Simulacin numrica de sistemas dinmicos continuos

Ejemplo con ecuacin diferencial simple

Ccto Poblacin = 2% (continua)

La ecuacin diferencial equivalente es: Pobl ' = Pobl * 0,02
La solucin es una exponencial y puede calcularse con exactitud: Pobl = e ^(0,02 t)
Esta solucin no da lo mismo que el crecimiento discreto de 2%, aunque para tasas de crecimiento pequeas los resultados s
Para la simulacin numrica se han usado 3 algoritmos de Runge-Kutta de orden 2, 3 y 4, para comparar su eficacia relativa

Periodo
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38

PASOS APROXIMACION RUNGE KUTTA 4 ORDEN

Pobl(t+1) = Pobl(t)*(1+0,02) Pobl (t) = e ^(0,02 t)
Ccto. Discreto 2 %
Ccto. Continuo = solucin K1
K2
K3
1
1
Valor Inicial de la variable:
1.02
1.02020134
0.02
0.0202
0.020202
1.0404
1.040810774 0.02040403 0.02060807 0.02061011
1.061208
1.061836547 0.02081622 0.02102438 0.02102646
1.08243216
1.083287068 0.02123673
0.0214491 0.02145122
1.104080803
1.105170918 0.02166574
0.0218824 0.02188457
1.126162419
1.127496852 0.02210342 0.02232445 0.02232666
1.148685668
1.150273799 0.02254994 0.02277544 0.02277769
1.171659381
1.173510871 0.02300548 0.02323553 0.02323783
1.195092569
1.197217363 0.02347022 0.02370492 0.02370727
1.21899442
1.221402758 0.02394435 0.02418379 0.02418619
1.243374308
1.246076731 0.02442806 0.02467234 0.02467478
1.268241795
1.27124915 0.02492153 0.02517075 0.02517324
1.29360663
1.296930087 0.02542498 0.02567923 0.02568178
1.319478763
1.323129812
0.0259386 0.02619799 0.02620058
1.345868338
1.349858808
0.0264626 0.02672722 0.02672987
1.372785705
1.377127764 0.02699718 0.02726715 0.02726985
1.400241419
1.404947591 0.02754256 0.02781798 0.02782074
1.428246248
1.433329415 0.02809895 0.02837994 0.02838275
1.456811173
1.462284589 0.02866659 0.02895325 0.02895612
1.485947396
1.491824698 0.02924569 0.02953815 0.02954107
1.515666344
1.521961556 0.02983649 0.03013486 0.03013784
1.545979671
1.552707219 0.03043923 0.03074362 0.03074667
1.576899264
1.584073985 0.03105414 0.03136469 0.03136779
1.608437249
1.616074402 0.03168148 0.03199829 0.03200146
1.640605994
1.648721271 0.03232149
0.0326447 0.03264794
1.673418114
1.68202765 0.03297443 0.03330417 0.03330747
1.706886477
1.716006862 0.03364055 0.03397696 0.03398032
1.741024206
1.7506725 0.03432014 0.03466334 0.03466677
1.77584469
1.786038431 0.03501345 0.03536358 0.03536709
1.811361584
1.8221188 0.03572077 0.03607798 0.03608155
1.847588816
1.858928042 0.03644238
0.0368068 0.03681044
1.884540592
1.896480879 0.03717856 0.03755035 0.03755406
1.922231404
1.934792334 0.03792962 0.03830891 0.03831271
1.960676032
1.973877732 0.03869585 0.03908281 0.03908667
1.999889553
2.013752707 0.03947755 0.03987233 0.03987628
2.039887344
2.054433211 0.04027505
0.0406778 0.04068183
2.080685091
2.095935514 0.04108866 0.04149955 0.04150366
2.122298792
2.13827622 0.04191871
0.0423379 0.04234209

39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50

2.164744768
2.208039664
2.252200457
2.297244466
2.343189355
2.390053142
2.437854205
2.486611289
2.536343515
2.587070385
2.638811793
2.691588029

2.181472265
2.225540928
2.270499838
2.316366977
2.363160694
2.410899706
2.459603111
2.50929039
2.559981418
2.611696473
2.664456242
2.718281828

0.04276552
0.04362945
0.04451082
0.04541
0.04632734
0.04726321
0.04821799
0.04919206
0.05018581
0.05119963
0.05223393
0.05328912

0.04319318
0.04406574
0.04495593
0.0458641
0.04679061
0.04773585
0.04870017
0.04968398
0.05068767
0.05171162
0.05275627
0.05382202

0.04319746
0.0440701
0.04496038
0.04586864
0.04679525
0.04774057
0.048705
0.0496889
0.05069268
0.05171674
0.05276149
0.05382734

CONCLUSION:

Como se puede apreciar, en ecuaciones de comportamiento ajustado, el mtodo de Runge Kutta de 4 o

Nota: Existe toda una familia de mtodos de Runge Kutta. Pueden construirse aproximaciones hasta el orden que se desee
Pero el problema es que el nmero de operaciones aumenta muchsimo (explosin combinatoria) con el orden empleado. Los
mtodos de Runge-Kutta sirven para determinar las etapas de clculo que deben realizarse y el valor de los coeficientes de p
Como ejemplo se incluyen los resultados con mtodos de orden 2 y 3, que se calculan con menos etapas y aproximan bastant
aunque tienen ms error. Naturalmente, cuanto ms pequea sea la etapa utilizada en el clculo ms exacta es la solucin de
mtodo. Obsrvese que an el mtodo de 2 orden es mejor que la aproximacin discreta.

pequeas los resultados son similares.

parar su eficacia relativa

NGE KUTTA 4 ORDEN

K4
alor Inicial de la variable:
0.02040404
0.02081623
0.02123674
0.02166576
0.02210343
0.02254995
0.02300549
0.02347023
0.02394436
0.02442807
0.02492155
0.025425
0.02593862
0.02646261
0.02699719
0.02754257
0.02809897
0.02866661
0.02924571
0.02983651
0.03043925
0.03105416
0.0316815
0.03232151
0.03297445
0.03364057
0.03432016
0.03501347
0.03572079
0.0364424
0.03717858
0.03792964
0.03869587
0.03947758
0.04027508
0.04108869
0.04191874
0.04276555

PASOS RUNGE KUTTA 3r ORDEN

RESULTADOS RESULTADOS
RESULTADOS
R-K 4 ORDEN R-K 3r ORDEN K1
K2
K3
R-K 2o ORDEN
1
1
1
1.02020134
1.020201333
0.02
0.0202
0.020408
1.0202
1.040810774
1.040810761 0.020404027 0.02060807 0.02082027
1.04080804
1.061836546
1.061836526 0.020816215 0.02102438 0.02124087
1.061832362
1.083287068
1.083287039 0.021236731
0.0214491 0.02166996
1.083281376
1.105170918
1.105170882 0.021665741
0.0218824 0.02210772
1.10516366
1.127496851
1.127496807 0.022103418 0.02232445 0.02255433
1.127487966
1.150273799
1.150273746 0.022549936 0.02277544 0.02300995
1.150263223
1.173510871
1.173510809 0.023005475 0.02323553 0.02347479
1.17349854
1.197217363
1.197217292 0.023470216 0.02370492 0.02394901
1.19720321
1.221402758
1.221402678 0.023944346 0.02418379 0.02443281
1.221386715
1.24607673
1.246076641 0.024428054 0.02467233 0.02492639
1.246058727
1.27124915
1.27124905 0.024921533 0.02517075 0.02542993
1.271229113
1.296930086
1.296929976 0.025424981 0.02567923 0.02594365
1.296907941
1.323129812
1.323129691
0.0259386 0.02619799 0.02646775
1.323105482
1.349858807
1.349858675 0.026462594 0.02672722 0.02700243
1.349832212
1.377127764
1.37712762 0.026997173 0.02726715 0.02754792
1.377098823
1.40494759
1.404947434 0.027542552 0.02781798 0.02810442
1.404916219
1.433329414
1.433329245 0.028098949 0.02837994 0.02867217
1.433295527
1.462284589
1.462284407 0.028666585 0.02895325 0.02925138
1.462248097
1.491824697
1.491824502 0.029245688 0.02953815
0.0298423
1.491785508
1.521961555
1.521961346
0.02983649 0.03013485 0.03044515
1.521919575
1.552707218
1.552706994 0.030439227 0.03074362 0.03106019
1.552662351
1.584073984
1.584073746
0.03105414 0.03136468 0.03168764
1.58402613
1.616074401
1.616074148 0.031681475 0.03199829 0.03232778
1.616023458
1.64872127
1.648721 0.032321483
0.0326447 0.03298084
1.648667132
1.682027649
1.682027363
0.03297442 0.03330416
0.0336471
1.681970208
1.716006861
1.716006558 0.033640547 0.03397695 0.03432681
1.715946006
1.750672499
1.750672179 0.034320131 0.03466333 0.03502026
1.750608116
1.786038429
1.786038091 0.035013444 0.03536358 0.03572772
1.7859704
1.822118799
1.822118442 0.035720762 0.03607797 0.03644947
1.822047002
1.85892804
1.858927664 0.036442369 0.03680679 0.03718579
1.858852351
1.896480878
1.896480481 0.037178553 0.03755034
0.037937
1.896401169
1.934792333
1.934791916
0.03792961 0.03830891 0.03870337
1.934708472
1.97387773
1.973877292 0.038695838
0.0390828 0.03948523
1.973789583
2.013752706
2.013752245 0.039477546 0.03987232 0.04028289
2.013660133
2.054433209
2.054432725 0.040275045
0.0406778 0.04109666
2.054336068
2.095935512
2.095935006 0.041088655 0.04149954 0.04192686
2.095833656
2.138276218
2.138275687
0.0419187 0.04233789 0.04277384
2.138169496

0.04362947
0.04451085
0.04541003
0.04632737
0.04726324
0.04821803
0.04919209
0.05018584
0.05119966
0.05223396
0.05328916
0.05436567

2.181472263
2.225540926
2.270499835
2.316366974
2.363160691
2.410899704
2.459603108
2.509290387
2.559981415
2.61169647
2.664456239
2.718281825

2.181471707
2.225540344
2.270499227
2.316366338
2.363160027
2.41089901
2.459602385
2.509289633
2.559980629
2.611695651
2.664455385
2.718280937

0.042765514
0.043629434
0.044510807
0.045409985
0.046327327
0.047263201
0.04821798
0.049192048
0.050185793
0.051199613
0.052233913
0.053289108

e Runge Kutta de 4 orden es una buena aproximacin

asta el orden que se desee.

on el orden empleado. Los
or de los coeficientes de ponderacin.
tapas y aproximan bastante bien,
s exacta es la solucin de cualquier

0.04319317
0.04406573
0.04495591
0.04586408
0.0467906
0.04773583
0.04870016
0.04968397
0.05068765
0.05171161
0.05275625
0.053822

0.04363793
0.04451947
0.04541883
0.04633635
0.0472724
0.04822737
0.04920163
0.05019557
0.05120958
0.05224408
0.05329948
0.05437621

2.18136052
2.225424002
2.270377567
2.316239194
2.363027226
2.410760376
2.459457735
2.509138781
2.559823385
2.611531817
2.66428476
2.718103312

PASOS RUNGE KUTTA 2 ORDEN

K1
0.02
0.020404
0.02081616
0.02123665
0.02166563
0.02210327
0.02254976
0.02300526
0.02346997
0.02394406
0.02442773
0.02492117
0.02542458
0.02593816
0.02646211
0.02699664
0.02754198
0.02809832
0.02866591
0.02924496
0.02983571
0.03043839
0.03105325
0.03168052
0.03232047
0.03297334
0.0336394
0.03431892
0.03501216
0.03571941
0.03644094
0.03717705
0.03792802
0.03869417
0.03947579
0.0402732
0.04108672
0.04191667

K2
0.0204
0.02081208
0.02123248
0.02166138
0.02209894
0.02254534
0.02300075
0.02346537
0.02393937
0.02442295
0.02491629
0.0254196
0.02593307
0.02645692
0.02699135
0.02753658
0.02809282
0.02866029
0.02923923
0.02982986
0.03043242
0.03104716
0.03167431
0.03231413
0.03296688
0.03363281
0.03431219
0.0350053
0.03571241
0.0364338
0.03716976
0.03792059
0.03868658
0.03946805
0.04026531
0.04107867
0.04190846
0.04275501

0.04276339
0.04362721
0.04450848
0.04540755
0.04632478
0.04726054
0.04821521
0.04918915
0.05018278
0.05119647
0.05223064
0.0532857

0.04361866
0.04449975
0.04539865
0.0463157
0.04725128
0.04820576
0.04917951
0.05017294
0.05118643
0.0522204
0.05327525
0.05435141

Ecuaciones originales:
w ' = dw / dt = w (-gamma-alfa+rho* e)
e' = de / dt =e (-alfa-n+(1-w) / v)

t
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
0.5
0.55
0.6
0.65
0.7
0.75
0.8
0.85
0.9
0.95
1
1.05
1.1
1.15
1.2
1.25
1.3
1.35
1.4
1.45
1.5
1.55

rho
0.01

Incremento w

-0.0019125
-0.0018752
-0.00183685
-0.00179748
-0.00175711
-0.00171578
-0.00167351
-0.00163033
-0.00158626
-0.00154134
-0.0014956
-0.00144905
-0.00140173
-0.00135366
-0.00130487
-0.00125539
-0.00120524
-0.00115444
-0.00110303
-0.00105104
-0.00099847
-0.00094537
-0.00089175
-0.00083765
-0.00078308
-0.00072807
-0.00067264
-0.00061683
-0.00056065
-0.00050413
-0.0004473

0.85
0.8480875
0.8462123
0.84437545
0.84257797
0.84082086
0.83910508
0.83743157
0.83580124
0.83421498
0.83267364
0.83117804
0.82972899
0.82832726
0.8269736
0.82566873
0.82441335
0.82320811
0.82205367
0.82095063
0.8198996
0.81890112
0.81795575
0.817064
0.81622635
0.81544328
0.81471521
0.81404257
0.81342573
0.81286508
0.81236095
0.81191365

v
1.5

Incremento e

0.00051875
0.00053893
0.00055876
0.00057823
0.00059733
0.00061605
0.00063438
0.00065231
0.00066983
0.00068693
0.0007036
0.00071984
0.00073563
0.00075096
0.00076583
0.00078022
0.00079414
0.00080756
0.00082049
0.00083291
0.00084482
0.00085621
0.00086707
0.00087739
0.00088717
0.0008964
0.00090508
0.00091319
0.00092073
0.00092769
0.00093408

0.83
0.83051875
0.83105768
0.83161644
0.83219467
0.83279199
0.83340804
0.83404242
0.83469473
0.83536456
0.83605149
0.8367551
0.83747494
0.83821056
0.83896152
0.83972735
0.84050758
0.84130172
0.84210928
0.84292977
0.84376269
0.84460751
0.84546372
0.84633078
0.84720818
0.84809535
0.84899175
0.84989683
0.85081001
0.85173074
0.85265843
0.85359251

w (0)
0.85

1.05

1
0.95
0.9
0.85
0.8
0.75
0.75

1.05
1
0.95
w, e

parmetros y valores iniciales

gamma
alfa
1.275
0.015

0.9
0.85

1.6
1.65
1.7
1.75
1.8
1.85
1.9
1.95
2
2.05
2.1
2.15
2.2
2.25
2.3
2.35
2.4
2.45
2.5
2.55
2.6
2.65
2.7
2.75
2.8
2.85
2.9
2.95
3
3.05
3.1
3.15
3.2
3.25
3.3
3.35
3.4
3.45
3.5
3.55
3.6

-0.00039017
-0.00033278
-0.00027515
-0.0002173
-0.00015925
-0.00010104
-4.2686E-05
1.5787E-05
7.4352E-05
0.00013298
0.00019166
0.00025035
0.00030903
0.00036767
0.00042625
0.00048474
0.00054311
0.00060134
0.00065939
0.00071725
0.00077487
0.00083224
0.00088931
0.00094607
0.00100248
0.00105851
0.00111414
0.00116931
0.00122402
0.00127821
0.00133187
0.00138495
0.00143742
0.00148925
0.0015404
0.00159084
0.00164053
0.00168943
0.0017375
0.00178472
0.00183103

0.81152347
0.81119069
0.81091554
0.81069825
0.81053899
0.81043795
0.81039527
0.81041105
0.81048541
0.81061839
0.81081005
0.8110604
0.81136943
0.8117371
0.81216335
0.81264808
0.8131912
0.81379253
0.81445193
0.81516918
0.81594405
0.81677628
0.8176656
0.81861167
0.81961415
0.82067267
0.82178681
0.82295612
0.82418014
0.82545835
0.82679022
0.82817517
0.8296126
0.83110185
0.83264226
0.8342331
0.83587362
0.83756305
0.83930055
0.84108527
0.8429163

0.00093987
0.00094508
0.00094968
0.00095368
0.00095707
0.00095985
0.00096201
0.00096354
0.00096445
0.00096473
0.00096437
0.00096338
0.00096175
0.00095947
0.00095655
0.00095298
0.00094876
0.00094389
0.00093837
0.0009322
0.00092537
0.00091789
0.00090976
0.00090097
0.00089154
0.00088145
0.00087072
0.00085934
0.00084732
0.00083466
0.00082137
0.00080744
0.00079289
0.00077772
0.00076194
0.00074554
0.00072855
0.00071096
0.00069278
0.00067403
0.00065471

0.85453238
0.85547746
0.85642714
0.85738082
0.85833789
0.85929774
0.86025974
0.86122328
0.86218774
0.86315246
0.86411684
0.86508022
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0.8
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7.75
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10
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11
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11.85
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12
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13
13.05
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15
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15.95
16
16.05
16.1
16.15
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16.35
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16.45
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16.6
16.65
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16.75
16.8
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16.9
16.95
17
17.05
17.1
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18
18.05
18.1
18.15
18.2
18.25
18.3
18.35
18.4
18.45
18.5
18.55
18.6
18.65
18.7
18.75
18.8
18.85
18.9
18.95
19
19.05
19.1
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19.25
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19.45
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19.55
19.6
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19.75
19.8
19.85
19.9
19.95
20

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20.05
20.1
20.15
20.2
20.25
20.3
20.35
20.4
20.45
20.5
20.55
20.6
20.65
20.7
20.75
20.8
20.85
20.9
20.95
21
21.05
21.1
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21.25
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21.35
21.4
21.45
21.5
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21.6
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21.7
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21.95
22
22.05

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22.1
22.15
22.2
22.25
22.3
22.35
22.4
22.45
22.5
22.55
22.6
22.65
22.7
22.75
22.8
22.85
22.9
22.95
23
23.05
23.1
23.15
23.2
23.25
23.3
23.35
23.4
23.45
23.5
23.55
23.6
23.65
23.7
23.75
23.8
23.85
23.9
23.95
24
24.05
24.1

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24.15
24.2
24.25
24.3
24.35
24.4
24.45
24.5
24.55
24.6
24.65
24.7
24.75
24.8
24.85
24.9
24.95
25
25.05
25.1
25.15
25.2
25.25
25.3
25.35
25.4
25.45
25.5
25.55
25.6
25.65
25.7
25.75
25.8
25.85
25.9
25.95
26
26.05
26.1
26.15

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26.2
26.25
26.3
26.35
26.4
26.45
26.5
26.55
26.6
26.65
26.7
26.75
26.8
26.85
26.9
26.95
27
27.05
27.1
27.15
27.2
27.25
27.3
27.35
27.4
27.45
27.5
27.55
27.6
27.65
27.7
27.75
27.8
27.85
27.9
27.95
28
28.05
28.1
28.15
28.2

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0.88135355
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0.90555677

28.25
28.3
28.35
28.4
28.45
28.5
28.55
28.6
28.65
28.7
28.75
28.8
28.85
28.9
28.95
29
29.05
29.1
29.15
29.2
29.25
29.3
29.35
29.4
29.45
29.5
29.55
29.6
29.65
29.7
29.75
29.8
29.85
29.9
29.95
30
30.05
30.1
30.15
30.2
30.25

0.00307468
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0.90295816
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0.8802311
0.8790637

30.3
30.35
30.4
30.45
30.5
30.55
30.6
30.65
30.7
30.75
30.8
30.85
30.9
30.95
31
31.05
31.1
31.15
31.2
31.25
31.3
31.35
31.4
31.45
31.5
31.55
31.6
31.65
31.7
31.75
31.8
31.85
31.9
31.95
32
32.05
32.1
32.15
32.2
32.25
32.3

0.00144068
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1.00906654
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0.82998159

32.35
32.4
32.45
32.5
32.55
32.6
32.65
32.7
32.75
32.8
32.85
32.9
32.95
33
33.05
33.1
33.15
33.2
33.25
33.3
33.35
33.4
33.45
33.5
33.55
33.6
33.65
33.7
33.75
33.8
33.85
33.9
33.95
34
34.05
34.1
34.15
34.2
34.25
34.3
34.35

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0.81534102

34.4
34.45
34.5
34.55
34.6
34.65
34.7
34.75
34.8
34.85
34.9
34.95
35
35.05
35.1
35.15
35.2
35.25
35.3
35.35
35.4
35.45
35.5
35.55
35.6
35.65
35.7
35.75
35.8
35.85
35.9
35.95
36
36.05
36.1
36.15
36.2
36.25
36.3
36.35
36.4

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0.81563127
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36.45
36.5
36.55
36.6
36.65
36.7
36.75
36.8
36.85
36.9
36.95
37
37.05
37.1
37.15
37.2
37.25
37.3
37.35
37.4
37.45
37.5
37.55
37.6
37.65
37.7
37.75
37.8
37.85
37.9
37.95
38
38.05
38.1
38.15
38.2
38.25
38.3
38.35
38.4
38.45

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0.00116749
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0.84881705
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38.5
38.55
38.6
38.65
38.7
38.75
38.8
38.85
38.9
38.95
39
39.05
39.1
39.15
39.2
39.25
39.3
39.35
39.4
39.45
39.5

0.00215076
0.00221261
0.00227349
0.00233335
0.00239216
0.00244985
0.00250637
0.00256168
0.00261572
0.00266842
0.00271975
0.00276964
0.00281803
0.00286488
0.00291011
0.00295368
0.00299553
0.00303559
0.00307381
0.00311013
0.00314449

0.82053925
0.82275186
0.82502535
0.8273587
0.82975086
0.83220071
0.83470708
0.83726877
0.83988448
0.84255291
0.84527266
0.8480423
0.85086033
0.85372521
0.85663533
0.85958901
0.86258454
0.86562013
0.86869394
0.87180407
0.87494856

0.00091307
0.00088991
0.00086599
0.00084132
0.0008159
0.00078975
0.00076287
0.0007353
0.00070702
0.00067807
0.00064846
0.00061821
0.00058732
0.00055583
0.00052374
0.00049109
0.00045789
0.00042416
0.00038993
0.00035522
0.00032006

0.8959537
0.89684362
0.89770961
0.89855093
0.89936683
0.90015658
0.90091945
0.90165475
0.90236177
0.90303985
0.90368831
0.90430651
0.90489383
0.90544966
0.90597341
0.9064645
0.90692239
0.90734655
0.90773648
0.9080917
0.90841175

e(0)

Incremento t
0.83
0.05

Diagrama de fases - Goodwin (Simulacin

Euler)

Series1

0.75

0.8

0.85

0.9

0.95

Series temporales-Goodwin (Simulacin Euler)

1.05
Series2

1
0.95
0.9
0.85

Series4

0.8
0.75

10

20

30
tiempo

40

50

SIMULACION MODELO DE GOODWIN

gamma
1.275

alfa

w ' = dw / dt = w (-gamma-alfa+rho* e)
e' = de / dt =e (-alfa-n+(1-w) / v)

parmetros y valores iniciales

n
rho
v
0.015
0.01
1.5

w (0)
0.85

e(0)
0.83

Incremento t
1

ATENCION: con el clculo del K

hay un error de aproximacin si

0.98

0.98

Plano de Fases Simul. RK4

(14 periodos)

0.96

Plano de Fases Simul. RK4

(150 periodos)

0.96

0.94

0.92

0.92

TE

0.94

0.9

TE

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150

w (Runge Kutta) K1
K2
K3
K4
e (Runge Kutta)K1
K2
K3
K4
PA
pv(L)
L = TE*PA
Y=L*pv(L)
w * L = TS*Y B=S=I=Y - w *L
K = K(t-1)+I(t) K = Y * k = Y*4g(Y)
w=TS * pv(L) g(w)
0.85
0.83
10
1
8.3
8.3
7.055
1.245
33.2
33.2
0.85
0.820462902
-0.03825 -0.0309241 -0.0285205 -0.0200833 0.843867682
0.010375 0.014433084
0.0137015
0.016562
10.100502 1.015113065 8.52348693
8.6523029
7.0988936
1.5534094
34.445
34.609212
0.0269261
0.8328626 -0.0201616
0.811697434
-0.019854 -0.0094133 -0.0080778
0.0022435 0.862155549 0.016779697 0.019061608
0.0179734
0.0188775
10.202013 1.030454534 8.79572246
9.0635921
7.3568944
1.7066976
35.99840936
36.254368
0.0319395
0.8364173
0.004268
0.825740781
0.0026245
0.014234
0.014289
0.0245895 0.880256937 0.019032637 0.018956755
0.017691
0.0162801
10.304545
1.04602786 9.07064751
9.48815
7.8347524
1.6533976
37.70510701
37.9526
0.0312567
0.8637479
0.0326757
0.86031749
0.0250905
0.035746
0.0343062
0.0422655 0.893204196 0.016341798 0.013707106
0.0125052
0.0089171
10.408108 1.061836547 9.29656551
9.871433
8.4925665
1.3788665
39.35850462
39.485732
0.0249065
0.9135166
0.0576195
0.907935117
0.0428492
0.0497762
0.046809
0.0496861 0.896884316 0.008861146 0.004097231
0.0033112 -0.0015972
10.512711 1.077884151 9.42868558
10.163031
9.2273725
0.9356582
40.73737117
40.652123
0.0142117
0.9786489
0.0712985
0.955617108
0.0502328
0.0503774
0.0464452
0.042214 0.889639037 -0.00177922
-0.0074035 -0.0073964 -0.0120927
10.618365 1.094174284 9.44651243
10.336131
9.8773836
0.4587474
41.67302941
41.344524
0.0018907
1.0456117
0.0684237
0.987796206
0.0424854
0.0343671
0.030864
0.0201271
0.87342528 -0.01236979 -0.01697552 -0.0160371 -0.0188875
10.725082
1.11071061 9.36755758
10.404646
10.277669
0.1269761
42.13177679
41.618582 -0.0083581
1.0971557
0.0492956
0.992928029
0.0198922
0.0057468
0.0042664 -0.0091276 0.853398934 -0.01917086 -0.02110842
-0.019559 -0.0196523
10.832871 1.127496852 9.24476029
10.423438
10.349724
0.0737143
42.25875294
41.693752 -0.0131088
1.1195232
0.0203868
0.969616777 -0.0098316 -0.0244743 -0.0233611 -0.0343652 0.835807764 -0.01982617 -0.01855927 -0.0170282 -0.0145459
10.941743 1.144536784 9.14519362
10.46701
10.148989
0.3180215
42.33246719
41.868042 -0.0107701
1.1097621
-0.008719
0.926886014 -0.0351858 -0.0449339 -0.0420253 -0.0472804 0.825578897 -0.01454656 -0.01077589 -0.0097885 -0.0056978
11.051709 1.161834243 9.12405788
10.600643
9.8255876
0.7750553
42.65048871
42.402572 -0.0023111
1.0768879 -0.0296227
0.878812072 -0.0478567 -0.0503792 -0.0469675 -0.0458936 0.825025068 -0.00554913
-0.0006084
-0.00035
0.004143
11.162781 1.179393119 9.20957391
10.861708
9.5454002
1.3163079
43.42554396
43.446832
0.0093726
1.0364649 -0.0375369
0.838556275 -0.0461046 -0.0420904 -0.0391147
-0.03302 0.833817778 0.004370143
0.00914899
0.0087591
0.0125699
11.274969 1.197217363 9.40126919
11.255363
9.438255
1.8171077
44.74185186
45.021451
0.0208148
1.0039341 -0.0313863
0.815321068 -0.0329329 -0.0243891 -0.0223111 -0.0130779 0.849538528 0.012808218 0.016365459
0.0155009
0.0177836
11.388284 1.215310986 9.67478589
11.757874
9.586442
2.1714315
46.55895954
47.031494
0.0290936
0.9908687 -0.0130143
0.813927454 -0.0127942 -0.0017827 -0.0008399
0.0096778 0.868272197 0.017984504 0.019547893
0.0183829
0.0185559
11.502738
1.23367806 9.98750758
12.321369
10.0287
2.2926685
48.73039108
49.285476
0.0323234
1.0041244
0.0133779
0.835072633
0.0100995
0.0216382
0.0212296
0.0310359 0.885202946
0.0186836
0.01777669
0.0165023
0.0143428
11.618342 1.252322716 10.2845909
12.879627
10.755424
2.1242029
51.02305958
51.518507
0.0297455
1.0457804
0.0414849
0.874905993
0.0315694
0.0413353
0.0393872
0.0459856 0.895489831 0.014368474 0.010963568
0.0098554
0.005715
11.735109
1.27124915 10.5086705
13.359138
11.68799
1.6711482
53.14726253
53.436554
0.0217879
1.1122235
0.0635344
0.924096652
0.0465754
0.0515996
0.0482229
0.0489237 0.895645844 0.005617857 0.000405651
-0.000158
-0.005177
11.853049 1.290461621 10.6161336
13.699713
12.659859
1.0398541
54.81841069
54.798852
0.0102261
1.1925113
0.0721867
0.968329206
0.0494103
0.0468918
0.0429218
0.0363579 0.885116789 -0.00539552 -0.01089437 -0.0105806 -0.0148289
11.972174 1.309964451 10.5967719
13.881394
13.44176
0.4396348
55.85826478
55.525578 -0.0018238
1.2684768
0.0637022
0.992547421
0.036482
0.0259816
0.0229931
0.0108779 0.867031953 -0.01511983 -0.01899257 -0.0178014 -0.0198013
12.092496 1.329762028 10.4845804
13.941997
13.838093
0.1039038
56.29789956
55.767988 -0.0105873
1.3198519
0.0405014
0.988053973
0.0104693 -0.0044874 -0.0051144 -0.0182265 0.847171225 -0.02006039 -0.02094985 -0.0193376 -0.0185291
12.214028 1.349858808 10.3473727
13.967492
13.800636
0.166856
56.4018034
55.869969 -0.0130866
1.3337334
0.0105175
0.957140947 -0.0190133 -0.0325172 -0.0306919 -0.0400467
0.83157062
-0.0186492 -0.01645265 -0.0150581 -0.0119329
12.336781 1.370259311 10.2589043
14.057359
13.454874
0.6024851
56.56865944
56.229437 -0.0085498
1.3115313 -0.0166466
0.911171088 -0.0408164 -0.0482918 -0.0450921 -0.0482349 0.824373347 -0.01187918 -0.00758193 -0.0068282 -0.0024843
12.460767 1.390968128 10.2723245
14.288476
13.019246
1.2692298
57.17114454
57.153904
0.0013081
1.2674099 -0.0336411
0.864437913
-0.048693 -0.0489232 -0.0455825 -0.0426948 0.826993945 -0.00230229 0.002711569
0.0027436
0.0071156
12.586
1.41198992 10.4085459
14.696762
12.704438
1.9923237
58.44037431
58.787047
0.013261
1.2205776 -0.0369512
0.828972284 -0.0427975 -0.0370893 -0.0343749 -0.0270678 0.838360542 0.007352408
0.01182892
0.0112665
0.0146564
12.712492 1.433329415 10.6576513
15.275925
12.663318
2.6126066
60.43269802
61.1037
0.0239328
1.1881904 -0.0265344
0.812520274 -0.0269078 -0.0173658 -0.0156359
-0.005801 0.855512689 0.014886709 0.017863716
0.0168845
0.0185297
12.840254 1.454991415 10.9850004
15.983081
12.986578
2.9965037
63.04530459
63.932325
0.0307149
1.18221 -0.0050331
0.818551349
-0.005469
0.0059127
0.006441
0.0169482 0.874178045 0.018710004 0.019505847
0.0182838
0.0177028
12.969301 1.476980794 11.3374781
16.745237
13.706837
3.0384007
66.04180828
66.980949
0.0320872
1.2089846
0.0226479
0.846378823
0.0174082
0.0286373
0.0277445
0.0367932 0.889422473 0.017800156 0.016059782
0.0148057
0.0119355
13.099645
1.4993025 11.6511182
17.468551
14.785011
2.6835393
69.08020902
69.874203
0.027664
1.2689779
0.0496229
0.890466894
0.0373538
0.0459136
0.0434671
0.0484132 0.896679006
0.01192297 0.007822132
0.0068484
0.0022752
13.231298 1.521961556 11.8642272
18.056898
16.07907
1.9778281
71.76374834
72.227591
0.0182909
1.3552564
0.0679905
0.939684525
0.0489922
0.0518064
0.0481093
0.0464823 0.893259448 0.002137034 -0.00335824 -0.0036628 -0.0086123
13.364275 1.544963059 11.9377648
18.443406
17.330983
1.1124228
73.74157644
73.773622
0.0061983
1.4517779
0.0712201
0.978836917
0.0468801
0.041648
0.0378144
0.0291096
0.87979691 -0.00886214 -0.01402673 -0.0134064 -0.0170469
13.498588 1.568312185 11.8760161
18.625301
18.231132
0.3941688
74.85399922
74.501203 -0.0051726
1.5351219
0.0574082
0.99417308
0.0290669
0.0165796
0.0142586
0.0012735
0.86047553 -0.01734012 -0.02033436
-0.018942 -0.0200354
13.634251 1.592014189 11.7319395
18.677414
18.568582
0.1088318
75.248168
74.709656 -0.0121317
1.5827376
0.0310176
0.980353349
0.0007091 -0.0144013 -0.0141711 -0.0264827 0.841430359 -0.02025841 -0.02009531 -0.0184909 -0.0168401
13.771278 1.616074402 11.5875711
18.726377
18.358466
0.3679106
75.3569998
74.905508 -0.0123056
1.584324
0.0010023
0.943113982 -0.0273072 -0.0391819 -0.0367702 -0.0442248 0.828252815 -0.01690294 -0.01388987 -0.0126763 -0.0090299
13.909681 1.640498239 11.5207327
18.899742
17.824611
1.075131
75.72491039
75.598967 -0.0057681
1.5471768 -0.0234467
0.895456209 -0.0449118 -0.0500067 -0.0466507
-0.04772 0.824221469 -0.00892732 -0.00425447 -0.0037404
0.000729
14.049476 1.665291195 11.5798797
19.283872
17.267863
2.016009
76.80004144
77.135487
0.005134
1.4911953
-0.036183
0.851332122 -0.0480572 -0.0461557 -0.0429643 -0.0384473 0.829887958 0.000936272 0.005890835
0.0057119
0.0098571
14.190675 1.690458848 11.7766707
19.907977
16.9483
2.9596767
78.81605048
79.631909
0.0169942
1.4391419 -0.0349072
0.821449528
-0.038453 -0.0312831
-0.028864 -0.0205482 0.843504653 0.010097222 0.014171877
0.0134563
0.0163465
14.333294 1.716006862 12.0902003
20.746867
17.042504
3.7043628
81.77572721
82.987467
0.0266229
1.409613 -0.0205184
0.812120768 -0.0203251 -0.0099948 -0.0086337
0.0016096 0.861629851 0.016564422 0.018891151
0.0178155
0.0187734
14.477346 1.741940985 12.4741136
21.72917
17.64671
4.0824597
85.48009005
86.916679
0.0317541
1.4146665
0.003585
0.825486319
0.0019855
0.013532
0.013623
0.023898 0.879700651 0.018929842 0.018921595
0.0176642
0.0163233
14.622846 1.768267051 12.8637271
22.746505
18.776928
3.9695763
89.56254977
90.986019
0.0312338
1.4596803
0.0318194
0.85939906
0.0243939
0.03505
0.0336576
0.0416673 0.892772423 0.016387433 0.013832666
0.0126318
0.0091143
14.769808 1.794990986 13.1860772
23.66889
20.341022
3.3278682
93.53212603
94.675559
0.0250588
1.5426136
0.0568161
0.906544878
0.0422469
0.0492697
0.0463549
0.049379
0.89671502
0.00906185 0.004369306
0.0035722 -0.0012894
14.918247
1.8221188 13.3774161
24.375241
22.09725
2.2779912
96.85999418
97.500966
0.0145107
1.6518325
0.0708012
0.954145085
0.0499257
0.0502754
0.0463785
0.0423676 0.889797965 -0.00146722 -0.00705759 -0.0070746 -0.0117707
15.068178
1.8496566
13.407634
24.799519
23.662339
1.1371798
99.13798535
99.198075
0.0022589
1.7648408
0.0684139
0.986731342
0.0426474
0.0347887
0.031275
0.0207428 0.873866653 -0.01204455 -0.01667437 -0.0157648
-0.018665
15.219616 1.877610579 13.2999145
24.97206
24.640714
0.3313457
100.2751652
99.888241 -0.0080342
1.8526972
0.0497815
0.992638864
0.020524
0.0065692
0.0050292 -0.0082757
0.85397861 -0.01894791 -0.02096008 -0.0194296 -0.0196009
15.372575 1.905987029 13.1278504
25.021513
24.837326
0.1841868
100.6065109
100.08605 -0.0129372
1.8919568
0.0211905
0.970168147 -0.0089656 -0.0235829 -0.0225441 -0.0336049
0.83634621
-0.0197779 -0.01860291 -0.0170725 -0.0146657
15.527072 1.934792334
12.986008
25.125229
24.375697
0.7495321
100.7906977
100.50091 -0.0108047
1.8770739 -0.0078664
0.928044107 -0.0344222 -0.0442973 -0.0414401 -0.0468471 0.825928562 -0.01467122 -0.01097549 -0.0099743
-0.005935
15.683122 1.964032976 12.9531383
25.440391
23.609805
1.830586
101.5402298
101.76156 -0.0025312
1.8227092 -0.0289625
0.880198411 -0.0474297 -0.0501452 -0.0467516
-0.045851 0.825105436 -0.00579061 -0.00089078 -0.0006132
0.0038599
15.84074 1.993715533 13.0702806
26.058421
22.936581
3.1218403
103.3708158
104.23369
0.0090435
1.7548652 -0.0372215
0.839801972 -0.0460712 -0.0422396 -0.0392584 -0.0333115 0.833619064
0.0040846 0.008858172
0.0084864
0.012308
15.999942 2.023846685 13.3378566
26.993777
22.669427
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0.9

0.88

0.88

0.86

0.86

0.84

0.84

0.82

0.82

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.9

0.8

0.85

0.9

TS

TS

1
0.95
0.9
0.85
0.8
TS

0.75

TE

0.7
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

150
130

Evolucin de la Renta, Salarios y Beneficios

110
90

Y,W,B

Tiempo

Renta
70

Salarios
Beneficios

50
30
10
-10 0

t
10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0.95