Variable Unit/Description Country Unit Year

Percentage of activ Rate: Hungary (Percentage of active population)

Tasa desempleo
Variable Unit/Description Country Unit Year
NAWRU (ZNAWRU)Rate: Hungary Rate
Variable Unit/Description Country Unit Year
National (ZCPIN) Generic Hungary (2015 = 100)
IPC
Variable Unit/Description Country Unit Year
Price deflator (PVG Index: National cur Hungary (National currency: 2015 = 100)
Deflactor PIB
U-Û
Variable Unit/Description Country Unit Year
Gap between actualPercentage of potenHungary (Percentage of potential gross domestic
Output-gap
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
9.9 9.9 9.1 8.5 7 6.4 5.7 5.8 5.9

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

9.5 9 8.5 8 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.7 7.8
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
25.8 31.9 37.7 43 47.3 52 56.7 59.7 62.5

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

26.4 32.1 38.6 44 47.5 52.1 57.8 62.5 65.9

0.4 0.9 0.6 0.5 -0.6 -1.1 -1.8 -1.9 -1.9

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
0.4 -1.9 -1.4 -0.6 -0.7 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.7
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
6.1 7.2 7.5 7.4 7.8 10 11.2 11 11

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

7.9 8.1 8 7.9 7.9 8.2 8.3 8.2 8.1
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
66.7 69.1 71.8 77.5 82.2 85.6 89.8 93.3 98.6

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

69.3 71.1 73.7 77.7 81.4 84.9 87 88.7 91.2

-1.8 -0.9 -0.5 -0.5 -0.1 1.8 2.9 2.8 2.9

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2.4 3 4.1 2 1.5 -5.7 -4.6 -3 -4.4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
10.2 7.7 6.8 5.1 4.2 3.7 3.4 4.3 4.3

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

7.8 7.2 6.8 6.2 5.7 5.1 4.4 4.1 3.7
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
100.3 100.1 100 100.4 102.8 105.7 109.2 112.8

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

93.8 97.3 100 101.4 105.4 110.5 115.8 122.4 126.9

2.4 0.5 0.0 -1.1 -1.5 -1.4 -1.0 0.2 0.6

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
-3.4 -1 0.7 0.8 2.3 3.9 4.4 -3.9 -2.3
2022 PROMEDIO
3.8 7.175

2022
3.3

2022
131.6

0.5
2022
-0.4
 1995 1996 1997
Tasa desempleo 9.9 9.9 9.1
NAWRU (ZNAWRU) 9.5 9 8.5
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
8.5 7 6.4 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.1 7.2
8 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.7 7.8 7.9 8.1
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
7.5 7.4 7.8 10 11.2 11 11 10.2
8 7.9 7.9 8.2 8.3 8.2 8.1 7.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
7.7 6.8 5.1 4.2 3.7 3.4 4.3 4.3
7.2 6.8 6.2 5.7 5.1 4.4 4.1 3.7
2022
3.8
3.3
 1991 1992
IPC 11.2 13.8
Deflactor PIB 11.9 14.3
Tasa inf. IPC 23.2142857 22.4637681
Tasa inf. Def 20.1680672 21.6783217

La tasa de inflación del IPC se calcula como: El IPC del añ

La tasa de inflación del deflactor del pib: se calcula exac
 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
16.9 20.1 25.8 31.9 37.7 43 47.3 52
17.4 20.8 26.4 32.1 38.6 44 47.5 52.1
18.9349112 28.358209 23.6434109 18.1818182 14.0583554 10 9.93657505 9.03846154
19.5402299 26.9230769 21.5909091 20.2492212 13.9896373 7.95454545 9.68421053 10.940499

e calcula como: El IPC del año 2 menos el del año 1 todo esto entre el IPC del año 2 y por 100.
ctor del pib: se calcula exactamente igual que la anterior pero usando el deflactor del PIB
 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
56.7 59.7 62.5 66.7 69.1 71.8 77.5 82.2
57.8 62.5 65.9 69.3 71.1 73.7 77.7 81.4
5.29100529 4.69011725 6.72 3.5982009 3.90738061 7.93871866 6.06451613 4.13625304
8.13148789 5.44 5.15933232 2.5974026 3.65682138 5.42740841 4.76190476 4.2997543
 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
85.6 89.8 93.3 98.6 100.3 100.1 100 100.4
84.9 87 88.7 91.2 93.8 97.3 100 101.4
4.90654206 3.89755011 5.68060021 1.72413793 -0.19940179 -0.0999001 0.4 2.39043825
2.47349823 1.95402299 2.81848929 2.85087719 3.73134328 2.77492292 1.4 3.94477318
 2017 2018 2019 2020
102.8 105.7 109.2 112.8
105.4 110.5 115.8 122.4
2.82101167 3.31125828 3.2967033
4.83870968 4.79638009 5.69948187
 años 2000 2001 2002 2003
output-gap 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.7
Tasa de desempleo 6.4 5.7 5.8 5.9

Output-gap y Tasa desempleo

12
f(x) = − 0.670436397820842 x + 7.45306146719371
R² = 0.718487490473081 10

0
-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6
 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2.4 3 4.1 2 1.5 -5.7 -4.6 -3
6.1 7.2 7.5 7.4 7.8 10 11.2 11

el okun es la tasa de equilibrio

6719371

2 4 6
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
-4.4 -3.4 -1 0.7 0.8 2.3 3.9 4.4
11 10.2 7.7 6.8 5.1 4.2 3.7 3.4
 1995
T.desemple 9.9
u-û 0.4

Tasa de dese
12

10

0
95 97 99 01 03 05
-219 19 19 20 20 20

-4

T
 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
9.9 9.1 8.5 7 6.4 5.7 5.8 5.9
0.9 0.6 0.5 -0.6 -1.1 -1.8 -1.9 -1.9

Tasa de desempleo y de equilibrio

2

0
95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 21
219 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

T.desemple u-û
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
6.1 7.2 7.5 7.4 7.8 10 11.2 11
-1.8 -0.9 -0.5 -0.5 -0.1 1.8 2.9 2.8
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
11 10.2 7.7 6.8 5.1 4.2 3.7 3.4
2.9 2.4 0.5 0 -1.1 -1.5 -1.4 -1
2020 2021 2022
4.3 4.3 3.8
0.2 0.6 0.5
 1995 1996 1997
Outut-gap 0.4 -1.9 -1.4
U-Û 0.4 0.9 0.6
Tasa de paro 9.9 9.9 9.1
(u-û) 2.725 2.725 1.925

U-Û
4

f(x) = − 0.438088605226502 x − 0.0210536163489326

2
R² = 0.669204632162969

0
-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4
-1

-2

-3
 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
-0.6 -0.7 0.4 0.8 1.5 1.7 2.4 3
0.5 -0.6 -1.1 -1.8 -1.9 -1.9 -1.8 -0.9
8.5 7 6.4 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.1 7.2
1.325 -0.175 -0.775 -1.475 -1.375 -1.275 -1.075 0.025

Û La (u-û) se calcula: La tasa de paro - la (U-Û) fija.

4

− 0.0210536163489326
2

0
0 2 4 6
-1

-2

-3
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
4.1 2 1.5 -5.7 -4.6 -3 -4.4 -3.4
-0.5 -0.5 -0.1 1.8 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.4
7.5 7.4 7.8 10 11.2 11 11 10.2
0.325 0.225 0.625 2.825 4.025 3.825 3.825 3.025
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
-1 0.7 0.8 2.3 3.9 4.4 -3.9 -2.3
0.5 0 -1.1 -1.5 -1.4 -1 0.2 0.6
7.7 6.8 5.1 4.2 3.7 3.4 4.3 4.3
0.525 -0.375 -2.075 -2.975 -3.475 -3.775 -2.875 -2.875
 2022
-0.4
0.5 Media
3.8 7.175
-3.375
 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
NARWU 7.5 7.5 7.7 7.8 7.9
T.dese.equ -1.1 -1.8 -1.9 -1.9 -1.8

La tasa de desempleo en equilibrio se hace positiva a partir del año 2009 y vuelve a ca
La Narwu es postiva y notablemente mas alta que la tasa de desempleo en equilibrio,
 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
8.1 8 7.9 7.9 8.2 8.3 8.2 8.1
-0.9 -0.5 -0.5 -0.1 1.8 2.9 2.8 2.9

artir del año 2009 y vuelve a caere en 2016.

sa de desempleo en equilibrio, a partir del año2012 empieza a caer.
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Media
7.8 7.2 6.8 6.2 5.7 5.1 4.4 7.30526316
2.4 0.5 0 -1.1 -1.5 -1.4 -1 -0.05789474
Nota:
Pese a que la ecuación de Okun presenta un error cuadrático considerable, podemos atribuirlos a las oscilacione
Por tanto esta ecuación, al tener una pendiente similar a la otra gráfica realizada en este apartado, decimos que
mos atribuirlos a las oscilaciones cíclicas de la economía húngara.
en este apartado, decimos que representa una imagen lo suficientemente fiable de Hungría