Professional Documents
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apparently inconsistent judgments as to which patients should chance of being dead. It is therefore helpful to talk about
be referred to cardiac surgeons for consideration of aortic “individualized risk estimation” and absolute risk reduction,
valve replacement. Among 191 patients with severe aortic rather than about “your risk” and relative risk reduction. The
valve stenosis who did not undergo cardiac surgery, a clinician would use a pictograph (Figure) and the following
cardiologist evaluated 182 (95%), but referred only 57 (30%) phrases when communicating risk to the patient: “Of 100
to a cardiac surgeon. In this editorial, we will place this people like you, 50 will die and 50 will not in the next 2 years
finding in the context of the evolving field of shared decision- without surgery; if all 100 people like you decide to have
making and suggest how this focus could improve the quality surgery, then 20 will die and 80 will not die in the next 2
of care delivered to patients with valvular heart disease. years.” This avoids both the problem of “your risk of dying is
Shared decision making is a 3-step process.2 The first step 50%” and of framing (by avoiding “your probability of
involves knowledge transfer. In its idealized form, shared surviving is 80%”). Furthermore, a pictograph conveying the
decision making requires symmetrical and bidirectional ex- risks before and after intervention helps users avoid the
change of information between patients and clinicians. This temptation of promoting uptake of the treatment being of-
exchange aims to identify and distinguish the available fered by using relative rather than absolute risk reduction
options under consideration, including the option of no expressions.6
treatment. The other 2 steps require the patient and clinician For such risk communication tools to exist, clinicians need
to (1) actively engage in deliberating (ie, considering the to have access to risk calculators at the point of care. Bach et
options, in light of the goals, values, and preferences of the al go to the extent of calling this estimated risk “objective”
patient); and (2) to reach a consensus in making a decision. and the clinical impression of the clinicians “subjective.” The
lack of role modeling and training in using—and lack of
ready access to— existing risk calculators at the point of care
The opinions expressed in this article are not necessarily those of the leaves clinicians using their uninformed gist to shape risk and
editors or of the American Heart Association. benefits regarding important decisions. Clinicians may shape
From the Knowledge and Encounter Research Unit, Mayo Clinic,
Rochester, Minn. such decisions by not presenting the options they consider
Correspondence to Victor M. Montori, MD, Plummer 3-35, 200 First inferior to the patient or by presenting those options in a
St SW, Rochester, MN 55905. E-mail kerunit@mayo.edu negative light only to dismiss them without further consider-
(Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2009;2:519-521.)
© 2009 American Heart Association, Inc. ation. Going back to Bach et al, it is highly unlikely that
patients who reportedly refused the aortic valve replacement
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes is available at
http://circoutcomes.ahajournals.org received an accurate presentation of risk in ways that they
DOI: 10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.109.912246 could understand and use to make an informed choice. The
519
520 Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes November 2009