Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cdigo
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
Ao
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
6.1
4.9
5.4
3.8
9.1
4.3
6.4
8.7
19.4
13.7
21.0
Xmedia:
10.4
desviacion estandar:
6.0753464499
datos
distribucion
2.7
0.02971752
2.8
#NAME?
2.9
#NAME?
3.4
#NAME?
3.6
#NAME?
3.8
#NAME?
3.8
#NAME?
3.8
#NAME?
3.9
#NAME?
3.9
#NAME?
4.1
#NAME?
4.1
#NAME?
4.3
#NAME?
4.3
#NAME?
4.5
#NAME?
4.6
#NAME?
4.7
#NAME?
4.9
#NAME?
4.9
#NAME?
4.9
#NAME?
4.9
#NAME?
5.1
#NAME?
5.1
#NAME?
5.1
#NAME?
5.1
#NAME?
5.2
#NAME?
5.3
#NAME?
5.3
#NAME?
3.4
5.6
5.3
6.1
11.2
5.7
2.9
17.7
16.6
20.7
24.0
10.1
7.3
6.5
13.4
12.6
5.2
7.9
27.9
13.6
12.3
25.3
5.4
5.4
5.5
5.6
5.7
5.8
5.8
5.9
6.1
6.1
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.5
6.5
6.8
6.9
7.1
7.1
7.1
7.2
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.7
7.9
8.0
8.1
8.1
8.2
8.4
8.6
8.7
9.1
9.1
9.2
9.3
9.5
9.5
9.5
9.8
9.8
9.9
10.0
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
10.1
10.2
10.4
10.5
11.0
11.0
11.1
11.1
11.2
11.2
11.3
11.3
11.7
11.8
11.9
11.9
12.3
12.3
12.4
12.6
12.6
13.0
13.4
13.4
13.5
13.6
13.7
13.9
14.4
14.6
14.6
14.8
15.3
15.8
16.2
16.5
16.5
16.6
17.7
18.1
18.7
18.8
19.1
19.1
19.4
20.0
20.5
20.7
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
21.0
22.1
22.3
24.0
25.3
27.9
28.3
37.0
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
6.9
11.1
9.9
11.2
20.5
13.0
19.1
28.3
14.6
37.0
22.3
9.1
9.8
11.7
7.1
9.5
11.9
11.9
22.1
11.0
18.7
15.3
10.2
7.1
10.0
6.3
13.5
13.4
16.5
18.1
11.3
11.3
14.6
4.5
5.8
5.1
5.1
5.1
12.3
4.9
11.8
8.1
16.5
7.5
4.6
7.4
2.8
3.9
4.1
7.7
4.9
8.0
4.7
7.6
7.3
3.6
4.1
2.7
3.8
4.3
5.4
3.9
7.1
3.8
8.6
6.8
error estandar
limites de confianza
XTr
+
XTr
-
8.2
6.5
6.2
5.5
4.9
5.8
5.1
19.1
7.2
8.4
10.5
r de frecuencia
s de confianza
alfa
t(1-alfa)
16.2
9.2
7.3
6.1
14.4
13.9
9.5
18.8
5.3
9.3
12.6
Kt
Kt
11.1
9.8
11.0
12.4
14.8
15.8
9.5
10.4
5.9
20.0
8.1
25
0.04
50
0.02
100
0.01
25
1.00039992
50
1.0001
100
1.000025
Se
Se
25
50
100
1.92196156 1.92138535 1.92124126
XTr
XTr
25
50
100
10.6312382 10.5097313 10.4489778
XTr t(1-alfa)*Se
5%
t(0,95)
0.82894
t(1-alfa)*Se
25
50
100
1.59319081 1.59271317 1.59259373
25
50
100
12.224429 12.1024444 12.0415715
10.6312382 10.5097313 10.4489778
9.03804738 8.9170181 8.85638407
ao
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
datos tranformados:
yi media
S desviacin estandar
desviacion estandar yi
Datos originales:
Xmedia
Desviacion estandar
Qmx
16.2
11.1
11.7
13.4
20.5
15.8
19.1
28.3
19.4
20.0
25.3
yi
2.78790828
2.40595363
2.46342762
2.59234002
3.01822735
2.76032635
2.94879789
3.34162429
2.96620047
2.99653195
3.23254202
yi-yimedia
2.78790828
2.40595363
2.46342762
2.59234002
3.01822735
2.76032635
2.94879789
3.34162429
2.96620047
2.99653195
3.23254202
suma
n
Cv
K factor de frecuencia
coeficiente de oblicuidad (Cs)
tabla 7.7.1
Kt
18.3
5.36796705
Qtr100
XTr
en el campo transformado:
LnQtr100
Qt100
limtes de confianza
alfa
Se
t(1-alfa)
3.78337579
limtes de confianza
2.57792078
13.0665379
(yi-yimedia)2
7.7724325573
5.7886128503
6.0684756297
6.7202267565
9.1096963446
7.6194015346
8.6954089746
11.1664528964
8.7983452339
8.9792037497
10.4493278828
91.1675844104
(yi-yimedia)3
21.6688291
13.9271341
14.9492505
17.4211127
27.4951347
21.0320348
25.6410036
37.3140902
26.0976558
26.906471
33.7778914
266.230608
0.2940209413
actor de frecuencia
0.01
ficiente de oblicuidad (Cs)
1.14690799
k
3.09
4.54279557
42.6426678344 m3/s
sformado:
3.7833757875
43.9642053254 m3/s
ln(Qtr)t(1-)Se
5%
2.4029253005
0.7305787924
t(0,95)
1.65
1.20545501
4.98883079
146.764725
Estacin
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cdigo
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
Ao
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
E
6.1
4.9
5.4
3.8
9.1
4.3
6.4
8.7
19.4
13.7
21.0
9.3
9.3
orden
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
caudal
17.6
12.9
12.6
12.0
11.7
11.1
10.8
9.3
8.0
7.9
5.7
4.9
Q95
4.5
Q90
Q80
4.66
7.01
Xmedia
2002
7.8
2003
7.4
2004
7.0
desviacion estandar
3.7905280145
2.1750708813
3.0487167613
coeficiente de variacion
0.4839435284
0.2941091542
0.4364408457
coefiente de asimetria
0.8334351958
2002
6.1
3.4
10.1
6.9
9.1
10.2
4.5
4.6
3.6
8.2
16.2
11.1
7.8
0.2578830902
2003
4.9
5.6
7.3
11.1
9.8
7.1
5.8
7.4
4.1
6.5
9.2
9.8
7.4
0.2139228223
2004
5.4
5.3
6.5
9.9
11.7
10.0
5.1
2.8
2.7
6.2
7.3
11.0
7.0
(xi-xmedia)^3
-16.0
-5.9
0.0
50.4
14.1
0.0
-3.7
0.0
-34.3
-0.6
6.1
14.2
24.3
(xi-xmedia)^3
-3.8
-5.0
-0.1
23.7
107.8
28.4
-6.9
-75.8
-76.6
-0.6
0.0
64.4
55.6
promedio
(xi-xmedia)^3
-5.6
-89.7
12.0
-0.9
2.0
14.1
-38.6
-33.5
-74.7
0.1
595.8
35.2
416.1
tiempo de retorno
pobabilidad
7.69
Tr
(aos)
0.130
15.38
23.08
30.77
38.46
46.15
53.85
61.54
69.23
76.92
84.62
92.31
distribucion normal
0.065
0.043
0.033
0.026
0.022
0.019
0.016
0.014
0.013
0.012
0.011
2002
3.4
3.6
4.5
4.6
6.1
6.9
8.2
9.1
10.1
10.2
11.1
16.2
distribucion normal
2003
4.1
4.9
5.6
5.8
6.5
7.1
7.3
7.4
9.2
9.8
9.8
11.1
distribucion normal
0.05
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
0.0601290962
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
dis
f(x) = + 0.0524017687
R = 0
di
f(x) = + 0.060
R = 0
2004
2.7
2.8
5.1
5.3
5.4
6.2
6.5
7.3
9.9
10.0
11.0
11.7
distribucion normal
2005
3.8
3.8
3.9
5.1
5.5
6.1
6.1
6.3
7.1
11.2
12.4
13.4
distribucion normal
2006
4.1
4.3
4.9
5.1
9.1
9.5
11.2
distribucion normal
0.0495797873
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
0.0746038804
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
0.037048195
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
f(x) = + 0.04957978
R = 0
dis
f(x) = + 0.07460388
R = 0
di
f(x) = + 0.03704819
R = 0
R = 0
12.6
13.5
14.4
14.8
20.5
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
2007
4.3
5.2
5.4
5.7
5.8
7.7
11.9
12.3
13.0
13.4
13.9
15.8
distribucion normal
2008
2.9
3.9
4.9
4.9
5.1
6.4
7.9
9.5
9.5
11.9
16.5
19.1
distribucion normal
2009
7.1
8.0
8.7
distribucion normal
0.0385799741
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
0.0424090714
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
f(x) = + 0.03857997
R = 0
f(x) = + 0.0424090
R = 0
0.0240383225
#NAME?
#NAME?
f(x) = + 0.02403
R = 0
10.4
11.8
17.7
18.1
18.8
19.1
22.1
27.9
28.3
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
f(x) = + 0.02403
R = 0
2010
3.8
4.7
5.3
5.9
7.2
8.1
11.0
11.3
13.6
14.6
16.6
19.4
distribucion normal
2011
7.6
8.4
8.6
9.3
11.3
12.3
13.7
16.5
18.7
20.0
distribucion normal
2012
distribucion normal
0.036252476
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
0.0311130258
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
6.8
7.3
7.5
8.1
10.5
12.6
14.6
15.3
21.0
22.3
24.0
25.3
0.0306208483
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
F
3.4
5.6
5.3
6.1
11.2
5.7
2.9
17.7
16.6
20.7
24.0
M
10.1
7.3
6.5
13.4
12.6
5.2
7.9
27.9
13.6
12.3
25.3
A
6.9
11.1
9.9
11.2
20.5
13.0
19.1
28.3
14.6
37.0
22.3
Ma
9.1
9.8
11.7
7.1
9.5
11.9
11.9
22.1
11.0
18.7
15.3
Jn
10.2
7.1
10.0
6.3
13.5
13.4
16.5
18.1
11.3
11.3
14.6
10.8
12.9
17.6
12.6
12.0
10.8
12.9
17.6
12.6
12.0
probabilidad
7.7
15.4
23.1
30.8
38.5
46.2
53.8
61.5
69.2
76.9
84.6
92.3
caudal
17.6
12.9
12.6
12.0
11.7
11.1
10.8
9.3
8.0
7.9
5.7
4.9
caudal
2005
7.1
2006
10.3
2007
9.5
2008
8.5
2009
16.5
5.079117284
7.3640023497
3.3693658327
5.1288648066 4.2158215949
0.4775529226
0.4466370226
1.0318290468
2005
3.8
6.1
13.4
11.2
7.1
6.3
5.1
3.9
3.8
5.5
6.1
12.4
7.1
0.2964219141
2009
8.7
17.7
27.9
28.3
22.1
18.1
11.8
8.0
7.1
19.1
18.8
10.4
16.5
(xi-xmedia)^3
-34.0
-0.9
250.7
71.8
0.0
-0.4
-7.4
-31.5
-33.6
-3.4
-1.0
151.5
361.8
(xi-xmedia)^3
-2.0
0.7
11.9
1036.2
-0.6
32.6
-141.3
-243.8
-219.7
-158.9
66.0
90.8
472.0
(xi-xmedia)^3
-145.7
-57.6
-83.5
43.1
14.1
59.7
20.6
-5.6
-72.5
-52.7
81.6
247.8
49.3
(xi-xmedia)^3
-10.2
-179.3
-0.3
1171.6
38.1
498.3
-48.2
-49.1
-98.2
-40.1
0.9
0.9
1284.4
(xi-xmedia)^3
-479.4
1.8
1488.3
1633.6
173.2
4.0
-102.1
-610.8
-827.3
18.3
11.6
-226.1
1085.1
Column C
Polynomial (Column C)
f(x) = + 0.0495797873
R = 0
R = 0
f(x) = + 0.0240383225
R = 0
f(x) = + 0.0240383225
R = 0
f(x) = + 0.0306208483
R = 0
f(x) = + 0.0306208483
R = 0
Jl
4.5
5.8
5.1
5.1
5.1
12.3
4.9
11.8
8.1
16.5
7.5
A
4.6
7.4
2.8
3.9
4.1
7.7
4.9
8.0
4.7
7.6
7.3
S
3.6
4.1
2.7
3.8
4.3
5.4
3.9
7.1
3.8
8.6
6.8
O
8.2
6.5
6.2
5.5
4.9
5.8
5.1
19.1
7.2
8.4
10.5
N
16.2
9.2
7.3
6.1
14.4
13.9
9.5
18.8
5.3
9.3
12.6
7.9
5.7
4.9
8.0
11.1
7.9
5.7
4.9
8.0
11.1
caudal
caudal
2010
10.1
2011
15.4
2012
14.6
5.0901858482
8.2664623557 6.9438822518
0.5018999702
0.5384382098 0.4749902354
5.87729983441E-018 1.746592018
2010
2011
19.4
13.7
16.6
20.7
13.6
12.3
14.6
37.0
11.0
18.7
11.3
11.3
8.1
16.5
4.7
7.6
3.8
8.6
7.2
8.4
5.3
9.3
5.9
20.0
10.1
15.4
(xi-xmedia)^3
9.3
6.5
3.5
4.4
0.9
1.2
-2.0
-5.4
-6.3
-3.0
-4.8
-4.2
0.0
(xi-xmedia)^3
-4.7
155.4
-28.0
10173.6
38.8
-65.7
1.5
-464.7
-302.3
-335.7
-225.6
101.4
9044.0
0.3831073825
2012
21.0
24.0
25.3
22.3
15.3
14.6
7.5
7.3
6.8
10.5
12.6
8.1
14.6
(xi-xmedia)^3
263.5
813.2
1233.6
445.6
0.4
0.0
-359.7
-392.7
-472.7
-68.1
-7.9
-279.3
1175.8
ao
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
yi media
S desviacin estandar
Qmx
16.2
11.1
11.7
13.4
20.5
15.8
19.1
28.3
19.4
20.0
25.3
2.8648981682
0.3133205239
yi
2.7879082763
2.405953626
2.4634276181
2.5923400156
3.0182273514
2.7603263457
2.9487978864
3.3416242901
2.9662004709
2.9965319537
3.2325420156
yi-yimedia
(yi-yimedia)2
-0.0769898918 0.00592744
-0.4589445422 0.21063009
-0.4014705501 0.1611786
-0.2725581526 0.07428795
0.1533291832 0.02350984
-0.1045718225 0.01093527
0.0838997182 0.00703916
0.476726122 0.2272678
0.1013023028 0.01026216
0.1316337856 0.01732745
0.3676438475
0.135162
suma
0.88352776
D
11.1
9.8
11.0
12.4
14.8
15.8
9.5
10.4
5.9
20.0
8.1
11.7
11.7
yimedia)2
Estacin
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cutuchi
Cdigo
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
792
Ao
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
E
6.1
4.9
5.4
3.8
9.1
4.3
6.4
8.7
19.4
13.7
21.0
F
3.4
5.6
5.3
6.1
11.2
5.7
2.9
17.7
16.6
20.7
24.0
M
10.1
7.3
6.5
13.4
12.6
5.2
7.9
27.9
13.6
12.3
25.3
9.3
10.8
12.9
9.3
10.8
12.9
orden
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
caudal
17.6
12.9
12.6
12.0
11.7
11.1
10.8
9.3
8.0
7.9
5.7
4.9
probabilidad
7.7
15.4
23.1
30.8
38.5
46.2
53.8
61.5
69.2
76.9
84.6
92.3
caudal
17.6
12.9
12.6
12.0
11.7
11.1
10.8
9.3
8.0
7.9
5.7
4.9
Q95
Q90
Q80
4.5
4.66
7.01
A
6.9
11.1
9.9
11.2
20.5
13.0
19.1
28.3
14.6
37.0
22.3
Ma
9.1
9.8
11.7
7.1
9.5
11.9
11.9
22.1
11.0
18.7
15.3
Jn
10.2
7.1
10.0
6.3
13.5
13.4
16.5
18.1
11.3
11.3
14.6
Jl
4.5
5.8
5.1
5.1
5.1
12.3
4.9
11.8
8.1
16.5
7.5
A
4.6
7.4
2.8
3.9
4.1
7.7
4.9
8.0
4.7
7.6
7.3
S
3.6
4.1
2.7
3.8
4.3
5.4
3.9
7.1
3.8
8.6
6.8
17.6
12.6
12.0
7.9
5.7
4.9
17.6
12.6
12.0
7.9
5.7
4.9
caudal
caudal
caudal
O
8.2
6.5
6.2
5.5
4.9
5.8
5.1
19.1
7.2
8.4
10.5
N
16.2
9.2
7.3
6.1
14.4
13.9
9.5
18.8
5.3
9.3
12.6
D
11.1
9.8
11.0
12.4
14.8
15.8
9.5
10.4
5.9
20.0
8.1
8.0
11.1
11.7
8.0
11.1
11.7
Qmx
16.2
11.1
11.7
13.4
20.5
15.8
19.1
28.3
19.4
20.0
25.3
2.7879082763
2.405953626
2.4634276181
2.5923400156
3.0182273514
2.7603263457
2.9487978864
3.3416242901
2.9662004709
2.9965319537
3.2325420156
xmedia
S(desvia)
Cs
2.8648981682
0.297241948
-0.1
x-xmedia
(x-xmedia)2 (x-xmedia)3
-0.07698989 0.0059274434
-0.45894454 0.2106300928
-0.40147055 0.1611786026
-0.27255815 0.0742879465
0.15332918 0.0235098384
-0.10457182 0.0109352661
0.08389972 0.0070391627
0.47672612 0.2272677954
0.1013023 0.0102621565
0.13163379 0.0173274535
0.36764385 0.1351619986
Sumatoria
-0.00045635
-0.09666753
-0.06470846
-0.02024779
0.00360474
-0.00114352
0.00059058
0.10834449
0.00103958
0.00228088
0.04969148
-0.01767189
de
a
Qtr
25
50
100
3.37496535 3.45938206 3.53428704
Intervalos de Confianza
25
50
100
9.28681164 9.97162686 10.6041499
intervalo
intervalo
intervalo
AOS
25
50
100
KT
1.716
2
2.252
1-a
t(1-a)
1
4
simbologia
Se
S
alfa
t(1-a)
error estandar
factor de error estandar
nivel de probabilidad
cuantil de distribucion normal estandarizada
E RETORNO (TR)
s
Se
1.57236383 1.47796157
1.73205081 1.6280612
1.88035954 1.76746571
PARMETROS
B(Beta)
a(Alfa)
Xo
457.951351
-0.01388994
9.22581579
Qmx
x-xmedia (x-xmedia)2(x-xmedia)3
16.2
11.1
11.7
13.4
20.5
15.8
19.1
28.3
19.4
20.0
25.3
-2.01
-7.17
-6.51
-4.90
2.20
-2.45
0.83
10.01
1.16
1.76
7.09
sumatoria
x
S(desv)
Cs
s
Se
18.3
5.7
0.5
2.7316
4.88771293
4.04046546
51.3815273
42.407328
23.9717062
4.83080437
6.01274983
0.68212583
100.158244
1.34770992
3.09376119
50.2242805
288.150703
-8.1217029
-368.307459
-276.160375
-117.367653
10.6176688
-14.7438092
0.56337392
1002.3746
1.56456869
5.44164468
355.93491
591.795772
Qtr
25
29.064509
Intervalos de Confianza
25
29.064509
intervalo
de
a
29.064509
58.1290181
Qtr
50
100
31.333501 33.4553763
AOS
25
50
100
Intervalos de Confianza
50
100
31.333501 33.4553763
intervalo
intervalo
31.333501 33.4553763
62.667002 66.9107526
1-a
t(1-a)
FUNCIN DE DENSIDAD
KT
1.91
2.311
2.686
-0.28360734
0
PARMETROS
s
Se
1.680491 3.00694011
1.91581849 3.42801685
2.14646174 3.84071197
B(Beta)
a(Alfa)
Xo
19.4317892
1.28360734
-6.68569632