

8.3

No Championship team creates fewer chances at home than Huddersfield, but Cardiff tend to sit back more away from home who will push forward?

13.5

An early goal could well settle this one, but Huddersfield look capable of frustrating the runaway leaders.

Prediction: 0-0

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Middlesbrough

Barnsley

Goals from open play created in the centre Boro create most of their goals in the middle of the pitch, but Barnsley have been more vulnerable on the flanks they may need to adapt their approach Goals scored vs. conceded per game from set pieces A potential way through for the hosts is set pieces, which their visitors have struggled to defend this season

63%

38%

0.34

0.47

Goals conceded vs. scored in 15 mins before half time Boro have a frustrating knack of shipping goals just before half time, which Barnsley seem equipped to take advantage of

26%

21%

Middlesbrough are in poor form, so resurgent Barnsley will fancy their chances here and should be capable of taking at least a point.

Prediction: 1-1

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Peterborough

Leicester

Shots faced (home) vs. taken (away) per match This game looks set to be largely one way traffic in favour of the away side, with precedent placing Posh on the back foot

13.3

12.3

Goals conceded vs. scored per game from open play down the left Leicester have used the left flank to devastating effect this season and they wont find many right sides more porous than this one Goals scored vs. conceded in the opening half hour When Leicester do concede it tends to be early on, so a strong start is imperative for the home side to capitalise on this

0.38

0.55

44%

50%

Peterborough are likely to put in a spirited performance and may even grab an early goal, but Leicester are on a roll at the moment and look too strong for them over 90 minutes.

Prediction: 1-2

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Sheff Wed
Goals scored vs. conceded from headers Any naturalist will tell you that Owls are deadlier in the air than Rams, and football seems to be following suit at the moment Goals conceded vs. scored inside the 6 yard box Derby have netted a large proportion of their goals from close range so far, but their hosts have managed to keep poachers at bay with relative success

Derby

31%

27%

18%

32%

Goals scored vs. conceded from open play down the right The left side of Derbys defence has been vulnerable this season and Wednesday are a side blessed with penetration down the right

36%

44%

Derby may be much higher in the table but their away record is poor, their hosts are in better form and the numbers strongly suggest the Owls have the advantage.

Prediction: 2-0

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Watford

Crystal P

Goals scored vs. conceded from open play through the middle Watford have scored the 2nd highest proportion of goals through the centre, which is precisely where Palace have looked weakest defensively Shots taken per goal scored These are the two most clinical attacks in the Championship we could well see a master class in finishing at both ends Goals conceded vs. scored per game from penalties Palace have been the Football Leagues most regular beneficiaries of penalty kicks although theyve not been awarded one for a while theyre facing a side who concede more than their fair share

68%

65%

6.2

6.1

0.23

0.33

There look certain to be goals in this one, with Watfords home advantage and strength through the middle probably enough to give them the edge.

Prediction: 2-1

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Wolves
Shots faced (home) vs. taken (away) per match Wolves have found themselves under the cosh in front of their own fans this season, but their visitors take the Championships fewest shots away from home which way will the scales tip?

Leeds

11.7

7.1

Goals scored vs. conceded per game from set pieces Leeds have been vulnerable from set piece situations, which their hosts appear well-equipped to exploit Goals scored vs. conceded in the opening 15 minutes Home fans might be hoping for an early goal given how many Wolves have netted early on, but their visitors are usually alert from the first whistle

0.4

0.41

20%

7%

Leeds have been disappointing on their travels, so Dean Saunders might just shade the win hes been craving to pull his side away from the relegation zone.

Prediction: 2-1