Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Issue 1 2017
Executive Editors
Alice Birnbaum
Lewis Hart
Editors
Kaitlin Barbour
Jake Turner
Contributors
Lewis Hart
Alexandra Toskovich
Max Schlubach
Carlos de Mello
Design
Creative Services
inside
3 A Letter to Our Readers
From Lewis Hart,
Executive Editor
20 Summary Snapshots
Commodity Price Charts
Issue 1 2017 1
First, whether we look at year-to-date
performance for crude oil, coffee or copper,
most of the markets we follow are rangebound.
This seesaw in prices is being primarily driven
by changes in short-term fundamentals on the
supply side, as temporary price increases bring
more supply online and reciprocal decreases
gradually draw supply out of the market.
As we approach the midpoint of the second quarter of 2017, An even more pronounced characteristic of commodities
several key themes seem to be at the forefront of our clients markets has been the hangover of counterparty risk. Even as
minds across the commodities and logistics sectors. market conditions have generally improved, many industry
participants, particularly on the production side, are still
First, whether we look at year-to-date performance for crude struggling to cover their cost of capital. This has led to a flurry
oil, coffee or copper, most of the markets we follow are of questions from clients over how to manage counterparty risk,
rangebound. This seesaw in prices is being primarily driven so we sat down with John Keough, a Partner at Clyde & Co, to
by changes in short-term fundamentals on the supply side, review how special liens can work to the benefit of certain trade
as temporary price increases bring more supply online and participants and detriment of others.
reciprocal decreases gradually draw supply out of the market.
Major changes in demand, on the other hand, have been muted. Last but not least, 2017 has also seen a rise in uncertainty as
This state of affairs has been especially pronounced in energy, markets become increasingly concerned about potential barriers
and absent a strong recovery in demand from China, cost to trade and changes in the regulatory environment. While we
deflation and increasing U.S. production have made it difficult continue to monitor the trade story to see how it plays out,
for crude oil to escape the $50 per barrel vicinity. In his article, regulatory compliance is becoming even more important in
Max Schlubach delves into how changes in the futures curve are the food and beverage industry. Highlighting one example,
affecting hedging behavior and prices among physical market Carlos de Mello helps us understand how the Food Safety
players. Turning to the metal and agricultural sectors, while Modernization Act is creating winners and losers. In addition,
we have recovered from recent lows, most commodities are Alexandra Toskovich and I go downstream to the retail coffee
also still trading narrowly due to tepid demand growth and the market, speaking with the founders of New Yorks own Brooklyn
supply sides ability to fill gaps quickly. Over the longer term, Roasting Company, Jim Munson and Michael Pollack, about how
we continue to believe that demand growth must accelerate they have taken their business from a Williamsburg bedroom to a
before these markets can exit this rangebound state of affairs. rapidly growing global brand. In this interview, we see firsthand
the challenges and opportunities facing private businesses in the
So while the past 18 months have been a particularly food and beverage sector.
rangebound period, this may be emblematic of a broader trend in
commodities markets: They tend to be mean reverting. Human As always, we thank you for your continued business and
ingenuity leads to new discovery and cheaper ways of producing readership and wish you continued prosperity in 2017.
commodities. Looking at the performance of the Bloomberg
Commodity Index since inception 25 years of pricing data Sincerely,
the total return of the index has significantly underperformed
inflation, despite upward bursts in 1995 and 1998, 2003 and
2008, and 2010 and 2012.
Lewis Hart
Senior Vice President
Issue 1 2017 3
From the Ground Up:
Building Brooklyn Roasting Company
By Lewis Hart and Alexandra Toskovich
In 2010, Jim Munson and Michael Pollack bonded over their love of coffee. Fast-forward seven years, and the
Brooklyn Roasting Company co-founders enthusiasm for the beverage has led them to grow what was originally
a wholesale coffee business with a small space for roasting, packaging and distribution into a company with retail
locations throughout Brooklyn as well as in Manhattan and Japan. Brown Brothers Harriman recently spent an
afternoon in Brooklyn with Munson and Pollack, where we experienced first-hand their passion for sustainably
sourced coffee and their genuine appreciation for the farming families behind the scenes. After visiting several of
the companys cafes, including its new Brooklyn Navy Yard location where Brooklyn Roasting can finally roast,
package and distribute its coffee out of one central location we sat down with the two founders to discuss the
early days of Brooklyn Roasting Company, its expansion from wholesale to retail, how the company incorporates
social goals into its mission, how it identifies opportunities in an increasingly competitive market and more.
I started Brooklyn Roasting Company in 2009 after working at Michael Pollack: I have always loved coffee, and in the early
another coffee business, where I became knowledgeable about 2000s I signed up to get coffee bean samples from a program.
the beverage. At the time, there was much conversation in When the first package arrived, I realized the samples werent
the coffee industry around direct trade, fair trade and third-party roasted. I knew how to brew coffee about 1,000 different ways,
certification. The idea behind Brooklyn Roasting was to focus on but I didnt know anything about roasting coffee. Eventually, I
third-party certified, sustainably sourced coffee. I approached purchased a roaster and, after several failed attempts, became
Columbia University, who I had sold coffee to previously, and proficient at roasting.
said I was starting a coffee company and wanted to be its
provider. The school wanted $40,000 worth of equipment, but I In 2010, I saw something about Brooklyn Roasting Company
had no money. Luckily, I had industry contacts, and one of those online and called to see if the company needed any help. Jim told
contacts had a small, unused roaster in his basement. He agreed me he was about to place an ad for an unpaid summer intern, and
to let me roast my coffee there, and I would package the bags and I said I wanted to apply. I went to interview, and after we talked
deliver them to Columbia. Thats how
Brooklyn Roasting Company started.
Issue 1 2017 5
about my past and my love of coffee, Jim said that I should be MP: I love single origin, and I would be sourcing from every
his partner. In November 2010, we had a new machine hooked country that grows it if left to my own devices. My underly-
up, and I started to roast. ing goal is to introduce as many people to as many different
coffees as possible. However, our biggest selling product is a
In our first year, we roasted 140,000 pounds of coffee. With our blend and what I consider a tribute to coffees history Mocha
expansion into Brooklyn Navy Yard, we will have the capacity to Java, or a combination of Ethiopian and Sumatra beans, which
roast 4 million pounds of coffee annually; 2017 will be our first was the worlds first blend.
million pound year.
People can get overwhelmed with our large selection, and our
BBH: Coffee is a notoriously volatile commodity. How do you descriptions and tasting notes can add more confusion. We like
manage the price risk associated with the coffees you buy? to talk about coffees characteristics, profiles and tastes, but one
of my favorite phrases is What goes on in your mouth is your
JM: During 2011, our first full year of business, the price of own business. Everybody tastes personally and privately, so
coffee was at its highest. We modeled with that as a starting the idea of me telling somebody what they should be tasting is
point, so that has helped us succeed when coffee prices fluc- not accurate. I always tell people to travel the world, try coffee
tuate. You must ensure that you are buying coffee at the right and keep a little of what they tasted side by side so that they can
price and mitigate the risk knowing that you need to be able to understand the differences among origins, processes and roast-
source the same coffee over a period of time. However, while ing techniques. Thats how I like to educate people about coffee.
coffee is the important part, everything else that goes into the
retail customer experience is what adds costs cups, milk, BBH: You started out strictly in the wholesale roasting business,
sugar, employees, and so forth. but you now operate in the retail cafe business as well. How did
you get into retail?
BBH: How do you think about single origin vs. blends, and how
do you help consumers understand the mix of products? MP: A friend was working on the East River Ferry project, and
we were chosen as the coffee company for the ferries. We found
BBH: Are there social goals behind Brooklyn Roastings mission? MP: Were willing to try almost anything. I jump on opportunities
What about educational goals for the consumer? because you never know which one will be the next big thing.
Weve been able to prove that we can successfully do wholesale
MP: We talk about coffee from two sides. I describe what we do as and retail. Looking at other formats for example, coffee service
green to ground our coffee comes to us green, we roast it, and it were open to trying new things because its not that complex
gets ground and served. But what we like to talk about and what to figure out how to make something coffee-based, whatever
we celebrate is ground to green. That same seed, instead of being the format.
processed, dried and given to us, is planted back into the ground.
Ninety percent of our coffee is third-party certified, with fair trade BBH: As more and more players enter the specialty coffee space,
always as a lead certification because when you visit farming fami- how does Brooklyn Roasting Company differentiate itself in the
lies, you realize that its hard work. We have tremendous respect for marketplace?
the families ability to make a living and unending support and admi-
ration for them. Were focused on ensuring that theres enough MP: Beyond having a great name and product, our differentiators
quality of life so people can continue to take that seed and plant it include the customer experience we provide, our roast profiles
back in the ground. Whats great is that our growth and success and how we source our coffee. From the serve side, Im pretty
has meant profound success for the farming families too. basic. My approach to coffee is just add water how you
choose to do this is where the magic happens.
Given the opportunity, we would talk all day about sourcing
sustainable certified coffee. In terms of educating the consumer, BBH: Jim and Michael, thank you for your time and insights.
we showcase where our coffee comes from on our labels and
how we source on our website, but its not something that we
get in someones face about.
Issue 1 2017 7
Shapeshifters: Yearning for Backwardation
By Max Schlubach
When crude oil traders speak of the forward curve or term structure of the futures market, they reference
the line chart that depicts the current cash (spot) price of crude oil alongside the prices for delivery of crude
at future points in time. If the line is sloping upward, it means spot prices are trading at a discount to future
prices; this term structure is called contango or more colloquially the market is in carry.1 Conversely, if
the futures curve line is sloping downward, it means the current price is trading at a premium to future pricing;
this term structure is called backwardation. The shape of the forward curve in a deep, liquid futures market
like crude oil can be interpreted many ways. The most active commercial participants in the crude oil futures
market are exploration and production (E&P) companies, trading companies and refiners that employ futures
to hedge their natural exposure to price risk. Their collective expectations and behavior drives the crude oil
term structure that we explore in this article.
At its most basic level, any single price shown on a forward curve A prolonged, backwardated
reflects the markets view about the balance between supply and
demand at a future point in time. The slope of the graph formed market structure is what
by plotting those prices reflects anticipations about what will
happen over the course of time parts of the forward curve can OPEC needs to reach its
show contango, while other parts exhibit backwardation. The
objective of reducing global
causal relationship between supply expectations and the forward
curve slope is foggy, though. There is reflexivity between par- stocks because carrying
ticipants behavior and the shape of the term structure: Market
actors must be careful not to mistake a dog wagging its tail for inventory becomes financially
the opposite.
burdensome in a market that
Shapeshifted Contango to Backwardation
lacks contango.
Backwardation
$160 -$15
OPEC Cut
$140 -$10
$120 -$5
In an oversupplied market, when market perceptions begin to
$100 $0 shift to the view that oversupply will dissipate (and that near-
||
$80 $5
$60 $10 are naturally short crude oil in that their earnings benefit from
$40 $15 falling crude prices and suffer from rising crude prices tend to
$20 $20
increase purchasing and hedging activity. This, in turn, drives up
5
4
1
15
9
4
11
9
0
7
8
7
2
08
3
2
6
13
7
16
y-1
y-1
y-1
y-0
y-1
1
0
1
y-0
y-0
0
y-1
y-1
1
y-1
y-1
ly-
ly-
ly-
ly-
ly-
ly-
ly-
ly-
ly-
ly-
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
ar
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
nu
nu
nu
nu
nu
nu
nu
nu
nu
nu
nu
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Brent Prompt Month (LHS) Brent Term Structure (RHS) react to the higher prices by increasing production volumes and
Source: Bloomberg and BBH Analysis.
Data as of May 8, 2017. adding supply to the market, which pushes down longer-term
Issue 1 2017 9
price expectations and thus flattens the longer-dated end of the
curve. Given that changes in demand and speculative position-
ing have been minimal, this pattern of increasing supply leading
to lower prices and a steeper curve, followed by periods of inven-
tory drawdown and flatter to backwardated curves, is essentially
what has taken place in crude markets since OPEC announced
its targeted production cut last year.
$60
writing, we are four months into the production cut, and OPECs
$55
compliance with it has been higher than expected nearly 95%.
$50 Given high compliance levels, the market has now turned to focus
$45 on the question of whether the cut will be extended beyond the
$40
June 30, 2017, expiry. We think it will.
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Jan-24
Crude Oil, Brent (ICE) Crude Oil, Brent (ICE) Crude Oil, Brent (ICE) The current term structure of the Brent oil futures contract seems
11/29/2016 12/15/2016 5/8/2017
Source: Bloomberg and BBH Analysis.
to suggest that the market believes that OPEC will extend its
Data as of May 8, 2017.
supply cuts beyond that initial end date. A flip in the crude oil
The long-telegraphed but much-delayed announcement marked market structure has preceded a price rally during the past two
the cartels first coordinated output reduction since the 2008 crude oil market cycles. Market participants will watch closely to
financial crisis. OPEC supplies roughly one-third of the worlds see if this one does, too.
Issue 1 2017 11
The Food Safety Modernization Acts
Impact on Imports
By Carlos de Mello
On January 4, 2011, the Food Safety Modernization Act (FSMA) was signed into law. The bill was the first
major overhaul of food safety laws in the United States since 1938, when Congress gave the Food and
Drug Administration (FDA) the power to oversee the safety of most foods. While foodborne diseases are
viewed as being largely preventable, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that each
year, about 46 million Americans get sick, 128,000 are hospitalized and 3,000 die from them. The FSMA
gives the FDA broad new powers to better protect public health by strengthening the food safety system,
with a particular emphasis on preventative practices for those who grow, process, transport and store food.
This article focuses on how the FSMA impacts the importation of food products into the United States.
Canada
$22.0 (18.5%) Food products importers and foreign suppliers are now
Other
$45.3 (38.0%) subject to a growing number of compliance costs, such as
Mexico
$19.2 (16.1%) onsite auditing, sampling and testing, and validation stud-
ies for multiple biological hazards in each individual product.
Indonesia China
Larger importers are hiring qualified individuals who under-
$3.3 (2.8%) $5.8 (4.8%)
stand food safety risks based on product, geography, supply
Australia
$3.5 (2.9%)
India
$4.2 (3.5%)
chain and the specific foreign suppliers they are doing busi-
Brazil Italy Chile France ness with. FSVP-compliant importers will also likely see
$3.7 (3.1%) $4.0 (3.3%) $4.1 (3.4%) $4.1 (3.4%)
Issue 1 2017 13
insurance premiums rise as they are held to ever more
rules and regulations. The North American food safety test-
ing industry has undoubtedly benefited from this, with
projections of becoming a $6.4 billion market by 2020.1
1
S ource: MarketsandMarkets, North American Food Safety Market by Contaminant (Pathogen,
GMO, Toxin, Pesticides), Technology (Traditional & Rapid), Food Tested (Meat & Poultry, Dairy, Fruit &
Vegetable, Processed Food), & by Country - Trend & Forecast to 2020, November 2015.
Issue 1 2017 15
Understanding Special Liens:
Q&A with John Keough of Clyde & Co
By Lewis Hart
As many Commodity Markets Update readers know, Brown Brothers Harriman (BBH) is a financier of energy,
metal and agricultural commodities. Our clients help balance global supply and demand in these markets by
purchasing commodities in areas where there is surplus production and transporting them to areas where
they are consumed. They also provide storage, financing, insurance and price hedging services for producers
and consumers of physical commodities. In the course of their businesses, these commodity merchants are
increasingly filling the role of bankers to their suppliers and customers either providing advanced payments
to suppliers to help with working capital needs or extending payment terms to their customers.
Issue 1 2017 17
merchants counterparty, real property and
other assets. In addition, the merchant may
have a maritime lien on the cargo in question
Vessels may be encumbered by entities extending in the transaction under U.S. maritime law.
beyond the owners control, so the owner is not If a shipment is detained, the merchant may
have a right to arrest the vessel or to seek an
always aware of liens on its vessels. attachment under U.S. maritime law where
a shipment is detained or delayed in transit.
Such issues could arise, for example, where
goods are stopped during or after loading at
a foreign port due to unforeseen export con-
trols by the foreign government or by insolvency issues. Similar
rights to secure a claim for breach of a contract of carriage may
exist against forwarding agents and non-vessel operating com-
mon carriers, or NVOCCs, that issue bills of lading for shipments.
JK: Commercial traders may have a wide range of such protec- BBH: You have been active in several recent bankruptcy situa-
tions, depending on the trade. In ocean shipments where the tions involving banks and trade creditors. What have you learned
merchant is entering a charterparty for a vessel, the merchant in this process? What lessons can commodity merchants take
may have a maritime lien for claims relating to the charter. The away from recent legal decisions?
lien is against the vessel itself for breach of the charter by the
counterparty. The merchant may also have a right to attach the JK: We often see that the mistakes clients make in structuring a
vessel or other assets of the shipowner or the disponent owner transaction without legal advice can be costly. Early advice on key
or chartered owner vis--vis the merchant charterer for breach legal issues can typically help to avoid some traps for the unwary.
of the charter under U.S. law, which can allow the prejudgment Insolvency and government-related issues often can introduce
seizure of bank accounts, debts owed by third parties to the unexpected risks in a transaction and lead to costly legal disputes,
JK: Not necessarily. The maritime liens arise under U.S. law. BBH: John, thank you for sitting down with us to share your
Some contracts for trade to and from foreign ports, however, expertise on this important topic.
expressly incorporate U.S. maritime law with the intent to invoke
maritime liens created by U.S. statute. This issue has been under Disclaimer of Attorney-Client Relationship and Legal Advice
recent review by courts in a number of jurisdictions. Some The responses to the above questions are for general information purposes
maritime liens exist under foreign law, but generally to a lesser only, and the content of this interview: (1) is not provided in the course of,
extent than U.S. law. and does not create or constitute, an attorney-client relationship; (2) is not
intended as a solicitation; (3) is not intended to convey or constitute legal
BBH: What is the current state of the U.S. law facing marine fuel advice; and (4) is not a substitute for obtaining legal advice from a quali-
traders? What does it take to have a maritime lien for marine fuel fied attorney. You should not act upon any such information without first
delivered to a ship? seeking qualified professional counsel on your specific matter. The hiring of
an attorney is an important decision that should not be based solely upon
advertisements or general information for public consumption.
Issue 1 2017 19
Agricultural Prices
Arabica Coffee Cocoa Beans
$1.80 $3,100
$1.70 $2,900
$2,700
$1.60
$2,500
$1.50
$/MT
$/lb
$2,300
$1.40
$2,100
$1.30
$1,900
$1.20 $1,700
$1.10 $1,500
SOFT COMMODITIES AND PLYWOOD
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
$2,300
$0.76
$2,200
$2,100 $0.71
$/MT
$/lb
$2,000
$0.66
$1,900
$0.61
$1,800
$1,700 $0.56
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Plywood Sugar
$0.26
$420
$0.24
$410
$0.22
$400
$0.20
$/1,000 sq ft
$390
$/lb
$0.18
$380
$0.16
$370
$0.14
$360
$0.12
$350
$0.10
$340 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Corn Rice
$3.90 $0.11
$3.70 $0.11
$3.50 $0.10
$/bu
$/bu
$3.30 $0.10
$3.10 $0.09
$2.90 $0.09
GRAINS
$2.70 $0.08
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Soy Wheat
$11.20 $4.70
$10.70 $4.50
$10.20 $4.30
$/bu
$/bu
$9.70 $4.10
$9.20 $3.90
$8.70 $3.70
$8.20 $3.50
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
$1.20
$1.15 $0.60
$1.10
$/bu
$0.50
$/lb
$1.05
$1.00 $0.40
$0.95
$0.90 $0.30
$0.85
$0.20
$0.80
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
$/oz
$1,200 $17
$1,150 $16
$1,100 $15
PRECIOUS METALS
$1,050 $14
$1,000 $13
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Palladium Platinum
$850 $1,150
$800
$1,100
$750
$700 $1,050
$650 $1,000
$/oz
$/oz
$600
$950
$550
$500 $900
$450 $850
$400
$800
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Aluminum Nickel
$2,000 $12,000
$11,500
$1,900
$11,000
$1,800 $10,500
$10,000
$/MT
$1,700 $/MT
$9,500
$1,600
$9,000
$1,500 $8,500
$8,000
$1,400
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 $7,500
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Copper Tin
$6,500 $22,500
BASE METALS
$22,000
$6,000 $21,500
$21,000
$5,500
$20,500
$/MT
$/MT
$20,000
$5,000
$19,500
$4,500 $19,000
$18,500
$4,000 $18,000
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Lead Zinc
$2,700 $3,200
$3,000
$2,500
$2,800
$2,300 $2,600
$2,400
$/MT
$/MT
$2,100
$2,200
$1,900 $2,000
$1,800
$1,700
$1,600
$1,500 $1,400
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
$700 $105
$650 $95
$600 $85
$550 $75
$/MT
$/MT
$500 $65
$450 $55
$400 $45
$350 $35
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Issue 1 2017 21
Energy Prices
Crude Oil Brent-WTI Spread
$58 $4
$56
$54
$3
$52
CRUDE OIL
$50
$/bbl
$/bbl
$48 $2
$46
$44
$42 $1
$40
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
$0
Crude Oil (WTI) Crude Oil (Brent) Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
$/bbl
$/gal
$13
$1.25
REFINED PETROLEUM PRODUCTS AND ETHANOL
$11
$1.15
$1.05 $9
$0.95 $7
$0.85 $5
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
$1.55
$1.50 $1.50
$1.45 $1.45
$1.40 $1.40
$1.35 $1.35
$1.30
$1.30
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
$/gal
$1.50
-$0.05
$1.45 -$0.10
$1.40 -$0.15
-$0.20
$1.35
-$0.25
$1.30 -$0.30
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
$40 $4.00
POWER AND POWER GENERATION
$35 $3.50
$/MMBtu
$/MWhr
$30 $3.00
$25 $2.50
$20 $2.00
$15 $1.50
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Coal Uranium
$120 $29
$110 $27
$25
$100
$23
$/MT
$/lb
$90
$21
$80
$19
$70 $17
$60 $15
Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17
Bloomberg
Bloomberg Commodity
Commodity Index2017)
Index (2001-YTD (2000-2016)
250
250
200 200
Index price (USD)
150 150
100 100
50 50
0 0
2001 2001 2003
2002 2002 2003
2004 2004
200520052006
2006 2007
2007 2008
2008 2009
200920102010
2011 2011
2012 2013 2014
2012 201320152014
2016 2015 2016
The Bloomberg Commodity Index is a diversified index made up of 22 exchange-traded futures contracts for physical commodities.
The futures contracts are weighted to account for each commodity's economic significance and market liquidity.
Issue 1 2017 23
The BBH Commodities & Logistics Team
Our goal is to be the financial partner of choice to premier, privately held businesses and their owners in the areas of
commodities, logistics, transportation and infrastructure. We provide advice and capital across an integrated suite of services:
Corporate Advisory & Banking, Private Equity and Private Wealth Management. With a nearly 200-year commitment to the
sector, we are deeply experienced across multiple subsectors including metals, energy and agricultural/soft commodities
as well as port services, shipping and transportation, and warehousing and logistics. As a privately owned partnership, our
Partners interact directly with clients, allowing BBH to forge intimate owner-to-owner relationships.
To learn more, please contact Lewis Hart at 212.493.7886/lewis.hart@bbh.com, Max Schlubach at 212.493.8864/max.
schlubach@bbh.com or Alice Birnbaum at 212.493.8920/alice.birnbaum@bbh.com.
Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. 2017. All rights reserved. 2017.
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