P(E)

Burglary P(B)
Earthquake .002
.001
B E P(A)
T T .95
Alarm T F .94
F T .29
F F .001
A P(J)
A P(M)
JohnCalls T
F
.90
.05 MaryCalls T .70
F .01
 U1 Um
...
X
Z 1j Z nj
Y1 Yn
...
MaryCalls
JohnCalls
MaryCalls
JohnCalls
Alarm
MaryCalls
JohnCalls
Alarm
Burglary
MaryCalls
JohnCalls
Alarm
Burglary
Earthquake
MaryCalls
JohnCalls
Alarm
Burglary
Earthquake
 alternator fanbelt
battery age broken
broken
battery
dead no charging
battery fuel line starter
flat no oil no gas blocked broken
oil light gas gauge engine wont
lights start
 SocioEcon
Age
GoodStudent
ExtraCar
Mileage
RiskAversion
VehicleYear
SeniorTrain
DrivingSkill MakeModel
DrivingHist
Antilock
DrivQuality Airbag CarValue HomeBase AntiTheft
Ruggedness Accident
Theft
OwnDamage
Cushioning OwnCost
OtherCost
MedicalCost LiabilityCost PropertyCost
Subsidy? Harvest
Cost
Buys?
P(Cost|Harvest,Subsidy?=true) P(Cost|Harvest,Subsidy?=false) P(Cost|Harvest)
0.35 0.4
0.3 0.4 0.35
0.25 0.35 0.3
0.3 0.25
0.2 0.25 0.2
0.15 0.2 0.15
0.1 0.15 0.1
0.1
0.05 0.05 0.05
0 0 0
10 10 10
0 5 0 5 0 5
5 Harvest 5 Harvest 5 Harvest
Cost 10 0 Cost 10 0 Cost 10 0