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DM Case 1 2
DM Case 1 2
0.4
Low
-20
-20 -20
0.5
Option 1 Medium
-20
0 -8 -20 -20
0.1
High
100
100 100
0.1
Low
-60
-60 -60
0.3
Option 2 Medium
2 20
36 0 36 20 20
0.6
High
60
60 60
0.05
Low
-100
-100 -100
0.15
Option 3 Medium
-60
0 2 -60 -60
0.8
High
20
20 20
d) Would you have any reservations about recommending this option to the company?
publicizing
8 2T 0
9 2T 0
10 3T 0
11 3T 0
12 3T 0
0 0 0 0 0 22 9 1
0 0 0 0 0 27 9 1
0 0 0 0 0 32 9 1
0 0 0 0 0 37 9 1
0 0 0 0 0 42 9 1
0.75
High circulation
0.3
Launch before the rival 4000000
0 3250000 0.25
Low circulation
0 3047000 0.7
High circulation
0.7
Launch after the rival 3800000
0 2960000 0.3
Low circulation
1000000
1
3047000 0.75
High circulation
0.8
Launch before the rival 4000000
0 2750000 0.25
Low circulation
0 2460000 0.3
Low circulation
1000000
High circulation
4000000 1. Draw the decision tree to represent Westward's problem.
4000000 (The decision tree is as seen on the left sides)
ow circulation
1000000
1000000
High circulation
3500000
3500000
ow circulation
500000
500000
High circulation
3300000
3300000
ow circulation
500000
500000
8 3T 0 0
9 4T 0 0
10 4T 0 0
11 5T 0 0
12 5T 0 0
13 6T 0 0
14 6T 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 13 1
0 0 0 0 12 13 1
0 0 0 0 17 13 1
0 0 0 0 22 13 1
0 0 0 0 27 13 1
0 0 0 0 32 13 1
0 0 0 0 37 13 1