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India has the second largest road network in the world, spanning a total of 4.7 million kilometres. This is used to transport over 60 per cent of all goods in the country and 85 per cent of total passenger traffic
The Planning Commission of India aims to spend nearly 20 per cent of the total investment of USD1 trillion during the 12th Five Year Plan (201217) to develop roads
The private sector is emerging as a key player in the development of road infrastructure in India
National highways are expected to reach 85,000 kilometres by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan from 71,772 kilometres currently
2009
Roads & bridges infrastructure value: USD6.9 billion
Attractive opportunities
Roads and bridge infrastructure industry to be worth USD21 billion by FY17 Approximately 9,500 kilometres of projects are expected to be awarded by NHAI during 201213
FY17E
Roads & bridges infrastructure value: USD19.2 billion
Advantage India
Increasing investments
USD1 trillion worth of expenditure on infrastructure is estimated over FY1317 Government of India aims to develop a total of 66,117 kilometres of roads
The engineering sector is delicensed; Road infrastructure is a key 100 per cent FDI is allowed in the government priority; the sector has sector received strong budgetary support over the years Due to policy support, there was cumulative FDI of USD14.0 billion into the sector institutions over April 2000 received February Financial have 2012, making up 8.6 per cent ofmoney total government approval to raise FDI into the country in that period through tax-free bonds
Policy support
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Planning Commission, Business Monitor International, Aranca Research Notes: NHAI - National Highways Authority of India, MoRTH - Ministry of Road Transport and Highways
State Highways
National Highways
Total Length: 155,716 kilometres Share: 3.3 per cent of the total roads in India
Total Length: 79,116 kilometres Share: 1.7 per cent of the total roads in India
Total Length: 44,55,010 kilometres Share: 95.0 per cent of the total roads in India
Source: Ministry of Road, Transport and Highways (MoRTH) Annual Report 2012-13, Aranca Research
India has the second largest road network in the world (4.7 million kilometres) Roads bear about 85 per cent of the countrys passenger traffic and 60 per cent of freight traffic
Length of national highways (kilometres) Passenger vehicle sales (Million) NHDP toll collection (USD million)
58,112
71,772
0.71
FY12
3.1
64.5
435*
677
6,491
2.3 FY03
14.4
Source: National Highway Authority of India (NHAI), National Highway Builders Foundation, ICRA Ltd, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Notes: FY - Indian Financial Year (April-March), NHDP - National Highway Development Project, Aranca Research; Note: * - Data for FY11
The value of total roads and bridges infrastructure in India is expected to grow at a CAGR of 17.4 per cent over FY12-17 to reach USD19 billion Currently, the Government of India aims to develop a total of 66,117 kilometres of roads under various programmes such as NHDP, SARDP-NE and LWE Of the total roads, 20,945 kilometres have been developed, while a major share of the remaining is estimated to be completed by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan
19.2
CAGR: 13.6%
13.4
16.1
11.0
6.9 6.8 8.3 8.6 8.6
FY09
FY10
Source: Business Monitor International (BMI), Aranca Research Note: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate, FY - Indian Financial Year (April - March), F - Stands for forecast, NHDP - National Highway Development Project, SARDP-NE: Special Accelerated Road Development Programme for the North Eastern Region and LWE - Left Wing Extremism Programme
National highways account for 1.7 per cent of the total road network in India Under the 12th Five Year Plan (FY1317), the government plans to develop 20 kilometres of national highways per day, which implies a total development of 7,300 kilometres per year Double-lane highways constitute the largest share of highways in India (40,658 kilometres) Double-lane highways are followed by single-lane (19,330 kilometres) and multi-lane (19,128 kilometres) highways
Single lane
24.2% 24.4%
Double lane
51.4%
National highways are expected to reach 85,000 kilometres by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan from 71,772 kilometres currently
Source: MoRTH, Aranca Research
The National Highway Authority of India (NHAI) is a government agency responsible for construction, maintenance and development of highways The Government of India has formulated a seven-phase programme known as National Highway Development Project (NHDP), vested with NHAI, for the development of national highways in the country
Srinagar Golden Quadrilateral (GQ): It is the highway network that connects four major metropolises Delhi
NHAI
North South & East West Corridor (NS EW NHDP Phase I and II): It connects the countrys extreme ends
NHDP Phase III to VII: Construction and improvement of roads in the remaining urban and suburban regions
Chennai Kanyakumari
Source: NHAI, Aranca Research
NHDP Phase
Project description
Development of Golden Quadrilateral, North South & East West (NS-EW) corridor, port connectivity and other national highway Development of North South & East West (NS-EW) corridor and other national highway Development of Four lane national highways
Cost
Development Model
EPC (EngineeringProcurement and Construction) EPC PPP (Build-OperateTransfer) PPP
Phase I
USD7.0 billion
Phase II
6,647
USD7.2 billion
Phase III
12,109
USD18.5 billion
Phase IV
20,000
NHDP Phase
Project description
Cost
Development Model
Phase V
6,500
USD9.3 billion
PPP
Phase VI
1,000
USD3.8 billion
Phase VII
700
USD4.2 billion
The Special Accelerated Road Development Programme for the North Eastern region (SARDP-NE) is aimed at developing road connectivity between remote areas in the North Eastern region with state capitals and district headquarters SARDP-NE is vested with the development of double-/four-lane national highways of about 4798 kilometres and doublelaning/improving about 5343 kilometres of state roads Implementation of the road development programme will facilitate connectivity of 88 district headquarters in North Eastern states to the nearest national highways The project will be undertaken in three phases:
Phase
Project description
Improvement of national highways
Date of Completion
March 2015
A Improvement of state roads Development of double-lane of national highways B Double-laning and improvement of state roads Arunachal Pradesh package of roads and highways Development of roads 2,438 2,319 2,058 1,285
Not Disclosed
March 2017
The government has approved a Road Requirement Plan (RRP) for the development of 1126 kilometres of national highways and 4351 kilometres of state roads in Left Wing Extremism (LWE) affected districts The project has been implemented in the states of Andhra Pradesh, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha and Uttar Pradesh for a total value of USD1.6 billion The project will be vested with the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways (MoRTH) and is scheduled to be completed by FY15
Total length (Kms) Approved Awarded Completed (By December 2012) 5,477 5,049 1,960
During 2011, India had 758 PPP projects across various sectors, of which 405 are dedicated towards roads and highways The BOT models share in total highway projects has increased sharply over the years; it rose to 31 per cent in FY10 from 10 per cent in FY05
7%
9%
9%
17% 53%
12%
12%
20%
20% 27%
Others 8% 13% 15% 19% 22% 23% FY05 FY06 BOT FY07 SPV FY08 FY09 Public Funded FY10
Road construction projects awarded to BOT companies went up at a CAGR of 62 per cent over FY05-12 to about 6,067 kilometres In FY12, highway projects awarded to private companies rose to 6,067 kilometres
6,144
CAGR: 61.8%
2,677
877 209 FY05 369 FY06 464 FY07 470 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
Until 2005, the road construction market was dominated by public sector companies However, the emergence of private players over the last decade has made the road construction market fragmented and competitive; the players bidding for projects also vary by size Major projects: MumbaiPune BOT Project, PuneNashik BOT Project, BharuchSurat BOT Project, ThaneBhiwandi by-pass Four-Lane Project
Major projects: North Karnataka Expressway, West Gujarat Expressway, Noida Toll Bridge
Major projects: NH6 Dhankuni to Kharagpur, Sambalpur Baragarh, NH4 Belgaum Dharwad
Major projects: BandraWorli Sea Link, Badarpur Elevated Highway Project
Government policy to increase private sector participation has proved to be a boon to the infrastructure industry with a large number of private players entering the business through the Public Private Partnership (PPP) model The type of PPP models used in road projects are Build Operate Transfer (BOT ) toll and BOT annuity
With the Government of India permitting 100 per cent FDI in the road sector, most foreign companies have formed partnerships with Indian players to participate in the sectors growth story
Infrastructure is the key to supporting double-digit GDP growth in India during the mediumto long-term The government has hence made infrastructure development a key policy issue and plans to spend USD1.0 trillion during FY13-17 on the sector
Through Five-Year Plans, India has increased the length of national highways from 21,378 kilometres during the late 1940s to 71,772 kilometres by the end of the 11th Five-Year Plan (FY08-12) The total length of national highways is expected to touch 85,000 kilometres by the end of 12th Five Year Plan
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment
Growing demand
Policy support
Increasing investments
Greater government focus on infrastructure Resulting in Standardised processes for bidding and tolling; clear policy framework
Higher individual discretionary spending has led to increasing spending on cars, motorbikes and scooters Growing domestic trade flows have led to rising commercial vehicles and freight movement Roads traffic share of the total traffic in India has grown from 13.8 per cent to 65 per cent in freight traffic and from 15.4 per cent to 90 per cent in passenger traffic from 1951 to 2011
Better quality roads makes road travel cheaper and safer Growing movement of goods within the country due to economic integration Increasing roadways leading to greater accessibility between different cities/towns/villages
Total auto sales across categories are estimated to rise 6-8 per cent in FY14 Sales of passenger vehicles are expected to increase at a CAGR of 15.0 per cent to 3.5 million during FY07-14 Sales of commercial vehicles are expected to rise at a CAGR of 13.5 per cent to 8,52,000 during FY07-14 Rising per-capita income and growing middle class coupled with easier access to finance and a wider price range of vehicles have led boosted car sales
3.5
800
CAGR: 15.0%
2.4
3.0
3.1
3.2
CAGR: 13.5%
676
1.6 1.3
1.8 351
468
494
533
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
Road addition in the 3rd Five Year Plan was only 179 kilometres this increased to 10,228 kilometres in the 11th Plan The 12th Five Year Plan (FY13-17) is estimated to carry the momentum forward with projects to the tune of 36,500 kilometres
23,814
5th
6th
7th
8th
Infrastructure is a priority of the governments economic policy; funding for the sector from both private and public sectors is set to increase sharply in the near term Infrastructures total share in bank funding rose from 2.3 per cent in 2002 to about 14.4 per cent in 2012
Source: RBI, ICRA Limited, Aranca Research Note: 2012* - March 2012
The government has been eager to involve private sector funding for infrastructure projects and thereby reduce strains on the budget The PPP model has emerged as the favoured one for private sector participation in roads projects
9.9%
9.5%
8.2%
Notes: PPP - Public Private Partnership, NHDP - National Highway Development Project, BOT - Build Operate Transfer
7.1%
4.1%
FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E
Phase I and Phase II of NHDP were mostly developed by public funds with the BOT share at 14.8 per cent and 28.6 per cent respectively Public Private Partnership (PPP) model will be the favoured way of executing the remaining NHDP phases
Phase VII
Phase VI Phase V Phase IV Phase III Phase II Phase I 29.6% 14.8%
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research Note: NHDP - National Highway Development Phase, BOT - Build Operate Transfer
Infrastructure investment is a major focus area for the government The Government targeted USD500 billion worth of spending on infrastructure in the 11th Five-Year Plan (FY08-12); the amount is set to double to USD1 trillion in the 12th Five Year Plan (FY13-17)
The FII investment limit in infrastructure corporate bonds was raised from USD5 billion to USD25 billion in the Union Budget An increase in road development fund was also announced The Indian government plans to establish a Road Regulator Authority in FY14 to address financial issues, construction risk and contract management in the road sector The Prime Ministers Gram Sadak Yojana (PMGSY) is a scheme for development of rural roads in India The Construction of Rural Roads Project (CRRP) is another initiative focused on rural development
Rural development
Companies enjoy 100 per cent tax exemption in road projects for five years and 30 per cent relief for the next five years The companies are also granted a capital of up to 40 per cent of the total project cost to enhance viability
Source: Aranca Research, Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, FII - Foreign Institutional Investors
Infrastructure finance companies, such as India Infrastructure Finance Corporation (IIFCL), National Highways Authority of India (NHAI), Housing and Urban Development Corp (HUDCO), Power Finance Corporation (PFC) and India Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC), have been allowed to issue tax-free bonds for a total value of USD9.2 billion for FY14 Institutions were allowed to raise tax-free bonds of about USD5.5 billion in FY12 and up to USD4.6 billion in FY13
The Government of India has set up the India Infrastructure Finance Company (IIFCL) to provide long-term funding for infrastructure projects Interest payments on borrowings for infrastructure are now subject to a lower withholding tax of 5 per cent vis--vis 20 per cent earlier IDF income is exempt from income tax
The Central Road Fund (CRF) assists the state government and union territories in the development of state roads For FY13, USD3.6 billion was allocated for the development of roads
Project
Four Laning of Coimbatore-Mettupalayam Four Laning of Walayar -Vadakkancherry section Walajapet-Poonamalee 2-Laning with paved shoulder of Raebareli to Jaunpur Six- Laning of Anandapuram-Visakapatnam-Anakapalli Six-Laning of Gundugolanu Rajamundry Vijayawada-Gundugolanu Section Six Laning of Kishangarh Udaipur Ahmedabad Etawah -Chakeri (Kanpur) Agra-Etawah Bypass Four Laning of Kiratpur-Ner Chowk Section
Length (kilometre)
67 54 93 166 58 120 103.6 556 160 125 84
Company
Transstroy - OJSC Consortium KNR Constructions Ltd ESSEL Infra Projects Ltd PNC Infratech Ltd Transstroy (India) Ltd - OJSC Corporation IVRCL Assests & Holding Limited Gammon Infrastructure Proj GMR Infrastructure Ltd Oriental Structural Engineers Ltd Ramky Infrastructure Ltd IL & FS Transportation Networks Ltd
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research Notes: BOT - Build Operate Transfer, UB - Union Budget
Roadways has been a key focus area of budget allocations over the years For FY14, the Planning Commission has provided an outlay of USD6.9 billion for the road sector The budget outlay for road transport and highways increased at a robust CAGR of 19.4 per cent between FY09 and FY14
CAGR: 19.8%
3.5 2.8 3.2
5.6
6.4
In FY14, the government plans to improve about 8,270 kilometers of the National Highways along with construction/rehabilitation of 100 bridges and four bypasses for an estimated cost of USD4.3 billion
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14
Source: Respective Union Budgets, Aranca Research Note: CAGR - Cumulative Annual Growth Rate
IRB Infrastructure is one of Indias leading BOT operators with a built-length of around 8,000 lane kilometres So far, the company has undertaken BOT projects (completed/under execution) worth USD3.5 billion The company has 19 BOT projects currently, of which three are complete, nine operational, and seven under construction As on 31 December 2012, IRB Infrastructures order backlog stood at about USD1.7 billion
CAGR: 35.0%
176
201
96 77
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research Notes: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate, BOT - Build Operate Transfer
2013 2012
2011 Signed contract with NHAI for four-laning of NH-17 from Goa/ Karnataka to Kundapur
2010
Won first ultra-mega NHAI road project worth USD750 million Won three road projects worth USD411 million
ITNL has the largest BOT road asset portfolio (in terms of lane kilometres) in India, with presence in 16 states The company has 11,859 lane kilometres under its road asset portfolio; this comprises 28 projects
CAGR: 66.1%
ITNL has 24 PPP projects currently, of which 11 are complete and 13 under construction
502 255
843
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
Source: Company Annual Report, Aranca Research Notes: CAGR - Compounded Annual Growth Rate, BOT - Build Operate Transfer, Km - Kilometers
2013 2012
2011 Won USD312 million contract for six-laning Barwa-AddaPanagarh sector of National Highway 2
Was awarded order for 1,086 lane kilometres for a total value of USD1.5 billion
Infrastructure Leasing and Financial Services Ltd (IL&FS) promoted National Toll Bridge Company Limited (NTBCL) as a special purpose vehicle (SPV) for the development of the 22-km Delhi-Noida Direct (DND) flyway on a Build Own Operate Transfer (BOOT) basis Incorporated in Uttar Pradesh, India in 1996, NTBCL is a publicly listed company and operates only in India
10.4
SALIENT FEATURES Eight-lane dual carriageway connecting Noida and Delhi One major and three minor bridges over Yamuna river
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
National Highway Authority of India (NHAI) aims to award 2500 kilometres of projects in FY14 vis--vis 787 kilometres during the last fiscal Currently, around 23,120 kilometres of NHDP projects are in the pipeline, with the highest share for NHDP IV (16,632 kilometres)
3,899
2,500
1,840 787 2,519 1,000 NHDP III NHDP IV NHDP V 659
FY12
FY13E
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research Note: NHDP stands for National Highways Development Project
Development of national highways through Public-Private Partnership (PPP) is expected to remain the key focus area for the government During the next five years, investments through PPP are expected to be over USD41 billion for national highways and around USD10 billion for state highways
National Highways
State Highways
In India, roads remain the most important means of transport; it accounts for 85 per cent of passenger traffic and 65 per cent of freight traffic Passenger cars are expected to grow at a CAGR of 15 per cent to 677 millions in FY15 and LCV to grow at a CAGR of 21 per cent over FY10-15 to 3 million in FY15
1.5
1
Source: SIAM Report, Aranca Research Notes: PC - Passenger Cars, LCV - Light Commercial Vehicles, SIAM - Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers
Foreign contractors were awarded projects worth about USD1.69 billion during 1999-2011; Malaysian and Russian* contractors have topped the foreign contractors list About 55 per cent of all such contracts were funded via BOT, BOT-Annuity and BOT-SPV routes
A joint venture between SVBTG Consortium (USA) and Stradcom Corp (Philippines) had won the largest contract during that period (project cost of USD134 million)
Malaysian Russia*
199 105 137 149 134 6 Russian China USA Taiwan 101 107 48 45 S. Korean 41 Indonesian 51
Length (kms)
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Aranca Research Note: BOT - Build operate transfer, * - Russian joint venture with Indian firm
Infrastructure
projects (ex-phase IV) are yet to be awarded, thereby offering a huge opportunity for private players over the next five years.
For the 12th Five Year Plan, the
spending is expected to touch USD1 trillion in the next Five-Year Plan (FY13-17) Budget FY14 allows financial institutions to raise USD9.2 billion from tax-free bonds
Increased
FII limit in infrastructure corporate bonds from USD5 billion to USD25 billion in FY12 is a step in the right direction FDI inflow for FY200013 (February) in construction development and infrastructure sector (including roads and highways) stood at USD24.1 billion
Union
Cumulative
steps such as relaxing ECB guidelines, removal of cascading effect of DDT and reductions in WHT
Source: NHAI, MoRTH, Union Budget, Aranca Research Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, FII - Foreign Institutional Investor; EPC - Engineering, Procurement and Construction; ECB - External Commercial Borrowings; WHT - Withholding Tax; DDT - Dividend Distribution Tax
BOT: Build Operate Transfer CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate EPC: Engineering, procurement and construction FDI: Foreign Direct Investment FY: Indian Financial year (April to March) So FY10 implies April 2009 to March 2010 GOI: Government of India INR: Indian Rupee LCV: Light Commercial Vehicles MoRTH: Ministry of Roads Transport and Highways NH: National Highway NHAI: National Highway Authority of India
NHDP: National Highway Development Project USD: US Dollar Conversion rate used: USD1= INR54.43
2007-08
2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
40.24
45.91 47.41 45.57 47.94 54.31
2009
2010 2011 2012 2013
46.76
45.32 45.64 54.69 54.45
Average of the year
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