𝑛 ∑𝑥𝑦 −(∑𝑥)(∑𝑦)

b = 𝑛 ∑𝑥 2 −(∑𝑥)2

10 (1531756.4) – (26108) (58.67)

= 10 (78807164)−(26108)2

1614890.3−153756.36
= 788071640−681627664

83133.94
= 106443976

= 0.00078

∑𝑦 ∑𝑥
a = 𝑛
−𝑏 𝑛

58.67 26108
= − 0.00078
10 10

= 5.867 – 2.036

= 3.831

y = a + bx

= 3.831 + 0.00078x

x y xy x2 y'
500 3.95 1975 250000 4.221
1295 5.7 7381.5 1677025 4.8411
1840 4.22 7764.8 3385600 5.2662
2204 5.76 12695.04 4857616 5.550
3148 6.3 19832.4 9909904 6.286
3245 6.3 20443.5 10530025 6.362
3258 7.65 24923.7 10614564 6.372
3507 6.9 24198.3 12299049 6.566
3545 5.95 21092.75 12567025 6.596
3566 5.94 21182.04 12716356 6.61
∑ 26108 58.67 1531756.4 681627664 58.6703
 9

0
500 1295 1840 2204 3148 3245 3258 3507 3545 3566

y y’ e e2
3.95 4.221 -0.271 0.073441
5.7 4.8411 0.8589 0.737709
4.22 5.2662 -1.0462 1.094534
5.76 5.55 0.21 0.0441
6.3 6.286 0.014 0.000196
6.3 6.362 -0.062 0.003844
7.65 6.372 1.278 1.633284
6.9 6.566 0.334 0.111556
5.95 6.596 -0.646 0.417316
5.94 6.61 -0.67 0.4489
∑ 4.564881

∑𝑒 2
MSE = 𝑛

= 0.456881

ln ∑y = ln 58.67

= 4.071
 𝑛∑x ln 𝑦−(∑x)(∑ln y)
b = 𝑛 ∑𝑥 2 −(∑x)2

10(47294.37) – (26108)( 17.51738)

= 10 (681627664)− (26108)2

15599.94
= 106443976

= 0.000147

∑lny ∑x
a = −𝑏
𝑛 𝑛

17.51738 26108
= 10
- 0.000147 10

= 1.751738 - 0.383788

= 1.36795

y = 𝑒 𝑎+𝑏𝑥

= 𝑒 1.36795+(0.000147𝑥)

a b x bx a+bx y’ (ea+bx)

1.36795 0.000147 500 0.0735 1.44145 4.22682

1.36795 0.000147 1295 0.190365 1.558315 4.750809
1.36795 0.000147 1840 0.27048 1.63843 5.147082
1.36795 0.000147 2204 0.323988 1.691938 5.429994
1.36795 0.000147 3148 0.462756 1.830706 6.238289
1.36795 0.000147 3245 0.477015 1.844965 6.327878
1.36795 0.000147 3258 0.478926 1.846876 6.339982
1.36795 0.000147 3507 0.515529 1.883479 6.576344
1.36795 0.000147 3545 0.521115 1.889065 6.613182
1.36795 0.000147 3566 0.524202 1.892152 6.633629
 y y’ e e2
3.95 4.22682 -0.27682 0.076629
5.7 4.750809 0.949191 0.900964
4.22 5.147082 -0.92708 0.859481
5.76 5.429994 0.330006 0.108904
6.3 6.238289 0.061711 0.003808
6.3 6.327878 -0.02788 0.000777
7.65 6.339982 1.310018 1.716147
6.9 6.576344 0.323656 0.104753
5.95 6.613182 -0.66318 0.43981
5.94 6.633629 -0.69363 0.481121
58.67 58.28401 0.385991 4.692395

∑𝑒 2
MSE =
𝑛

4.692395
= 10

= 0.4692395

∑𝑦
𝑦̅ =
10

58.67
= = 5.867
10

o Untuk Linear

y y' ̅
y'-𝒚 ̅)2
(y'-𝒚 ̅
y-𝒚 ̅)2
(y-𝒚
3.95 4.221 -1.646 2.709316 -1.917 3.674889
5.7 4.8411 -1.0259 1.052471 -0.167 0.027889
4.22 5.2662 -0.6008 0.360961 -1.647 2.712609
5.76 5.55 -0.317 0.100489 -0.107 0.011449
6.3 6.286 0.419 0.175561 0.433 0.187489
6.3 6.362 0.495 0.245025 0.433 0.187489
7.65 6.372 0.505 0.255025 1.783 3.179089
6.9 6.566 0.699 0.488601 1.033 1.067089
5.95 6.596 0.729 0.531441 0.083 0.006889
5.94 6.61 0.743 0.552049 0.073 0.005329
∑ 58.67 58.6703 0.0003 6.470938 8.88178E-16 11.06021
 (𝑦 ′ −𝑦̅)2 6.470938
R2 = (𝑦−𝑦̅)2
= 11.06021 = 0.585065

 k – 1 = 2-1 = 1
 n – k = 10-2 = 8
 ∑ (y’-𝑦̅)2 = 6.470938
 ∑ (y - 𝑦̅)2 = 11.06021

2
∑ (y’−𝑦
̅ ) / (𝑘−1) 6.470938
Fhitung = 2 =
1.382526
= 4.680517
∑ (y − 𝑦
̅ ) / (𝑛−𝑘)

o Untuk Eksponensial

y y’ ̅
y'-𝒚 ̅ )2
(y'-𝒚 ̅
y-𝒚 ̅ )2
(y-𝒚
3.95 4.22682 -1.64018 2.690190432 -1.917 3.674889
5.7 4.750809 -1.11619 1.245882348 -0.167 0.027889
4.22 5.147082 -0.71992 0.518281927 -1.647 2.712609
5.76 5.429994 -0.43701 0.190974244 -0.107 0.011449
6.3 6.238289 0.371289 0.137855522 0.433 0.187489
6.3 6.327878 0.460878 0.212408531 0.433 0.187489
7.65 6.339982 0.472982 0.223711972 1.783 3.179089
6.9 6.576344 0.709344 0.50316891 1.033 1.067089
5.95 6.613182 0.746182 0.556787577 0.083 0.006889
5.94 6.633629 0.766629 0.587720024 0.073 0.005329
∑ 58.67 58.28401 -0.38599 6.866981487 8.88178E-16 11.06021

2
∑ (y’−𝑦
̅) 6.866981487
R2 = 2 = = 0.620872613
∑ (y − 𝑦
̅) 11.060873

 k – 1 = 2-1 = 1
 n – k = 10-2 = 8
 ∑ (y’-𝑦̅)2 = 6.866981487
 ∑ (y - 𝑦̅)2 = 11.06021

2
∑ (y’−𝑦
̅ ) / (𝑘−1)
Fhitung = 2 = 4.966981
∑ (y − 𝑦
̅ ) / (𝑛−𝑘)
HASIL REKAPITULASI :

Linear MSE 0.456881

R2 0.585065
Fhitung 4.680517
Eksponen MSE 0.4692395
R2 0.620872613
Fhitung 4.966981

∑𝑥
𝑥̅ = 10

26108
= 10
= 2610.8

𝑥̅ 2 = 6816277

o Untuk Linear

x ̅
𝒙 ̅
x-𝒙 ̅ )2
(x-𝒙 y y' y-y' (y-y')2
500 2610.8 -2110.8 4455477 3.95 4.221 -0.271 0.073441
1295 2610.8 -1315.8 1731330 5.7 4.8411 0.8589 0.737709
1840 2610.8 -770.8 594132.6 4.22 5.2662 -1.0462 1.094534
2204 2610.8 -406.8 165486.2 5.76 5.55 0.21 0.0441
3148 2610.8 537.2 288583.8 6.3 6.286 0.014 0.000196
3245 2610.8 634.2 402209.6 6.3 6.362 -0.062 0.003844
3258 2610.8 647.2 418867.8 7.65 6.372 1.278 1.633284
3507 2610.8 896.2 803174.4 6.9 6.566 0.334 0.111556
3545 2610.8 934.2 872729.6 5.95 6.596 -0.646 0.417316
3566 2610.8 955.2 912407 5.94 6.61 -0.67 0.4489
∑ 26108 26108 -1.81899E-12 10644398 58.67 58.6703 -0.0003 4.564881

∑(𝑦−𝑦′)2
ʈe =√
𝑛−2

4.564881
=√ = 0.7553873179
8

1 𝑥̅ 2
Sea = ʈe √𝑛 + ∑(x−𝑥̅ )2

1 6816277
= 0.7553873179 √10 + 10644398

= 0.7553873179 √0.740363
 = 0.6499681003

1
Seb = ʈe √∑(𝑥−𝑥̅ )2

1
= 0.7553873179 √10644398

= 0.0002314741

 thitung (untuk perpotongan)

𝑎−𝛼
t =
𝑠𝑒𝑎
3.831−0
=
0.6499681003
= 5.8941354172
 thitung (untuk kemiringan)
𝑏−𝛽
t = 𝑠𝑒𝑏
0.00078 − 0
= 0.0002314741

= 3.3697074532

o Untuk Eksponensial

x ̅
𝒙 ̅
x-𝒙 ̅ )2
(x-𝒙 y y' y-y' (y-y')2
500 2610.8 -2110.8 4455477 3.95 4.22682 -0.27682 0.076629
1295 2610.8 -1315.8 1731330 5.7 4.750809 0.949191 0.900964
1840 2610.8 -770.8 594132.6 4.22 5.147082 -0.92708 0.859481
2204 2610.8 -406.8 165486.2 5.76 5.429994 0.330006 0.108904
3148 2610.8 537.2 288583.8 6.3 6.238289 0.061711 0.003808
3245 2610.8 634.2 402209.6 6.3 6.327878 -0.02788 0.000777
3258 2610.8 647.2 418867.8 7.65 6.339982 1.310018 1.716147
3507 2610.8 896.2 803174.4 6.9 6.576344 0.323656 0.104753
3545 2610.8 934.2 872729.6 5.95 6.613182 -0.66318 0.43981
3566 2610.8 955.2 912407 5.94 6.633629 -0.69363 0.481121
∑ 26108 26108 -1.13687E-12 10644398 58.67 58.28401 0.385991 4.692395

∑(𝑦−𝑦′)2
ʈe =√ 𝑛−2

4.692395
=√
8

= 0.765865
 1 𝑥̅ 2
Sea = ʈe √𝑛 + ∑(x−𝑥̅ )2

1 6816277
= 0.765865 √ +
10 10644398
= 0.658984

1
Seb = ʈe √∑(𝑥−𝑥̅ )2

1
= 0.765865 √10644398

= 0.000306506

 thitung (untuk perpotongan)

𝑎−𝛼
t = 𝑠𝑒𝑎
1.36795−0
= 0.658984

= 2.075848

 thitung (untuk kemiringan)

𝑏−𝛽
t =
𝑠𝑒𝑏
0.000147−0
=0.000306506

= 0.479599

Korelasi

𝑛∑𝑥𝑦−(∑𝑥)(∑𝑦)
Rxy =
√𝑛∑𝑥 2 −(∑𝑥)2 √𝑛∑𝑦 2 −∑(𝑦)2

10 (1531756.4)−(26108)(58.67)
=
√10(681627664)−(26108)2 √10(355.271)−(58.67)2

10(161489) − (26108)(58,67)
=
√10(681627664) − (26108)2 √10(355,2771) − (58,67)2
1614890−1531756
= 823714.1856

83133,94
=
823714.1856

= 0.100926