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M14 Rend6289 10 Im C14 PDF
M14 Rend6289 10 Im C14 PDF
217
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Alternative Example 14.3: A new shopping mall is considering SOLUTIONS TO DISCUSSION QUESTIONS
setting up an information desk manned by two employees. Based
AND PROBLEMS
on information obtained from similar information desks, it is be-
lieved that people will arrive at the desk at the rate of 20 per hour. 14-1. The waiting line problem concerns the question of find-
It takes an average of 2 minutes to answer a question. It is as- ing the ideal level of service that an organization should provide.
sumed that arrivals are Poisson and answer times are exponen- The three components of a queuing system are arrivals, waiting
tially distributed. line, and service facility.
a. Find the proportion of the time that the employees are 14-2. The seven underlying assumptions are:
idle. 1. Arrivals are FIFO.
b. Find the average number of people waiting in the system. 2. There is no balking or reneging.
c. Find the expected time a person spends waiting in the
system. 3. Arrivals are independent.
b. Car wash: usually either a single-channel, single-server 14-8. The waiting time cost should be based on time in the
system, or else a system with each service bay having its own queue in situations where the customer does not mind how long it
queue. takes to complete service once the service starts. The classic ex-
Arrivals dirty cars or trucks ample of this is waiting in line for an amusement park ride.
Waiting time cars in one line (or more lines if there are Waiting time cost should be based on the time in the system
service parallel wash systems); always FIFO when the entire time is important to the customer. When a com-
Service either multiphase (if car first vacuumed, then puter or an automobile is taken into the shop to be repaired, the
soaped, then sent through automatic cleaner, customer is without use of the item until the service is finished. In
then dried by hand) or single-phase if all such a situation, the time in the system is the relevant time.
automatic or performed by one person 14-9. The use of Poisson to describe arrivals:
c. Laundromat: basically a single-channel, multiserver, a. Cafeteria: probably not. Most people arrive in groups and
two-phase system. eat at the same time.
Arrivals customers with dirty clothes b. Barbershop: probably acceptable, especially on a week-
Waiting line usually first-come, first-served in terms of end, in which case people arrive at the same rate all day long.
selecting an available machine c. Hardware store: okay.
Service first phase consists of washing clothes in d. Dentists office: usually not. Patients are most likely
washing machines; second-phase is again scheduled at 15- to 30-minute intervals and do not arrive
queuing for the first available drying machine randomly.
e. College class: number of students come in groups at the
d. Small grocery store: usually a single-channel, single-
beginning of class period; very few arrive during the class or
server system.
very early before class.
Arrivals customers buying food items f. Movie theater: probably not if only one movie is shown
Waiting line customers with carts or baskets of groceries (if there are four or more auditoriums each playing a different
who arrive first at the cash register; movie simultaneously, it may be okay). Patrons all tend to ar-
sometimes not FIFO; grocer may care for rive in batches 5 to 20 minutes before a show.
regular customers first or give priority to
person making a small, quick, purchase
Service ringing up sale on cash register, collecting
money, and bagging groceries
14-10.
The probability of more than three students in the system, Pn3, is f (part c). The average waiting time, Wq, for the two-
given by channel system is given by
4
4 1
Pn 3 0.410 Wq W
5
The probability of more than four students in the system, Pn4, is where
m
given by
4
5
1
Pn 4 0.328 W P0
5 (m 1)!(m )2
b. The probability that the system is empty, P0, is given by Then
2
4 4
P0 1 1 1 0.8 0.2 5
5 5
Wq (0.429)
c. The average waiting time, Wq, is given by (2 1)[2(5) 4]2
4 5(0.64)
Wq 0.8 minute (0.429)
( ) 5(5 4)
1(10 4)2
d. The expected number of students in the queue, Lq, is 1.373
given by 0.038 minute 2.3 sec onds
1(36)
2 42
Lq 3.2 students f (part d). The average number of students in the queue for
( ) 5(5 4) the two-channel system, Lq, is given by
e. The average number of students in the system, L, is given
as Lq L
4 where
L 4 students m
5 4
f. Adding a second channel, we have
4 students/minute L P
(m 1)!(m ) 2 0
60
5 students/minute Then
12 2
4
m2 4(5)
5
f (part b). The probability that the two-channel system is Lq (0.429)
(2 1)![2(5) 4]2
empty, P0, is given by
1 4(5)(0.64) 5.492
P0 (0.429)
n m 1 1 1 m m
n 1(10 4) 2 1(36)
0.15 student
n 0 n ! m ! m
f (part e). The average number of students in the two-
1 channel system, L, is given by
0 1 2 m
1 4 1 4 1 4 2(5)
0! 5 1 5 1(2) 5 2(5) 4
L P0
1 (m 1)!(m )2
2
4 1 4 2(5) 4
1 Lq 0.153 0.95 student
5 2 5 10 4 5
14-15. 30 trucks/hour, 35 trucks/hour.
1
a. The average number of trucks in the system, L, is given
4 1 16 10 by
1
5 2 25 6
L
1
4 160
1 30 30
5 300 6trucks in the system
35 30 5
or
b. The average time spent by a truck in the system, W, is
1 1
P0 0.429 given by
1 0.8 0.53 2.33 1
Thus the probability of an empty system when using the second W
channel is 0.429. 1 1
0.2 hour 12 minutes
35 30 5
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c. The utilization rate for the bin area, , is given by To determine total cost using the second clerk (a second channel):
1
P0
n m 1 1 n 1 m m
n 0 n ! m ! m
30 6
0.857
35 7
d. The probability that there are more than three trucks in 1
the system, Pn 3, is given by 0 1 2
k 1 1 12 1 12 1 12 2(15)
Pn k 0 ! 15 1 15 1(2) 15 2(15) 12
1
4
30 4 1 4 2(15)
2
Pn 3 0.540 1
35 5 2 5 30 12
Thus the probability that there are more than three trucks in the 1
system is 0.540.
4 1 16 30
e. Unloading cost: 1
5 2 25 18
hours trucks hours dollars 1
CM 16 30 0.2 18
day hour truck hour 4 480
1
5 900
16(30)(0.2)(18)
or
$1,728/day or $12,096 per week.
1
f. Enlarging the bin will cut waiting costs by 50% next P0
1 0.8 0.53
year. First, we must compute annual waiting costs:
1
0.429
annual weeks days dollars 2.33
2 7 1, 728
year week day
m
waiting cost
$24,192
Wq P0
Enlarging the bin will cut waiting costs by 50% next year, result- (m 1)!(m )2
ing in a savings of $12,096. Since the cost of enlarging the bin is Then
only $9,000, the cooperative should proceed to enlarge the bin. 2
12
The net savings is $3,096 ($12,096 $9,000). 15
15
14-16. 12 calls/hour, 6 0r 15 calls/hour. Wq (0.429)
(2 1)[2(15) 12]2
a. The average time the catalog customer must wait, Wq, is
given by 15(0.64)
(0.429)
1(30 12)2
Wq
( )
4.12
0.0127 hour 0.763 seconds
12 12 12 1(324)
0.267 Cost with two clerks:
15(15 12) 15(3) 45
16 minutes Ct/hour service cost waiting cost
b. The average number of callers waiting to place an order, calls hours dollars
20 12 0.0127 50
Lq, is given by hour call hour
2 20 12(0.0127)(50) 20 7.62
Lq $27.62/hour
( )
There is a savings of 170.20 27.62 142.5/hour. Thus a second
12 2 144 144
3.2 customers clerk should certainly be added!
15(15 12) 15(3) 45
14-17. This is an M/M/1 system with 24 per hour and
c. To decide whether or not to add the second clerk, we must 30 per hour.
(a) compute present total cost, (b) compute total cost with the a. W 0.167 hours
second clerk, and (c) compare the two. Present total cost:
b. L4
Ct/hour service cost waiting cost
c. Wq 0.133
calls hours dollars d. Lq 3.2
10 12 0.267 50
hour call hour e. P0 0.2
10 12(0.267)(50) 10 160.2 f. 0.8
$170.20/hour g. P(n 2) Pn 1 Pn 2 0.640 0.512 0.128
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3.84 So the manager must open M 2 or more exits. Since there are
only 6 turnstiles, 4 must be used as entrances and 2 as exits.
d. Average time in queue
Lq b. The students should recognize and question all the limiting
0.52
Wq 0.817 days queuing assumptions that have been applied in solving the
( N L) (5 1.16)(0.1667 ) case. For example, it may be reasonable to assume that arrivals
1 at the entrance turnstiles are independent and Poisson. But are
e. Average wait in system W Wq exiting passengers independent? More realistically, they arrive
in batches (as a train arrives), and unless trains unload every
0.817 1 minute or two, this assumption may be unreasonable.
1.817 days
Other problems arise as well. If an exiting passengers card
60
14-30. 0.706/hour , 0.1765 does not have the correct fare, the card is rejected and the passen-
85 ger must leave the line, go to an add fare machine to correct the
4/hour, N 5, n 1 deficiency, and enter the queue again. This resembles the reneging
1 customer.
P0 Note: In the real-world subway station in Washington, D.C.,
1 5(0.1765) 20(0.1765)2 common queues are not formed at turnstiles and the problem be-
60(0.1765)3 120(0.1765)4 120(0.1765)5 comes a series of single channel queues.
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14-32. This is an M/M/1 system with = 12 per hour and = 15 f. Wq 0.5 minute
per hour.
g. W 1 minute
a. Wq = 0.27 hours
14-37. a. 3 per minute and 4 per minute
b. Lq = 3.2
b. M/M/1
c. L = 4
c. 3/4 0.75
d. W = 0.33 hours
d. P0 1 3/4 0.25. The cashier is idle 25% of the time.
e. Pn3 = (12/15)3+1 = 0.4096
e. Lq 2.25
14-33. This is an M/M/2 system with = 12 per hour and = 15
f. Wq 0.75 minute
per hour.
g. W 1 minute
a. Wq = 0.013 hours
h. P(n 1) 0.188
b. Lq = 0.152
P(n 2) 0.141
c. L = 0.952
P(n 3) 0.106
d. W = 0.079 hours
14-38. This is an M/M/2 system with 3 per minute and 4
per minute. Solving with QM for Windows we obtain the following:
SOLUTIONS TO INTERNET HOMEWORK PROBLEMS
a. Lq 0.1227
14-34. 12/hour; 4/hour/barber; M 4 channels
b. Wq 0.0409 minute
a. P0 0.0377 3.8% (from formula)
b. L 4.528 c. W 0.2909 minutes
c. W 0.377 hour 22.6 minutes d. P(n 1) 0.3409, P(n 2) 0.1278, P(n 3) 0.0479.
d. Wq 0.127 hour 7.6 minutes
e. Lq 1.5282 (from formula) SOLUTION TO NEW ENGLAND FOUNDRY CASE
f. 0.75 75%
1. To determine how much time the new layout would save, the
g. with m 5 barbers drops to 60%
present system must be compared to the new system. The amount
14-35. a. 9 A.M.3 P.M.; 6 patients/hour; 5 patients/ of time that an employee spends traveling to the maintenance de-
hour/doctor partment added to the time that he or she spends in the system
6 being serviced and waiting for service presently, compared to this
1.20
5 value under the proposed system, will give the savings in time.
Want Wq to be
5 minutes 0.0833 hour. Wq
0.0833 implies Under the present system, there are two service channels with a
that single line (M 2). The number of arrivals per hour is 7 ( 7). The
Lq number of employees that can be serviced in an hour by each channel
Wq 0.0833 or Lq
0.0833 or Lq
0.50 is 5 ( 5). The average time that a person spends in the system is
( / ) M 1
Thus m 3 channels or doctors are needed (with m 2, Lq W P0
0.6748; with m 3, Lq 0.0904). ( M 1)!( M ) 2
where
b. 3 P.M.8 P.M.; 4 patients/hour; 5 1
patients/hour/doctor P0
M 1 1 n 1
M
M
4
0.80
5 n 0 n ! M ! M
Lq
Wq
0.0833 hour implies that 0.0833 or Lq
0.0833 or In this case
1
Lq
0.03333. This means m 2 doctors. P0 0.18
1 1 7
12
1 7 2(5)
(1)
c. 8 P.M.midnight; 12 patients/hour; 5 patients/ 1 1 5 2 5 5(2) 7
hour/doctor
Therefore,
12
2.4 5(7 / 5)2
5 W (0.18) 1 / 5
Lq 1(10 7 )2
Want Wq
0.0833 hour or 0.0833 or Lq
0.0833 or Lq
0.396 hour, or 23 minutes and 45 seconds
1.00. m 4 doctors are needed. Added to the travel times involved (6 minutes total for main-
tenance personnel and 2 minutes total for molding personnel), the
14-36. a. 1 per minute and 2 per minute
total trip takes:
b. M/M/1
For maintenance29 minutes and 45 seconds
c. 1 w 0.5 For molding25 minutes and 45 seconds
d. P0 1 1 w 0.5. The cashier is idle 50% of the time. Under the new system, waiting lines are converted to single-
e. Lq 0.5 channel, single-line operations. Bob will serve the maintenance
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personnel and Pete will serve the molding personnel. average time in the system gives W 7.6 minutes. This plan is
Bob can now service 6 people per hour ( 6). Four people clearly faster.
arrive from the maintenance department every hour ( 4). The Use of an ATM with the same service rate as the clerks (20
time spent in Bobs department is per hour) by 20 percent of the arrivals (18 per hour) gives the
1 1 1 same average time for these guests as the current systems30
W hour, or 30 minutes
6 4 2 minutes. The remaining 72 per hour form an M/M/4 or M/M/5
The reduced travel time is equal to 2 minutes, making the queuing system. With four servers, the average time in the system
total trip time equal to 32 minutes. This is an increase in time of 2 is 8.9 minutes, resulting in an overall average of:
minutes and 15 seconds for the maintenance personnel. 0.2 30 0.8 8.9 13.1 minutes
Pete can now service 7 people per hour ( 7). Three peo-
With five servers, the average time is 3.9 minutes resulting in an
ple arrive from the molding department every hour ( 3). The
overall average of:
time in Petes department is
1 1 0.2 30 0.8 3.9 9.1 minutes
W hour, or 15 minutes
7 3 4
The travel time is equal to 2 minutes, making the total trip
INTERNET CASE STUDY
time equal to 17 minutes. This is a decrease in time of 8 minutes Pantry Shopper
and 45 seconds per trip for the molding personnel. Beth wants to get a general idea of the system behavior. She first
2. To evaluate systemwide savings, the times must be mone- will need to decide whether she is interested in time waiting or
tized. For the maintenance personnel who are paid $9.50 per hour, time in system. Some students may use system time, but since
the 2Z\v minutes lost per trip costs the company 36 cents per trip most shoppers are relieved when it is their turn, we use waiting
[2Z\v 60 0.0375 of an hour; 0.0375(9.50) $0.36]. For the time as our measure. For all of our analyses, we use current ser-
molding personnel who are paid $11.75 per hour, the 8 minutes vice times, even though a UPC reader is going to be installed. This
and 45 seconds per trip saved saves in monetary terms $1.71 per means that our waiting times are an upper bound for the new, bet-
trip. The net savings is $1.71 0.36 $1.35 per trip. (Students ter system (the M/M/s model).
may also find the cost savings on an hourly or daily basis.) We begin with a rough analysis (one that is going to have a
Because the net savings for the new layout is small, other fac- very interesting feature, by the way). We assume that there are no
tors should be considered before a final decision is made. For ex- express lanes. Then, we want to find the average service time and
ample, the cost of changing from the old layout to the new layout rate. The time is given by
could completely eliminate the advantages of operating the new t .2(2 min.) .8(4 min.)
layout. In addition, there may be other factors, some noneco- .4 3.2
nomic, that were not discussed in the case that could cause you to 3.6 min.
want to stay with the old layout. In general, when the cost savings This means that the average service rate is 60/3.6 16.67 cus-
of a new approach (a new layout in this case) is small, careful tomers per hour. Notice that this is not the same as taking 20 per-
analysis should be made of other factors. cent of the rate of 30 and 80 percent of the rate of 15, which would
equal 18 and would be wrong.
SOLUTION TO WINTER PARK HOTEL CASE Using an arrival rate of 100 and a service rate of 16.67, the min-
1. Which of the two plans appears to be better? The current sys- imum number of servers is 6. (This is due to round off.) In reality,
tem has five clerks each with his or her own waiting line. This can the minimum number is 7, and the average waiting time is 2.2 min-
be treated as five independent queues each with an arrival time of utes. Trying one more server leads to a waiting time of .64 minutes.
90/5 18 per hour. The service rate is one every 3 minutes, Now we separate the express and regular. Assume that all ex-
or 20 per hour. Assuming Poisson arrivals and exponential press customers go into the express (even though they can go into
service times, the average amount of time that a guest spends wait- any lane) and assume that all non-express customers go into the
ing and checking in is given by proper lanes (even though we all have seen people with twenty
1 packages get into a ten-items-or-less line).
Ws For the express lane, with an arrival rate of 20 and a service
rate of 30, one server yields an average wait of 4 minutes, while
1
0.5 hour, or 30 minutes two servers yield an average wait of .25 minutes.
20 18 For the regular lane, with an arrival rate of 80 and a service
If 30% of the arrivals [that is, 0.3(90) 27 per hour] are rate of 15, 6 servers yield an average wait of 4.28 minutes and 7
diverted to a quick-serve clerk who can register them in an aver- servers yield an average wait of .98 minutes.
age of 2 minutes ( 30 per hour) their average time in the sys- If Beth uses 7 servers, they will be split this way: 6 in regular
tem will be 20 minutes. The remaining 63 arrivals per hour would lanes and 1 in an express lane. If Beth uses 8 severs, a 62 split be-
distribute themselves equally among the four remaining clerks tween regular lanes and express lanes yields an average wait of
( 63/4 15.75 per hour), each of whose mean service time is
(.2)(.25) (.8)(4.28) .05 3.424 3.47 min.
3.4 minutes (or 0.5667 hour), so that 1/0.5667 17.65 per
hour. The average time in the system for these guests will be 0.53 A 71 split yields an average of
hour or 31.8 minutes. The average time for all arrivals would be (.2)(4) (.8)(.98) .8 .784 1.584 min.,
0.3(20) 0.7(31.8) 28.3 minutes. which is better. However, the express lane would be slower than
A single waiting line for the five clerks yields an M/M/5 the regular lanes!
queue with 90 per hour, 20 per hour. The calculation of