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Peter A.

Brown, Assistant
Director,
Quinnipiac University Poll
(203) 535-6203
Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact:
Pat Smith
(212)
843FOR RELEASE:
JULY
1, 2015

ITS WALKER PLUS SIX ALSO-RANS IN IOWA GOP CAUCUS,


QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;
CHRISTIE IN 15TH PLACE IN FIELD OF 16
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker leads the pack in the Iowa Republican Caucus, but his support is
shrinking among likely Republican Caucus participants, as six other contenders battle for second
place, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. New Jersey Gov. Christopher
Christie is in 15th place, with 1 percent.
Walker has 18 percent of likely GOP caucus participants, compared to 25 percent in a
February 25 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and 21 percent in
a May 6 survey.
Jostling for second place are Donald Trump and Ben Carson, at 10 percent each, U.S.
Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 9 percent each, former Gov. Jeb
Bush of Florida at 8 percent and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida at 7 percent. Former
Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee has 5 percent. No other candidate is above 4 percent and 5
percent are undecided.
Trump and Bush top the no way list as 28 percent say they would definitely not support
Trump and 24 percent say no to Bush. Christie is next on this negative list with 18 percent.
Those who thought the Republican race in the Iowa caucuses might begin to clarify
itself better think again, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University
Poll. As even more candidates toss their hats into the ring, the race has gotten even more
muddled.
Iowa front-runner Scott Walker, the governor of neighboring Wisconsin, remains in
front, but his support continues to drop. Meanwhile, behind Walker are a half-dozen wannabes
who are fighting for second place.
-more

Quinnipiac University Poll/July 1, 2015 page 2

In that second-place gaggle is newly declared candidate and billionaire businessman


Donald Trump, whose early showing he is getting one in 10 votes worries many party
leaders. They see him as a potentially disruptive force, Brown added.
Gov. Jeb Bushs formal announcement seems to have inched up his standing, while New
Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie may think making his candidacy official will help him climb
out of the caucus basement.
Meanwhile, the candidate other than Walker with the best favorability rating is surgeon
and political neophyte Ben Carson.
Walker has the best favorability rating, 66 8 percent, among Iowa likely Republican
Caucus participants. He also scores high on personal qualities as voters say 71 8 percent he is
honest and trustworthy, 75 7 percent that he has strong leadership qualities and 71 10 percent
that he cares about their needs and problems.
Favorability ratings for other Republican candidates are:

53 31 percent for Paul;


Negative 42 47 percent for Trump;
46 42 percent for Bush;
63 7 percent for Carson;
58 19 percent for Cruz;
60 13 percent for Rubio;
61 28 percent for Huckabee
Negative 25 59 percent for Christie.
If Jeb Bush is elected president he would follow different policies from his brother,

President George W. Bush, likely Republican caucus participants say 69 20 percent.


Voters say 60 28 percent that Bush is honest and trustworthy, 68 25 percent that he
has strong leadership qualities and 55 35 percent that he cares about their needs and problems.
From June 20 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 666 likely Iowa Republican Caucus
participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines
and cell phones.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee,
Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio,
Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If
you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham,
Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or Walker?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker
DK/NA

8%
10
1
9
3
1
5
3
2
9
4
7
4
10
18
5

1%
9
19
2
1
3
3
9
6
4
7
10
22
3

6%
9
11
3
2
8
3
1
7
7
6
6
8
18
4

3%
13
16
4
6
4
2
7
5
5
4
7
21
4

10%
8
1
4
2
3
6
1
3
8
5
13
4
11
18
4

15%
6
3
2
3
2
5
2
1
15
2
6
3
15
12
8

8%
8
1
9
3
1
5
2
2
12
5
6
3
9
21
4

9%
12
1
7
4
2
5
4
2
4
4
9
5
12
14
6

TREND: If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee,
Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio,
Rick Santorum, Donald Trump and Scott Walker, who would you support? If undecided If you
had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham,
Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump or Walker?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker
DK/NA

8
10
1
9
3
1
5
3
2
9
4
7
4
10
18
5

5
7
3
12
2
11
1
2
na
13
3
13
2
na
21
6

10
11
4
5
na
na
11
2
na
13
3
4
4
na
25
9

1A. (If candidate chosen q1) Who is your second choice: Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz,
Fiorina, Graham, Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or
Walker?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker
No first choice
DK/NA

9%
8
3
5
3
1
7
5
1
6
6
11
5
6
11
5
9

6%
10
8
5
3
7
2
5
5
10
7
10
14
3
5

5%
9
3
5
5
9
5
1
3
8
10
5
8
12
4
9

5%
9
7
4
6
8
1
5
9
11
5
9
13
4
5

12%
8
6
6
2
6
3
2
7
2
11
4
5
14
4
9

12%
5
4
1
4
1
9
3
1
6
6
10
4
3
6
8
16

8%
5
2
6
4
1
8
6
1
6
7
11
4
6
12
4
7

10%
12
3
3
2
6
4
1
4
5
11
5
6
10
6
13

1B. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee,
Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio,
Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If
you had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham,
Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump, or Walker? COMBINED
WITH: Who is your second choice ...? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Q1 & Q1A COMBINED...................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker

17%
17
4
13
7
2
12
7
3
15
11
18
8
17
29

7%
18
1
28
7
4
10
4
14
11
14
14
20
36

12%
18
3
17
8
2
17
8
2
10
14
16
11
16
30

8%
22
23
8
1
11
12
2
11
14
16
10
16
34

22%
16
7
10
4
3
11
3
6
15
7
25
7
16
32

27%
11
7
2
7
3
14
5
2
1
21
8
16
7
18
18

15%
13
3
16
7
2
13
7
3
19
12
17
7
16
33

19%
23
4
10
6
2
11
8
4
9
8
20
10
18
24

TREND: If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush,
Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Lindsay Graham, Mike Huckabee,
Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio,
Rick Santorum, Donald Trump and Scott Walker, who would you support? (If undecided) If you
had to choose today, would you support Bush, Carson, Christie, Cruz, Fiorina, Graham,
Huckabee, Jindal, Kasich, Pataki, Paul, Perry, Rubio, Santorum, Trump or Walker? COMBINED
WITH: Who is your second choice...? (Note: Percentages add to more than 100%)
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker

17
17
4
13
7
2
12
7
3
15
11
18
8
17
29

12
15
7
22
6
16
5
2
na
20
7
27
6
na
33

20
19
11
11
na
na
18
5
2
na
21
11
9
10
na
37

2. Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the Republican
nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple responses
were allowed)
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker
No/No one
DK/NA

24%
4
18
9
4
12
11
4
5
6
11
7
4
8
28
4
26
7

37%
4
25
2
4
20
10
2
6
7
11
5
4
4
20
1
22
3

26%
4
21
8
5
15
8
4
6
8
9
6
5
6
25
3
31
6

32%
3
22
4
3
14
8
1
5
6
10
4
3
3
21
1
29
6

18%
3
14
10
6
11
11
6
6
7
11
7
4
10
31
5
32
5

16%
6
15
15
4
8
16
7
5
4
13
14
5
12
35
8
15
11

26%
5
18
8
4
12
11
4
5
6
9
6
3
8
26
3
25
7

22%
3
17
10
5
10
10
4
6
5
13
9
6
7
30
6
28
8

TREND: Are there any of these candidates you would definitely not support for the
Republican nomination for president? (Totals may add up to more than 100% because multiple
responses were allowed)
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Bush
Carson
Christie
Cruz
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Jindal
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Perry
Rubio
Santorum
Trump
Walker
No/No one
DK/NA

24
4
18
9
4
12
11
4
5
6
11
7
4
8
28
4
26
7

25
4
20
7
5
8
9
3
4
na
10
7
5
8
na
3
35
10

26
3
26
8
na
na
10
4
3
na
7
7
5
8
na
3
29
14

5. Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

46%
42
12
1

33%
59
9
-

45%
42
12
-

34%
52
14
-

58%
33
9
1

53%
34
11
1

46%
45
9
1

46%
37
16
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

46
42
12
1

39
45
15
1

41
40
17
1

6. Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

63%
7
30
-

74%
7
19
-

66%
4
29
-

72%
6
22
-

68%
6
26
-

42%
9
48
-

63%
9
28
-

63%
4
34
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Ben Carson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

63
7
30
-

53
9
38
-

51
5
43
-

7. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

25%
59
15
1

13%
75
12
-

22%
62
16
-

19%
67
14
-

32%
52
17
-

30%
54
15
1

26%
60
13
1

25%
57
18
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

25
59
15
1

32
56
11
1

30
54
15
1

8. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

58%
19
23
-

80%
5
14
1

64%
13
23
-

76%
9
16
-

52%
23
24
1

34%
32
33
-

60%
20
19
1

54%
17
29
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

58
19
23
-

59
19
21
1

46
19
34
1

9. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

36%
8
55
-

43%
7
50
-

36%
9
55
-

42%
7
50
1

30%
7
62
1

33%
10
57
-

39%
10
51
-

32%
6
61
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about her?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

36
8
55
-

26
8
66
-

10. Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

20%
38
42
1

17%
53
29
1

17%
38
43
2

20%
43
36
1

18%
33
47
2

22%
35
43
-

20%
43
37
-

19%
30
49
2

TREND: Is your opinion of Lindsey Graham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard
enough about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

20
38
42
1

15
37
47
1

11. Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

61%
28
10
1

63%
27
9
1

72%
19
9
-

71%
22
6
-

65%
23
12
-

40%
44
15
1

60%
31
9
1

63%
23
13
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

61
28
10
1

64
27
7
1

63
24
12
1

12. Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

49%
9
41
-

61%
5
34
-

48%
7
45
-

66%
3
31
-

39%
10
50
1

34%
18
48
-

50%
11
39
1

48%
8
44
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

49
9
41
-

45
9
44
1

41
9
50
1

13. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

20%
11
69
-

23%
15
62
-

18%
12
70
-

21%
13
66
-

20%
6
74
-

20%
12
69
-

20%
13
66
-

20%
7
74
-

TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

20
11
69
-

20
8
72
-

17
6
77
-

14. Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

9%
20
70
1

11%
26
63
-

5%
20
73
2

9%
24
66
1

8%
15
76
1

12%
18
71
-

9%
24
67
-

9%
14
75
2

15. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

53%
31
15
1

66%
22
9
2

54%
29
16
1

55%
30
13
2

51%
32
16
-

53%
28
17
1

60%
27
12
2

42%
37
20
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

53
31
15
1

59
23
16
1

58
22
18
1

16. Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about
him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

61%
21
17
1

77%
10
11
2

68%
14
17
1

74%
9
16
1

58%
19
20
2

43%
43
14
1

64%
21
13
2

56%
20
22
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

61
21
17
1

51
30
18
2

56
22
21
1

10

17. Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

60%
13
26
1

68%
13
18
1

57%
13
30
1

63%
13
23
1

63%
9
28
-

51%
17
30
2

64%
13
22
1

53%
12
33
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

60
13
26
1

69
9
21
1

48
15
34
2

18. Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

55%
27
17
1

71%
19
10
-

65%
18
16
1

72%
17
11
-

52%
23
23
2

30%
47
21
2

52%
29
18
1

60%
24
15
1

TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

55
27
17
1

56
28
16
1

54
23
22
1

19. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

42%
47
10
2

52%
37
10
1

45%
43
10
2

48%
39
11
3

40%
50
9
1

35%
56
8
1

44%
46
8
2

38%
48
12
2

11

20. Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

66%
8
26
-

77%
5
18
-

66%
8
25
-

77%
3
20
-

68%
8
25
-

45%
16
39
1

71%
7
22
-

57%
8
34
-

TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough
about him?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06 Feb 25
2015
2015
2015
Favorable
Unfavorable
Hvn't hrd enough
REFUSED

66
8
26
-

59
11
29
1

57
7
36
-

21. Would you say that - Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

60%
28
12

46%
39
15

61%
25
14

53%
31
16

70%
22
8

63%
28
9

57%
33
10

66%
20
15

TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

60
28
12

58
30
11

22. Would you say that - Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

71%
8
21

83%
4
13

72%
5
23

80%
3
17

75%
5
21

52%
20
28

75%
8
17

64%
8
28

12

TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

71
8
21

69
11
19

23. Would you say that - Rand Paul is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

72%
16
13

80%
11
9

71%
13
15

75%
13
12

74%
12
14

65%
23
12

77%
14
9

63%
18
19

TREND: Would you say that Rand Paul is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

72
16
13

77
13
10

24. Would you say that - Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

68%
10
22

73%
9
18

66%
9
25

70%
11
19

75%
6
20

58%
13
29

69%
11
20

66%
8
26

TREND: Would you say that Marco Rubio is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

68
10
22

72
13
15

25. Would you say that - Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

74%
4
22

85%
2
13

74%
3
23

85%
2
13

72%
4
23

60%
7
34

76%
5
19

72%
3
25

13

26. Would you say that - Mike Huckabee is honest and trustworthy or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

83%
11
6

86%
10
5

89%
7
4

87%
8
5

90%
6
4

67%
22
10

83%
13
5

82%
9
9

27. Would you say that - Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

68%
25
6

56%
36
7

69%
23
8

61%
29
10

78%
20
2

70%
24
5

66%
29
5

72%
19
9

TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

68
25
6

65
24
11

28. Would you say that - Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

75%
7
18

87%
3
11

74%
5
21

82%
3
15

77%
6
18

60%
16
24

78%
7
14

69%
7
25

TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

75
7
18

72
10
18

14

29. Would you say that - Rand Paul has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

63%
25
12

72%
20
8

65%
20
15

68%
21
11

58%
29
13

61%
27
12

65%
26
9

59%
23
18

TREND: Would you say that Rand Paul has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

63
25
12

70
19
11

30. Would you say that - Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

65%
15
20

73%
12
15

64%
12
24

70%
12
17

68%
10
22

56%
26
18

66%
18
16

65%
10
25

TREND: Would you say that Marco Rubio has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

65
15
20

70
14
16

31. Would you say that - Ben Carson has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

56%
15
29

66%
15
19

60%
10
30

69%
13
18

50%
15
35

44%
17
40

57%
18
26

56%
10
34

15

32. Would you say that - Mike Huckabee has strong leadership qualities or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

70%
22
8

72%
20
8

78%
17
6

78%
16
7

67%
26
7

60%
28
12

68%
26
6

72%
16
12

33. Would you say that - Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you or
not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

55%
35
10

46%
43
11

58%
32
10

48%
40
12

69%
24
6

53%
38
9

52%
39
8

59%
29
12

TREND: Would you say that Jeb Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

55
35
10

52
37
10

34. Would you say that - Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

71%
10
20

82%
4
14

71%
7
22

80%
5
15

75%
4
21

50%
25
25

74%
11
15

66%
8
27

TREND: Would you say that Scott Walker cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

71
10
20

72
11
17

16

35. Would you say that - Rand Paul cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

70%
20
10

80%
12
9

70%
18
12

73%
17
10

69%
22
9

64%
23
13

73%
19
8

64%
22
14

TREND: Would you say that Rand Paul cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

70
20
10

75
15
10

36. Would you say that - Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

67%
13
20

73%
11
16

67%
9
24

71%
13
16

73%
6
21

55%
21
24

68%
15
17

65%
11
24

TREND: Would you say that Marco Rubio cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS
Jul 01 May 06
2015
2015
Yes
No
DK/NA

67
13
20

72
15
13

37. Would you say that - Ben Carson cares about the needs and problems of people like you
or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

72%
7
21

82%
4
14

74%
3
22

83%
5
12

73%
3
24

54%
14
32

73%
9
18

70%
4
26

17

38. Would you say that - Mike Huckabee cares about the needs and problems of people like
you or not?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Yes
No
DK/NA

77%
17
6

84%
11
5

86%
10
5

83%
13
4

82%
13
5

60%
30
11

76%
19
5

78%
14
8

39. Which of these is the most important personal quality in deciding who to support for
the Republican nomination for president: is it someone who is honest and trustworthy or is
it someone who has strong leadership qualities or is it someone who cares about the needs
and problems of people like you?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Honest/Trustworthy
47%
Strong leadership
36
Cares Needs/Problems 13
DK/NA
4

49%
35
10
6

55%
31
9
5

51%
35
9
5

46%
35
14
4

40%
36
21
3

48%
37
11
4

45%
34
17
4

57. If Jeb Bush were elected president, do you think he'd mainly follow the same policies
as his brother, George W. Bush, or come up with new policies?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Same policies
New policies
DK/NA

20%
69
12

30%
61
9

15%
73
12

20%
65
15

19%
74
7

20%
70
9

24%
67
9

13%
72
15

57 & 57A. If Jeb Bush were elected president, do you think he'd mainly follow the same
policies as his brother, George W. Bush, or come up with new policies? COMBINED WITH: (If
same/new policies q57) Is that a good thing or a bad thing?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Q57 & Q57A COMBINED.................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Same policies/Good
Same policies/Bad
New policies/Good
New policies/Bad
DK/NA (57 or 57A)

4%
14
53
10
19

6%
22
37
17
19

3%
11
54
12
20

5%
13
41
17
24

2%
15
62
4
17

4%
15
62
6
12

4%
18
50
11
17

3%
9
56
8
23

18

58. If Jeb Bush were elected president, do you think he'd mainly follow the same policies
as his father, George H.W. Bush, or come up with new policies?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Same policies
New policies
DK/NA

23%
66
11

34%
55
11

18%
70
12

23%
63
15

20%
72
8

25%
67
7

28%
63
10

15%
72
13

58 & 58A. If Jeb Bush were elected president, do you think he'd mainly follow the same
policies as his father, George H.W. Bush, or come up with new policies? COMBINED WITH: (If
same/new policies q58) Is that a good thing or a bad thing?
LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS.............................
Q58 & Q58A COMBINED.................................
Wht
POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
Tea
BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/
Tot
Party Evang Very
Smwht Lib
Men
Wom
Same policies/Good
Same policies/Bad
New policies/Good
New policies/Bad
DK/NA (58 or 58A)

8%
13
50
10
18

10%
22
33
16
19

5%
12
53
10
20

7%
14
39
16
24

7%
11
61
5
16

11%
13
59
7
11

10%
16
47
11
16

4%
9
57
9
21

19

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