Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MARKET INSIGHTS
August 2018
THE PHILIPPINES
The Philippines
6.9%
LITERACY RATE
105
million 96.5%
POPULATION GROWTH
LABOR FORCE GDP
PHILIPPINE 69.6 M 2.7%
GNI per Capita
24 years old
$3,580 Average age of Filipinos
INFLATION RATE
In USD Billions
12.00
10.00
10.05
8.00
7.90
6.00
5.84 5.74 5.84
4.00
3.22
2.92
2.71
2.00
2.06 2.01
1.66
1.34
1.07
0.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
4
Source : World Bank, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Government’s Socioeconomic Agenda
1 Infrastructure Spending
2. Current macroeconomic policies
“Golden Age of Infrastructure” in the Philippines 5. Rural and value chain development
-Budget Secretary Benjamin Diokno
6. Security and land tenure
• Manila Subway (P227 billion)
• Mindanao Railway (P31.5 billion) 7. Human Capital Development
• NLEX-SLEX Connector Road (P23.30 billion)
• BGC to Ortigas Road Link Project (P4 billion) 8. Science, technology, and creative arts
• Philippine National Railways North 1 (P105.3 billion)
• Philippine National Railways North 2 (P150 billion)
9. Tax Reform
• Philippine National Railways South Commuter (P134 billion)
• PNR South Long Haul (P151 billion)
• Subic-Clark Cargo Railway Project (P32.5 billion) 10. Responsible Parenthood &
• Unified common station (P2.8 billion) Reproductive Health
Source: DOH 5
Philippine Market Penetration
Money Market
Metro Manila office take-up for Full-Year 2017 is at an all–time high of 775,000 square
meters, a 23% increase from Full–Year 2016 take up of 630,000 square meters.
• 688,474 square meters of the 2018 office supply are already either leased or pre-
committed. This makes our forecasted FY 2018 take-up of 937,000 square
meters achievable.
• The IT-BPM industry, which includes shared services, took up 46% of FY 2017
demand, while Offshore/Online Gaming took up 30%. The IT-BPM industry is
expected to rebound while the Offshore/Online Gaming is expected to grow this
2018.
• Offices at Alabang and Bay City are enjoying the lowest current vacancy rate at 1%.
• 1.2M square meters of office space is forecasted to be added to Metro Manila for FY
2018, 20% of which will be likely delayed.
9
Provincial Outlook
Key Insights
LAOAG
CAGAYAN
BAGUIO
BULACAN
PAMPANGA
QUEZON
National Government promotes new
CAVITE /
BATANGAS / LAGUNA developments in the provinces.
CAPIZ
DUMAGUETE
IT-BPM companies in the provinces will
continue to offer relocation incentives to
interested applicants.
ZAMBOANGA
DAVAO
10
Provincial Outlook
IT-BPAP Roadmap 2022
Whilst 70% of the total projected IT-BPM workforce will still remain in Metro Manila, National Government’s all inclusive-plan
will positively impact expansion in the provinces.
IT-BPM labor workforce in the provinces is estimated to grow by 60% in 2022.
IT-BPM Full-Time Employees (FTEs) will grow from 1.2 million to 1.8 million in the next 5 years, which translates to 3 million
sqm of office requirement.
1,014
941
800
600
+61%
499
400 454
416
381
345
309
200
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
3 MAJOR CBDs
MAKATI MAKATI CBD. CENTURY CITY. ROCKWELL CENTER. CIRCUIT MAKATI.
San Juan
Manila
ORTIGAS ORTIGAS CBD. ROCKWELL BUSINESS CENTER. ARCOVIA CITY.
Manda-
SILVER CITY. CAPITOL COMMONS. luyong Ortigas/
BGC BONIFACIO GLOBAL CITY. MCKINLEY WEST. MCKINLEY HILL. Pasig
UPTOWN. VERITOWN. Makati
Bay/
Pasay
BGC / Taguig
46 BUSINESS PARKS
QUEZON CITY. UP TECHNOHUB. EASTWOOD CITY. ETON CENTRIS.
Parañaque
ARANETA, CYBERPARK. ROBINSONS BRIDGETOWNE IT PARK. VERTIS NORTH. UP TOWN
CENTER. FAIRVIEW TERRACES. ALI CLOVERLEAF BALINTAWAK. NUVO. MANDALUYONG.
GREENFIELD DISTRICT. ROBINSONS CYBERGATE. ROCKWELL SHERIDAN. SAN JUAN. Las Pinas
SANTOLAN TOWN PLAZA. MUNTINLUPA. FILINVEST CORPORATE CITY. LA FUERZA.
NORTHGATE CYBERZONE. MADRIGAL BUSINESS PARK. ALABANG WEST. TAGUIG. ARCA
SOUTH. LAS PINAS. PORTOFINO. EVIA. PASAY. NEWPORT CITY. SM MALL OF ASIA
Alabang
COMPLEX. METROPOLITAN BUSINESS PARK. DOUBLE DRAGON CYBERCAMPUS. FILINVEST
CYBERZONE PASAY. PARANAQUE. ASIAWORLD CITY. ASEANA BUSINESS PARK. AYALA
ASEANA. MANILA. CITYPLACE. SAN LAZARO.
12
Regional Cityscapes
2013
2002
2008
Bombing in Zamboanga Ces Drilon Kidnapping Cebu Ferry Tragedy Extrajudicial Killings
Capture and sentence of MV Princess of the Star Sank Killing of Taiwanese Fisherman Terrorism threats in Hamilo Coast, Bohol,
Jemaah Islamiyah ZTE-NBN Irregularities Senate Pork Barrel Scam Hearing and Palawan
2017
Meralco Stockholders Meeting 5.4 Magnitude Earthquake Cebu and Bohol Mindanao Martial Law
Oakwood Mutiny Bird Flu Outbreak
H1N1 Outbreak
2014
Marawi Siege
2003
2009
Jose Pidal plunder case DMCI Construction Hearings Diplomats from the PH
Typhoon Marakot
Davao airport bombing Fitch upgraded PH credit rating to ‘BBB’
Superferry sank in Zamboanga
from ‘BBB-”
Death of Corazon Aquino Pres. Aquino’s Final SONA
2015
Infanta Mud Slide Greenbelt 5 Robbery
2004
2018
Boracay Closure
Phil. General Elections
GDP expanded by 7% Impeachment of Chief Justice
DLSU explosion during Bar Exams
2006 2005
2016
Pres. Duterte enjoys a record high trust
rating of 92%
Makati Bus Explosion Spratly Islands Dispute
Overseas Filipinos
2011
2012
International
Tourism
Receipts
(US$ 6.65B)
Source: The World Bank, PSE, DOT, Yahoo 15
Finance, Philippine Daily Inquirer, LPC Research 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Philippines Office Supply
Current vs. Pipeline
Philippine office supply will grow by 44% in the next 6 years. The unprecedented level of developments
outside Metro Manila is expected to add 1.3 million square meters to its current supply of 1.6 million.
16
METRO MANILA
OFFICE MARKET
Metro Manila Office Supply
Current vs. Pipeline
Quezon City and Ortigas Center will be the largest suppliers of office space in the next 6 years. Bonifacio
Global City/Taguig City and Ortigas Center will have roughly the same amount of office space by 2023.
3.78M sqm
Total supply
2018 to 2023E
21
Supply Pipeline – Bonifacio Global City
(2018 to 2022E)
592K sqm
Total supply
2018 to 2022E
Legend:
Pre-committed Under Negotiation Vacant PEZA: Registered PEZA: Under Application Strata-titled
190K sqm
Total supply
2018 to 2022E
Legend:
Pre-committed Under Negotiation Vacant PEZA: Registered PEZA: Under Application Strata-titled
578K sqm
Total supply
2018 to 2022E
Legend:
Pre-committed Under Negotiation Vacant PEZA: Registered PEZA: Under Application Strata-titled
746K sqm
Total supply
2018 to 2023E
Legend:
Pre-committed Under Negotiation Vacant PEZA: Registered PEZA: Under Application Strata-titled
771K sqm
Total supply
2018 to 2022E
Legend:
Pre-committed Under Negotiation Vacant PEZA: Registered PEZA: Under Application Strata-titled
227K sqm
Total supply
2018 to 2020E
Legend:
Pre-committed Under Negotiation Vacant PEZA: Registered PEZA: Under Application Strata-titled
675K sqm
Total supply
2018 to 2021E
Legend:
Pre-committed Under Negotiation Vacant PEZA: Registered PEZA: Under Application Strata-titled
30
*Gross Leasable Area in thousands (sqm)
Metro Manila Current Supply
Developer Market Share (1960’s to 2017)
31
Metro Manila Supply Pipeline
Developer Market Share (2018E to 2023E)
32
Metro Manila Rental Range
PhP/ sqm / month
Land values are at its all time high in Makati City and Bonifacio Global City
Y-o-Y
Accommodation
Land Values Land Values Accommodation Increase
Business *FAR Value
PhP/sqm PhP/sqm Value GFA/sqm %
District Range GFA/sqm
2016 2017 YTD 2017 YTD (2016 vs.
2016
2017 YTD)
Filinvest
City
6 – 14 120K – 280K 20,000 144K – 365K 27,000 35%
34
RESIDENTIAL MARKET
Residential Demand Driver
2016 OF Remittances has seen a growth of 5% y-o-y or USD 27B from 2015’s USD 26B. 60% of remittances is being
invested into the real estate sector.
As interest rates collapse, more residential condominium units are introduced to the market and more money from OF
remittances are channeled into real estate.
30,000 25
25,000
20
OF Remittances USD Millions
20,000
15,000
10
10,000
5
5,000
- -
Sustained demand and limited supply of high-end condominiums in Makati City and Bonifacio
Global City pushed prices to an all-time high, peaking at a little over PhP 300,000 per sqm.
Makati City Discovery Primea 2009 PhP 150,000 PhP 322,000 2.15x
The Residences
Makati City 2003 PhP 106,000 PhP 250,000 2.36x
at Greenbelt
Makati City Edades Tower 2017 PhP 130,000 PhP 243,000 1.87x
Ortigas Center The Grove 2008 PhP 90,000 PhP 140,000 1.56x
Ortigas Center The Pearl Palace Tower 1 2012 PhP 66,000 PhP 125,000 1.89x
Quezon City Escalades at 20th Avenue 2009 PhP 54,000 PhP 135,000 2.52x
316%
39
Land Price in Selected High-end Residential Villages
Per sqm
Prices of land in high-end residential villages have surged in the last 55 years, and are not
foreseen to go down anytime soon.
1962 PhP 88.00 PhP 88.00 PhP 75.00 PhP 55.00 PhP 57.00 -
1972 PhP 200.00 PhP 228.00 PhP 195.00 PhP 175.00 PhP 188.00
PhP 170.00
(growth) (2.27x) (2.6x) (2.6x) (3.18x) (3.30x)
1982 PhP 1,500.00 PhP 1,750.00 PhP 1,400.00 PhP 1,375.00 PhP 1,300.00 PhP 300.00
(growth) (7.5x) (7.67x) (7.18x) (7.86x) (6.91x) (1.76x)
1992 PhP 10,500.00 PhP 10,500.00 PhP 6,875.00 PhP 5,550.00 PhP 8,500.00 PhP 10,000.00
(growth) (7.5x) (6x) (4.91x) (4.04x) (6.54x) (33.33x)
2002 PhP 42,000.00 PhP 57,500.00 PhP 41,470.00 PhP 20,428.00 PhP 28,758.00 PhP 22,500.00
(growth) (4x) (5.48x) (6.03x) (3.68x) (3.38x) (2.25x)
2012 PhP 180,000.00 PhP 130,000.00 PhP 85,000.00 PhP 110,000.00 PhP 159,000.00 PhP 65,000.00
(growth) (4.28x) (2.26x) (2.05x) (5.38x) (5.53x) (2.89x)
2017 PhP 345,000.00 PhP 280,000.00 PhP 250,000.00 PhP 260,000.00 PhP 260,000.00 PhP 95,000.00
(growth) (4.28x) (2.15x) (2.94x) (2.36x) (1.64x) (1.46x)
40
Metro Manila
Upper Middle to Upper Class Residential Villages | High-End Condominiums
The deficit in supply of high-end residential property to the growing affluent market continue to drive prices up.
41
About
LEECHIU PROPERTY
CONSULTANTS
MISSION
To deliver superior value and profitable real estate solutions for like-
minded partners through local, dynamic & insightful property-related
expertise in corporate leasing and investments.
VISION
Together, our firm, redefines the real estate industry by being a catalyst of
sustainable growth, through principled and expert property consulting
advice and action.
Our Services
IT-BPM Site
Selection Clients
Project Leasing
We also advise and support landlords, building owners and real estate developers. Our leasing experts
create and implement strategies for finding the right tenant mix and ensure maximum occupancy in a
timely manner. Our real estate brokers have managed to lease more than thirty office buildings in Metro
Manila on behalf of developers.
43 projects
Currently marketing
Total of 917,000 sqm
BGC. Citibank Plaza. Ecoprime. Net Park. Milestone at Fifth Avenue.
Orē Central. The Curve. Twenty-five Seven McKinley. W CityCenter. W Fifth Avenue.
W Global Center. W Office at High Street. High Street South Corporate Plaza I. One Park Drive.
The Finance Centre Retail. G.S.C Corporate Tower. Asian Century Center. Sennett Corporate Center
QUEZON CITY. Hexagon Corporate Center. One Luna Global Connections.
Panorama Technocenter. The SkySuites Towers. Jackman Plaza I.T. Center. MPIRE Center
ALABANG. Asian Star Building. One Griffinstone Building
MAKATI CITY. Frabelle Corporate Plaza. Liberty Plaza. M1 Tower. MJ Corporate Plaza. Nex Tower.
ORTIGAS. St. Francis Square. Ortigas Technopoint Two.
BAY AREA. DoubleDragon Plaza. Nexgen Tower. Harton Corporate Center
CAVITE. Suntech iPark. CBC Asia Technozone
CEBU. Latitude Corporate Center. Mabuhay Tower. Mabuhay Tower CBP
Looking to exclusively handle more project leasing appointments
across the Philippines in 2018
Investment Sales
Notable deals closed in 2016, 2017 and 2018 include:
✓ Sale of prime 10-hectare property along C-5
✓ Arranged joint development of prime 1.3-hectare property in Makati
✓ Prime commercial lot sale in Bonifacio Global City
✓ Sale of multiple prime commercial lots in Filinvest City
✓ Office floor sale in Grade AAA building along Ayala Avenue, Makati
✓ Sale of 4 office floors in Grade B+ office building along Ayala Avenue
✓ Prime residential apartment building sale in Salcedo Village, Makati
✓ Sale of shares of boutique developer with assets in Makati
✓ Sale of office floors in Ortigas Center
✓ Sale of office floors in Filinvest City, Alabang
✓ Long-term land lease for a hospitality chain
✓ Industrial land sale to an industrial developer in South Luzon
✓ Long-term warehouse and land leases for large logistics companies
Our research and consultancy arm allows us to offer to clients a full suite of consulting services
that include business planning, highest and best use studies, market research, project
conceptualization, and project feasibility.
DISCLAIMER:
1. This Leasing Material has been prepared in good faith and with due care by LPC solely for the information of potential lessees to assist them in deciding whether they are interested in the premises offered for lease.
2. The information does not form part of any offer or contract and is intended as a guide only
3. You should not rely on any material contained in this Leasing Material but should make independent investigations to satisfy yourselves as to the correctness and relevance of any statements or representations, and consult with legal, financial and tax advisers where
appropriate.
4. All calculations including, but not limited to dimensions, area and rent, contained in the Leasing Material are based on figures provided to the client by outside sources and have not been independently verified by LPC and therefore may not be correct, complete, or
relevant
5. No representation or warranty is made by LPC as to the accuracy or completeness of the Leasing Material, in whole or in part. No liability for negligence or otherwise is assumed by LPC or the lessor of this property for any information contained in the Leasing Material
6. All Dollar ($) amounts quoted, if any, do not include any goods and services tax, value added tax, consumption tax or similar tax unless specifically stated in writing
7. Except as expressly indicated herein, LPC does not undertake any obligation to advise you of any changes or updates with respect to the information contained herein