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Lesson 18
Section 2.6
Probabilities Using
the Normal Distribution
1
Areas Between Two Bounds
For a normal distribution, N(,), the area
(probability) between two bounds is
P(a < X < b) = normalcdf(a, b, , )
a b 2
Example 1
Suppose X ~ N( = 100, = 16). Find the
probability that a random variable X is between 80
and 90.
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Example 2
Suppose X ~ N( = 100, = 10). Find
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Areas to the Left
If X ~ N(, ), then P(X < b) = normalcdf(BIG, b, , )
b 5
Example 3
Suppose X ~ N( = 50, = 4). Find the probability
that a random variable X is less than 48.6.
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Example 4
a) Suppose X ~ N( = 40, = 16). Find
P(X < 35).
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Areas to the Right
If X ~ N(, ), then P(X > a) = normalcdf(a, BIG, , )
a 8
Example 5
Suppose X ~ N(225,46). Find the probability that a
random variable X is at least 300.
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Example 6
Find the following probabilities. Assume
Z ~ N( = 0, = 1).
10
Percentiles
So far we have discussed how to find the
probability that you will randomly select an object
with a value that is within a certain range.
Sometimes, though, we wish to turn this around.
We are given a probability and we want to find the
boundary value that corresponds to that
probability.
In these situations, we would use percentiles and
the invNorm command.
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Percentiles
Percentiles are the values of the variable that
divide a set of ranked data into 100 more or less
equal subsets.
12
invNorm(area,,)
The command invNorm computes the percentile for a
given boundary under the normal distribution curve
specified by and .
Boundary = Percentile 13
Example 7
The final exam scores in a statistics class were
normally distributed with a mean of 63 and a standard
deviation of 5.
a) Find the 90th percentile (that is, find the score k that
has 90% of the scores below k and 10% of the
scores above k).
b) Find the 70th percentile (that is, find the score k
such that 70% of scores are below k and 30% of
the scores are above k).
14
The Middle k%
Many statistical questions (e.g. confidence
intervals) involve finding the values that bound "the
middle k%."
These are the percentiles that enclose k% of the
data, with the remaining values split evenly above
and below the middle.
k%
Pa Pb
15
Example 8
Which percentiles make up the bounds for
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Example 9
Suppose X ~ N( = 300, = 55).
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Example 10
Cholesterol levels in men 18 to 24 years of age are
normally distributed with a mean of 178 and a
standard deviation of 41.
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Example 11
a) What z-scores bound the middle 90%?
b) What z-scores bound the middle 95%?
c) What z-scores bound the middle 99%?
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