Sample test for midterm 1 after hw2

1. [2 points] How many different ways can we partition 9 positions in

a line into three groups with 3, 4 and 2 positions in the three groups
respectively?

2. [2 points] A carton contains 15 light bulbs of which 3 are

defective. In how many ways can you choose 4 of these bulbs and
get at least two of the defective light bulbs?

5. [ 2 points] A new test for heart disease is 99% accurate in that if

the person has the disease the test will detect it with probability .99.
If the person does not have the disease the test will report that the
person has the disease with probability .04 (this is known as a "false
positive"). The proportion of the population that has heart disease is
.10. If a person is chosen randomly from the population and the test
indicates that he does not have the disease, what is the probability
that he in fact does have the disease?

6. [4 points] Suppose in a certain city that 50% of the eligible voters

are Republicans, 40% are Democrats, and 10% are Reform party
members. In the last election 85% of the Republicans voted, 75% of
the Democrats voted, and 40% of the Reform party members voted.
A person is chosen at random from this population.
(1)[2] What is the probability that she voted in the last election?
(2)[2] Given that she voted in the last election. What is the
probability that she is a Republican?