IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll

The IBD/TIPP poll a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market
Intelligence (TIPP) has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.
The latest results for the IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll will be released each morning by 6
a.m. ET.
Also look for daily videos with analysis of the latest results on our Facebook page and on Investors.com.
About IBD/TIPP Poll

Day 19 Results: Nov. 6

Trump Leads Clinton By 1 Point With 2 Days Left: IBD/TIPP Poll

OVERALL
Region
Northeast
Midwest
South
West

Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Not sure

43.0% 44.0% 5.0%
2.0% 1.6% 4.4%
47%
41%
42%
44%

38%
51%
48%
36%

4%
4%
5%
7%

5%
1%
1%
2%

1%
0%
1%
5%

5%
3%
4%
6%

40%
41%

38%
49%

11%
4%

5%
1%

3%
1%

3%
4%

Age
18-44
45-64

65+

49%

45%

1%

0%

0%

4%

38%
48%

50%
38%

6%
4%

1%
3%

1%
2%

3%
6%

36%
72%

52%
12%

5%
4%

1%
5%

1%
3%

4%
4%

59%
48%
38%
41%

27%
38%
50%
49%

4%
4%
8%
5%

3%
5%
0%
1%

2%
2%
0%
1%

6%
3%
4%
2%

41%
34%
47%

47%
54%
39%

1%
6%
6%

3%
1%
2%

4%
1%
1%

4%
4%
5%

90%
5%
31%

4%
90%
40%

0%
4%
12%

2%
0%
5%

1%
0%
4%

3%
1%
8%

17%
48%
88%

76%
31%
2%

4%
10%
1%

0%
2%
5%

0%
4%
1%

3%
4%
3%

44%
43%

46%
42%

4%
8%

2%
2%

1%
2%

3%
4%

59%
41%
35%

23%
47%
55%

4%
7%
4%

4%
1%
1%

3%
1%
2%

7%
4%
4%

39%
45%

48%
42%

7%
4%

1%
2%

2%
1%

2%
5%

31%
41%

58%
47%

7%
4%

2%
1%

1%
2%

3%
5%

81%
58%

7%
21%

3%
4%

4%
6%

1%
7%

4%
4%

59%
38%

25%
49%

4%
4%

3%
2%

3%
1%

5%
6%

Gender
Male
Female

Race
White
Black/Hispanic

Income
Under 30K
30K-50K
50-75K
75K+

Education
High School
Some College
College Degree or more

Party
Democrats
Republicans
Ind./Other

Ideology
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal

Investor
Yes
No

Area Type
Urban
Suburban
Rural

Parental Status
Parents
Non-Parents

White
White men
White women

Black/Hispanic
Black
Hispanic

Women
Single women
Married women

Household
Description
Upper/Upper Middle
Middle
Working
Lower

44%
43%
45%
39%

48%
44%
44%
15%

7%
5%
4%
0%

0%
3%
2%
5%

0%
1%
1%
31%

0%
5%
4%
9%

38%
42%
43%
59%

52%
46%
49%
19%

7%
2%
2%
10%

2%
2%
1%
3%

0%
1%
2%
4%

2%
6%
2%
4%

53%
41%

40%
45%

1%
6%

1%
2%

1%
2%

3%
5%

Religion
Protestant
Catholic
Other
None

Union Household
Yes
No

Two-candidate question
OVERALL

Clinton
45.3%

Trump
43.8%

Other Not sure

3.7% 7.2%

Intensity of Support

Strong

Moderate

Clinton
Trump

63%
65%

36%
33%

Zeitgeist (Likely To Win)

Clinton

Trump

Too Close

Overall
Democrats
Republicans
Independents

43%
79%
14%
37%

26%
4%
52%
25%

25%
14%
31%
29%

Results based on survey of 903 likely voters conducted from 11/2 - 11/5. Margin of error: +/- 3.3
percentage points. Party identification breakdown:(Unweighted) 275 Democrats/333 Republicans/276
Independents; (Weighted) 309/289/247. Results in table above are based on weighted sample. IBD's polling
partner TechnoMetrica uses "traditional" telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection
for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a
Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.
PRIOR RESULTS (PDF): Nov. 5 | Nov. 4 | Nov. 3 | Nov. 2 | Nov. 1 | Oct. 31 | Oct. 30 | Oct. 29 | Oct.
28 | Oct. 27 | Oct. 26 | Oct. 25 | Oct. 24 |Oct. 23 | Oct. 22 | Oct. 21 | Oct. 20 | Oct. 19
About IBD/TIPP The IBD/TIPP poll is a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily and
TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Each month, the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is the earliest take
on consumer confidence and predicts with good reliability monthly changes in sentiment in well-known polls
by The Conference Board and the University of Michigan. Both the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index and
IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll are national surveys based on randomly selected live interviews
via cellphone and landlines. For more information, go to www.tipponline.com.
To license the IBD/TIPP Poll, please contact: IBDlicensing@investors.com. For media inquiries, contact Terry
Jones (terry.jones@investors.com) or Matthew Galgani (matt.galgani@investors.com) or call (310) 4486800.