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The markets change constantly and so should be the ways to analyze them. A
tool set in fixed rules and laws cannot perform equally well in a constantly changing
environment.
What you need is something which lets you have the flexibility and gives you
clear paths of action, not based on numbers and levels, but based on logic.
Market Profile achieves that because it has Context as an integral part of it.
Every action event on a Market Profile Chart is always weighed in on the context that
surrounds it, and if the context gives permission, we go ahead and place a trade. If the
context does not allow we just watch the auction develop. That is complete information!
Knowing whether Smart Money is behind a move will help us attach confidence to
our trading decisions.
These time frames and their interaction is what helps us understand the context in
which the current move is happening. Eg: If ITF sellers are active around a bracket high,
the high is more likely to be respected as against when the ITF sellers are not very
active and there is absorption going on around that level. We will see detailed examples
of this ahead.
Before we move forward let me give a big Thank You to James Dalton for giving us the
original differentiation of the time frames. This differentiation forms an integral part of
Complete Information revealed by Market Profile Charts.
One important thing to remember is that a higher or longer time frame is not necessarily
smarter than the shorter time frame. There is always some amount of confusion
attached to this.
Nothing can be further from truth, SM does not buy all the BO and sell all the BD. They
are selective in their trades, and patiently wait for the right conditions to set up
for Buying Break Outs and Selling Break Downs.
So how does AMT and Market profile make that distinction between SM and AM?
It achieves this by giving us the concept of Value. Value is where SM is. Now it is not
that straight forward to under stand this. You need to understand a vital core principle of
Expected Behavior (EB) and Unexpected Behavior (UB).
Value combined with EB/UB gives us the much needed clarity. We can better
understand whether a move is caused by SM or AM.
This is a very crucial concept to successful implementation of AMT using Market Profile.
As we move forward in this course we will start getting grip on this important distinction
about SM and AM. So stick around and believe.