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Period

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11

Orders
man=3
122
91
100
77
104
115
89
58
97
75
83
128
83
111
87
88
105
109
MAD

error

27
26
39
8
45
24
17
27

man
moving average number
es
exponential smoothing
damping fahow much weightage for previous factor
alpha
weightage of the actual factor

es=0.2

es=0.5
122
116
113
106
107
98
93
100
102
99

122
107
108
95
110
83
86
111
106
95

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