Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SPECIAL REPORT
In association with
TURBOS: SPECIAL REPORT
4 INTRODUCING TURB0S
Turbos are an ideal tool for private investors who
want to gear up their portfolios and guard against
big drops in the market.
7 TURBOS COMPARED
Derivatives share many of the same features, but
there are also important differences between them.
12 SUPER-CHARGED RETURNS
Turbos can be used to produce powerful returns that
complement the performance of your mainstream
shares and bonds
Masterclass editor
SPECIAL REPORT 3
SPECIAL REPORT: TURBOS
Turbos are an ideal tool for private investors who want to gear up their portfolios
and guard against big drops in the market. David Stevenson and Dominic Picarda
explain the basics and detail the key terms you’ll need to know
Introducing turbos
W
E ALL WANT TO turbos, however, your losses are
make the most out strictly limited. Once the price SHORT TURBOS
of our trading and moves against you by a cert a i n
investment ideas. amount, your position is auto- TURBO STRIKE & KNOCKO U T E X P I RY PA R I TY
But, to do so effectively, we often matically closed. Cru c i a l l y, you FTSE 100
need a bit of help. That’s where can never lose more than you put T103 5,500 19/12/2008 1,000
gearing comes in. Gearing means down to begin with. T104 5,600 19/12/2008 1,000
the ability to turn small move- Not only are they less risky than T105 5,700 19/12/2008 1,000
ments in an asset’s price into big many other geared products, but
p rofits. Turbos are a perfect tool turbos are also much more DAX 30
for private investors and traders straightforward. They trade on the T108 6,500 19/12/2008 1,000
to achieve gearing, but without London Stock Exchange and are T109 6,600 19/12/2008 1,000
many of the drawbacks and dealt through stockbrokers, just
complications that come with like shares, so you can have confi- CAC 40
other geared pro d u c t s . dence in the prices that you see. T112 4,500 19/12/2008 1,000
And, despite being a listed pro d- T113 4,600 19/12/2008 1,000
TURBOS EXPLAINED uct, you don’t have to pay any
Turbos are specially designed stamp duty when you buy them. that we’ve suff e red in 2008. This
p roducts that are linked to share s The costs are all built into the price Turbos are makes turbos ideal for protecting
and indices. When the relevant you pay when you buy your turbo your holdings of actual shares, as
s h a re or index goes up or down, – there are no charges to pay to ideal for well as for speculation.
the turbo goes up or down with keep the position open, unlike To understand the key features of
it – but by much more. For with some instruments. protecting turbos, let’s look at a list of some
example, you could buy a turbo Whether you think an asset is leading ones. In the table (above)
that offers gearing of 20 times. If going up or down, turbos offer a your holdings we’ve featured the main turbo
the share it is linked to rises 5 per way to make money from your shorts off e red for the major equity
cent, your re t u rn is 20 times that view. Just as a ‘long turbo’ makes of actual markets as of early October 2008.
– 100 per cent. money if the underlying share or It is worth noting that it is still
Of course, this gearing works index rises, a ‘short turbo’ profits shares early days for SG’s relaunched
both ways. When you’re right if it goes down. All you have to do Turbo platform. In addition to
and the asset goes the way you is buy the one that fits your out- these index-based turbos there
expected, you make super-sized look. The ability to speculate on is also a small range of individ-
p rofits. But when you’re wro n g , prices falling is valuable, especial- ual equity-based turbos. These
you can make big losses. Wi t h ly in the sort of bearish markets a re tied to Anglo American, BP,
4 SPECIAL REPORT
TURBOS: SPECIAL REPORT
SPECIAL REPORT 5
SPECIAL REPORT: TURBOS
In exceptionally violent mar- simply its share price minus the net result after adjusting for
kets such as these – where the strike price. So, for a FTSE 100 The costs are i n t e rest and dividends is that
index can move 9 per cent inside long turbo with a strike of 4500, each turbo costs 118p.
a single day – you need to where the index is trading at all built into The key thing to remember
choose a realistic knock out 4800, we would say that the about turbo pricing is that the
level. The further the price of turbo has 300 points of intrinsic the price you ‘strike’ or initial level for the
the underlying is from the value. In order words, there’s a underlying index or share also
knock-out on your turbo, the cushion of 300 points until the pay when you doubles as the knock-out level.
better. Of course, greater dis- turbo hits its knock-out barrier The strike is based on prices over
tance from the knock-out level and becomes worthless. buy your the week before the turbo is
comes at a cost. The more ‘in Gap risk is the danger that the launched and is structured by
the money’ the turbo is, the market will move from one level turbo, unlike the options dealers at SocGen to
higher the likely purchase cost. to another without trading inbe- meet the cost of the margin pro-
We’ve already said that turbo tween. with some tection, thereby protecting the
prices reflect all the financing For turbos on stocks, the calcu- investor from huge losses. It is
costs, so that there ’s no need for lation is only slightly different: instruments also set at a level so that it does-
investors to worry about mak- ■ Long turbo = intrinsic value + n’t get knocked out easily if the
ing calculations from day to fees – dividends. where you index does suddenly move.
day. However, it is still wort h ■ Short turbo = intrinsic value + While turbos are designed so
understanding the principles dividends. have charges that investors aren’t exposed to
that lie behind turbo pricing. Let’s consider the Glaxo- unlimited losses, there are other
The process reflects the cost of SmithKline long turbo C733, to pay to risks to consider. Turbos are a
purchasing access to the under- priced at 118p per turbo at the derivative product and as such
lying asset, such as the FTSE time of writing – (remember, prices keep the you’ll have to sign an agre e-
100. It also contains the costs of can fluctuate enormously with tur- ment called a ‘warrants or
financing the position, as well bos because of their gearing). position open derivatives risk warning and
any dividends earned by the ■ C733 price = GSK’s market suitability letter’ before you’re
underlying asset. level – strike level + financing allowed to deal.
costs – dividends. In the articles that follow, we’ll
LONG AND SHORT TURBOS The financing cost here is based show you the practical uses of
Here’s a simple breakdown of on the strike level of 1100, upon turbos – including detailed exam-
the structure of the prices of long which interest is charged for the ples of how you can use them to
and short turbos on indices: life of the contract at a rate based p rotect yourself against losses
■ Long turbo = intrinsic value + on Libor, an interest rate used by and also how to exploit them to
gap risk. banks to lend to each other. The make much bigger gains than you
■ Short turbo = intrinsic value + dividends payable on GSK’s could ever make simply from
gap risk. s h a res over the period bring buying and selling the assets
The intrinsic value of a turbo is down the cost of financing. The they’re based on.
6 SPECIAL REPORT
007_ICSG_1710_TurbosCompared 21/10/08 16:26 Page 7
Derivatives share many of the same features, but there are also important
differences between them. Dominic Picarda explains why you might want
to employ turbos rather than one of the alternatives
Turbos compared
Y
OU’RE SPOILT FOR You can consult these prices as stop-loss level, the position clos-
choice when it comes
to trading derivatives
easily as you would ordinary
s h a res’. The price of the assets KEY es automatically and the
investor loses his investment,
nowadays. The selec-
tion is wide and growing all the
time. Spread betting, contracts
for diff e rence (CFDs), struc-
that they are linked to is also
the real market price. This is
d i ff e rent from spread betting,
w h e re the prices are merely
POINTS
■ The idea of
but nothing more. With an
unlisted CFD, it is up to the
investor to specify a stop-loss
and there is an extra cost to pay.
t u red products, futures and based on market prices, with investing in turbos And if the underlying price goes
options are all readily avail- the effect that stop-losses can – rather than a long way through that stop-
able. So how do turbos relate be triggered even though the actual shares or loss, he is liable for whatever
to these other products and real market price never hit the indices that they’re losses ensue, even if they are
why might you choose them specified level. linked to – is to much greater than the amount
over the others? Because they are an actual list- obtain gearing he started out with.
The idea of investing in turbos ed investment product, profits Both unlisted CFDs and tur-
– rather than the actual shares on turbos are subject to capital ■ Turbos trade on bos are mainly used for
or indices that they’re linked to gains tax, just like profits on the London stock short - t e rm purposes. However,
– is to obtain gearing. Most of CFDs, futures and options, and market and are an unlisted CFD has no auto-
the other popular derivatives actual shares. The only pro d- bought and sold matic expiry date, where a s
possess this quality, too. ucts that avoid capital gains tax through stock- turbos generally speaking have
However, with turbos you can a re spread bets and fixed-odds brokers a set life of three months from
never lose more than your initial financial bets, as these are clas- the moment they are issued.
investment. This is not the case sified as wagers rather than ■ Because they Unlisted CFDs do offer expo-
with spread bets, CFDs or investments. trade on a sure to a much broader range of
f u t u res, although it is a feature If you’re looking for a pro d u c t regulated stock underlying assets, including
of fixed-odds financial betting to hedge actual shares, turbos exchange, turbos’ many individual equities, both
and purchased options. make better sense than bets prices are ve ry domestic and foreign, as well as
Turbos trade on the London because profits and losses on transparent to currencies, bonds and com-
Stock Exchange, like ordinary turbos and shares are subject to modities. Over time, though,
shares, and are bought and sold the same tax treatment. So, if ■ You can never the range of turbos on offer is
through stockbrokers. However, you lose on your turbo, you will lose more than likely to expand.
unlike shares, you don’t have to be able to offset your shortfall your original Turbos share similarities with
pay stamp duty upon purchase. against profits on your shares investment another stru c t u red pro d u c t
This makes them particularly and vice versa, which you with turbos called covered warrants. While
suitable for getting in and out of couldn’t do with a bet. these are also issued in the
markets quickly and at low cost. What turbos are really is listed UK by Société Générale, there
You don’t pay stamp duty on CFDs – contracts for diff e re n c e a re key diff e rences between
unlisted CFDs either, but your that trade on an investment them. Covered warrants off e r
losses are potentially unlimited exchange. Turbos also come much greater variety when it
with these products. with inbuilt protection in the comes to expiry dates. You can
Because they trade on a re g u- f o rm of an embedded knock- buy covered warrants that
lated stock exchange, turbos’ out barr i e r. When the price of e x p i re 12 months from now, for
prices are very transpare n t . the underlying asset hits that example.
SPECIAL REPORT 7
SPECIAL REPORT: TURBOS
Dramatic moves in financial markets are much more common than you’d
believe. David Stevenson shows how you can maintain your portfolio’s value
using turbos
F
INANCIAL MARKETS insurance against the downside.
can be a very scary Many people respond to turbu-
place, as we all know all lence by simply switching from
too well after the tur- shares into cash. However, hav-
moil of the past 18 months. ing to sell your shares in this
Over the long run, developed- way is often not an ideal solu-
market equities have proved a tion, as it involves incurring
safe bet. They’ve massively out- stamp duty, brokers’ commis-
perf o rmed other leading asset sions and capital gains tax.
classes, like corporate or govern- A more sophisticated a p p roach
ment bonds and cash deposits. is to use derivative products to
But superior re t u rns come only hedge your holdings of shares
at the cost of higher risk, in this and other assets. So, when your
case: volatility. equities, bonds and commodi-
The chart (right) depicts ties lose money, your derivative
volatility for the Dow Jones hedges make profits, cancelling
index over two decades. It shows each other out. And in a long
the range of re t u rns achieved period of falling markets – such how much you’re willing to pay
f rom investing in this benchmark as 2000-03 – you can also make A more for protecting your portfolio.
US index over that period. positive returns from speculat- P e rhaps you feel the market is at
Conventional theory suggests ing on market declines. sophisticated risk of a 20 per cent decline,
that re t u rns over time will be dis- which would reduce the value of
tributed in a fairly even pattern , A BEAR MARKET approach is your £5,000 equity holding to
with extreme events occurr i n g HEDGE FUND £4,000. In these circumstances,
only very rare l y. To understand how you could to use you might well be willing to pay
A study by FinAnalytica, an hedge your portfolio, we’ll take a round 5 per cent of the value of
investment re s e a rch firm, suggests one simple example – a bearish derivative your UK portfolio to insure
that in any real-life distribution of strategy on the FTSE 100. against such a decline.
returns, extreme events are actu- Say the index is trading at 4900, products to Buying a short turbo could
ally much more common than we having fallen from a peak of 6750 provide exactly that sort of
think. The chart shows a worry- in 2007. However, you may hedge your insurance policy. At the time of
ingly large number of spikes – believe that it is due another writing, there are three turbo
d o w n w a rd spikes indicate big s e v e re correction. You don’t holdings of shorts on the FTSE 100. These
losses. FinAnalytica’s analysis know where the bottom will are the T103 with a strike price
suggests that extreme events hap- occur, but you think it’s a long shares and of 5500, the T104 with a strike
pen, on average, every 233 days way from current levels. You hold price of 5600 and the T105 with
over the long term, or more than a portfolio of shares and funds other assets a strike price of 5700 (see table).
once a year. worth £10,000 – £5,000 of which At the beginning of October,
Even if you’re a long-term , is exposed to the FTSE 100 – with the underlying index – the FTSE
buy-and-hold investor who feels the rest in bonds, cash and 100 – was trading at 4989. You
he can ride out any near-term volatile emerging market equities. decide to buy the ‘safest’ of the
volatility, it pays to take out The first step is to work out three turbo shorts – the one with
8 SPECIAL REPORT
TURBOS: SPECIAL REPORT
SPECIAL REPORT 9
SPECIAL REPORT: TURBOS
Turbos can be used to produce powerful returns that complement the performance
of your mainstream shares and bonds. David Stevenson and Dominic Picarda
show how you can make this approach work for you
profit much more convincingly.
We show in another article how
you can use stock and index tur-
bos to protect your assets – see
pages 8-9. But how about using
index turbos alongside your exist-
ing holdings in order to add
upside potential, rather than to
limit downside potential? Let’s
say you want to take a bullish
position on the direction of the
market, while maintaining a core
defensive stance.
Here’s how this particular strat-
egy might work. Following a
sizeable drop, you think that the
market is due for a big rebound.
Rather than throw caution to the
wind entire l y, however, you could
keep a large part of your total
portfolio’s value in safe assets,
such as government bonds or
defensive utility stocks. At the
same time, you also take a small
speculative position on the FTSE
100 going up sharply in value,
committing, say, between 2 per
cent and 4 per cent of your over-
Super-charged
all capital.
Now let’s say that you have a
portfolio worth £100,000 and
that you decide to invest 2 per
cent (£2,000) in a FTSE 100
W
HETHER YOU t h e y ’ re linked to changes. So, if i n c rease your wealth, if done worth £3,000, and generating a
th i n k the markets an index moves up or down by 1 properly. Say you’ve a strong profit of £1,000. In terms of your
a re heading up or per cent, a turbo based on that bullish view on a particular equi- overall portfolio, you’d have
down, turbos offer index price can move up or down ty or index. Simply buying the added 1 per cent to your overall
a great way to earn super-charged 20 per cent. s h a res or an index-tracker will re t u rns. That may not sound
returns. This is because they are a It’s easy to see how this feature p robably only earn you pedestri- much, but, given that long-term
g e a red product – their prices could be useful. The ability to an returns over a three-month buy-and-hold investing typically
experience exaggerated moves make massive re t u rns off small period or less. But with turbos, generates returns of 9 per cent a
when the price of the assets price moves could seriously you can turn your best ideas into year, 1 per cent in a day is not to
12 SPECIAL REPORT
TURBOS: SPECIAL REPORT
be sniffed at. Of course, the got to be very smart – or lucky – moment of purchase, GSK’s
potential downside could be when it comes to timing. Moving share price was 1,188p, where a s
equally substantial. If the mar- in quickly, riding the best of the Turbos can the turbo at that point cost
ket moves in the opposite move and getting out sharpish is 108p. A month or so later, the
direction to which you expect- crucial. The danger of such a also be used GSK share price has moved up
ed, you could end up losing the strategy is that you get caught by 5 per cent to 1,250p a share .
£2,000 you paid for your turbo. holding geared long or short posi- to make In response to that gain in the
However, you can never lose tions for too much time in a underlying asset, the long GSK
any more than that initial out- pronounced bear or bull market. money from turbo shoots up from 108p to
lay, unlike with many other At the time of writing, one fair- 170p – a 57 per cent increase in
derivatives where you’re on the ly significant obstacle to price the share price, or more than 11
hook for potentially enorm o u s pursuing this kind of strategy is times the increase in actual GSK
losses. Even if that happens in that there are no long index tur- movements shares.
this example, though, you’ve bos available. Market volatility Be aware, however, that this
still got the remaining £98,000 and negative sentiment has in individual highly geared upside comes
of your portfolio in safe assets, reached such extreme levels that with the usual risks attached. If
so your overall drawdown risk knock-out barriers on all pre v i- shares the shares move in the wro n g
is very low. ously existing products have direction, you could lose all
It is also worth remembering been reached. However, this is your money. The knock-out
that you’re not doomed to lose likely to prove only a temporary barrier for this turbo is set at
your entire turbo investment if situation. As volatility subsides, 1100, which means that, if the
things don’t go as planned. Prior SG should be able to issue a fre s h shares had moved down by
to the turbo’s expiry, there’s batch of turbos. m o re than 15 per cent, your ini-
always the possibility of selling Turbos can also be used to tial investment would have been
your position at a loss. For exam- make money from price move- wiped out.
ple, you have a short turbo on the ments in individual shares. Let’s
FTSE 100 with a knock-out barr i- look at a simple example of this.
er at 4500. The market rises Assume that you accept the
sharply to within 200 points of defensive logic of buying into
this barrier. You revise your pre v i- big pharmaceutical shares as a
ously bearish view and decide to remedy to a long-term bear mar-
get out now. You will not get back ket. Established drug companies
all of what you paid, but some- such as GlaxoSmithKline and
thing is better than nothing. AstraZeneca enjoy more stable
Knowing when to admit you’re sales and profits growth than
w rong is an essential skill if you’re firms in many other industries,
to become a successful trader. because medicines are not
Its previous strategy of trying to something that people can do
exploit major rallies works out without, even in hard econom-
for you a few times over a year, ic times.
you could easily generate a re t u rn Based on this view, you decide
of 3 per cent or 4 per cent a year that, over the next
over and above the re t u rn you t h ree months, GlaxoSmithKline’s
earn on your core, defensive (GSK) shares a re likely to enjoy a
assets. In essence, you’re practis- bounce. Rather than buying the
ing a classic ‘absolute returns’ actual shares in order to profit
strategy, as practised by hedge- f rom this anticipated recovery,
fund investors every w h e re. To you invest in the long GSK
make this strategy work, you’ve turbo, called C733. At the
SPECIAL REPORT 13
SPECIAL REPORT: TURBOS
The gearing on turbos make them great for transforming a few hours’ price
movement into big profits, but without the extreme risk of most other day
trading, says John Hughman
14 SPECIAL REPORT
TURBOS: SPECIAL REPORT
up trading gains on small moves, amounts of initial outlay. might even choose the T105 short
either. Two-point spreads is about In fact, in the five minutes I News of the turbo, which has a knock-out bar-
as good as you’ll get anywhere took writing out this example, rier at 5700, further away from the
and, unlike spread bets, this news of the US Federal Reserv e ’s US Federal level of the FTSE today. The price
remains steady throughout the life decision to buy up commerc i a l of the turbo is correspondingly
of the contract. paper sent the FTSE shooting Reserve’s higher, which means that every
As you’d expect, turbos are avail- u p w a rds, and the value of this downward move in the FTSE
able on a fairly wide range of contract increased to 30.7p, giv- decision to relates to a 5 per cent return.
leading equities and indices. As ing a 53 per cent re t u rn . Both trades would have been
many day traders now rely on However, the risk is that another buy up out-of-the-money on the Fed
technical analysis – exploiting calamitous day in the markets announcement, but neither would
trends and reversals on the charts – could wipe out this position quick- commercial have been knocked out. But if we
to inform their decisions, trading ly. T115 turbo fell to within 15 assume that this marks the start of
with turbos allows them to follow points of the knock-out price on paper sent a short countertrend rally, it could
exactly the same tried-and-tested 7 October – a close shave indeed. p resent an opportunity at what
a p p roach as they would when the FTSE looks like resistance levels at 5300,
trading with any other instrument. MEDIUM-RISK TRADES 5450 and 5650. If the market fails
Let’s take a look at two ideas for A slightly less risky trade would be shooting to breach these levels, there could
day-trading with turbos, both the T114, priced at 38.5p with a be subsequent sharp falls which,
using technical analysis. Each of strike of 4300. The lower risk and upwards, and given the proximity to the knock-
the approaches offers a different lower gearing means a 1 per cent out barrier, could be exploited
level of risk, and therefore should upward movement would ‘only’ the value of with much higher gearing.
suit most day-trading approaches. translate into a 12 per cent gain – Obviously, trying to predict the
still not bad for a day’s work and this contract peak and buying on the way up
HIGH-RISK TRADE with little chance of being knocked increases the risk of being
Buy a long turbo with a price that’s out altogether. increased to knocked out, so it makes more
close to its knock-out barrier. The sense to trade on the downward
key differentiating feature of tur- LOWER-RISK TRADES 30.7p, giving momentum if the market re v e r s-
bos is their ‘knock out’ feature – Place a limit order to buy a short es. This trade could be automated
essentially, an in-built stop-loss. turbo in a falling market. a 53 per cent using a conditional limit order,
And while day-traders will need to Traders who think that markets which would buy at a set level on
tread carefully to ensure their posi- will fall through a level of sup- return the way down after hitting a
tions aren’t ‘knocked out’ very port – rather than bounce off it – higher target.
quickly in turbulent markets, it’s can take out an option to buy a
also a feature that can count in put turbo once the markets
their favour. break below a specified level.
The closer turbos fall towards This is slightly less risky than
their barrier level, the lower the trying to predict a bounce and,
price of the turbo and – with the in fact, traders can set their own
‘delta one’ characteristics – the level of risk by deciding how
higher the gearing they offer. A much daylight they want to see
good example would be the T115, between the purchase price and
which has a knock-out barrier of the strike/knockout level. Again,
4500, only marginally below the the greater the distance between
price at the time of writing of the purchase price and the
4640. A look at historic charts knockout, the lower the gearing
suggests that there may be a frag- the trade offers.
ile level of support just above the Let’s take a look at two current
knock-out level, at 4550. s h o rt turbos to illustrate this. The
A trader may decide that, hav- T103 – with a knock-out barrier
ing bounced off this level, the of 5500 – can be bought for 81.3p
market may continue rising. He (17 per cent above the FTSE 100’s
therefore buys the turbo at 20.2p. c u rrent level) and is unlikely to be
A 1 per cent gain on the FTSE knocked out in the short term .
would equate to a 4.6p gain on But that reduced risk comes at a
the turbo – a whopping 23 per cost – a one percentage point
cent gain on the price paid – mak- move in the FTSE only re p resents
ing it an advantageous trade for a 6 per cent move in the turbo.
those looking to risk very small A slightly less risk-averse investor
SPECIAL REPORT 15
SPECIAL REPORT: TURBOS
The best way to understand what turbos can do for you is to see how a successful
trader uses them. Our widely followed columnist, Simon Thompson, reveals how he
uses these instruments to generate market-beating returns.
T
HE MOST IMPOR- short-selling of financial share s industries, such as pro p e rt y,
t a n t lesson I have and a US government bailout Before housebuilding, financials, banks
learned in the past 20 plan for the beleaguered bank- and stockbroking.
years is how to play the ing sector. entering any I chose the short-listed turbo,
percentages. Your view of the With some spread-betting firm s C433, because it had a knock-
market may be right, but unless and CFD providers, a 10 per cent trade, I make out barrier of 12550 and had six
you’ve got the right instrument rise in the index from Thursday’s months to expiry on 11 July
to exploit that view, you won’t close to Friday’s intra-day high sure that I am 2008. There f o re, I was giving
make money. This is especially would have been enough to wipe myself ample time for the
t rue when you use leveraged out the margin the trader had put giving myself d i re economic and corporate
products such as contracts for up on the short position and news to emerge and the savage
difference (CFDs), turbos and would have meant the short enough time de-rating of FTSE 250 shares
covered warrants, as these trade would have been automat- to take effect. Moreover, with
instruments exaggerate your ically closed out. But just 12 days for other the FTSE 250 trading at 10200
gains and losses. later the FTSE 100 had fallen in January I felt there was no
Before entering any trade, I back to 4671, so the trader investors to chance of being stopped out
make sure that I am giving would not have profited even of this instrument if the
myself enough time for other though he was ultimately right in come around market moved against me in
investors to come around to my his bearish view. This is exactly the near term.
way of thinking. Therefore, it is why I am so keen on using cov- to my way of Remember, the FTSE 250 had
essential that the product I use to ered warrants and turbos to soared to an all-time high of
trade has at least the same time trade the indices. thinking 12282 in May 2007 on the back
horizon as I need for my view on of a mergers-and-acquisitions
the markets to pan out. MY BEST TRADE OF 2008: frenzy. However, the credit crunch
Secondly, I never want to get FTSE 250 SHORT-LISTED led to a dramatic fall in takeover
stopped out on a trade, so I TURBO TRADE activity, which pulled the rug fro m
always choose a product where I My best trade this year was a under share-price valuations
will be around to fight another short trade on the mid- among mid-cap firms. As I saw it,
day even if the position is going cap index (INVESTO R S CHRONICLE, there was no way the index was
against me in the short term. Bad tidings, 7 January 2008) going to revisit those record highs
This is especially important in through a FTSE 250 short - l i s t e d and hence no way I would ever get
volatile markets. turbo, C433. I was very bearish stopped out of my short turbo
For instance, consider a trader on the outlook for UK equities, position.
who was short of the FTSE 100 given the impending economic In addition, the turbo in
on Thursday 18 September slowdown in this country and question offered good value
when the market closed at the fallout from the intern a t i o n- and traded on a relatively tight
4880. One day later, the index al financial crisis. To capitalise two-point bid offer spread. I
re c o rded its biggest daily gain on my view, I decided to short paid 2,584p per turbo, which
e v e r, closing a massive 431 the FTSE 250, an index stuff e d equated to 2584 points on the
points higher at 5311 and hit- full of medium-sized companies FTSE 250, in early January.
ting an intra-day high of 5351, that are focused on economical- H o w e v e r, as the turbo had
driven by news of a ban on the ly sensitive and consumer-facing 2350 points of intrinsic value –
16 SPECIAL REPORT
TURBOS: SPECIAL REPORT
calculated as the diff e re n c e bear market rally in the fourth the FTSE 100 outperforms the
between the guaranteed stop- quarter, but that you also On the face of Dax, then the profit on the FTSE
loss of 12550 and the market expect the economically sensi- 100 long turbos will offset the
price of 10200 – I was only pay- tive general industrial, auto- it, trying to loss on the short Dax turbo,
ing 234 points, or 234p per mobile and chemical sectors to leaving you with a net profit.
turbo, for the right to short the underperform the savagely de- pair trade the Moreover, if you are wrong, and
index over the following six rated, high-beta resources both indices fall, then the profit
months. And, as I was short i n g sector. One way of profiting returns on the short Dax trade will help
the index, I had to pay divi- f rom this view is by simultane- offset the loss on the FTSE 100
dends rather than receive them. ously going long of the FTSE between long trade.
Still, that was money well 100 and going short of the Dax.
spent, because when the turbo Both trades can be executed international USING TURBOS AS
e x p i red in mid-July 2008, the t h rough listed turbos. PORTFOLIO INSURANCE
FTSE 250 had plunged by 18 stock markets As we saw in the article on
per cent to 8339 and my turbos PAIR TRADE: LONG FTSE pages 8-9, turbos are also a
had increased by 63 per cent in 100-S H O RT DAX 30 is hardly g reat way to hedge portfolios.
value to 4,211p. The difference To play the long side, the FTSE For instance, imagine you have
between the percentage fall in 100 long turbo, T114, has a worthwhile. a £100,000 share portfolio that
the index and the gain on knock-out barr i e r of 4300, has built up some decent long-
the turbo reflects the leverage of expires on 19 December 2008 But that would t e rm paper profits, but you are
the product. and has a parity of 1,000:1. w o rried the market could fall in
With the index at 5000, the be a mistake, the short term. So, to avoid see-
PAIR-TRADING TURBOS turbo is priced at 86p, so you ing your paper gains evaporate,
In bear markets, the correla- need to buy 1,000 of these because we you could take out a FTSE 100
tion between global stock instruments at a cost of £860 s h o rt-listed turbo to hedge
markets rises significantly. At (equating to 860 points on the can exploit against the downside risk, for
one point during the 2000-03 index) to give yourself expo- example T105, which has a
bear market, the US and UK s u re to one contract on the the different knock-out barrier of 5700,
equity markets were moving in FTSE 100. In this instance, a 1 e x p i res on 19 December 2008
step over 90 per cent of the per cent rise in the FTSE 100 sector and has a parity of 1,000:1.
time. So, on the face of it, try- would mean that your holding With the index at 5000, these
ing to pair trade the returns of 1,000 long listed turbos, weightings in s h o rt turbos are priced at
between international stock T114, would gain around £50. 83.9p, so you would need to
markets is hardly worthwhile. On the short side, the Dax 30 international buy 1,000 of these instruments
But that would be a mistake, turbo, T109, has a stop-loss of at a cost of £839 (equating to
because we can exploit the dif- 6600, expires on 19 December indices 839 points on the index) to give
f e rent sector weightings in 2008 and has a parity of yourself exposure to one con-
international indices. 1,000:1. With the index at tract on the FTSE 100.
For instance, the blue-chip 5800, the turbos are trading at T h e re f o re, for every 1 per cent
FTSE 100 has a strong bias 79p so you need to buy 1,000 fall in the FTSE 100 – namely
t o w a rds re s o u rce companies, of these instruments at a cost 50 points – the value of your
with oil & gas and mining firm s of £790 to give yourself expo- holding of 1,000 turbos would
making up 35 per cent of the s u re to one contract on the i n c rease by £50.
index. By contrast, the Dax 30 is Dax 30. The Dax is denomi- However, if your portfolio
m o re heavily weighted toward s nated in euros, and with moves in line with the market,
general industrials, automobile sterling worth E1.26, this then every 1 per cent fall would
m a n u f a c t u rers and chemical means that the £790 equates to wipe £1,000 off the value of
companies, which account for around E995 or the equivalent your £100,000 portfolio. So, to
42.5 per cent of the index. The of 995 points on the Dax. In avoid suffering this loss, you
financial sector – banks, insurers this instance, a 1 per cent rise could hedge this risk by buying
and asset managers – has a simi- in the Dax 30 (or 58 points) 20,000 turbos – at a cost of
lar weighting of around 20 per means your holding of 1,000 £16,780. Remember, 1,000 of
cent in both indices. s h o rt turbos, T109, would fall these short listed turbos would
As a result of the different by around £46. The calcula- gain £50 if the market fell by 1
make-up of the indices, there is tion is: 58 points fall in the per cent, so 20,000 turbos
scope to pair trade the two index divided by the exchange would rise in value by £1,000.
indices even in bear markets. rate of E1.26. And this £1,000 profit on the
Let’s assume global equity mar- If you are right and markets turbos would exactly offset the
kets stage a classic counter-trend rally in the coming months, but loss on your share portfolio.
SPECIAL REPORT 17
SPONSOR’S PROFILE
Société Générale is one of the largest financial services groups in the eurozone. The Group operates in 82 countries and employs
151,000 people worldwide in three key businesses:
Retail Banking & Financial Services: Société Générale serves 27 million individual customers worldwide offering a wide-range of
products and services from current account services to more sophisticated products.
Global Investment Management & Services: Société Générale Group is the 4th largest bank in the euro zone by assets under man-
agement, with EUR 381 billion (end June 2008), and the 3rd largest by assets under custody (EUR 2,733 billion, end June 2008).
Corporate & Investment Banking: Tailoring solutions in terms of capital raising, financing, risk management and investment, SG
CIB combines expertise, innovation and advisory skills coupled with quality of execution to both issuer and investor clients across
debt and equity.
Société Générale Group annual reports can be accessed on www.investor.socgen.com.