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  • GAL Workshop Inno58h

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    Anna-Greta Nyström
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    The document summarizes a futures workshop held by the Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC). The FFRC conducts research and education programs in futures studies. The workshop introduced futures concepts and techniques including forecasting, foresight, megatrends and trends. Participants took part in group exercises to envision possible futures, including exploring the basic needs behind topics, drawing mind maps, and environmental scanning. They also discussed potential "black swan" events and tested future scenarios using an online simulation tool. The goal was to help participants better understand futures concepts and face an uncertain future proactively.

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    INNO58h

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    The document summarizes a futures workshop held by the Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC). The FFRC conducts research and education programs in futures studies. The workshop introduced futures concepts and techniques including forecasting, foresight, megatrends and trends. Participants took part in group exercises to envision possible futures, including exploring the basic needs behind topics, drawing mind maps, and environmental scanning. They also discussed potential "black swan" events and tested future scenarios using an online simulation tool. The goal was to help participants better understand futures concepts and face an uncertain future proactively.

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    16 views13 pages

    GAL Workshop Inno58h

    Uploaded by

    Anna-Greta Nyström
    The document summarizes a futures workshop held by the Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC). The FFRC conducts research and education programs in futures studies. The workshop introduced futures concepts and techniques including forecasting, foresight, megatrends and trends. Participants took part in group exercises to envision possible futures, including exploring the basic needs behind topics, drawing mind maps, and environmental scanning. They also discussed potential "black swan" events and tested future scenarios using an online simulation tool. The goal was to help participants better understand futures concepts and face an uncertain future proactively.

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    of 13

    Futuresworkshop INNO58Hworkingday 5.4.

    2013
    JohannaOllila&SariMieDnen FinlandFuturesResearchCentre

    Tulevaisuudentutkimuskeskus/ FinlandFuturesResearchCentre(FFRC)
    Futuresstudies25ECTS,MastersProgrammeinFuturesStudies, GraduateSchool(UTU) Foundedin1992,oneofthestrategicfocusareasatUniversityof Turku OcesinTurku,HelsinkiandTampere,personnelaround55 Ongoingresearch,developmentandeducaXonprojects:about100 AnnualinternaXonalconference:FuturesforFood,InJune672013 inTurku(www.futuresconference.) www.utu./rc

    Futuresworkshopow
    9.009.30Facingthefuture 9.3012.00Futuresworkshop Futureswheel Break Futurestable Storyofafuture Discussion

    Howtofacethefuture
    Passive:whathappened? Youanalyseagersomethinghaschanged Reac+ve:whenhappens Youreacttoachangewhenitishappening Preac+ve:ifhappens YououtlineseveralpossibiliXesandgetreadytoreacttoanyof them Proac+ve:letsmakeithappen Youtrytomakeadesirablefuturetocometrue

    Basicconceptsoffuturesstudies
    Forecas+ng:predicXnganoccurrenceofaneventwithgiven probability,viewoftheworldisratherstable Foresight:broadtermcoveringawidevarietyofmethods,diers fromforecasXngsinceitallowsmulXplefuturestateswhichcan diersubstanXallyfromwhatistherealitytoday Megatrend:anissueshapingthefutureofpracXcallyallareasof thesocietyduringthecomingdecades,ogenglobal examples:globalisaXon,useofICT Trend:idenXedgeneraldevelopmentpathofanissue,sphereof inuencecanbeanythingfromglobaltoasmallgroup examples:growinginterestonrenewableenergyordietarytrends Futuresstudiesglossaryat:hip://www.audiencedialogue.net/ glossfut.html

    ForecasXng(dataextrapolaXon)

    Grows

    BAU

    Decreases

    History

    PresentXme

    Imagesofthefuture

    Openfuture(visionary)

    ?
    History PresentXme Imagesofthefuture

    Technology +Resources

    Whatisexecutable? Capabilitytooperate

    Futures of Access

    Society

    Whatisacceptable? Licencetooperate Whatisprotableand desirable? Reasontooperate?

    Markets

    FuturesofRealOpXons FuturesofPossibleOpXons FuturesofImaginary OpXons

    Futures of Viable Solution s

    MarkoAhvenainen,FFRC

    Futuresworkshop:Whathappensin2025?
    Joinyourteammembersatyourworkingspace Explorethebasicneedbehindtheteamtopicandputitonthecentre ofthesheet Take5minutestothinkabouttheteamtopic,writeyourideason postitnotes Drawamindmapwithyourteamaroundyourtopic:discussthepost itideas Environmentalscanning:picturethesystemaroundtheteamtopic, whatkindofsocial,technological,environmental,poliXcal,and economicfactorsandvalueshaveaneectonthetopic?

    Blackswans(opXonalexercise)
    Blackswans/weaksignals/wildcards:eventswhichhavealow probability,thusbeingasurprisefortheobserver,andhaveamajor impact Gothroughthepreviousdiscussions.Arethereitemsthatcouldbe labelledasblackswans?Whatkindofeectstheymighthaveon thetopic? Youcanalsocomeupwithnewitemsandthinkabouttheireects

    Futuresof

    TesXngthefuture:GetaLife!simulaXon
    SimulaXngvariouspossiblefuturesinpersonalandworklifeupto20 yearsahead OnlinesimulaXontooldesignedforstudents,includes>900 simulatedsituaXonsfromtheworkingworldofthefuture EachsituaXonentailsseveralplausiblechoices ChoicesleadtoconsequencessodiversethatsomeXmesevena proacXvemindcannotanXcipate IniXatescontemplaXonofonescapabiliXes,lifeandthevarious scenariosofthefutureworklife Unlikethereallife,thesimulaXonprovidesanopportunitytogoback andchoosedierentlyandthusexplorevariousfuturepaths

    Thankyou!
    Moreinforma+on: JohannaOllila:johanna.ollila@utu. SariMie<nen:sari.mieDnen@utu. GetaLife!project:hip://getalifehanke.wordpress.com GetaLife!simula+ondemo:hip://getalife.:8080

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