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Lead Time and Technology. This issue International Harvester also stated that mately six years of lead time, the requi-
has traditionally been the key issue in these standards could be met without a site technology can be developed and ap-
waiver decisions and is the key issue converter emission control system but plied which will allow certification for
again here. This issue arises from the with a significant fuel penalty (34%), the 1983 model year at the present 1983
fact that section 209(b) of the Act re- and that it would notrule out the possi- California standards of most heavy-duty
quires the California standards and ac- bility of marketing an engine with8 such vehicle and engine models satisfying the
companying enforcement procedures to a system for the 1980 model year. Due basic market demand,
be "c6nsistent with section 202 (a)." Sec- to these problems, International Har- Several manufacturers provided in-
tion 202(a) states that standards pro- vester proposed that I only grant Cali- formation concerning the cost of the
mulgated under its authority "shall take fornia a waiver for its1980-1982 stand- emission control hardware required to
effect after such period as the Adminis- ards applicable to those heavy-duty ve- comply with the 1980-1982 California
trator finds necessary to perinit the de- hicles which are under 14,000 pounds standards, Ford anticipated that the
velopment and application of the requi- gross vehicle weight rating (GVWR) or 1980-1982 California standards could
site technology, giving appropriate con- are extensions of a manufacturer's lght- result in fuel economy penalties of about
sideration to the cost of compliance duty product line." However, if the five to ten percent over the 1977 Cali-
within such period." In order fol' Call- waiver request for these standards were fornia levels, but that an undetermined
fornia standards to be consistent with granted, International Harvester indi- amount of this loss could be recovered
section 202(a), It is not required that the cated-that it would concentrate its re- with the use of catalyst emission con-
requisite technology 'be - developed at search and development efforts on some trol systems." International Harvester
present, but_ rather that the available presently undetermined, but restricted estimated that the exhaust emission
lead time appear to be sufficient to per- product line and could probably perfect control system hardviare would result in
mit the development and application of a catalyst system for use in that line 1 a retail price Increase of 395 to 490 dol-
that technology. In considering ques- 1980." lars per vehicle in order to meet these
tions of lead time and technology, I must Therefore, I have concluded tsat the standards." Chrysler stated that the
be guided by the interpretation of sec- apupropriate technology can be deeloped hardware costs would increase the re-
tion 209(b)'of the Act as has been stated and applied within the available lead tail price of a 1980 model year vehicle
in previous waiver decisions." time to permit heavy-duty motor ve- by approximately 150 dollars, or by ap-
With regard to the 1980-1982 Califor- hicles to meet the California standards proximately 200 dollars if three-way
nia heavy-duty standards and certifica- for 1980-1982 model year heavy-duty ve- catalysts were installed on these ve-
tion procedures, the lead time issues fo- hicles and engines. hicles." General Motors estimated that
cus on the availability of technology to Finally, with regard to the technologi- the costs associated with the develop-
meet the standards." Ford, Chrysler, and cal feasibility of the 1983 California ment of a catalytic, converter emission
General Motors indicated, with qualifi- standards, Ford, Chrysler and General control system to meet the 1980-1982
cations, that these standards were tech- Motors all stated their belief that the California standards would not exceed
nologi6ally feasible." General Motors necessary technology could be developed 500 dollars per vehicle." In addition, the
also- stated that its diesel-powered' and applied- in a timely basis to meet CARB staff estimated that these stand-
heavy-duty engines and vehicles could these standards." International Harvest- ards would result in a retail price in-
meet these standards (including the Fed- er contended, though, that these stand- crease over 1977 model year costs of
eral smoke standard) with a four percent ards do not appear to be technologically less than 50 dollars for gasoline-powered
increase in fuel consumption and an in- feasible at the present time." On the heavy-duty vehicle,; and engines, and
crease in exhaust smoke." International other hand, the CARB testified that sev- approximately 300 dollars per vehicle for
Harvester indicated that it might be able en gasoline-powered and 12 diesel pow- diesel-powered heavy-duty vehicles and
to certify its diesel and gasoline-pow- ered heavy-duty engines, manufactured engines.'
ered heavy-duty engines to emission lev- by eight heavy-duty engine manufactur- With respect to the 1983 and subse-
els comparable to the 1980-1982 Califor- ers, were certified to levels at or below quent model year California emission
nia standards, but it was not confident California's 1983 HC standard in model standards, Ford estimated that the cata-
that it could achieve this goal by 1980." year 1977." The CARB also stated that 1yst emission control system required in
In this regard International Harvester two of these engines had, in fact, been order to meet these standards would re-
stated that the requisite technology certified at or below California's 1983 sult in a retail price increase of from
(catalytic converter emission control model year emission standards," How- 130 to 300 dollars per vehicle." Chrysler
systems) was not presently available to -ever, the CARB stressed the fact that indicated that a retail price Increase of
enable its gasoline-powered heavy-duty the 1979 and subsequent model year 200 dollars above 1980 model year ve-
engines to meet the 1980-1982 California California certification procedure re-
standards, nor was there'siffloient lead quirements might affect the certifica- hicle costs would result If electronic tim-
time to design, test and apply such tech- tion levels of some of the gasoline mod- ing and fuel controls with three-way
nology to its, entire gasoline-powered *els which had been previously certified catalysts were required to meet these
product line on a timely basis for the under the relatively less stringent 197' standards." General Motors stated that
1980 'model year. On the other hand, certification procedures.-
I, therefore, believe that it is reason- "See-Tr., supra note 0, at 160.
"See 41 FR 44209, 44210 (October 7, 1976). able to conclude that given approxi- See Tr.,.supra note 0, at 48,
"The information generally availbale to See Tr., supra note 9, at 205-200,
me indicates that the 1980 and subsequent "See Tr., supra note 9, at 133-134. Spe-
model year California certification proce- "See Tr., supra note 9, at 55, 65. ciflcally, General Motors stated that these
dures can be implemented by the 1980 model See Letter from W. J. Martin to Benjamin costs would approximnte 180 dollars in ad-
year. See memorandum from Robert Max- Jackson, supra note 16, at 4. - dition to the current costs of 00 dollars for
well, Emission Control Technology Divi on, - See Mr., supra note 9, at 70-75. However, emission control hardware in the caso of
EPA, to Daniel Steinway, Mobile Source En- International Harvester stated that it could those heavy-duty vehicles which were an
forcement Division, EPA, March 17, 1977, not remain in the California market under extension of its light-duty product line, As
at 8. circumstances where it could certify only for those heavy-duty vehicles abovo 10,000
11See Tr. supra note 9, at 93, 96, 101-102, one heavy-duty vehicle or engine for sale pounds GVWR, these costs would probably
106-108, 135, 186, 195-196, 205-208. in California during the 1980-1982 model be more substantial. Seo Letter from George
I'See Tr. supra note 9, at 125, 132, 135. years. See Letter from W. J. Mprtin to Ben- P. Hanley to Benjamin R. Jackson, supra
20See Tr.supra note 9, at 44-49, 54-56, 64- jamin R. Jackson, supra note 16, at G. note 8, at 2.
-78; Letter from W. J. Martin, International 0 See Tr., supra note 9, at 99, 147-148, 150- 2"See State of California, Air Resources
Harvester Company, to Benjamin Jackson, 151, 166, 197, 206-209. Board, Staff Report 76-20-2, October 8, 1070,
Director, Mobile Source Enforcement Divi- '"See Tr., supra note 9, at 49. at 8 (hereinafter "State of California Staff
sion, EPA, February 14, 1977. See Tr., supra note 9, at 18-19. Report").
27See Tr., supra note 9, at 44-41, 54-56, 64- See Tr., supra note 9, at 19. 3t See Tr., supra note 9, at 185-168, 197-198.
78. See Id. " See Tr., supra note 0, at 205-200.