Period Visitors Forecast(Visitors) Lower Confidence Bound(Visitors)

01
1
4 671
,1
60

02
1
4 635,558

031
4 Tip: These dates are formatted with a custom number
72
1
,91
5
format that forces the text to wrap by typing CTRL+J in
between mm and yy. You won't see anything in the
041
4 643,960
custom number format dialog box, but when you format
the cells with Wrap Text, the dates will wrap.
051
4 643,786

061
4 72
4,01
2

071
4 773,62
6

081
4 735,758

091
4 61
1
,2
56

900,000
1
01
4 650,638
800,000
1
1
1
4 630,391

700,000

1
2
1
4 754,2
82
600,000

500,000
01
1
5 676,2
2
1

400,000
02
1
5 653,652

300,000

031
5 767,989 2
00,000

041
5 667,787 1
00,000

0
051
5 701
,047 mm01
02
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 1
0 1
1
1
2

yy 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4
061
5 776,972
Visitors Forecast(Visitors)

071
5 81
5,600

081
5 757,539

091
5 62
3,899
1
01
5 670,039

1
1
1
5 659,531

1
2
1
5 792
,742
792
,742
792
,742

01
1
6 707,061
681
,353

02
1
6 #NAME? #NAME?

031
6 #NAME? #NAME?

041
6 #NAME? #NAME?

051
6 #NAME? #NAME?

061
6 #NAME? #NAME?

071
6 #NAME? #NAME?

081
6 #NAME? #NAME?

091
6 #NAME? #NAME?

1
01
6 #NAME? #NAME?

1
1
1
6 #NAME? #NAME?

1
2
1
6 #NAME? #NAME?
 Upper Confidence Bound(Visitors) Statistic Value

Alpha 0.2
5

Beta 0.00

Gamma 0.2
5

MASE 0.1
1

SMAPE 0.01

MAE 7,061
.58

RMSE 8,497.70

3 04 05 06 07 08 09 1
0 1
1
1
2
01
02
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 1
0 1
1
1
2
01
02
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 1
0 1
1
1
2

4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
4 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
5 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6

Visitors Forecast(Visitors) Lower Confidence Bound(Visitors) Upper Confidence Bound(Visitors)

792
,742
Tip: The last Visitors value is repeated in each
column so that the lines in the chart meet.
732
,769

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?

#NAME?
 Formulas in Column H

=FORECAST.ETS.STAT($B$2
:$B$2
5,$A$2
:$A$2
5,1
,1
2
,1
)

=FORECAST.ETS.STAT($B$2
:$B$2
5,$A$2
:$A$2
5,2
,1
2
,1
)

=FORECAST.ETS.STAT($B$2
:$B$2
5,$A$2
:$A$2
5,3,1
2
,1
)

=FORECAST.ETS.STAT($B$2
:$B$2
5,$A$2
:$A$2
5,4,1
2
,1
)

=FORECAST.ETS.STAT($B$2
:$B$2
5,$A$2
:$A$2
5,5,1
2
,1
)

=FORECAST.ETS.STAT($B$2
:$B$2
5,$A$2
:$A$2
5,6,1
2
,1
)

=FORECAST.ETS.STAT($B$2
:$B$2
5,$A$2
:$A$2
5,7,1
2
,1
)

1
2
01
02
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 1
0 1
1
1
2

1
5 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6 1
6

Upper Confidence Bound(Visitors)

tors value is repeated in each
the lines in the chart meet.
Excel Forecast Sheet click here to read tutorial

Source: HTA and DBEDT

Hawaii Visitor Data

Period Visitors
1
/1
/2
01
4 671
,1
60
2
/1
/2
01
4 635,558
3/1
/2
01
4 72
1
,91
5
4/1
/2
01
4 643,960
5/1
/2
01
4 643,786
6/1
/2
01
4 72
4,01
2

7/1
/2
01
4 773,62
6
8/1
/2
01
4 735,758
9/1
/2
01
4 61
1
,2
56
1
0/1
/2
01
4 650,638
1
1
/1
/2
01
4 630,391

1
2
/1
/2
01
4 754,2
82

1
/1
/2
01
5 676,2
2
1

2
/1
/2
01
5 653,652

3/1
/2
01
5 767,989
4/1
/2
01
5 667,787
5/1
/2
01
5 701
,047
6/1
/2
01
5 776,972

7/1
/2
01
5 81
5,600
8/1
/2
01
5 757,539
9/1
/2
01
5 62
3,899
1
0/1
/2
01
5 670,039
1
1
/1
/2
01
5 659,531

1
2
/1
/2
01
5 792
,742

utorial
Excel Forecast Chart - Excel 2013 or Earlier Versions
Source: HTA and DBEDT

Hawaii Visitor Data

Lower Upper
Confidence Confidence
Period Visitors Forecast Interval Interval
01
2
01
4 671
,1
60
02
2
01
4 635,558
032
01
4 72
1
,91
5
042
01
4 643,960
900,000
052
01
4 643,786
062
01
4 72
4,01
2
800,000

072
01
4 773,62
6 700,000
082
01
4 735,758 600,000
092
01
4 61
1
,2
56
500,000
1
02
01
4 650,638
1
1
2
01
4 630,391
400,000

1
2
2
01
4 754,2
82
300,000
01
2
01
5 676,2
2
1
2
00,000
02
2
01
5 653,652

1
00,000
032
01
5 767,989
042
01
5 667,787 0
01
03 0
052
01
5 701
,047 2
01
4 2
01
4 2

062
01
5 776,972

072
01
5 81
5,600
082
01
5 757,539
092
01
5 62
3,899
1
02
01
5 670,039
1
1
2
01
5 659,531

1
2
2
01
5 792
,742
792
,742
792
,742
792
,742

01
2
01
6 72
8,457 704,650 752
,2
63
02
2
01
6 730,91
0 707,1
04 754,71
6
032
01
6 733,2
05 709,398 757,01
1

042
01
6 735,658 71
1
,852
759,464
052
01
6 738,032
71
4,2
2
6 761
,838
062
01
6 740,485 71
6,679 764,2
91

072
01
6 742
,859 71
9,053 766,665
082
01
6 745,31
2
72
1
,506 769,1
1
8
092
01
6 747,765 72
3,959 771
,571

1
02
01
6 750,1
39 72
6,333 773,945
1
1
2
01
6 752
,592
72
8,786 776,399
1
2
2
01
6 754,966 731
,1
60 778,773

=FORECAST(A42
,$B$7:$B$30,$A$7:$A$30)

=[@Forecast]+CONFIDENCE.NORM(0.05,STDEVP($B$7:$B$30),2
4)
Versions click here to read tutorial

900,000

800,000

700,000

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

2
00,000

1
00,000

0
01
03 05 07 09 1
1
01
03 05 07 09 1
1
01
03 05 07 09 1
1

2
01
4 2
01
4 2
01
4 2
01
4 2
01
4 2
01
4 2
01
5 2
01
5 2
01
5 2
01
5 2
01
5 2
01
5 2
01
6 2
01
6 2
01
6 2
01
6 2
01
6 2
01
6

Visitors Forecast
Lower Confidence Interval Upper Confidence Interval
 Lower Upper
Confidence Confidence
Timeline Values Forecast Bound Bound
1
/1
/2
01
6 0
2
/1
/2
01
6 1

3/1
/2
01
6 1
6
4/1
/2
01
6 1
48
5/1
/2
01
6 61
0
6/1
/2
01
6 1
,640 1
2
0,000
7/1
/2
01
6 2
,762

1
00,000
8/1
/2
01
6 3,1
2
2

9/1
/2
01
6 3,933 80,000
1
0/1
/2
01
6 5,2
64
60,000
1
1
/1
/2
01
6 6,92
1

1
2
/1
/2
01
6 8,490 40,000

1
/1
/2
01
7 1
0,71
1
2
0,000
2
/1
/2
01
7 1
4,835
3/1
/2
01
7 1
9,1
66 0
1
/1
/2
01
6 4/1
/2
01
6 7/1
/2
01
6 1
0/1
/2
01
6 1
/1
/2
01

4/1
/2
01
7 2
4,509
Values
5/1
/2
01
7 34,2
04
Lower Confidence Bound
6/1
/2
01
7 48,077
7/1
/2
01
7 61
,093
8/1
/2
01
7 74,452

9/1
/2
01
7 88,988
1
0/1
/2
01
7 1
07,006 1
07,006 1
07,006 1
07,006
1
1
/1
/2
01
7 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1
2
/1
/2
01
7 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1
/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2
/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
3/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
4/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
6 7/1
/2
01
6 1
0/1
/2
01
6 1
/1
/2
01
7 4/1
/2
01
7 7/1
/2
01
7 1
0/1
/2
01
7 1
/1
/2
01
8 4/1
/2
01
8

Values Forecast
Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
 Lower Upper
Timeline Values Forecast Confidence Confidence
Bound Bound
1
/1
/2
01
6 0
2
/1
/2
01
6 1

3/1
/2
01
6 1
6
4/1
/2
01
6 1
48
5/1
/2
01
6 61
0 2
00,000
6/1
/2
01
6 1
,640 1
80,000
7/1
/2
01
6 2
,762
1
60,000
8/1
/2
01
6 3,1
2
2
1
40,000
9/1
/2
01
6 3,933 1
2
0,000

1
0/1
/2
01
6 5,2
64 1
00,000

1
1
/1
/2
01
6 6,92
1
80,000

1
2
/1
/2
01
6 8,490 60,000
40,000
1
/1
/2
01
7 1
0,71
1

2
0,000
2
/1
/2
01
7 1
4,835
0
3/1
/2
01
7 1
9,1
66
1
/1
/2
01
6 5/1
/2
01
6 9/1
/2
01
6 1
/1
/2
01
7
4/1
/2
01
7 2
4,509
Values
5/1
/2
01
7 34,2
04
Lower Confidence Bound
6/1
/2
01
7 48,077
7/1
/2
01
7 61
,093
8/1
/2
01
7 74,452

9/1
/2
01
7 88,988
1
0/1
/2
01
7 1
07,006 1
07,006 1
07,006 1
07,006
1
1
/1
/2
01
7 1
2
4,655 1
1
8,393 1
30,91
7
1
2
/1
/2
01
7 1
42
,31
1
1
2
8,883 1
55,739
1
/1
/2
01
8 1
59,967 1
37,903 1
82
,032

2
/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
3/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
4/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
5/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2
01
6 9/1
/2
01
6 1
/1
/2
01
7 5/1
/2
01
7 9/1
/2
01
7 1
/1
/2
01
8 5/1
/2
01
8

Values Forecast
Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
 Lower Upper
Timeline Values Forecast Confidence Confidence
Bound Bound
1
/1
/2
01
6 0
2
/1
/2
01
6 1

3/1
/2
01
6 1
6
4/1
/2
01
6 1
48
5/1
/2
01
6 61
0
6/1
/2
01
6 1
,640
7/1
/2
01
6 2
,762

8/1
/2
01
6 3,1
2
2

9/1
/2
01
6 3,933
1
0/1
/2
01
6 5,2
64
1
1
/1
/2
01
6 6,92
1

1
2
/1
/2
01
6 8,490
1
/1
/2
01
7 1
0,71
1

2
/1
/2
01
7 1
4,835
3/1
/2
01
7 1
9,1
66
4/1
/2
01
7 2
4,509
5/1
/2
01
7 34,2
04 #NAME?
6/1
/2
01
7 48,077 #NAME?
7/1
/2
01
7 61
,093 #NAME?
8/1
/2
01
7 74,452
#NAME?
9/1
/2
01
7 88,988 #NAME?
1
0/1
/2
01
7 1
07,006 #NAME? 1
07,006 1
07,006
1
1
/1
/2
01
7 1
2
4,655 1
1
8,393 1
30,91
7
1
2
/1
/2
01
7 1
42
,31
1
1
2
8,883 1
55,739
2
00,000
1
/1
/2
01
8 1
59,967 1
37,903 1
82
,032

1
80,000
2
/1
/2
01
8
1
60,000
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
3/1
/2
01
8
1
40,000 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1
2
0,000
4/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
1
00,000
5/1
/2
01
8 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
80,000
60,000
40,000
2
0,000
0
1
/1
/2
01
6 6/1
/2
01
6 1
1
/1
/2
01
6 4/1
/2
01
7 9/1
/2
01
7 2
/1
/2
01
8

Forecast Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound

Values
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