SPORTS RESULT PREDICTION SYSTEM

Rahul Sonkamble1, Suyash Patil2, Tejas Dasare3, Saurabh Patil4, Indraneel Pawar5, Aniket Phadtare6
1
Assisstant Professor, Department of CSE, Sanjay Ghodawat Group of Institutions, Atigre, India
2,3,4,5,6
B.E Student, Department of CSE, Sanjay Ghodawat Group of Institutions, Atigre, India

1
sonkamble.rg@sginstitute.in, 2suyashsagar991997@gmail.com, 3itejasdasare@gmail.com,
4
saurabhpatil6468@gmail.com, 5indraneelpawar41@gmail.com, 6aniketphadtare5511@gmail.com

Abstract: In the modern world, sports
produce enough considerable statistical
information about each player, team,
games, and seasons. Earlier sports science
was believed to be owned by experts,
coaches, team managers, and analyzers.
Sports organizations have recently
realized that the availability of science in
their data and want to take advantage of
that science through the use of different
data mining techniques. Sports data
mining assists coaches and managers in
different ways like prediction of the
results, performance of the player,
identifying the talent, and evaluation of
game strategy. Prediction helps the
managers and the clubs in making the
right decision to win the leagues and the
tournaments. The present study shows
that earlier research on data mining
systems to predict the results and evaluate
the advantages and the disadvantages of
each system. Prediction has been
successfully applied in all sports. Although
in many aspects, this application has been
of very small limits. It is very important to
look into the applications of the machine
learning in these instances and see if its
application can give better results in the
analysis. By making use of datasets that is
more precise and machine learning, this
research aims to offer a solution that will
help to make predictions be more accurate
and precise than the earlier systems.
Prediction is the heart of remarkable
disciplines in science and that is the reason
why philosophy of prediction is employed
in many companies. Machine learning
which an area of intelligent systems is will
be used in this report to provide solutions
to the problems in aspects of predicting
the results of various sports.
Keywords: Random Forest algorithm
performing regression and Database.
I. Introduction
Nowadays, the team managers and
analysts give a prediction about who is
going to win the match. In the present,
different statistics are used for the prediction
of football match result. The prediction of
any football match is done by using some of
the previous data. The prediction of the
match depends on different variables like
player stats, team stats; past data etc. which
is used by club directors and managers to
decide which team is going to win the match
and what will be required to win the match.
In the recent years, football result prediction
has gained lots of popularity. Earlier, by
gathering the features that affect the
outcome of football matches, a predictive
model Knowledge discovery in databases
(KDD) was developed. Data mining
techniques have also been used in the past.
In existing systems, statistical and machine
learning approaches were used in football
match result prediction. For team
management, the details of the team and the
opponent team should be known by the
manager and the other coaching staff
members. The managers and the coaches
should be able to identify strengths and
weaknesses of different teams and
accordingly prepare for the matches. The
management should also be able take
decisions during a match and to monitor a
match in real time. For all these
requirements, the prediction application
should be able to provide ideas based upon
the current situations. We proposed a model
of football match prediction by using the
few years’ data of every match in English
Premier League and trained the algorithm
based on that data. The algorithm learns
from training data so that it forms different
rules and pattern and based on that the
algorithm makes a decision on some new
data. The algorithm keeps on learning by
using the feedback with every input. The
application predicts the match result. The
results of this application can be used by the
management staff while team selection or by
the fans playing while fantasy leagues in
order to create an efficient team or for the
purpose of betting.
II. Literature Survey
In the whole world football is the most
famous and popular sport. Among all the
sport, football prediction is the most widely
researched. The main use of our project is to
create an application with which we can
predict the upcoming match results based on
many factors. We will give the teams name
as the input and it will show which team will
win the match. Previously In the previous
systems they used very less parameters
which resulted in less accuracy of the
prediction. We will be using many extra
factors like player details, half-time score,
full-time score and many more will be
considered and the accuracy of the
prediction increases. In the paper Game ON!
Predicting English Premier League Match
Outcomes by A. S. Timmaraju [1] they used
a data of just one season and used RBF-
SVM and got accuracy of 60%. The
disadvantage of this system is that they used
really less data to predict the outcomes of
the match. There was an another attempt by
A. Joseph at predicting the match results.
They used Bayesian Nets to predict the
match results but they just got an accuracy
ranging 38% and 59%. Finally we were
influenced by Ben Ulmer where they used
Random Forest Algorithm and a data of 10
years to increase the accuracy up to 52% [3].
III. Proposed Methodology
As a quick summary, what we are
going to do is take historical results to
calculate the number of goals teams score
and concede. These averages are compared
to the league average and used to create 2. Activity Diagram
values for attacking strength and defensive
strength for every team, which are then At first the user selects the teams and
turned into goal expectation figures. This the match, which is used as input. Then
metric is put into a Poisson Distribution the datasets are checked for the team
formula which works out the probability of details and the data is sent forward for
every result when two teams face each other. Poisson Distribution. After that we get the
We then take these probabilities to create predicted results of the match.
our own odds, compare these against the
bookies’ odds, then identify where there is
value in the market because the bookies are
offering more generous odds that we’d
expect. Simple!

1. Poisson Distribution

Poisson distribution is the

probability of the number of events that
occur in a given interval when the expected
number of events is known and the events
occur independently of one another. It
basically means that means is that when we
know the average number of times that an
event will happen, we can use Poisson to
calculate how likely other numbers deviate
from this average.

The Poisson Distribution formula

is:
Poisson = (x, mean, cumulative)

(x = Number of goals.
Mean = the probability of that team IV. Implementations and Result
scoring a goal i.e. goal expectancy.
Cumulative = is set to FALSE, so that 1. PhoneGap
the formula returns a value exactly equal
to x. ) [7] PhoneGap is a mobile application
development framework originally
created by Nitobi. PhoneGap enables
software programmers to build
applications for mobile devices using
CSS3, HTML5, and JavaScript instead of
relying on platform-specific APIs like
those in Android, iOS, or Windows
Phone.
Benefits of using PhoneGap:
 Managed Compilation and
Signing (No SDKs)
Local development involves
installing and maintaining multiple
native SDKs as well as the
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Build takes this headache away! Get
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PhoneGap Build will always build
against the required SDK for the
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 Multiple Supported Platforms
Target iOS, Android,
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PhoneGap Build may be used from
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 Work With Your Team
Work collaboratively by
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within your PhoneGap Build projects.
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Use Hydration to get faster
debug and build cycles. With
Hydration, updates to your application
be pushed directly to your testers'
previously installed apps, ensuring
everyone is working on the most up-
to-date version.
2. Python
Python is an interpreted, high-
level, general purpose programming
language. Python features a dynamic type
system and automatic memory
management. It supports multiple
programming paradigms, including
object-oriented, imperative, functional
and procedural. It also has a
comprehensive standard library. Python
uses dynamic typing, and a combination
of reference counting and a cycle-
detecting garbage collector for memory
management. It also features
dynamic name resolution(late binding),
which binds method and variable names
during program execution. Python was
designed to be highly extensible. This
compact modularity has made it
particularly popular as a means of adding
programmable interfaces to existing
applications. An important goal of
Python's developers is keeping it fun to
use. This is reflected in the language's
name—a tribute to the British comedy
group Monty Python and in occasionally
playful approaches to tutorials and
reference materials, such as examples that
refer to spam and eggs (from a famous
Monty Python sketch) instead of the
standard foo and bar.
 3. PHP7  Several unmaintained or
deprecated server application
programming interfaces (SAPIs) and
PHP7 is the latest version of PHP extensions were removed from the
with lots of new features. The foundation PHP core, most notably the
of PHP is a PHP branch that was legacy mysql extension.
originally dubbed PHP next
generation (phpng). Because of major
internal changes in phpng it must receive
a new major version number of PHP, 4. Screenshots
rather than a minor PHP 5 release,
according to PHP's release process. Major
versions of PHP are allowed to break
backward-compatibility of code and
therefore PHP 7 presented an opportunity
for other improvements beyond phpng
that require backward-compatibility
breaks. In particular, it involved the
following changes:

 Many fatal- or recoverable-level

legacy PHP error mechanisms were
replaced with modern object-
oriented exceptions.
 The syntax for variable dereferencing
was reworked to be internally more
consistent and complete, allowing the
use of the operators -> , [] , () , {} ,
and :: , with arbitrary meaningful left-
side expressions.
 Support for legacy PHP 4-style
constructor methods was deprecated.
 The behavior of the for
each statement was changed to be
more predictable.
 Constructors for the few classes built-
in to PHP which returned null upon
failure were changed to throw an
exception instead, for consistency.
The above graph represents one of the
testing’s where we got an accuracy of 82%
with dataset of matches of three years.

The above graph represents one of the

testing’s where we got an accuracy of 78%
with dataset of ten years.
 V. Conclusion
Considering the popularity of
sports in the current world, many
organizations disburse large funds to gain
better results in sports matches.
Therefore, predicting game results has
turned into a subject of interest for
different sports organizations. Thus we
have created an android application
through which the users can get the
predicted results of the soccer matches in
English Premier League. Not only the
results will be provided, the latest news
regarding the sport will also be provided.
The user can register and use those
credentials to login in the android
application. With the application that we
developed we are getting accuracy greater
than 76% using Poisson Distribution.
[4] Data mining,
Online:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data
_minig
[5] Machine Learning, Online:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_le
arning.
[6] Lu WL, Ting JA, Little JJ, Murphy
KP. “Learning to track and identify
players from broadcast sports videos.”
IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis
and Machine Intelligence 2013.
[7] Poisson Distribution formula:
https://www.sbo.net/strategy/football-
prediction-model-poisson-distribution

REFERENCES

[1] A. S. Timmaraju, A. Palnitkar, & V.

Khanna, Game ON! Predicting
English Premier League Match
Outcomes, 2013.

[2] A. Joseph, A. E. Fenton, & M. Neil,

Predicting football results using
Bayesian nets and other machine learning
techniques. Knowledge-Based
Systems 19.7 (2006).

[3] Ben Ulmer & Matthew Fernandez,

Predicting Soccer Match Results in
English Premier League.