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3 should b
observed:
Unitary targets are distinguished from area targets by simply describi n them
with small values of LA and WA as for stick deliveries.
2. Either functioning time or altitude may be specified, as is the weapon spin
speed and the particular weapon characteristic selected in the trajectory
worksheet; see selection factor in Table 15.2. The appropriate pattern
dimensions are returned to the main spreadsheet in the “Trajectory Results”
section.
3. The computation of WB and Lti is performed in the “Weapon Effectiveness”
section, and from that point the analysis is the same as for stick deliveries.
528 Weaponeering: Conventional Weapon System Effectiveness
In dealing with such targets, we will use the basic effectiveness calculation
introduced in Chapter 10, Sec. 10.1, reproduced here:
Also recall Chapter 10, Sec. 10.2 where the duality of representing the
weapon/target by a lethal area was discussed. In this chapter it will be the target that
is represented by a finite size lethal area.
The probability of damage given a hit is denoted as PHD and is not a separate El
but is involved in the effectiveness calculations. In most cases considered here, PHD
is set to unity; the exception is in analyzing bridges. The problem therefore reduces
to one of calculating PH1T.
The basic approach in dealing with specific targets such as those just mentioned
is to compute the dimensions in the ground plane of the effective target area, namely,
TET and WET. Having done this, the methods for computing PDj or FDi already
developed may be applied directly to the target under study. The process is however
dependent on whether:
Single
Then the pattern dimensions would be determined from the stick dimensions.
Lp = Ls + LB (16.8)
WP=WS+ WB (16.9)
The effective pattern dimensions Z,EP and WEP would be calculated next:
If a single weapon is used, then the methods of Chapter 12 would apply, leading
to
■<4ET
FDi = E(FC) XRXPHD* (16.14)
Z,EP x WEP
For the BEI method the weapon lethal area dimensions are set equal to the bridge
dimensions, and so for Fig. 16.5a we have
LET = WT (16.16)
=
IVET LT (16.17)
LET = LT (16.18)
U/ET = wT (16.19)
b)
Bridge
LT
Attack Attack
direction direction
Example
A bridge has dimensions 30 ft wide by 500 ft long and is attacked by a single unguided
weapon aimed at the center. The aircraft attacks in a direction parallel to the 500-ft length
of the bridge. Calculate the probability of dropping the span of the bridge, given that for
this type of construction and the weapon used, the value of the effectiveness index is BEI
= 5 ft. First, we calculate PHD from
BEI’ _5j
AID = 1 - exp = 1 — exp 30 = 0.154 (16.23)
w
Then the values of £ET and WET form the bridge dimensions taking into
account the direction of attack. We have
LET = 500, WET = 30 (16.24)
Table 16.2 shows a segment of a spreadsheet that relates to the preceding
analysis where the values of £ET and WET are calculated for specific BEI.
Because the scenario is a single unguided weapon against a unitary target, Eq.
(16.5) applies, and Table 16.3 shows a modified version of the spreadsheet used
in Chapter 11, Sec. 11.9 to illustrate the weaponeering solution for this attack.
536 Weaponeering: Conventional Weapon System Effectiveness
Constants
Target Parameters
Weapon Parameters
Drag-L=low, H=high,
D=dispenser L
Ballistic dispersion, mils Sigma-b 2.000
Reliability R 0.950
Trajectory Results
Delivery accuracy
CEPground Normal REP/DEP
CEP, ft ground, normal or mils CEP 0.000 36
Deflection error probable, ft DEP 0.000 20.628 20.628
Range error probable, ft REP 0.000 36.91 36.906
Ballistic error, deflection, ft sigma-bd 3.050
Ballistic error range, ft sigma-br 5.457
Adjusted DEP DEP dash 20.852
Adjusted REP REP dash 37.307
(Continued)
Weaponeering: Conventional Weapon System Effectiveness
where as usual LT is the dimension of the target parallel to the aircraft flight path (in
feet) and WT is the dimension of the target element perpendicular to the aircraft flight
path (in feet). For this case, AET is again computed using Eq. (16.27).
for cylindrical targets. The effective target area in the ground plane (Ar, in square
feet) is then computed using
targets, or
for cylindrical targets. 1VET is then adjusted so that the same effective target area in
the ground plane will be produced, that is,
Ay
WET = 7— (16.34)
Z-ET
AET may be computed using Eq. (16.27), but is equal to AT.
Vertical targets such as tunnel entrances, caves, and shelter doors can be
weaponeered by entering a target length LT of zero, the door width as the target width
WT, and the door height as the target height HT. Typical damage definitions for these
targets include the production of rubble at the entrance to prevent passage of materiel
or personnel. As such, rubble may be produced either by placing the weapon inside
the tunnel, hitting an area around the portal or the apron in front of the portal. As
indicated in Fig. 16.12 therefore, there will be an EMD in the vertical plane and in
front of the target.
Because the target length is zero, the effective target length is the length of the
shadow plus the EMD in front of the target, or
Notice again how the target dimensions are used to calculate £ET and WET, but
the methods shown in Fig 16.3a are used because the target is considered unitary.
Force Requirements
Desired PD 0.700
# of sorties for this PD 1.028
# sorties available NA 4.000
Expected PD from NA sorties 0.991
MAE/j is the El type and when the building length and width are input as the target
area length and width (LT and WT).
The effectiveness methodology is somewhat different for buildings compared to
other target types dealt with in this chapter in that although the building is a unitary
target, a fractional coverage calculation is made on the building footprint.
MAEBLDG is used to describe the damage function for buildings and represents
the total floor area damaged, averaged over all of the floors. For this cookie-cutter
damage function, PHD is unity out to a specific distance from the impact point and
drops to zero beyond that distance. Again, the numerical values of MAEBLDG are
classified and are obtained from the JMEM Basic Manual in tabular form (in square
feet) listed as a function of the building type and weapon. It is assumed the weapon
is fuzed such that it penetrates the building before detonation.
In the JMEM/AS open-ended methods presented here, all MAEBLDG values are
assumed to be circular in the ground plane and are approximated by squares,
regardless of the impact angle.
The first stage of analysis is to represent the three-dimensional building as a two-
dimensional rectangle in the ground plane by using the EMD approach of the
preceding section. The method begins by comparing the
The effective target area in the ground plane (AT, in square feet) is then
computed using
Example
Consider the building target shown in Fig. 16.15 having dimensions 100 ft (LT) x 100
ft (WT) and is 50 ft (HT) high. Calculate ZET and WET for the building if MAEBLDG is
25,000 ft2 and a weapon impact angle of 45 deg is
2. If multiple, independently aimed weapons are used, then the methods of Chapter
12 are used to determine the rectangular pattern dimensions and conditional
probability of damage PCD inside.
Indirect Aimpoints
The methods developed in earlier chapters for calculating target damage can be
adapted to assess the effects on the surrounding structures. Before this is looked at in
detail however, we will investigate the effect of damage sustained by a target when
the weapon is not aimed directly at it.
550 Weaponeering: Conventional Weapon System Effectiveness
Results
Fractional coverage 0.995 0.977
Combined fractional coverage 0.971
FD1-Pnm 0.9715
FD1 - Phit
Range Deflection
Sigma range, ft 0.010 0.010
LEP 179.057 WEP 151.317
Integral Limits
s 139.528 s 125.658
t 39.528 t 25.658
a 9866.153 a 8885.387
b 2795.085 b 1814.319
Integrals
integral #1 -1.791 integral #1 -1.513
integral #2 1.395 integral #2 1.257
integral #3 1.395 integral #3 1.257
integral #4-integral#5 0.000 integral #4 0.000
Results
Fractional coverage 1.000 1.000
Combined fractional coverage 1.000
FD1-Phit 1.0000
Substituting this and the one-dimensional Carlton damage function into the
expression for PDX in the range direction gives
X=OO
4x2 ' (x - /?p)2~
exp x exp
£'ET2. 2<r*2
x=-oo
4-00
(16.57)
4Z?02
+ (16.60)
(8<r? + L'ET2)
x=oo
2
PDU = ^^= [ exp JW + E'ET2
<TXV277 J
X=-00
L 2cr x
2
£'ET2 J
x exp — (16.61)
(8<TX24/?
+ Z/0
2
2ET )J
554 Weaponeering: Conventional Weapon System Effectiveness
Recalling from the delivery accuracy section that ax = REP/0.6745, Eq. (16.68)
may be written in the form
As before,
PDj — PDlx x PDjj (16.71)
It is seen that these results are the same as those obtained in Eqs. (11.10) and
(11.11), except for the exponential terms in PD 1X and PDllr The spreadsheet derived
in Chapter 11 for unitary weapons/point targets can be modified to include indirect
aimpoints using Eqs. (16.69) and (16.70).
2
1 ’-(X-RO)21
axs/^reXP 2ax2
EET D -T-, Ro, EET N
c-x
= ND - ND ----- Ro, <Tx (16.72)
Wj LL
» 1 -(v-Do)2)
PD]^ = dy
ayy/2^eXP 2<ry2
2
WET N
= ND [W ET N
—, Do, ay - ND - (16.73)
556 Weaponeering: Conventional Weapon System Effectiveness
(x — Rp)2
(16.82)
2o>2 dx
The first integral on the right-hand side of Eq. (16.82) may be shown to be
h
(x Ro) 2 (x - RQ)2A
(x-Ro)-exp dx = 2ax2 ) (16.83)
2ax2
a
558 Weaponeering: Conventional Weapon System Effectiveness
Av(gnd) W ET \ 'Av Ay —§
BEI LT Wr Ul X W EI 1 - exp (- BEI/
W B)