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Investor Market Report 2016 DIGITAL PDF
Investor Market Report 2016 DIGITAL PDF
VOLUME 1
EB-5 INVESTOR MARKET REPORT
A Letter from
IIUSA’s Executive Director
We at IIUSA are proud to announce the publication of the first ever
Investor Markets Report. The report comes at a critically important time
for the EB-5 industry and we hope that it provides insightful quantita-
tive and qualitative analysis of established and emerging EB-5 investor
markets.
Peter D. Joseph, With the new reality that investors from Mainland China will have to
IIUSA Executive Director
wait a minimum of six years, before a visa number will be available for
Special Thank You to the them to use an approved I-526 petition to immigrate to the United States it becomes advantageous
IIUSA Investor Markets Committee to analysis emerging and established EB-5 Markets elsewhere in the world.
& A successful and strong EB-5 Program of the future will not only feature more visas but an increas-
ingly diversified investor market place. To this end, IIUSA has taken steps to formulate and promote
IIUSA Policy Analyst Lee Li for the data analysis and relationships with thought leaders from investor markets with the highest potential and industry
visualization. Without his valubable contributions this leaders with expertise on these markets to facilitate the flow of information on emerging EB-5 In-
report would not have been possible. vestor Markets.
Over the last few years IIUSA has realized the intrinsic need for an infrastructure through which the
EB-5 industry can gain unique market insights about markets with the most growth potential. IIUSA
continued efforts are evident by the formation of the Investor Markets Committee in July of 2014,
the regular investor market articles in the Regional Center Business Journal as well as in newslet-
ters to the membership and industry.
The first volume of the Investor Markets Report, includes both on-the-ground insights and compre-
hensive quantitate analysis of EB-5 investor trends and is the first report of its kind for the EB-5
industry. By crunching the numbers on comprehensive data-sets of both USCIS petition data as well
as Department of State visa statistics, we can now visualize the influx of investment from around
the world and extrapolate where growth may yet come. The annual report will help EB-5 stakehold-
ers draw important conclusion that can lead to actionable steps by project sponsors to bring new
investors through the Program.
This publication is intended for your information only. Unless you receive IIUSA's prior written
consent, you may not modify, translate, create derivative works of, copy, distribute, market, or The following report is the culmination of months of hard work and is a primer for what is to come
display any content from the IIUSA Investor Market Report. in the years ahead. As the EB-5 industry continues to evolve IIUSA will continue to be an educational
leader in EB-5 investor markets and the untapped potential that they may hold.
The Invest in the USA ("IIUSA") logo is a registered trademark and sole property of IIUSA. It
therefore, may NOT be used without the express written consent of the Board of Directors. Sincerel y,
Copyright © 2016
Peter D. Joseph
Executive Director
4• IIUSA.ORG IIUSA.ORG 5•
AS THE EB-5 PROGRAM
CONTINUES TO GROW...
As the EB-5 Program continues to grow in popular-
ity it is important to analyze the immigrant inves-
tor markets that are fueling this growth and with
visa retrogression and increasing costs of investor
recruitment hindering market growth in Mainland-
Lily Wang, China it is more important than ever to analyze both
New City Advisors; established and newly emergent markets that will
Chair of IIUSA Investor
Markets Committee prove to be reliable sources of investors over the
coming years.
It has been the mission of IIUSA’s Investor Markets Committee, which I have had
the honor to chair since its founding in 2014, to track how world events are driv-
ing EB-5 investor market demand around the globe. The first step of this explora-
tion has culminated in this report, The Investor Markets Report, Vol. 1., a first of
its kind study illustrating where EB-5 investors are coming from and the impact
of macro, political, and socio-economic conditions that would lead to greater uti-
lization of the EB-5 Program in the years to come.
We hope you enjoy reviewing the data, charts and analysis contained within this
report and please note that the second volume will be published as soon as the
next round of data becomes available.
18 SECTION 4:
In‐depth analyses of EB-5 investor markets within each continent/region
Ranking EB-5 Investor Market Number Of I-526 Approvals Market Share Growth Score Since FY2008
HOW TO CALCULATE THE “GROWTH SCORES”:
1 Mainland China 4,153 85.61% 95.30%
EQUATION EXAMPLE 2 Vietnam 67 1.38% 95.74%
GROWTH PATTERN DEMAND:
800
I-526 Approvals Market Share NUMBER OF I-526 APPROVALS BY CONTINENT/REGION:
700 100.0% Total Market Total Market Total Market
Total Share Total Share Total Share
87.9% Region (Since 1992) (Since 1990) (Since 2008) (Since 2008) (Since 2011) (Since 2011)
600
83.1% 85.4% 83.0% 83.0%
82.0%
79.5% 76.5% Africa 199 1.0% 140 0.9% 99 0.7%
81.5%
83.8%
500 79.2%
78.3% 77.6% Asia-Pacific 3,400 17.1% 1,521 9.3% 888 6.6%
73.9%
70.2%
400 61.2%
49.7%
Europe 1,085 5.5% 704 4.3% 379 2.8%
FY1992. Vietnam
Russia 1%
Venezuela 1%
The Asia-Pacific region ranks as the North America 1% Germany
Middle East 2% Hong Kong Canada
0.6%
South/Central Asia 1%
second largest investor origin market, 2% 1%
2% Japan Other 120+
accounting for 17% of all EB-5 inves- Latin America Mexico 1%
1% Countries
tors since FY 1992. 6% of all I-526 ap- 2% Iran
8%
provals from FY1992 to FY2014 were 1%
India
issued to EB-5 investors from Europe- Europe 2%
6% United Kingdom
an countries, making Europe the third
2%
largest region/continent for EB-5 in- Taiwan
5%
vestors.
Asia
- Paci�ic Mainland China
South Korea 67%
The graphic underneath Figure 2.2 17% 8%
shows the EB-5 investor market shares Mainland China
of these continent/regions (other than 68%
Mainland China) overtime. The mar-
Africa
ket share of the Asia-Pacific region, 1%
the second largest EB-5 investor re-
gion, has declined from 67% before
FY2008 to 40% after FY2011. Europes
NUMBER OF I‐526 APPROVALS BY INVESTORS ORIGIN ‐ TOP FIVE IN THE PAST
market share from FY2008-2010 was
24% however, it has fallen to 16% after
FIVE FISAL YEARS OTHER THAN MAINLAND CHINA (FY2010 ‐ FY2014)
FY2011. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150
Vietnam
Taiwan
India
FY2014 South Korea
Iran
Venezuela
Taiwan
24.1%
FY2011 South Korea
16.6% Iran
13.6%
11.0%
7.7% 7.1% 6.8% 10.2% 9.2% 9.8% Venezuela
4.7% 4.7% 3.3% 4.6% 4.2% 4.3%
2.1% 3.0% Taiwan
South Korea
FY2010
Market Share (Before 2008) Market Share (2008-2010) Market Share (After FY2011) Iran
Mexico
P
1500
23.5% 30.0%
21.7% 20.8% 20.5%
rior to the 2008 global financial crisis, Mainland China was a 18.5% 17.0% 17.0%
26.1% 14.6%
1000
20.0%
22.4%
500 16.9% 18.0% 16.3%
relatively small player in the EB-5 space with just 630 Investors. 12.1% 0.0% 10.0%
0 0.0%
UHNWI POPULATION: 2 However, mirroring the growth of the EB-5 market over the past sev- FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
13,013 en years, China has become the central market for EB-5 investment
Since FY2011:
82.84%
FY1992 ‐ 2007: 4.7%
Since FY2008: 95.3%
worldwide - and it’s not even close.
Since 2008 Mainland China has accounted for 12,762 I-526 approvals at a minimum six years until a visa number becomes available for them to use
GDP GROWTH 2015: 3 or just over 82 percent of the total world market share since 2011. GROWTH an approved I-526 petition to actually immigrate to the United States. Since the
6.8% Chinese participation in the program has continued to increase year- SCORE: Program’s inception China has accounted for $6.7 billion in EB-5 Foreign Direct
(Since FY2008) Investment and as of yet, a lack of visa numbers has not slowed interested from
over-year since 2008. So much so that are not enough EB-5 visas to go
95.3%
around. Chinese investors in the Program. However, if retrogression continues, Chinese
2016, the reality for Chinese investors is that they may have to wait kets in the months and years ahead.
HIGHER THAN THE
LARGEST URBAN AREAS: 5 REGIONAL AVERAGE
• Shanghai • Guangdong
• Beijing • Tianjin
• Chongqing • Shenzhen
+1652%
CONSULATE LOCATIONS: 6
EB-5 FDI
$6,380+ Million
USD
EB-5 FDI
GROWTH
(2008-2014)
4,153
I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
• Beijing • Shanghai (FY 2014)
• Chengdu • Shenyang (2008-2014)
• Guanzhou • Wuhan
18 • CHINA IIUSA.ORG IIUSA.ORG 19 • CHINA
SECTION 4.2
A s a whole investors from the
Asia Pacific region accounted
for more than 67% of all I-526 ap-
Growth Greater Than:
Program
Average
Region
Average
Investor
Market
Total
I-526
Approvals
(Since 1992)
Total
I-526
Approvals
(Since 2008)
Growth
Score
(Since 2008)
Total
I-526
Approvals
(Since 2011)
Growth
Score
(Since 2011)
ASIA PACIFIC
79.1%
500 72.8% 71.7% 74.9%
66.0% 65.7% 67.1%
LOWER THAN THE 450 76.5%
438
61.3%
50.0% 62.0% 60.4%
57.2% 58.8% 44.1%
PROGRAM AVERAGE 400 53.8% 43.1% 43.2%
I-526 APPROVALS:
296
250 262
• Cambodia • Malaysia • Taiwan
259 256
226 228
(Since FY2011) 200 219
FISCAL YEAR
88
79
50
• Indonesia • Philippines 0
43
19 20 23 20
53
FY1992 FY1994 FY1996 FY1998 FY2000 FY2002 FY2004 FY2006 FY2008 FY2010 FY2012 FY2014
UHNWI
POPULATION: I n the early days of the EB-5 Program, Hong Kong was considered a vi-
able investor market, but in recent years, that has not been the case. In
5
3,854
fact, much of the demand from Hong Kong investors took place nearly two 0
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
decades ago with the all-time I-526 approval high reached in 1997. Much Since FY2011:
14.3%
of the early interest in EB-5 from Hong Kong might have been sparked by
FY1992 ‐2007: 80.6% Since FY2008: 19.4%
anxieties related to the British handover of Hong Kong to the People’s Re-
public of China in 1997. However, those concerns about political and eco-
nomic autonomy have been mostly unfounded as Hong Kong has operated
as a Special Administrative Region (S.A.R) with a “one country two system” GROWTH
GDP GROWTH 2015:
policy firmly in place. SCORE:
(Since FY2008)
2.5%
19.4%
Hong Kong remains a major hub for foreign direct and capital market in-
vestment. A prominent center for wealth, with over 120,000 millionaires,
Hong Kong continues to grow as one of Asia’s primary financial centers7.
8
300%
EB-5 FDI EB-5 FDI
GROWTH
$17Million (2008-2014) LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
USD
• Hong Kong • Hong Kong I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
(2008-2014)
(FY 2014)
10
E
0
UHNWI POPULATION: FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
B-5 investment from Japan has been consistent but slow, generated
6,448 about 5% of the total EB-5 investors from the Asia-Pacific region over
Since FY2011:
35.1%
FY1992 ‐2007: 45.7% Since FY2008: 54.3%
the last decade and 86 total EB-5 investors since the start of the Program.
While the Japanese economy has stagnated in recent years, posting just
16
USD
(2008-2014) LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
• Tokyo • Nagoya • Tokyo • Sapporo
+7% • Osaka-Kobe • Fukukoa • Naha
I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
EB-5 FDI • Shizouka-Hamamts • Nagoya • Okinawa
GROWTH • Kitakyushu-Fukuoka • Osaka-Kobe
(FY 2014)
(2008-2014)
UHNWI
POPULATION: S outh Korea has historically been the second largest EB-5 investor
market in terms of I-526 approvals, conceding its top market status in
50
2,143
2008. In FY2007, South Korea accounted for over 85% of all I-526 approv- 0
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
als in the Asia-Pacific region (excluding mainland China). However, since Since FY2011:
25.6%
this high-water mark, relative declines have been readily apparent.
FY1992 ‐2007: 45.8% Since FY2008: 54.2%
In FY2014, Korea saw a 45% decline in I-526 approvals from the previous
year. While nearly 50% of all EB-5 investors in the Asia-Pacific Region (ex-
cluding Mainland China), hailed from South Korea in FY2013 that number GROWTH
plummeted to just 30% in FY2014. Furthermore, since 2008 South Korea SCORE:
GDP GROWTH 2015: (Since FY2008)
2.7%
has only seen a modest increase of 18% in I-526 approvals.
South Korea is currently home to over 2,000 ultra high net worth indvidu-
als and that number is projected to grow by over 50% in the coming de-
9
cade . While welathy indivdiausl will likely continune to drive interest in
54.2%
EB-5, declining interest in the Program will see South Korea position as a LOWER THAN THE
IMMIGRANTS TO THE U.S. top investor market will likely be supplanted by emerging markets in the PROGRAM AVERAGE
(FY 2013):
coming years.
23,166 HIGHER THAN THE
REGIONAL AVERAGE
56
-69%
EB-5 FDI EB-5 FDI LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
GROWTH
$436 Million (2008-2014)
• Seoul • Daegu • Seoul (IVC)
USD • Busan • Daejon • Busan I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
(2008-2014)
• Incheon (FY 2014)
I
4.2%
nvestor market demand from Taiwan has been and will continue to be
50
a key driver of global demand in the Asia-Pacific region. From FY1992
through FY2007, Taiwan accounted for nearly 29% of all EB-5 investors in
0
UHNWI POPULATION: the region when excluding China. However, from FY2011 to FY2014 Tai-
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
1,951 wan’s regional market share, excluding China, fell to just over 8%.
Since FY2011:
17.9%
FY1992 ‐2007: 74.4% Since FY2008: 25.6%
Over the past six years EB-5 demand in Taiwan has rebounded growing
year over year. In fact Taiwan was the third largest investor market in the
25.6%
years with just over 25% growth in the market since FY2008.
While EB-5 demand is low when compared to initial demand in the 1990’s
Taiwan has shown signs of growth and more importantly stability over
IMMIGRANTS TO THE U.S.
(FY 2013):
LOWER THAN THE
the past decade. Taiwan is currently home to almost 2,000 Ultra High Net
5,385 PROGRAM AVERAGE
Worth Individuals and with that number expected to increase by 50% in
the coming decade Taiwan will continue to be a potential source of wealthy LOWER THAN THE
EB-5 investor’s10. REGIONAL AVERAGE
+168%
59
EB-5 FDI
GROWTH LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
(2008-2014)
EB-5 FDI • Taipei • Taichung The U.S. maintains unofficial relations with the
$140 Million • Kaohsiung
people of Taiwan through the American Insti-
tute of Taiwan (AIT), a private non-profit cor-
I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
USD
poration, which performs citizen and consular
(FY 2014)
(2008-2014)
services similar to those at diplomatic posts.
*Excluding China
30
O
20
ver the past two decades an influx of foreign investment has fueled
GDP GROWTH
2015:
10
improving living standards and produced a rapidly emerging Viet-
6.5%
0
namese wealthy class benefiting from the country’s economic growth. This FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
growth has, in turn, led to increased participation in the EB-5 Program. Since FY2011:
89.4%
Although Vietnam only had a total of 141 investors from FY1990-FY2014, FY1992 ‐2007: 4.3% Since FY2008: 95.7%
nearly 96% of those I-526 approvals have taken place since 2008 with an
astounding 89%% of all I-526 approvals taking place since 2010. patriates moving to the United States since 1980 and with Vietnamese students
GROWTH forming the one of the largest groups of international students studying at U.S.
Participation in the EB-5 Program has been complicated by decades old
SCORE: institutions, the U.S. is an attractive destination for these individuals12.
UHNWI POPULATION: government restrictions on money transfers and government regulation (Since FY2008)
168 of the economy. However, more options for transferring funds out of the In FY2014, nearly 30%% of the EB-5 investors from the Asia-Pacific region, ex-
95.7%
country and the government’s recent commitment to economic modern- cluding China, were from Vietnam. With a growing economy, an emergent wealth
ization and a more open economy will increase the EB-5 Programs acces- class, an established Vietnamese expatriate community, and a large number of
sibility11. Vietnamese students studying in U.S. institutions it is highly likely that Vietnam
continues its emergence in the EB-5 Investor Market in the coming years.
HIGHER THAN THE
Yet, these woes have not necessarily impacted the inbound foreign invest-
IMMIGRANTS TO THE U.S. PROGRAM AVERAGE
(FY 2013): ment market they have driven the emergent class of wealthy Vietnamese
26,578 to seek residence in other countries. With over 1.2 million Vietnamese ex- HIGHER THAN THE
REGIONAL AVERAGE
EB-5 FDI
$67.5 Million
USD
+6600%
EB-5 FDI
GROWTH
(2008-2014)
LARGEST URBAN AREAS:
• Ho Chi Minh City • Can Tho
• Hanoi • Haiphong
CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
• Ho Chi Minh City
• Hanoi
67
I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
(2008-2014) (FY 2014)
investor market and other regional * India 323 237 73.4% 169 52.3%
* * Kazakhstan 23 20 87.0% 15 65.2%
countries have increasing levels of
* * Mongolia 3 3 100.0% 1 33.3%
EB-5 participation.
* * Nepal 2 2 100.0% 2 100.0%
Both Kazakhstan and Bangladesh Pakistan 62 29 46.8% 18 29.0%
grew at faster rates than the Pro- * * Sri Lanka 5 4 80.0% 2 40.0%
gram’s average growth score with * Turkmenistan 1 1 100.0% 0 0.0%
Kazakhstan a 87% growth score Total 444 314 70.7% 223 50.2%
since FY2008 and Bangladesh seeing
dia, Kazakhstan and Pakistan re- Pakistan was the region’s second
an 88% average growth score. How-
spectively. India currently account largest market prior to FY2010 but
ever, due to the small volume of Ban-
for a majority of I-526 approvals has since ceded that position to Ka-
gladeshi I-526 approvals it will not
from the region with 323 approvals zakhstan and will not be focused on
be focused on here.
since FY2008 while EB-5 Foreign here. Over the past four years India
Based on I-526 approvals the three Direct Investment from Kazakhstan and Kazakhstan have accounted for
largest immigrant investor markets has increased 200% over the past six over 80% of all I-526 approvals and
in the South/Central region are In- years. will be highlighted below.
GROWTH SCORE: I-526 Approvals % of I-526 Approvals (except Mainland China investors)
(Since FY2008) 500
400
PROGRAM AVERAGE 350
13.6%
300 8.8% 6.5% 6.4% 7.6% 6.8% 8.3%
4.1% 2.9% 5.0% 5.6% 2.9%
I-526 APPROVALS: 250
2.5%
5.7% 4.7%
0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 4.1% 5.6% 6.6% 11.2% 11.3%
150
SOUTH/CENTRAL ASIA
80 74
FISCAL YEAR 50
29
45
25 28
41
0
FY1992 FY1994 FY1996 FY1998 FY2000 FY2002 FY2004 FY2006 FY2008 FY2010 FY2012 FY2014
GDP GROWTH
I n FY 2014, India ranked as the world’s 4th largest EB-5 investor 10
2015:
7.3%
market in terms of its I-526 approval volume and there is opti- 0
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
mism that the India will continue this upward trajectory over the
Since FY2011:
52.3%
coming years. Since 2008, India has seen an average of nearly 34
FY1992 ‐2007: 26.6% Since FY2008: 73.4%
I-526 approvals per year, with FY2014 reaching 57 approvals, the
most approvals in a single year on record. There has been a 73.77% Excluding China, India makes up 7.41% of the world’s total market share of
increase in I-526 approvals since 2008, with a 24.67% increase in
GROWTH I-526 approvals since 2011, generating $84 million in U.S. Foreign Direct Invest-
EB-5 visa usage between 2012 and 2014.
SCORE: ment (FDI). India’s vibrant and increasingly stable economy, combined with the
UHNWI POPULATION: (Since FY2008) central government’s investment promotion has it primed for growth in the im-
5,020 With India’s central bank significantly reducing capital controls over
migrant investor sphere for years to come.
73.4%
13
the past few years , there is tangible interest among upwardly mo-
bile Indians to seek investment opportunities abroad. In 2015 the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) increased the limit under its Liberalized
Remittance Scheme (LRS) to $250,000 per person per year that may
LOWER THAN THE
IMMIGRANTS TO THE U.S. 14
further drive interest in foreign investment .
(FY 2013):
PROGRAM AVERAGE
68,458 HIGHER THAN THE
REGIONAL AVERAGE
57
+217% LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
EB-5 FDI EB-5 FDI • New Dehli •Bangalore • New Dehli (IVC) • Mumbai (IVC)
GROWTH
$118.5 Million (2008-2014) • Mumbai • Chennal • Chennal (IVC) • Bengaluru
USD
• Kolkata • Hyderbad (IVC) I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
(2008-2014)
(FY 2014)
• Kolkata (IVC)
E
3
UHNWI xcluding Russia, Kazakhstan is the largest of the former Soviet re-
2
POPULATION: publics and has made considerable strides in developing a market
1
207
economy since it gained independence in 199115. Over the past two de- 0
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
cades Kazakhstan has been successful in attracting foreign direct invest- SinceFY 2011:
65.2%
ment however, the Kazakh economy is heavily dependent on the extraction FY1992 ‐2007: 13.0% SinceFY 2008: 87.0%
of fossil fuels and other minerals and metals. While Kazakhstan has made
market diversification takes place. With EB-5 investment from neighboring Rus-
progress in diversifying its economy government bureaucracy and corrup-
tion pose challenges to attracting FDI16. GROWTH sia on the rise, look for the numbers of investor from Kazakhstan to continue to
GDP GROWTH 2015:
SCORE: climb the charts regionally and potentially even globally.
1.5% While Kazakhstan remains a small market for EB-5 investment with an av- (Since FY2008)
87.0%
erage of just five I-526 approvals per year, the market has shown signifi-
cant signs of growth potential with 90% of all I-526 approvals occurring
since FY2008, accounting for around 10% of all EB-5 investors from the
IMMIGRANTS TO THE U.S.
South/Central Region from FY2011-FY2014.
(FY 2013):
HIGHER THAN THE
Kazakhstan leads central Asian countries in the number of high net worth PROGRAM AVERAGE
individuals17 and that number could rise if FDI continue to increase and
HIGHER THAN THE
REGIONAL AVERAGE
EB-5 FDI
$10 Million
3
USD
(2008-2014)
LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
+200% • Almaty • Astana • Astana
I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
EB-5 FDI
GROWTH (FY 2014)
(2008-2014)
MIDDLE EAST
250 6.8% 5.2% 6.9% 7.1%
I-526 APPROVALS:
5.2% 2.9% 5.6% 2.3%
0.0%
200
E
6
gypt’s investor market is the second largest in the Middle East re-
4
gion and has shown signs of emerging as one of the larger EB-5 2
UHNWI POPULATION: market in the world. With over 84% of all I-526 approvals occurring be- 0
483
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
tween FY2008 and FY2014 Egypt has an impressive growth score that is Since FY2011:
73.6%
greater than the regional and worldwide average. Yet, it just shows that FY1992 ‐2007: 15.1% Since FY2008: 84.9%
EB-5 investment from the Middle East still remains low when compared
However, with only six I-526 approvals in FY2014, it remains to be seen wheth-
to the rest of the world.
GROWTH er Egypt’s High Net Worth Individual population will continue to turn to the
GDP GROWTH 2015: Historically Egypt has had a centralized economy that has just begun to SCORE: EB-5 Program. While Egypt is likely to remain a small EB-5 investor market for
4.2% open up over the past decade. From 2004 to 2008 Egypt pursued busi-
(Since FY2008) the foreseeable future, there is no denying that wealth preservation in tandem
with the internal political and social malaise is driving capital flight out of the
84.9%
ness climate reforms in an attempt to facilitate growth and attract For-
country and region.
eign Direct Investment18. However, poor living conditions and limited
economic opportunities continued to persist leading to the 2011 revolu-
tion that destabilized the country leading to political, economic and se-
IMMIGRANTS TO THE U.S. HIGHER THAN THE
(FY 2013): curity concerns that have wealthy Egyptians eager to leave the country.
10,294 PROGRAM AVERAGE
+1700%
18
EB-5 FDI
GROWTH
(2007-2014) EB-5 FDI LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
$22.5 Million • Cairo • Alexandria • Cairo • Alexandria (AAP) I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
USD (FY 2014)
(2008-2014)
IMMIGRANTS TO
THE U.S.
I
10
ran is the largest EB-5 investor market in the Middle East, with de-
(FY 2013): mand significantly increasing between FY2008 to FY2012. From
12,863
0
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
FY2011-FY2014 more than 143 Iranian investors have received I-526 Since FY2011:
55.0%
approvals. FY1992 ‐2007: 15.4% Since FY2008: 84.6%
EB-5 FDI
$110 Million
(2008-2014)
+716.7%
EB-5 FDI
GROWTH
(2008-2014)
LARGEST URBAN AREAS:
• Tehran • Karaj
CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
• Tehran (Virtual Embassy)
49
I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
USD
• Mashad • Shiraz (FY 2014)
• Esfahan
42 • MIDDLE EAST IIUSA.ORG IIUSA.ORG 43 • MIDDLE EAST
SECTION 4.5
The Latin America region is the only Growth Greater Than: Total Total Total
region analyzed that has two inves- I-526 I-526 Growth I-526 Growth
Program Region Investor Approvals Approvals Score Approvals Score
tor markets that not only have expe- Average Average Market (Since 1992) (Since 2008) (Since 2008) (Since 2011) (Since 2011)
450
LOWER THAN THE 400
200
1.9% 2.6% 2.9%
6.5%
2.9% 2.3% 0.0% 2.0% 4.2%
(Since FY2011)
150
LATIN AMERICA
• Argentina • Colombia • Panama
• Bolivia • Costa Rica • Peru
• Brazil • Ecuador • Venezuela
• Chile • Guyana
D
6 0.0% 0.0%
UHNWI espite having the largest economy and population in Latin America, 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
POPULATION:
4
Brazil’s participation in the EB-5 program has been relatively low
3,908
2
when compared to other growth markets in Asia. Yet, when compared to
0
other Latin American markets over the past seven years, the Brazil’s inves- FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
Since FY2011:
tor market has experienced an uptick as its Latin American market share 62.0%
FY1992 ‐2007: 17.7% SinceFY 2008: 82.3%
reached almost 29% in FY2014. Moreover, 82.3% of all I-526 approvals in
the Brazilian market have taken place since FY2008, with a historic high of nating due to a growing trade deficit, high inflation rates and negative GDP
17 I-526 petitions processed in FY2014. GROWTH growth over the past two years22, Brazilian investors may indeed be looking for
to EB-5 likely due to the fact of limited on the ground knowledge of EB-5.
However Brazilian nationals are not eligible to apply for the E-2 Treaty In-
20
vestor Visa a factor that may drive interest in EB-5 in the Brazilian market .
82.3%
HIGHER THAN THE
IMMIGRANTS TO THE U.S. Brazil is currently home to over 198,000 millionaires with an estimated
(FY 2013): PROGRAM AVERAGE
11,033 3,908 ultra-high net worth individuals21. With economic conditions stag-
HIGHER THAN THE
REGIONAL AVERAGE
17
+1600%
EB-5 FDI EB-5 FDI LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
GROWTH
$32.5 Million (2008-2014)
• San Paulo • Brasillia • Rio de Janeiro (IVC) • Recife
USD • Rio de Janeiro • Fortaleza • Brasillia • Sao Paulo I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
(2008-2014)
• Belo Horizonte (FY 2014)
V
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
15
GDP GROWTH enezuela has emerged as one of the largest EB-5 investor market in
2015:
10
Latin America, consistently generating the most I-526 approvals year
-10%
5
over-year. Between 1992 and 2008, Venezuela had a grand total of 11 I-526
0
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
approvals. However, between 2008 and 2014, Venezuela accounted for a
Since FY2011:
booming 139 I-526 petitions, which is over 6% of the world market share (ex- 80.3%
FY1992 ‐2007: 6.4% Since FY2008: 93.6%
cluding Mainland China).
The immediate outlook does not look promising, with the International Monetary
What is the cause for this steep increase in outward investment? One might
GROWTH Fund (IMF) projecting a 720% inflation rate on the horizon for 201624.
UHNWI POPULATION:
blame political, economic and social unrest in Venezuela. With worldwide oil
SCORE: With a destabilized economy, tightening social and economic freedoms, a tense polit-
prices slumping and Venezuelan production faltering, socio-economic con-
101
(Since FY2008)
ical environment, and rampant corruption, it is even more likely that the Venezuelan
cerns in Venezuela have been cause for serious concern among the country’s
93.6%
elite will look to emigrate. With over one million Venezuelans estimated to have emi-
elite and have prompted some of the country’s 8,000 millionaires to High Net
grated during the Chavez regime and almost 200,000 Venezuelans living in the US,
Worth Individuals (HNWI) to consider EB-5 as a viable option for emigra-
there are strong established ties in both the United States and Europe bolstering the
tion23.
hopes of EB-5 project sponsors looking to Latin America for increased investment25.
HIGHER THAN THE
IMMIGRANTS TO THE U.S. Venezuela is dealing with a dramatic increase in crime, extreme shortages of
(FY 2013): PROGRAM AVERAGE
food and other consumer goods, and rampant inflation. Venezuela struggled
9,572
with a 275% inflation rate and the world’s largest GDP contraction in 2015. HIGHER THAN THE
REGIONAL AVERAGE
EB-5 FDI
$81 Million
USD
+1000%
EB-5 FDI
GROWTH
(2008-2014)
LARGEST URBAN AREAS:
• Caracas • Maracay
CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
• Caracas (IVC)
44
I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
(2008-2014) • Maracaibo • Barquisimeto (FY 2014)
• Valencia
EUROPE
Investor Market Trends - Europe
GROWTH SCORE: I-526 Approvals % of I-526 Approvals (except Mainland China investors)
(Since FY2008) 500
• Armenia • Russia • Cyprus • Malta
• Belgium • Spain • Czech Republic • Mecedonia LOWER THAN THE 450
400
200
(Since FY2011)
• Ireland • United Kingdom • Hungary • Serbia 150 163
0 18 20 25
FY1992 FY1994 FY1996 FY1998 FY2000 FY2002 FY2004 FY2006 FY2008 FY2010 FY2012 FY2014
• Poland • Bulgaria • Lithuania
• Portugal • Croatia • Luxembourg
UNWI
POPULATION: R ussia currently ranks as the second largest EB-5 investor market in
5,343
5
for only 2.5% of the European Market share in FY2008 but that number
Since FY2011:
62.9%
Many factors have contributed to the recent growth of EB-5 market de- FY1992 ‐2007: 19.5% Since FY2008: 80.5%
mand, not the least of which are worsening political and economic condi-
tions in the country with Russian GDP growth at -3.9%26 and the increase
of market understanding both on the part of potential investors and EB-5 GROWTH
GDP GROWTH 2015:
developers. SCORE:
-3.9% (Since FY2008)
80.5%
Russia is an appealing source of EB-5 investors and a market that has yet
cations, personal safety and Russian wealth have clouded the markets per-
+1350%
EB-5 FDI
64 Million
USD
(2008-2014)
EB-5 FDI
GROWTH
(2008-2014) LARGEST URBAN AREAS:
• Moscow • Novosibirsk
CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
• Moscow (IVS) • Vladivostok
29
I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
• Nizhny • Yekaterinburg • St. Petersburg • Yekaterinburg (FY 2014)
• Saint Petersburg
52 • EUROPE IIUSA.ORG IIUSA.ORG 53 • EUROPE
UNITED KINGDOM GROWTH PATTERN OF THE DEMANDS FOR EB-5 PROGRAM BY
NUMBER I-526 APPROVALS: UNITED KINGDOM
I-526 Approvals Market Share (Regional) 57.7%
1990-2007 2008-2010 2011-2014 100
47.8%
FDI Total FDI Total FDI Total 90 55.6% 54.0%
I-526 Connected Market I-526 Connected Market I-526 Connected Market 40.0%
Approvals Through Approvals Through Approvals Through 36.4% 35.0%
Share* Share * Share * 33.3%
EB-5 EB-5 EB-5 80 40.0%
25.0% 25.0% 34.5% 23.0%
$191.5 $163 $192 30.0%
Europe* 383 13.50% 326 23.74% 384 16.54% 70 16.7% 27.4%
Million Million Million 25.0% 25.0%
20.8%
60 16.7% 16.7% 18.2%
United $61 $81 $53.5
122 4.30% 162 11.80% 107 4.61%
Kingdom* Million Million Million
50
*Excluding China 0.0%
40
S
30
ince the EB-5 Program’s inception, the United Kingdom (UK)
20
has generated the majority of investors from the Europe ranging 10
from between 15% to 57% of the regional total over the time period.
UHNWI POPULATION: 0
9,968
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2 012 FY2013 FY2014
Since FY2011:
27.4%
From FY2003 to FY2009, the UK has experienced consistent mar-
FY1992 ‐2007: 31.2% Since FY2008: 68.8%
ket growth reaching its historical high in 2009. However, since then,
demand from the UK has dropped precipitously, only rebounding in erty in the U.S. makes the EB-5 Visa all the more attractive for individuals
68.8%
Strong business and cultural ties between the two nations has been will be contributing factors to loss of the U.K.’s market share.
25
USD
(2008-2014)
LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
-44.4% • London • Glasgow
• Manchester • Southhampton/
• London (IVC) • Cardiff (Virtual
• Belfast Presence Post)
EB-5 FDI I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
GROWTH • Birmingham Portsmouth • Edinburgh (FY 2014)
(2008-2014)
Program
Average
Region
Average
Investor
Market
Total
I-526
Approvals
(Since 1992)
Total
I-526
Approvals
(Since 2008)
Growth
Score
(Since 2008)
Total
I-526
Approvals
(Since 2011)
Growth
Score
(Since2011)
the worldwide average. The region’s Canada 163 105 64.4% 55 33.7%
growth is supported by strong well * * Dominican 4 4 100.0% 3 75.0%
Republic
established markets in Canada and * * El Salvador 2 2 100.0% 1 50.0%
Mexico as well as the emergence of Guatemala 7 4 57.1% 4 57.1%
new market s in the Dominican Re- * * Honduras 4 4 100.0% 3 75.0%
public, El Salvador, Honduras and * * Jamaica 3 3 100.0% 1 33.3%
Jamaica all of which produced their * * Mexico 208 178 85.6% 140 67.3%
first I-526 approvals after FY2008. In * * Trinidad & 6 5 83.3% 2 33.3%
Tobago
2014 the region achieved 8% of the
Total 397 305 76.8% 209 52.6%
worldwide market share, when ex-
cluding Mainland China. 2011, its top market status has been 90% of all I-526 approvals for EB-5
taken by Mexico. investors from North America since
Prior to 2011 Canada was the most
the Program begin in 1992 and it is
important and dominant investor Mexico has not only had the most
not likely that either market share or
market in the region generating 108 I-526 approvals since FY2008 but its
importance to the industry will di-
I-526 approvals from 1992 to 2010. market growth has been greater than
minish in coming years.
While the Canadian market remains Program growth as a whole. Canada
strong, with 105 approvals since and Mexico have accounted for over
450
LOWER THAN THE 400
60.0%
I-526 APPROVALS:
11.4% 9.5%
250 7.0% 6.7% 6.5%
3.1% 5.2% 2.1% 3.2% 0.0% 1.2%
200
(Since FY2011)
150
FY1992 FY1994 FY1996 FY1998 FY2000 FY2002 FY2004 FY2006 FY2008 FY2010 FY2012 FY2014
NORTH AMERICA
• Canada • Guatemala • Mexico
• Dominican Republic • Honduras • Trinidad & Tobago
• El Salvador • Jamaica
P
5
rior to FY2009, ’s EB-5 investor market was the largest in North
0
UHNWI POPULATION: America, accounting for over 60% of all North American EB-5 in- FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
3,570 vestors every year (except FY1992, FY1996 and FY2001). While in re- Since FY2011:
33.7%
FY1992 ‐2007: 35.6% Since FY2008: 64.4%
cent years it has ceded its to top spot to Mexico, Canada still remains a
64.4%
and education interests all contribute to the vast number of Canadians
16
USD
(2008-2014)
LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
+60% • Toronto
• Montreal
• Calgary
• Ottawa
• Ottawa
• Calgary
• Toronto (IVC)
• Vancouver (IVC)
EB-5 FDI I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
GROWTH • Vancouver • Halifax • Winnipeg (FY 2014)
(2008-2014) • Quebec
20
IMMIGRANTS TO
THE U.S.
(FY 2013): H istorically, Mexico has been an important driver of EB-5 investor
demand and over the past seven years the market has grown sig-
10
135,028
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
nificantly, surpassing Canada in 2013 as the largest investor market in
SinceFY 2011:
67.3%
North America. Mexico saw over 85% of all I-526 approvals occur from
FY1992 ‐2007: 14.4% SinceFY 2008: 85.6%
FY2008-FY2014 with an impressive 67% of approvals taking place since
FY2011.
GROWTH
SCORE:
The Mexican economy is highly linked to the United States via the North
American Free Trade Alliance (NAFTA) with Mexico representing the (Since FY2008)
UHNWI POPULATION: 31
United States third largest trading partner . With over 2,500 ultra-high
2,524
85.6%
net worth individuals Mexico not only represents a strong economic
partner but also an important immigrant investor market32. With the U.S
continue to be a destination for wealthy Mexicans considering immigra- HIGHER THAN THE
GDP GROWTH 2015:
tion by investment in the years to come. PROGRAM AVERAGE
2.3% HIGHER THAN THE
REGIONAL AVERAGE
35
LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
+600% • Mexico City • Puebla • Mexico City • Ciudad Juarez (IVC)
• Guadalajara • Nogales
EB-5 FDI EB-5 FDI • Guadalajara • Toluca de Lerdo
GROWTH • Monterrey • Hermosillo • Nuevo Laredo
$89 Million (2008-2014)
I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
(2011-2014)
USD • Matamoros • Puerto Vallerta
(2008-2014) (FY 2014)
• Merida • Tijuana
• Monterrey
60 • NORTH AMERICA IIUSA.ORG IIUSA.ORG 61 • NORTH AMERICA
SECTION 4.8
T he African region is the smallest
of the worldwide EB-5 investor
markets and also the newest with
Growth Greater Than:
Program
Average
Region
Average
Investor
Market
Total
I-526
Approvals
(Since 1992)
Total
I-526
Approvals
(Since 2008)
Growth
Score
(Since 2008)
Total
I-526
Approvals
(Since 2011)
Growth
Score
(Since 2011)
55% of all I-526 approvals for the re- Tanzania 6 3 50.0% 1 16.7%
Uganda 8 1 12.5% 0 0.0%
gion since the Program’s inception.
Zambia 4 2 50.0% 0 0.0%
Both the Nigerian and South African * * Zimbabwe 14 11 78.6% 5 35.7%
markets experienced rapid growth af- Other 10
Countries 16 9 56.3% 6 37.5%
ter FY2008 accounting for over 74%
of all I-526 approvals since FY2008. Total 199 140 70.4% 99 49.7%
While South African demand has di-
minished in recent years it remains *Other 10 countries include: Armenia, Angola, Burundi, Cameroon, Congo (Republic of Congo &
Democratic Republic of the Congo), Cote D’ivoire, Ghana, Liberia, Niger, and Rwanda
the largest investor market in the re-
gion and has experienced consistent
that has not only grew faster than the time being Nigeria will remain the
growth that has exceeded the region’s
the worldwide Program average and second largest market in the region
average growth.
simultaneously generated over 10 in- but it is a market that is primed for
Nigeria is the only African market vestors per fiscal year since 2011. For further growth.
200
(Since FY2011)
150
0
FY1992 FY1994 FY1996
5
FY1998
2 2
FY2000
0 0
FY2002
0 0
FY2004 FY2006
6 4
FY2008
24
FY2010
28
FY2012
18
38
FY2014
2
home to the African regions second most ultra-high net worth in-
0
dividuals (behind only South Africa). FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
UHNWI POPULATION: -
209
Since FY2011:
77.6%
While Nigeria has generated just 49 I-526 approvals, it is the sec- FY1992 ‐2007: 14.3% Since FY2008: 85.7%
years. But for the time being, expect Nigeria’s total market share
16
USD
(2008-2014)
LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
+1500% • Lagos
• Kano
• Abuja
• Port Harcourt
• Abuja
• Lagos (IVC)
EB-5 FDI I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
GROWTH • Ibaden (FY 2014)
(2008-2014)
UHNWI
A
34
frica’s wealthiest country with a GDP of $724 billion in 2015 4
POPULATION: South Africa, has accounted for more than half of all I-526 ap- 2
639
provals since FY2009. Prior to FY2008 there were only 22 I-526 ap- 0
FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995 FY1996 FY1997 FY1998 FY1999 FY2000 FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014
provals issued for South African EB-5 investors but that number in- Since FY2011:
51.2%
creased to 64 between FY2008 and FY2014, representing over a 200% FY1992 ‐2007: 25.3% Since FY2008: 74.4%
increase.
With South Africa continuing to struggle with government inefficiencies
vasive issues such as corruption and intensive labor market regula- SCORE: gram continue to rise.
GDP GROWTH 2015: tion, leading to high rates of unemployment 35. Despite recent set- (Since FY2008)
1.4%
74.4%
backs, South Africa has the largest number of Ultra High Net Worth
the successful South African financial sectors which are a large part of
the South African economy. South Africa has long been one of the most LOWER THAN THE
IMMIGRANTS TO THE U.S. PROGRAM AVERAGE
(FY 2013): stable economies in Africa but high inflation and increasing government
2,629 debt among other factors have stalled South Africa’s GDP growth36.
HIGHER THAN THE
REGIONAL AVERAGE
17
+750%
EB-5 FDI EB-5 FDI LARGEST URBAN AREAS: CONSULATE LOCATIONS:
GROWTH
$32 Million (2008-2014)
• Johannesburg • Pretoria • Pretoria
USD • Cape Town • Port Elizabeth • Johannesburg (IVC) I-526 PETITIONS APPROVED
(2008-2014)
• Durban (FY 2014)
China
- 2014: $2,076,500,000
- Market Share: 86.37%
- Ranking: 1