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Intelligence 41 (2013) 94–101

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National intelligence and personality: Their relationships and impact on


national economic success
Maciej Stolarski a,⁎, Marcin Zajenkowski a, Gerhard Meisenberg b
a
Faculty of Psychology, University of Warsaw, Poland
b
Department of Biochemistry, Ross University School of Medicine, Dominica

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: The relationships between national personality traits and intelligence from 51 countries were
Received 18 June 2012 examined. It was found that extraversion, openness to experience and agreeableness measured at
Received in revised form 12 November 2012 the national level were significantly and positively correlated with national IQs; however, in the
Accepted 15 November 2012 regression model only the former two were marginally significant. For openness but not
Available online xxxx
extraversion, this corresponds to observations made at the individual level. It was also shown
that, taken together, Big Five traits and IQs of various cultures statistically explained 70% of a
Keywords: nation's gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. The most important predictors of economic
Big Five success were intelligence and extraversion, which proved to be strongly positively related to GDP.
GDP
Agreeableness and openness to experience, although significantly correlated with GDP, did not
Intelligence
statistically explain any additional variance of GDP over and above IQ and extraversion. The
National economy
Personality question about causality concerning differential variables and a nation's wealth is discussed. The
results provide new insights into relationships between personality and intelligence at the
country level. However, uncertainty remains about the validity of country-level personality
measures.
© 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction many important correlates of national IQ. These include


relationships with infant mortality, birth weight, educational
The study of cognitive differences between countries is at a level (Barber, 2005), life expectancy (Kanazawa, 2006), religi-
relatively advanced stage. Lynn and Vanhanen (2002) first osity (Lynn, Harvey, & Nyborg, 2009; Meisenberg, 2012a),
presented average population IQs for 81 nations measured from fertility (Lynn & Harvey, 2008; Meisenberg, 2009), the incidence
samples given a variety of intelligence tests, mainly non-verbal of HIV (Rindermann & Meisenberg, 2009), scholastic achieve-
tests such as Raven's Progressive Matrices. In two follow-up ment (Lynn & Meisenberg, 2010; Meisenberg & Lynn, 2011),
studies (Lynn & Vanhanen, 2006, 2012) the authors calculated income inequality and economic growth (Meisenberg, 2012b),
IQs for 113 and finally 137 countries. They also provided and homicide rates (Rushton & Templer, 2009). The high
estimates for additional nations, based on measured IQs of correlations obtained in many of these studies argue for the
neighboring countries with similar population and culture. accuracy and predictive validity of national IQ measures. As a
There has been much skepticism of research on national average result, some critics changed their point of view, agreeing that
IQ levels (e.g., Hunt & Sternberg, 2006). However, both the Lynn national IQ may be a robust and useful construct (Hunt &
& Vanhanen studies and subsequent work by others described Wittmann, 2008).
There have been few attempts to measure national mean
scores of personality traits. One of the biggest and possibly
⁎ Corresponding author at: Faculty of Psychology, University of Warsaw,
Stawki Str. 5/7, 00-183 Warsaw, Poland. Tel.: +48 22 554 98 06; fax: + 48
most reliable data sets was provided by McCrae et al. (2005) on
22 635 79 91. Revised NEO Personality Inventory (NEO-PI-R) scales. In this
E-mail address: mstolarski@psych.uw.edu.pl (M. Stolarski). study, college students from 51 nations rated an individual

0160-2896/$ – see front matter © 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.intell.2012.11.003
M. Stolarski et al. / Intelligence 41 (2013) 94–101 95

from their country whom they knew well. Raters could choose Neuroticism in most studies proved to be negatively
anyone they knew well as a target, which resulted in a wider correlated with intelligence (Ackerman & Heggestad, 1997).
age and educational range than would normally be obtained in It was assumed that the anxiety sub-factor of neuroticism is
self-report studies. The mean scores of 51 cultures were especially responsible for the negative sign of the relation-
standardized and transformed into T-scores relative to inter- ship. Eysenck (1994) postulated that anxious individuals'
national means. The authors concluded that the five factors are tendency to worry may impair their cognitive performance.
universal across age and sex groups as well as cultures. In this view neuroticism is more related to intelligence test
Although a wide range of individual differences is found within performance than to actual intelligence. However, one can
each culture, variations in the aggregate levels of personality also imagine the reversed mechanism: low IQ might be a
traits may lead to characteristic features of cultures (McCrae, cause of test anxiety.
2004) and be predictive of important social outcomes. Extraversion in many investigations was positively related
However, we still know little about the correlates of to intelligence (Ackerman & Heggestad, 1997; Austin et al.,
national-level personality traits. Significant relationships of 2002); however, several authors report a negative association
extraversion, openness and agreeableness with well-being, (Moutafi, Furnham, & Paltiel, 2004; Wolf & Ackerman, 2005).
Gini index, and Human Development Index have been de- Zeidner and Matthews (2000) noted that the relationship
scribed (McCrae et al., 2005). Probably the most impressive between extraversion and intelligence may be mediated by the
result is a relationship of both personality and IQ with per-capita nature of an intelligence test. Because of the differences in
gross domestic product (GDP). GDP is not only highly correlated cortical arousal between extraverts and introverts (Eysenck,
with national IQ (Pearson's r up to .73, Lynn & Vanhanen, 2002), 1967), the dimension of extraversion may be associated with
but is also predicted by three personality traits: extraversion, certain cognitive styles and intelligence profiles but not
openness to experience and agreeableness predict per-capita necessarily with actual ability (Robinson, 1985).
GDP with r values of .44, .47 and .46, respectively (McCrae et al., For conscientiousness, most results did not reveal signif-
2005). Noteworthy is that analyses conducted at state-level for icant correlations with various cognitive abilities (Ackerman
the United States resulted in different pattern of results & Heggestad, 1997). Moutafi et al. (2004, 2005), however,
(Rentfrow, Mellander, & Florida, 2009), suggesting the need obtained a negative association in a few recent studies. The
for studies of regions within a country. authors suggested that less intelligent people may compen-
Although intelligence–personality associations at the level sate for their lower intellectual capacity by developing a high
of individuals have been widely investigated (cf. Zeidner & level of conscientiousness. People with high intelligence do
Matthews, 2000), to date no study has been conducted to not need to be very conscientious as they can rely solely on
examine the relationships between IQ and personality at the their intellect to accomplish most tasks.
national level. Therefore in the present paper we test how the Finally, agreeableness is the only factor of the Big Five
national mean scores on these constructs are related and how model that in correlational studies has been found to be
they together predict GDP per capita. unrelated to intelligence (Ackerman & Heggestad, 1997;
Austin et al., 2002; Moutafi et al., 2005).
Many studies suggest that both personality and intelli-
1.1. Intelligence and personality associations among individuals gence have some impact on life outcomes (Matthews et al.,
2009). Both are important predictors of occupational success.
In the studies linking personality and intelligence, most In particular, general intelligence and conscientiousness were
researchers refer to hierarchical factor models of intelligence found to be beneficial for income (Irwing & Lynn, 2006; Sutin,
and to the Big Five model of personality (Zeidner & Matthews, Costa, Miech, & Eaton, 2009) and job performance (Barrick &
2000). The former is often defined in terms of Cattell's (1971) Mount, 1991; Gottfredson, 2004).
distinction between fluid intelligence (gf) which represents
information-processing and reasoning ability, dependent on 1.2. Intelligence and personality at the national level
the efficient functioning of the central nervous system, and
crystallized intelligence (gc) representing abilities to acquire, Much controversy exists about the extent to which country-
retain, organize, and conceptualize information that is acquired level correlations parallel individual-level correlations, a
through experience and education. In the Big Five model of question that is often labeled the ecological fallacy (Oakes,
personality, the following traits are considered as universal 2009; Subramanian, Jones, Kaddour, & Krieger, 2009). Lynn and
characteristics of human behavior: Neuroticism, Extraversion, Vanhanen (2002) consider nations as aggregates of individuals.
Openness to experience, Agreeableness and Conscientiousness Therefore they expect that the relationships between intelli-
(Costa & McCrae, 1992). gence and other variables that are observed among individuals
The most consistent relationships have been observed should also hold for nations. Lynn's investigations on national
between openness to experience and general abilities. It has IQs confirmed this assumption in many different fields (cf.
been suggested that openness correlates more specifically with Lynn & Meisenberg, 2010; Lynn & Vanhanen, 2012). Based on
gc rather than gf (Moutafi, Furnham, & Paltiel, 2005; Zeidner & Lynn and Vanhanen's (2002) hypothesis, we expect that most
Matthews, 2000). High openness may motivate a person to intelligence–personality associations among countries will be
engage in intellectual pursuits, which in turn increases gc similar to those among individuals. Openness to experience
(Ackerman, 1996; Matthews, Deary, & Whiteman, 2009). On should be positively correlated with national IQ, while agree-
the other hand, high intelligence may lead to success in a ableness and IQ should not be significantly associated.
variety of cognitive activities which may increase person's Neuroticism and extraversion are expected to have negative
openness and interest in trying new things. and positive relations to intelligence, respectively. However, as
96 M. Stolarski et al. / Intelligence 41 (2013) 94–101

we discussed earlier, the link between these two personality Data about per capita GDP for each country was obtained
traits and level of abilities among individuals may be mediated from the World Bank (http://www.worldbank.org/). We
by situational factors of test-taking. Because these situational applied a logarithmic transformation because of the highly
factors and their effects on performance are likely to be in- skewed nature of GDP worldwide, which approximates to a
consistent across countries, observed intelligence–personality normal distribution in the logarithmic form (Meisenberg,
relationships at the national level are perhaps more likely to be 2012b). IQ correlates far better with logGDP than with un-
related to actual intelligence rather than to the process of test transformed GDP, most likely because a fixed IQ increment
taking. raises GDP by a predictable fraction or percentile rather than
As results for conscientiousness are inconsistent, it is a predictable amount. The average from the years 2000–
difficult to make strong predictions. However, recent data 2009 was used. This period was chosen because it was close
suggest that a negative relationship between conscientious- (approximately ± 5 years) to the years of crucial publica-
ness and intelligence may be more likely. tions to which we refer in our paper. Moreover, GDPs from
Moreover, as postulated by Meisenberg (2012b), it would these years were available for all countries without any
be interesting to see how personality traits and intelligence are missing data.
associated with each other and with economic outcomes. We
therefore decided to examine how the two domains act 3. Results
together in predicting gross domestic product (GDP) per
capita. GDP is the sum of gross value added by all resident Both national IQ and the personality factors were found to be
producers in the economy plus any product taxes minus any normally distributed. For IQ, skewness was 1.001 and kurtosis
subsidies not included in the value of the products. We have was .612. For the Big Five, skewness ranged from −0.337
chosen GDP, despite its limitations (Shostak, 2001), as it is the (extraversion) to +1.098 (openness), and kurtosis from −0.828
most commonly used indicator of national prosperity. Follow- (conscientiousness) to +1.630 (openness). No outliers were
ing Lynn and Vanhanen's (2002) hypothesis, one may expect observed, and therefore all data points were used. We further
that mainly intelligence and conscientiousness will have a observed meaningful differences between world regions, as
positive impact on GDP, as they are related to occupational shown in Table 1. Some of these differences were statistically
success and higher income for individuals. This relationship significant when the region was compared with the rest of the
may be also mediated by such variables as economic freedom world using the t-test. Differences that were significant at pb .05
and scientific achievement (see Rindermann & Thompson, were observed for E (English-speaking countries, sub-Saharan
2011). However, the results obtained by McCrae et al. (2005), Africa), O (Protestant Europe, Middle East, Africa), A (Protestant
who used the same dataset as we do, revealed that only Europe) and C (English-speaking countries), but none for N. Also
extraversion, openness to experience, and agreeableness are six regional IQs (Protestant Europe, Catholic Europe, Latin
significant correlates of GDP. Thus we will use regression America, Middle East, East Asia, Africa) were significant.
models aimed at answering the question of which propor- However, it should be noted that the sample sizes were rather
tion of GDP's variance can be statistically explained with small and further empirical evaluation of these results is
national personality and IQ scores, and whether these necessary.
predictors are redundant with each other or whether each
of them adds a significant incremental variance in explaining 3.1. Personality and intelligence
national income.
Three of the Big Five personality traits appeared to be
positively related to the average IQ score at the national level
2. Method (see Table 2). These were extraversion, r = .30, openness to
experience, r =.34, and agreeableness, r = .33 (p b .05 each,
Big Five scores from 51 cultures were taken from McCrae et N = 51 countries). However, when taken jointly in one
al. (2005), and national IQs from Lynn and Vanhanen (2006). It regression model, none of the Big Five traits proved a
is worth noting that the IQ score for Switzerland was used significant (p b .05) predictor of national IQ (see Table 3),
twice, as McCrae et al. (2005) reported two different scores for although the whole model revealed a tendency towards
German and French Swiss. significance, F(5, 45)= 2.39, p = .05, predicting 12% of national

Table 1
Average levels (SD) of IQ and Big Five personality traits in different world regions.

Region IQ N E O A C N countries

Prot. Europe 99.8(1.5) 49.1(1.0) 50.5(1.3) 54.4(2.2) 52.7(0.8) 50.6(2.0) 4


Cath. Europe 98.4(2.2) 51.1(1.9) 49.9(2.0) 50.5(1.4) 50.2(1.2) 50.0(1.9) 7
English 98.8(0.8) 48.8(0.9) 52.9(0.8) 50.6(1.8) 49.9(0.4) 48.4(0.8) 5
Excommunist 95.5(3.9) 50.0(1.2) 49.3(1.9) 49.2(1.5) 49.7(2.0) 50.4(1.3) 8
Latin America 87.8(3.3) 49.9(2.5) 50.9(1.7) 49.3(1.9) 49.4(1.3) 51.0(1.5) 6
Middle East 85.2(3.0) 50.4(1.4) 50.0(3.5) 48.5(1.0) 48.6(2.4) 49.4(3.0) 5
South Asia 87.6(4.0) 49.8(1.3) 48.1(1.6) 48.9(1.2) 49.9(1.8) 51.5(2.1) 5
East Asia 106.0(1.4) 49.0(2.0) 48.2(2.2) 49.9(1.8) 48.7(1.4) 48.9(0.8) 4
SS-Africa 68.8(3.3) 49.6(2.0) 46.7(1.6) 48.8(0.7) 48.3(1.8) 47.5(1.5) 5
World 91.9(10.3) 49.9(1.7) 49.7(2.4) 49.9(2.1) 49.7(1.9) 49.8(2.0) 49
M. Stolarski et al. / Intelligence 41 (2013) 94–101 97

Table 2
Means, standard deviations and Pearson's correlation coefficients between national IQ, aggregate national personality traits and logGDP (N = 51 countries; 50 for
GDP).

M SD IQ N E O A C logGDP

1. IQ 92.45 9.84 –
2. Neuroticism 49.90 1.76 −.01 –
3. Extraversion 49.79 2.55 .30⁎ .08 –
4. Openness 49.89 2.22 .34⁎ −.16 .01 –
5. Agreeableness 49.80 1.93 .33⁎ .29⁎ .39⁎⁎ .42⁎⁎ –
6. Conscientiousness 49.78 2.04 .16 .17 .20 .14 .35⁎ –
7. logGDP 3.94 .63 .78⁎⁎ .09 .55⁎⁎ .36⁎⁎ .44⁎⁎ .15 –
⁎ p b .05.
⁎⁎ p b .01.

IQ variance. Two Big Five dimensions reached a threshold of However, this control left both extraversion and openness
significance of .10: extraversion, β = .25, p = .10, and openness significant (p = .012 for both). To test for regional peculiarities
to experience, β =.28, p = .08. The model had low collinearity. that could produce the observed relationships, we next created
The highest variance inflation factor (for agreeableness) was regional dummies for culturally defined world regions:
1.8. Interestingly, when taken together with other Big Five Protestant Europe, Catholic Europe, English-speaking coun-
traits in a regression model, agreeableness did not prove to be a tries, Latin America, Muslim Middle East, South & Southeast
significant predictor of IQ, β = .11, p = .56. It is worth Asia, East Asia, and Sub-Saharan Africa. These regional controls
mentioning here that, although none of the Big Five dimensions left the effects of extraversion and openness essentially
proved a significant predictor of national IQ in the model with unchanged with two exceptions: The sub-Saharan Africa
five predictors, when we introduced only the two predictors dummy eliminated the effect of extraversion (β=.01, p=.96),
which were significant at the .10 level (extraversion and and the East Asia dummy enhanced it (β=.38, pb .01).
openness), the parameters of the new model were much Similarly, when the regression was performed without the
improved in comparison to the previous one (see Model 2 in African countries, extraversion became non-significant (β=.01,
Table 3). p=.93); and with the East Asian countries omitted, it became
The two-factor model statistically explained even more more significant (β=.43, pb .001).
variance than the five-factor, with a corrected R-squared of .17.
This time both extraversion, β = .30, p b .05 and openness to 3.2. Intelligence and personality as predictors of gross domestic
experience, β = .33, p b .05, proved significant predictors of product per capita
national IQ.
In order to test the robustness of these effects, we Analysis of relationships between psychological measures
introduced several controls into Model 2. Communist history and logGDP per capita for the years 2000–2009 revealed the
was used as a categorical variable because communist and following correlations: IQ, r = .78; neuroticism, r = 0.09;
ex-communist countries are known for low life satisfaction, but extraversion, r = .55; openness, r = .36; agreeableness, r =
also relatively high intelligence. Therefore it is a priori possible .44; and conscientiousness, r = 0.15, N = 49 countries each.
that a unique combination of intelligence and personality traits With the exception of neuroticism and conscientiousness,
in these countries could lead to the observed relationships. other coefficients were significant at least at the p = .01 level. A
difference in N between the previous analyses is a result of a
fact that the World Bank does not report GDP per capita for
Table 3 Puerto Rico.
Regression analysis predicting national IQ Level with Big Five personality A regression model with national IQ and Big Five scores as
traits. N = 51 countries.
predictors of logGDP (2000–2009 average) was significant, F(6,
Variable B SE B β t p Regression 43) =20.40, p b .001, accounting for 70% of GDP variance (see
Table 4). Once again, agreeableness proved non-significant
Model 1: Big Five traits
Neuroticism −0.127 0.825 −.02 −0.15 .879 R=.46 when taken together with other Big Five dimensions, β = .05,
Extraversion 0.965 0.570 .25 1.69 .097 R2 = .21 p = .67. Only two predictors were significant in this model: IQ,
Openness 1.247 0.699 .28 1.78 .081 Adjusted β = .62, p b .01, and extraversion, β = .34, p b .01. When com-
Agreeableness 0.548 0.920 .11 0.60 .555 R2 = .12 munist history was introduced into the regression model of
Conscientiousness 0.153 0.686 .03 0.22 .824 F(5, 45) =
Table 4 as a control variable, extraversion remained significant
2.39,
p = .052 at p = .010. Conversely, when the analysis was restricted to
countries without communist history, extraversion remained
Model 2: Extraversion and openness significant at p = .025 (N = 40 countries). Likewise, when the
Extraversion 1.142 0.498 .30 2.29 .03 R = .45
dummy-coded world regions were introduced one at a time,
Openness 1.479 0.572 .33 2.59 .01 R2 = .20
Adjusted the extraversion effect remained significant with p values
R2 = .17 below .025 in each case. Virtually the same result was obtained
F(5, 45) = in models from which one world region was omitted. In each
6.05, case, the p value remained below .025. No other significant
p = .005
effect of personality factors emerged in these models. This
98 M. Stolarski et al. / Intelligence 41 (2013) 94–101

Table 4
Regression analyses predicting log(10-year average GDP) with national IQ and Big Five personality traits. N = 50 countries.

Variable B SE B β t p Regression

Model 1 (IQ and Big Five)


IQ .04 .01 .62 7.00 .000 R = .86
Neuroticism .03 .03 .09 1.07 .291 R2 = .74
Extraversion .09 .02 .34 3.80 .000 Adjusted R2 = .70
Openness .05 .03 .16 1.65 .107 F(6, 43) = 20.40,
Agreeableness .02 .04 .05 .43 .671 p b .001
Conscientiousness −.03 .03 −.09 −1.06 .293

Model 2 (IQ and Big Five without Extraversion)


IQ .05 .01 .71 7.27 .000 R = .81
Neuroticism .02 .04 .06 .61 .549 R2 = .65
Openness .02 .03 .06 .57 .571 Adjusted R2 = .61
Agreeableness .07 .04 .20 1.79 .080 F(5, 44) = 16.53,
Conscientiousness −.03 .03 −.08 −.85 .398 p b .001

Model 3 (Big Five traits only)


Neuroticism .03 .05 .08 .65 .522 R = .67
Extraversion .13 .03 .51 4.07 .000 R2 = .44
Openness .10 .04 .34 2.53 .015 Adjusted R2 = .38
Agreeableness .03 .05 .09 .57 .570 F(5, 44) = 7.03,
Conscientiousness −.01 .04 −.05 −.37 .712 p b .001

shows that the relationship between extraversion and GDP the country level is supported for the relationship between IQ
cannot be attributed to the influence of a single world region in and openness.
which an unusual constellation of GDP and extraversion is The nature of the IQ–openness relationship is being debated.
observed. As Zeidner and Matthews (2000) noticed, the analyzed relation-
McCrae et al. (2005) report factor structures of the NEO-PI- ship may relate to the “liberal” aspect of openness, namely
R facet scales, which suggest that some agreeableness facets willingness to question social, political and religious values, and
load strongly on the extraversion factor. To test whether the the rejection of traditional, “conservative” beliefs. Low openness
loss of significance by agreeableness when treated jointly with is strongly correlated with authoritarianism — a value system
other Big Five traits is caused mainly by its association with that includes political conservatism, antidemocratic sentiments,
extraversion, we conducted the analysis once again, but and ethnic prejudice (Trapnell, 1994). Authoritarianism, on the
without extraversion. In this case (see Model 2), agreeableness other hand, is negatively related to intelligence (Altemeyer,
reached a tendency level of significance as a predictor of GDP 1996). Moreover, McCourt, Bouchard, Lykken, Tellegen, and
(β = .20, p b .08). Analogically, IQ may be responsible for the Keyes (1999) suggest that “Intelligence drives attitude forma-
loss of significance by openness (see Model 3), thus it is tion. That is, when considering social, moral, and political
probable that the openness–GDP relationship is mediated by situations, those with greater cognitive skill are able to form
intelligence. more individualistic and open-minded (i.e., antiauthoritarian)
attitudes than those of lesser cognitive ability” (p. 987). McCrae
4. Discussion et al. (2005) found that national openness is highly and
negatively correlated with one of the Schwartz values, conser-
4.1. Relationships between national intelligence and personality vatism. Therefore it is possible that similar mechanisms account
for differences between nations. It seems that societies with
One aim of the present study was to examine the higher intelligence are also less conservative and perhaps more
relationships between Big Five personality traits and intel- pluralistic and democratic (Rindermann, 2008).
ligence measured at the national level. Openness, extraver- We also found that national IQ is positively related to
sion and agreeableness proved to be positively correlated extraversion, although regional factors play a role in this
with IQ. However, regression analyses showed that only correlation. The most important regional factors are the co-
extraversion and openness were marginally significant pre- occurrence of very low IQ and very low extraversion in the
dictors of intelligence. countries of Sub-Saharan Africa. On the other hand, the rather
Our observation that the country-level relationship be- low extraversion of East Asians, despite high IQ, may distort a
tween IQ and openness is robust to regional controls is “normal” pattern of a positive IQ–extraversion association. This
consistent with meta-analytic studies conducted among in- result is in agreement with findings of a positive association at
dividuals showing that the correlation between openness and the individual level in some studies (e.g., Ackerman &
general intelligence is around .30 and is the highest among all Heggestad, 1997) and a negative correlation in others (Wolf
Big Five traits (Ackerman & Heggestad, 1997; DeYoung, 2011). & Ackerman, 2005). Some researchers attribute the link be-
Therefore the prediction by Lynn and Vanhanen (2002) that tween extraversion and abilities to contextual factors (Zeidner
individual-level correlations, if robust, will also be observed at & Matthews, 2000). One hypothesis proposes that extraversion
M. Stolarski et al. / Intelligence 41 (2013) 94–101 99

may be related to some aspects of IQ test taking, rather than to extraversion is predicted by IQ and one or more of the
actual intelligence (DeYoung, 2011). development indicators. Therefore the observation that extra-
One may try to understand the aforementioned associa- version, like intelligence, has increased in western countries
tion referring to the nature of extraversion. In comparison to during the 20th century, (Smits, Dolan, Vorst, Wicherts, &
introverts, extraverts are characterized as active, outgoing, Timmerman, 2011; Twenge, 2001) is most likely caused by the
with many social contacts, and they are more emotionally common relationship of these two variables with economic
expressive (Eysenck, 1994). Extraversion is strongly related development.
to positive affect (Watson, 2000), trait emotional intelligence The likely reasons for the “disappearance” of the relation-
(Vernon, Villani, Schermer, & Petrides, 2008), and a more ship between agreeableness and IQ are the substantial
desirable mood profile (Matthews et al., 2009; Zajenkowski, correlations of agreeableness with extraversion (r = .369, p =
Goryńska, & Winiewski, 2012). Generally, high levels of .009) and with openness (r = .427, p = .002). Extraversion and
extraversion seem to be related to a range of behaviors that openness are not significantly correlated (r = .100, p = .496).
could be regarded as adaptive in terms of personal and social Therefore overlap between the constructs of agreeableness,
adjustment. Austin et al. (2002) noticed that at the individual openness and extraversion may be responsible for the
level, personality correlates of intelligence could be divided association. A likely reason why all three are related to IQ and
into two groups. The first group is positively linked with to economic development is that they all appear to describe
abilities and consists of traits which could be described as positive interpersonal relations.
adaptive, while the traits classifiable as maladaptive are Of all Big Five traits, openness has the most robust country-
usually negatively correlated with intelligence. Taking this level relationship with IQ. Because openness is also the per-
classification into account together with the claim that higher sonality trait that is most often found to be related to IQ at the
intelligence helps people to deal with the demands of the individual level, it is plausible that in this case, the observed
environment (Gottfredson, 1997), it is possible that more country-level relationship results from a direct relationship
intelligent societies developed adaptive aspects of extraver- between these two traits at the individual level. The nature of
sion, so that they are able to easily express their emotionality this individual-level relationship is uncertain, but it most likely
and tend to experience positive mood, which could be seen is bidirectional.
as a subjective manifestation of adaptation to the environ- Ziegler et al. (2012) tested a hypothesis which states that
ment (Jankowski & Zajenkowski, 2012; Thayer, 1989). The openness leads to more exploration of the environment and
latter assumption is also supported by McCrae et al. (2005), social interactions, and thus to the experience of an enriched,
who found a strong positive association between extraver- stimulating, varied, and challenging environment. People living
sion and well-being. in such conditions more frequently deal with situations in
We could also consider an opposite direction of the which the rules are unknown and therefore have to be inferred.
discussed relationship. Eysenck (1994) postulated that a free, On the other hand, one may wonder whether intelligence plays
easygoing atmosphere accords with the extraverted tempera- some role in the development of openness. Highly intelligent
ment. Moreover, extraversion is a substantial predictor of social individuals master unknown situations more easily and ef-
behavior (Matthews et al., 2009). We may hypothesize that fectively. This experience in turn may stimulate interest in new
extraverted cultures have created more open and friendly situations and thus facilitate the development of openness
environments which in turn helped people to improve their (Ziegler et al., 2012). Although the explanation refers only to
abilities. In such conditions intellectual potential might have intelligence and openness, it could be extended also to extra-
had a better chance to be expressed and by that could have version, since as DeYoung, Peterson, and Higgins (2005) no-
been developed more freely (Ziegler, Danay, Heene, Asendorpf, ticed, openness and extraversion share the tendency toward
& Buhner, 2012). This is consistent with the finding that positive response to novelty.
national extraversion is associated with national value of The idea of interplay could be especially significant because
self-expression and the dimension of individualism (McCrae we discuss here whole nations. For example, a person growing
et al., 2005). up in a highly extraverted and intelligent culture will adapt by
Finally, a common genetic basis of extraversion and IQ may becoming extraverted and intelligent himself, more so than
be in part responsible for the obtained relationship. Allelic might otherwise be predicted from his individual genetic
variation in the catechol-O-methyltransferase gene was found to constitution. This individual will influence others in the same
be associated with both extraversion and intelligence (Wacker, direction, resulting in a classic feedback reinforcing the prevalent
Mueller, Hennig, & Stemmler, 2012). However, the most likely cultural traits. Such developmental feedback, described fre-
relationship between intelligence and extraversion is indirect, quently in psychological studies of family and peer groups
being mediated by per-capita GDP. Prosperous countries have (e.g., Zeidner, Matthews, Roberts, & MacCann, 2003), may be
higher average intelligence than poor countries, both because responsible for the observation that the correlations between IQ
intelligence promotes economic growth (Meisenberg, 2012b) and personality obtained at the national level are higher than
and because prosperity leads to higher intelligence, as demon- those obtained in cross-sectional individual differences research.
strated by the rise in IQ during the 20th century (Flynn, 1987). Finally, additional factors may influence both IQ and
Prosperous countries also have higher average extraversion personality. When thinking in terms of general adaptation,
scores, as shown in our data. Indeed, in regression models that the same environmental factors may influence both cognitive
predict IQ with extraversion and logGDP, or with extraversion development (e.g., Chen & Ziegler, 2000) and personality
and variables that are highly correlated with logGDP (schooling, traits (cf. Zajenkowska & Zajenkowski, in press). For instance,
freedom/democracy, freedom from corruption), extraversion is the availability of education, information and easy access to
not an independent predictor of IQ. The same is observed when media might result in higher IQ (Tong, Baqhurst, Vimpani, &
100 M. Stolarski et al. / Intelligence 41 (2013) 94–101

McMichael, 2007). High levels of safety and medical care potential mediator) and/or continuous parameter estimation
co-occur with higher extraversion (see the map in McCrae, (Gorsuch, 2005).
2004). In terms of causal effects, perhaps the most likely The important unresolved question that arises from the
relationships are that high intelligence leads to prosperity, results discussed here is the direction of causality. One may
and prosperity leads to openness and extraversion. argue that higher GDP leads to better life conditions which, in
accordance with Maslow's (1943) hierarchy of needs, allow
4.2. National intelligence and personality as predictors of higher-level needs to take center stage, as basic physiological
national wealth and safety needs are already fulfilled. Therefore individuals
and entire societies begin to strive for love and social support
The second aim of this paper was to determine what impact or for self-actualization. The fulfillment of the former was
national intelligence and personality have on national economic found to be important for positive feelings across diverse
outcomes. The correlation analysis revealed that IQ is most regions of the world (Tay & Diener, 2011) and therefore may
strongly and positively correlated with GDP, followed (in that be reflected in higher extraversion. The rise in extraversion
sequence) by extraversion, agreeableness and openness. How- that has been measured in Western countries during the last
ever, in the regression model, only intelligence and extraversion three to four decades (Smits et al., 2011; Twenge, 2001) can
were significant predictors of GDP. Once again agreeableness be explained by this mechanism. For some individuals,
lost its significance in the presence of other predictors. The main self-actualization includes, at least to some degree, intellec-
cause of this may well be the same as in the prediction of tual interests and cognitive development. In addition to
national IQ: the overlap between the constructs of agreeable- massive expansion of school systems, this could play a role in
ness and extraversion (McCrae et al., 2005). Additionally, it the observed secular increases in intelligence that became
seems that IQ may mediate the openness–GDP relation since known as the Flynn effect (Flynn, 1987).
openness was a (marginally) significant predictor of GDP only The attempt to predict GDP per capita using personality
when IQ was excluded from the model. traits in addition to IQ proved successful. Future studies will
The model with intelligence and personality accounted have to define the direction of the causal relationships.
for 70% of the GDP variance, whereas IQ alone accounted for Moreover, the general factor of personality (GFP) may be a
65%. This suggests that personality explains at least some fruitful topic to study at the national level. It was already shown
additional variance in GDP, net of the IQ effect. that the GFP is moderately correlated with individuals' IQ
Extraversion proved to be the only statistically robust (Irwing, Booth, Nyborg, & Rushton, 2012). Therefore one may
predictor of GDP in the presence of IQ, but the direction of expect a similar relationship among countries. However, the
causality is uncertain. The first possibility is that high GDP, or most immediate need is for studies of average national levels of
aspects of “development” that are strongly correlated with personality traits that are based on representative population
GDP, make people more extraverted. The second possibility is samples rather than university undergraduates. The challenge is
that extraversion raises GDP because extraversion is associated the creation of a world map of Big Five and related personality
with social skills. Thanks to their frequent and rewarding traits that rivals “national IQ” in reliability and validity. The
interactions with other people, extraverts are likely to acquire observation that even GDP appears to be influenced by country-
greater social skills than introverts. Social skills are not level differences in personality suggests that other differences
measured directly by IQ tests and are only mildly linked to IQ, between countries, especially those that are commonly attrib-
as evidenced by the observation that people with autism- uted to “culture,” might be explainable by personality traits as
spectrum disorders can have high IQ and can excel in subjects well.
such as mathematics, physics and computer science despite
their poor social skills (Baron-Cohen, Wheelwright, Stone, &
Rutherford, 1999). “High-functioning” (non-retarded) forms of
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