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"Our view is based on the expectation of continuing improvement in the global economy, higher oil demand, revival of investor confidence, and pick up in private consumption." Turning to the budget, GIH said it expected the fiscal balance to turn into a surplus of SR108-254bn in the most likely and best case scenarios. In the worst case, the budget could record a deficit of around SR54bn, which is below the projected shortfall of SR70bn. By Nadim Kawach Emirates Business 24/7 2010 Article originally published by Emirates Business 24/7 18-Jan-10