Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1 Source Evaluations
Reference:
Bugliosi, V. (2007). Oswald at the Sniper's Nest and "Evidence" of His Innocence.
In Reclaiming History. (pp. 1437-1439). New York: W. W. Norton and Company.
Main ideas presented: Bugliosi questions the theory that Oswald was set up in a
conspiracy. The two variations of this theory, that Oswald was set up unwittingly or
that Oswald was in on the plan to set him up as the fall guy both come in for
ridicule from Bugliosi in this section. Bugliosi dismisses the latter theory by asking
who would agree to being set up as John F. Kennedy’s killer, and pointing out that
Oswald’s actions in the aftermath of the shooting (his attempts to escape and to
resist arrest) are not in line with what would be expected if he was in on a plan to
frame himself. He then casts serious doubt on the former theory by pointing out
how unlikely it was that groups involved in a conspiracy to kill JFK would rely
entirely upon Oswald - whose previous behaviour had shown him to be anything
but reliable and obedient in following orders.
The intended audience of ‘Reclaiming History’ would be those among the general
public interested in the assassination of JFK, although the work is very rigorously
researched and would be of use to the academic. This results in the source having
to meet a reasonable standard of reliability, although this does not mean the
reliability of the source is beyond question by any means as an author of a book
only has to answer to the editor and publisher - two parties that do necessarily
always value reliability over commercial interests. Bugliosi seeks to prove beyond
reasonable doubt the conclusions of the Warren commission, and does not give
much credence to the extreme conspiracy theorists as his main audience is those
who are convinced by the Warren commission and those who are undecided.
...From the foregoing modeling calculations and observations of the Zapruder Film
it was thus quantitatively shown that the President’s reactions just after the
projectile impact were physically consistent with a gunshot wound caused by a
high-energy Carcano military bullet fired from the vicinity of the [Texas School
Book Depository]
Main ideas presented: Nalli presents empirical evidence for the non-existence of
any projectile impacts from the front of JFK, and shows how the movement of
JFK’s head and body immediately after being hit by the third fatal shot is in line
with what would be predicted by a model. An important aspect of this is his
explanation for the apparent backward movement of JFK’s head after the fatal
shot, which Nalli concludes to be a result of recoil from the jet of material ejected
from JFK’s head due to the damage it sustained from the shot, as well as a
delayed neuromuscular reaction leading to a contraction of the muscles in JFK’s
back, causing him to move backwards. Therefore, Nalli rules out any chance of the
fatal shot coming from in front of JFK’s limousine; it must have been from behind
the car.
Deeper meaning inferred: Nalli makes it clear that his model’s results only show
that an impact from behind fully explains the motion of JFK’s head, and therefore
does not rule out missed shots from the front and does not ‘pinpoint the exact
origin of the shot that hit’. However, Nalli does say that “virtually all conspiracy
conjectures” are based on the Grassy Knoll shooter theory, implying that this
research debunks most JFK conspiracy theories. With regard to the possibility of a
Grassy Knoll shooter who simply missed, Nalli implies that this scenario is highly
implausible given that “no physical evidence was ever recovered for such shots” to
substantiate the presence of such a shooter.
The intended audience for this article would be academics familiar with or
interested in the field of gunshot-wound dynamics. Due to the demands of this
audience around depth of evidence, rigour of methodology, and disinterest in
approach, the evidence used and conclusions drawn in this would have to be of a
very high standard.
Nalli’s motive for writing this article is to communicate how his model can
determine that the shot that killed JFK originated from behind the limousine, not in
front as some conspiracy theorists claim. This article is written from an objective
viewpoint, and Nalli outlines the rigorous methodology behind his model before
making a conclusion justified by the evidence (that the fatal shot cannot have
originated from the front of the limousine).
One limitation of this evidence is that in isolation it does not provide conclusive
evidence as to where behind JFK the fatal bullet came from (i.e does not
necessarily rule out Jim Garrison’s Dal-Tex building theory). Additionally, this
article only addresses the fatal shot, and makes no attempt to ascertain the origin
of the first or second shots (mainly because an infamous billboard obstructs the
Zapruder film view of when the second shot hits). Some caution is justified when
viewing this source as it is based off of a complex model that I do not profess to be
able to understand in depth, and some variables are sure to have been reasonable
guesses made by Nalli as opposed to empirically accurate figures.
Main ideas presented: In this recently declassified FBI file J. Edgar. Hoover
(director of the FBI at the time) presents intelligence around the reaction of senior
Soviet officials to the assassination of JFK in a memo to an advisor to Lyndon B.
Johnson. A source that presumably had access to the inner circle of the Soviet
government described the reaction of many officials in terms of bewilderment,
surprise, and disappointment. The permanent representative of the Soviet Union to
the United Nations, Nikolai Fedorenko, was said to have expressed regret and
shock on behalf of the Soviet Union with regards to JFK’s death in a meeting with
diplomatic officials. He went on to say that this reaction was due to the fact that
JFK had developed a mutual understanding between the USA and the USSR ‘to a
certain degree’. Another source said that Soviet officials claimed that Oswald had
no connection to the USSR at all, and that he was ‘a neurotic maniac’ and ‘disloyal
to his own country and everything else’. Evidence from Soviet defector Yuri
Nosenko put forward later on in the memorandum seems to back this intelligence
up. Nosenko claimed that Oswald was refused USSR citizenship on the grounds
that he was mentally unstable, leading to Oswald attempting suicide on his USSR
trip. Nosenko also claimed that the KGB blocked Oswald’s request to return to the
Soviet Union (a request he filed in at the embassy in Mexico a couple of weeks
before the assassination) and that the KGB considered Oswald a routine
unnoteworthy case until the assassination.
Deeper meaning inferred: It is clear from this document that many Soviet officials
were shocked by the assassination. The Soviets appear to have little to no
motivation to assassinate or sponsor an assassination of JFK given that Soviet
officials were relatively positive about JFK’s relationship with the Soviet Union.
There doesn’t seem to be any upside for the Soviet Union from assassinating JFK
if the claims of the sources put forth in this document are to be believed.
Additionally, the prospect of the Russians hiring Oswald to do anything, let alone
assassinate the President of the United States seems very outlandish. The
Russians had seen first hand how mentally unstable Oswald was on his trip to the
USSR, and as a result had attempted to cut all ties by denying him citizenship.
Given that Oswald was considered ‘disloyal to his country and everything else’ by
some officials, it is very hard to believe that he would be hired as a hitman by the
Soviets. The connection between Oswald attempting suicide in reaction to his
citizenship rejection and him being denied passage to the USSR a couple of weeks
before the assassination cannot be understated. It is not completely out of the
realm of possibility to posit that part of Oswald’s motivation was his rejection at the
Mexico embassy, given that the previous rejection in the Soviet Union had
prompted a suicide attempt.
Hoover’s motive in writing this memo was to furnish Watson and by extension
Johnson with the highest quality of evidence possible so they could make informed
decisions about foreign policy. Therefore, the evidence would likely be highly
reliable as important decisions around the relationship between the US and the
USSR would be based on it in part.
This memo is mostly objective, with Hoover presenting the observations of the
sources essentially verbatim. However, the views of the sources themselves are
somewhat subjective as they are based on their readings of certain Soviet officials
reactions, and are not necessarily representative of the reaction of all officials. This
being said, the subjectivity of the source reports does not significantly harm the
reliability of the evidence as they capture the general gist of the Soviet reaction,
and their reports are reinforced by Nosenko’s information.
Most of the evidence contained within this document was not in the public domain
until very recently, so very little can be cross-referenced outside of well known
material facts such as Oswald’s attempt to gain citizenship in the Soviet Union, and
his visit to the Mexico embassy in the weeks before the assassination.
The limitations of this source are that the information presented is only the extent
of what US intelligence officials knew of the Soviet reaction to the JFK
assassination. Additionally, this source only addresses the theory that the
Russians were behind the assassination, and does not address the theories that
US agencies or the mob were behind it. A little caution is required when
considering this source given the controversy surrounding Nosenko’s defection
and the information he provided, but as that controversy was eventually solved it
should not significantly affect one’s analysis of the evidence and its reliability
thereof.
Reference: Posner, G. (1993). "He looks like a maniac". In Case Closed (p. 232).
Doubleday Books.
Main ideas presented: Posner uses evidence gathered from the testimony of
various police officers who examined the crime scene for the Warren Commission.
In addition, he uses evidence that came out after the report to help build his case
for the Oswald single shooter theory. He quotes Luke Mooney, who testifies that
he saw three expended shells and ‘boxes stacked up’ in a manner that looked like
a rest for a weapon. The three shells found at the sniper’s nest were found to have
been fired from Oswald’s rifle ‘to the exclusion of any other gun’. This relatively
damning evidence of spent shells from Oswald’s rifle being found in a sniper’s nest
is further strengthened when Posner highlights Lt. Day’s testimony. Posner said
that after dusting the boxes in the nest for print he found a very clear one on a box
where the shooter could have sat as he/she waited for JFK’s limousine to come
past, and that the print was most certainly not in a place where you would expect a
print from moving a box to be. According to Day, this print, likely made extremely
clear due to sweat from the palm of the assassin, matched Oswald’s left palm.
Later on in the chapter, Posner mentions that a former Dallas crime scene
Detective R Livingston produced fingerprint evidence in a book in 1993 from the
trigger guard of the rifle found at the scene. This evidence was analysed in detail
by Vincent Scalice, the fingerprint expert for the House Committee on
Assassinations, and was found to match Oswald’s fingerprints. This makes the
case for Oswald firing the shots all the more conclusive.
Deeper meaning inferred: While the testimony from Day is presented by Posner
in this section, Posner does not draw any conclusions from it. The three expended
shells that were found to have come from the gun fired in the sniper’s nest suggest
that the shots were fired from the sniper’s nest using the weapon found there. The
clear right palm print of Oswald’s on a box in the sniper’s nest in a position that
would seem to rule out a print placed due to the moving of a box is very suggestive
and is suspicious enough to place Oswald in the sniper’s nest. The fingerprints
found by Scalice on the trigger guard of the rifle seem to seal the deal. Of course
there is the possibility that Oswald happened to have placed the print on the box in
the sniper’s nest when he was moving the box round earlier in the day, and that
the fingerprints on the trigger guard had some innocent explanation (or that it was
part of some conspiracy on the part of the Dallas police crime scene investigation
team) but on the balance of probabilities it looks overwhelmingly likely that this
circumstantial evidence proves that Oswald did fire the three shots from the
sniper’s nest.
The intended audience of ‘Case Closed’ would be the general public interested in
the assassination of JFK as well as the more serious academic and historian.
Owing to the fact that this book would be scrutinised in great depth by conspiracy
theorists and qualified historians alike, Posner would have had to ensure that the
evidence he uses and the conclusions he draws are reliable. Therefore, the source
can be considered reasonably reliable.
The evidence presented in this source can be cross-referenced with other sources
to check its reliability. The fact that three empty shells from the Marcano rifle that
fired the bullets that hit JFK were found in the Sniper’s nest on the sixth floor of the
Texas School Book Depository building makes sense when combined with the
evidence from Nicolas Nalli’s gunshot-wound dynamics model that found that the
fatal shot must have originated from behind JFK’s limousine (Nalli, 2018). The
Texas School Book Depository was situated behind JFK’s limousine, so the
physical evidence of JFK’s head movements as analysed by Nalli agrees with the
testimony of Lt. Day around the evidence of the spent gun shells. In the chapter
analysed above from Bugliosi’s ‘Reclaiming History’, Charles Givens (an employee
at the depository) testifies to the Warren commission that he saw Oswald with a
clipboard in his hand on the sixth floor at 5 to noon. This clipboard was later found
hidden nearby the rifle, placing Oswald under enormous suspicion (Bugliosi, 2007).
This evidence is also in line with the testimony of Day, who found Oswald’s right
palm print on the carton in the sniper’s nest, and Scalice’s evidence of Oswald’s
fingerprints on the Marcano rifle. Because the evidence presented in this source is
able to be cross-referenced by other sources it can be considered more reliable.
The limitations of using this evidence as a single source is it does not look into the
possibility that Oswald was ‘put up’ to the killing by some shady party or parties (for
example the CIA, the Mob, Elvis, aliens, and whoever else conspiracy theorists
decide to magic up). This type of conspiracy theory is relatively popular so a
different source is required to debunk such theories. Caution is justified when
viewing this source as it is shaped by the inherent biases of Posner, and these
biases could lead to contrary evidence being dismissed or omitted.
Reference: Blaser, R. (2017). We've known the truth about JFK assassination all
along. Retrieved from https://www.chicagotribune.com/suburbs/ct-ahp-colu mn-
blaser-tl-1102-20171026-story.html
Main ideas presented: In this opinion piece for the Chicago tribune, Randy Blaser
posits the theory that Oswald really did act alone in assassinating JFK, and the
real cover up was around embarrassing details relating to JFK himself. He claims
that the facts of the assassination, that is that Oswald fired three bullets and hit
JFK twice, were always known. The reason that there appeared to be a cover up is
that there was, but not in the way most people think. Blaser claims that JFK had a
lot to hide, and for that reason a lot of information was withheld/altered. He puts
the controversy regarding his autopsy down to the government trying to prevent
information about Kennedy’s atrocious health condition reaching the public. He
also mentioned the mob connections Kennedy had - he was having an affair with a
mob mistress, and his brother and the Attorney General were in cahoots with the
mob in plots to assassinate Castro.
Deeper meaning inferred: Blaser appears to have come to this conclusion after
years of believing that JFK was assassinated as part of a conspiracy. It seems as if
the lack of solid evidence to really back any theory even after fifty years has in part
pushed him to this conclusion. Despite the fact that many of the events
surrounding the assassination were somewhat suspicious, after all these years
there have been no dramatic revelations concerning a grand conspiracy on the
part of the CIA or the mob. As a result Blaser, like many, are starting to apply the
concept of Occam’s razor (see first evaluation). Oswald acting alone is simply the
most plausible explanation, and requires the least number of assumptions as
compared to other theories. Blaser also hints that the idolisation of JFK that
occurred in the aftermath of his assassination could have led to details that were
inconvenient to the prevailing narrative regarding JFK’s life (his health, his mob
connections, some of his realpolitik-influenced decisions, his questionable fidelity)
being brushed under the carpet. The cover ups that resulted from this airbrushing
of JFK’s life were then reinterpreted by eager conspiracy theorists as evidence of
an assassination conspiracy.
The intended audience of this piece is the readers of the Chicago Tribune. Recent
polling suggests that while the majority of Americans still believe that JFK was
assassinated as part of a conspiracy, the percentage of people that believe that
Oswald acted alone is at an all time high. This audience of people who once
believed that there definitely was a conspiracy but are now not so sure are the
main target audience for this article. As a result, the reliability of the article has to
be of a reasonable standard as the target audience would reject it otherwise.
Blaser’s motive in writing this article is to convince those who are wavering over
whether or not there was a conspiracy that Oswald did in fact act alone, but that
there was a conspiracy to cover up embarrassing details about JFK in the
aftermath of the shooting. This motive does not necessarily increase the reliability
of the piece, as Blaser’s desire to convince and persuade people may lead to him
brushing over evidence and using emotive, rhetorical arguments as opposed to
evidential arguments.
This article is highly subjective. Blaser comes to the conclusion that Oswald acted
alone on the basis of his inability to be swayed by the evidence for a conspiracy
that he claims to have studied in depth. This is in part due to the context of the
article: as a column, it is not expected to go deep into the facts, but rather it should
provide the reader with the opinion of Blaser. For this reason the reliability of the
piece should come under question.
Some of the information in this source can be cross-referenced with evidence from
other sources. Two of the conspiracy theories regarding Oswald’s motivation that
Blaser dismisses (Oswald was a patsy, Oswald was a Soviet agent) were also
dismissed by two of my sources. The first was discredited by Bugliosi, who
systematically took apart the theories that Oswald was a willing or unwilling ‘fall
guy’ in the assassination (Bugliosi, 2007). The second was dismissed by the
recently released Hoover memo that put forward very strong information disproving
any Russian ties to Oswald. Furthermore Nalli mentions that JFK’s back brace
could have been part of the reason for the delayed backwards movement of JFK
after he was fatally shot, which confirms Blaser’s insinuation about JFK’s back
brace (Nalli, 2018).
The limitations of using this article as a single source is the lack of substantial
evidence provided by Blaser to back up his claims. One its own, this could not be
used to form a watertight case for Oswald acting alone. Caution is definitely
required when using this source as it is an opinion piece, so likely influenced by the
biases of the author and the publication