Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Li Yang
Department of Computing Science, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University,
Xi’an 710049, Shaanxi, PR China and School of Economics & Management, Guangxi Normal
After demonstrating four basic properties a multi-period risk measure should satisfy, a class of gener-
alized convex multi-period risk measures is defined, which improves and extends existing coherent and
convex multi-period risk measures. With respect to this kind of generalized convex multi-period risk
measure, the equivalence among different notions of time consistency of risk measure is established. Fur-
thermore, by introducing a fair property that any sophisticated multi-period risk measure should satisfy,
we show that if the multi-period risk measure is time consistent, then optimal decisions derived under this
risk measure also satisfy the time consistency of optimal policy. Finally, we present the concrete struc-
ture of the time consistent generalized convex multi-period risk measure, and illustrate through several
examples how to construct time consistent generalized convex multi-period risk measures from existing
single-period risk measures.
Keywords: conditional risk measure; generalized convex risk measure; multi-period risk measure; time
consistency of risk measure; time consistency of optimal policy.
1. Introduction
Since the pioneering work of Markowitz (1952), financial risk measurement models have undergone
continuous improvement and innovation. So far, the single-period risk measures having good back-
grounds can be classified into four main categories: coherent risk measure (Artzner et al., 1999; Acerbi
& Tasche, 2002; Rockafellar & Uryasev, 2002; Chen & Wang, 2008), convex risk measure (Föllmer
& Schied, 2002; Lüthi & Doege, 2005; Frittelli & Rosazza Gianin, 2002), quasiconvex risk measure
(Cerreia-Vioglio et al., 2011; Drapeau & Kupper, 2013; Frittelli & Maggis, 2011) and generalized con-
vex risk measure (Chen & Yang, 2011; Chen et al., 2012). Coherent risk measure is suitable for financial
markets having perfect liquidity. Convex risk measure and generalized convex risk measure are free of
the liquidity limitation. But as demonstrated in Dhaene et al. (2003), the translation invariance required
by coherent risk measure and convex risk measure means that the way in which we allocate the eco-
nomic capital among sub-companies within a financial conglomerate is irrelevant. Apparently, all the
works done nowadays on capital allocation assume incoherent risk measures. Meanwhile, as pointed out
c The authors 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications. All rights reserved.
2 of 19 L. YANG ET AL.
by El Karoui & Ravanelli (2009), the translation invariance fails once there is any form of uncertainty
about interest rates (Cerreia-Vioglio et al., 2011). For the above reasons, quasiconvex risk measure and
generalized convex risk measure have been proposed. Compared with quasiconvex risk measure, the
generalized convex risk measure introduced by Chen & Yang (2011) and Chen et al. (2012) can flex-
ibly reflect the investor’s degree of risk aversion, and can control the fat-tail phenomenon of the loss
distribution.
In real financial markets, the information is constantly changing, the single-period risk measure can
not reflect this change. Especially, since the existence of the intermediate cash flow, the decision maker
applied to the final wealth to make decisions. For example, Li & Ng (2000) and Zhou & Li (2000)
generalized the classical mean–variance model to the dynamic framework, where the objective func-
tion only considers the mean and variance of the final wealth; Tapaloglou et al. (2008) established a
multi-stage financial management model, whose goal is to minimize the portfolio’s CVaR value at the
final stage. For multi-period investment problems, rational investors not only care about the change of
the final wealth, but also consider the potential risk that may exist in each stage. If one only concerns
about the variation of the cash flow at final stage, then multi-period characteristics can not be captured
fully; meanwhile, since the potential losses caused by the intermediate cash flow are not taken into
Definition 2.1 The Ft -adapted ρt,T : Yt,T → Yt is called a generalized convex conditional risk measure
if it satisfies the following conditions
(mon) monotonicity: For any x, y ∈ Yt,T , if x y, then ρt,T (x) ρt,T (y);
(con) convexity: For any x, y ∈ Yt,T and λ ∈ Yt with 0 λ 1, ρt,T (λx + (1 − λ)y) λρt,T (x) +
(1 − λ)ρt,T (y);
ρt,T represents the risk assessment at time t on losses that may occur in the future. ρt,T does not rely
on the information to be revealed in the future, that is, ρt,T (z) is Ft −measurable. As F0 = {∅, Ω}, the
space Y0 could be regarded as R, so ρ0,T (z) is a real-valued function. Zero invariance is very natural. If
ρt,T does not satisfy (zi), we can let ρt,T (z) = ρt,T (z) − ρt,T (0), then ρt,T (z) satisfies (zi); monotonicity
means that a stochastic dominating financial position has less risk, which conforms to the fact that
investors prefer less loss rather than more loss; convexity implies that diversification does not increase
risk, which is in accordance with the wisdom in investment community—do not put all your eggs in
one basket. (ta) is obvious. The above properties are fundamental characteristics that a reasonable risk
measure should satisfy. For further financial interpretation of these properties, one can refer to Artzner
et al. (1999), Wang et al. (1997) and Frittelli & Rosazza Gianin (2005).
At present, the research on multi-period risk measure is growing rapidly, and many research results
have appeared. The main stream studies can be divided into two axiomatic systems: multi-period coher-
ent risk measure and multi-period convex risk measure. To illustrate these measures, we introduce the
following properties:
(pte) predictable translation equivariance: For any z ∈ Yt,T and aθ ∈ Yt with t θ T, ρt,T (zt , . . . , zθ−1 ,
aθ + zθ , zθ+1 , . . . , zT ) = aθ + ρt,T (zt , . . . , zθ−1 , zθ , zθ+1 , . . . , zT ).
(ph) positive homogeneity: For any z ∈ Yt,T and β ∈ Yt with β 0, ρt,T (βz) = βρt,T (z).
If ρt,T , t ∈ H\{T}, satisfies (mon), (con), (pte) and (ph), then (ρt,T )Tt=0 is called a multi-period coher-
ent risk measure. Studies on this aspect can be found in, say, Riedel (2004), Delbaen (2006) and
Artzner et al. (2007). From the property (ph), it is easy to see the prerequisite for adopting a coher-
ent risk measure to make decision is that the portfolio held by the investor should have perfect liquidity
during the whole decision process. Once this situation is broken, the liquidity risk will exist. Due to
this phenomenon, some researchers proposed the concept of multi-period convex risk measure. If ρt,T ,
t ∈ H\{T}, satisfies (mon), (con) and (pte), then the risk measure (ρt,T )Tt=0 is called a multi-period con-
vex risk measure. The study about multi-period convex risk measures has become a hot issue in recent
years, one can see Frittelli & Rosazza Gianin (2004), Detlefsen & Scandolo (2005) and Klöppel &
Schweizer (2007) for details. However, as demonstrated in Chen & Yang (2011), (pte) means that the
way in which we allocate the economic capital among sub-companies within a financial conglomerate
is irrelevant. However, the rational allocation of funds is a very important factor affecting the decision
performance. With the foregoing analysis, the generalized convex multi-period risk measure can be nat-
urally defined as a series of generalized convex conditional risk measures, which results in the following
definition.
TIME CONSISTENT GENERALIZED CONVEX RISK MEASURE 5 of 19
Definition 2.2 If ρt,T : Yt,T → Yt , t ∈ H\{T} are generalized convex conditional risk measures, then
the risk measure family (ρt,T )Tt=0 is called a generalized convex multi-period risk measure.
(zi) and (ta) can be deduced from properties (pte) and (ph). Therefore, if a multi-period risk measure
is coherent, it is generalized convex. Without loss of generality, we assume ρt,T (0) = 0, here t ∈ H\{T}.
It is then not difficult to verify that: if a multi-period risk measure is convex, it is also generalized
convex. Combining these facts, the generalized convex multi-period risk measure is an improvement
and extension to existing coherent and convex multi-period risk measures. We will further illustrate that
3. Time consistency
In addition to the properties defined in Definition 2.1, it is now accepted that time consistency is an
important and basic property that a reasonable multi-period risk measure should satisfy. Different expla-
nations to the time consistency of risk measure would result in different time consistent multi-period
risk measures. Here, the four properties in Definition 2.1 are basic properties that any multi-period risk
measure should satisfy, and they have been widely recognized by academic and practical communities.
Therefore, relying on the generalized convex multi-period risk measure and considering the relationship
of losses between time τ and time θ , 0 τ , θ T, we now explore the relationship among different time
consistencies.
Many scholars define time consistency of dynamic risk measure through examining the order rela-
tion between risk assessment values derived at different times. Detlefsen & Scandolo (2005) defined
time consistency based on the equation ordering relation, this definition does not compare losses
between time τ and time θ , and only pay attention to the ordering relation maintenance of different
risk values evaluated at time τ and time θ , which is unconvincing. By considering losses between time
6 of 19 L. YANG ET AL.
τ and time θ , Riedel (2004) defined time consistency of multi-period risk measure in terms of the equal-
ity ordering relation. Concretely, the following two definitions, TC1 and TC2 are the time consistency
of multi-period risk measure defined through the equation ordering relation and the inequality ordering
relation, respectively.
Time consistencies based on different ordering relations are the same in principle, they can be under-
stood as: given two risk positions x and y, if the risk assessment of x is at least as good as that of y at
some time θ in the future, and regardless of which state occurs in the period from time τ to time θ , the
realizations of x are the same as those of y, then the risk assessment of x will not be worse than that of y
at time τ . The ordering relation time consistency demonstrates some sort of continuity in investors’ risk
preference with the time going. Thus, it is natural to require that a multi-period risk measure satisfies
the time consistency based on the ordering relation. From the above description, we can see that the
multi-period risk measure satisfying TC1 or TC2 should be independent of historical information, that
is, the data information before time t should not affect the risk assessment result at time t.
Many papers, such as Peng (2004), Detlefsen & Scandolo (2005), Artzner et al. (2007) and Acciaio
& Penner (2011), defined the time consistency of multi-period risk measure in the form of a recursive
equation. However, these definitions do not compare losses between time τ and time θ . The following
definition, TC3, establishes time consistency of multi-period risk measure in the recursive form where
losses between time τ and time θ are considered, a similar definition is given in Cheridito et al. (2006).
As we pointed out, the four properties (zi), (mon), (con) and (ta) are necessary properties that a
multi-period risk measure should satisfy. Based on the generalized convex multi-period risk measure,
we now explore the relationship among the above three forms of time consistency, TC1, TC2 and TC3.
Proposition 1 TC1, TC2 and TC3 are mutually equivalent.
In practice, decisions made under an uncertain system often affects the realizations of the uncer-
tainty. To describe this mathematically, we assume that Ωt is the set of all states at stage t, t ∈ H, ξt ∈ Ωt
.
is a state of the data process at time t. For 0 s t T, let ξ[s,t] = {ξs , . . . , ξt }. In particular, ξ[0,t] repre-
sents the history of the process from the root node to node ξt . Then, we can view zt = ft (xt , ξt ), where
xt denotes the decision vector at time t, which is a function of the history ξ[0,t] and usually subjects to
some constraints. The constraints can be described as:
x0 ∈ X0 , xt ∈ Xt (xt−1 , ξt ), t = 1, 2, . . . , T, (3.6)
The purpose to construct a multi-period risk measure is to make decisions. For the given information
filtration and the constructed multi-period risk measure, the optimal decisions made at different time
periods should keep persistence. That is, the optimal decision based on ρt,T should not conflict with the
optimal decision based on ρθ,T , 0 θ < t T, which is called the time consistency of the optimal policy.
To state it, we first consider the following multi-stage optimization problem when one stands at the state
ξt , t ∈ H, the objective is to minimize the generalized convex conditional risk measure, conditional on a
realization ξ0 , . . . , ξt of the data process, ξ[0,t] :
Here, we assume that X0 (x−1 , ξ0 ) = X0 when t = 0, and ρT,T (fT (xT , ξT )) = fT (xT , ξT ). We can use
stochastic optimization algorithms (Domenica et al., 2009; Higle et al., 2010) to solve problem (7).
With respect to the optimization problem (7), the time consistency of optimal policy can be
expressed as follows.
TC4 The generalized convex multi-period risk measure (ρt,T )Tt=0 satisfies the time consistency of
optimal policy if the following two conditions hold:
then (x∗θ , . . . , x∗T ) is an optimal decision sequence of problem (7) for t = θ , conditional
on a realization ξ0 , . . . , ξθ of the data process.
Remark 1 TC4 is irrespective of f , it is applicable for any random function ft (xt , ξt ), 0 t T. Mean-
while, the above x∗τ is actually a function of ξ[0,θ] , x∗τ = x∗τ (ξ[0,τ ] ), τ ∈ H.
If the optimal policy is time consistent, then at any moment, the decision maker will not regret
to optimal decisions she has made before. The optimization problem (7) can be solved recursively.
Shapiro (2009) defined the time consistency of optimal policy based on the condition (i) in TC4 and
derived some important properties. Based on the relationship between the optimal decision sequence
of problem (7) for t = 0 and the optimal sub-policy of problem (7) for t = θ (θ = 1, 2, . . . , T), Boda &
Filar (2006) introduced the time consistency of optimal policy. Our description of the time consistency
of optimal policy improves those definitions in the literature, because we can derive several important
and useful conclusions in what follows.
Before demonstrating the relationship between TC4 and the time consistency of multi-period risk
measure, we introduce the following property.
(memon) For θ ∈ H \ {T}, if
∗ ∗
holds for z, w ∈ Yθ,T , and there exists some ξθ+1 ∈ Ωθ+1 with P(ξθ+1 ) > 0 such that the above inequality
∗
is strict with respect to ξθ+1 , then we have
and the above inequality is strict with respect to ξθ∗ ∈ Ωθ , here ξθ∗ is the immediate predecessor of ξθ+1
∗
.
The property (memon) requires the risk measure selected by investors can rank strictly different
investment risks. For decision makers who demand clear and strict distinction on risks, the requirement
(memon) is rather reasonable. This kind of investors often requires that the selected risk measure is
Proof. We first prove that if TC2 is true, then the condition (i) in TC4 follows.
Assume that x∗θ+1 , . . . , x∗T is not the optimal decision sequence of problem (7) for t = θ + 1, condi-
∗ ∗
tional on a realization ξ0 , . . . , ξθ , ξθ+1 of the process. There will exist an ξθ+1 ∈ Ωθ+1 with P(ξθ+1 ) > 0,
and a feasible solution ȳθ+1 , . . . , ȳT of problem (7) for t = θ + 1, conditional on a realization ξ0 , . . . , ξθ ,
∗
ξθ+1 of the process, such that
When t = T, from
x∗T ∈ arg min ρT,T (fT (xT , ξT )) ,
xT ∈XT ξ[0,T]
it is easy to deduce
fT (x∗T , ξT ) fT (xT , ξT ), ∀xT ∈ XT .
When t = T − 1, let xT−1 , xT be any feasible solution to problem (7) for t = T − 1, conditional on a
realization ξ0 , . . . , ξT−1 of the data process, then
Therefore, we have proved that x∗T−1 , x∗T determined through (8) is an optimal decision sequence to
problem (7) for t = T − 1, conditional on a realization ξ0 , . . . , ξT−1 of the process.
Suppose that x∗θ+1 , . . . , x∗T derived by (8) is an optimal decision sequence to problem (7) for t =
θ + 1, conditional on a realization ξ0 , . . . , ξθ+1 of the process, we prove x∗θ , x∗θ+1 , . . . , x∗T derived by (8)
is an optimal decision sequence to problem (7) for t = θ , conditional on a realization ξ0 , . . . , ξθ of the
process.
Let xθ , . . . , xT be any feasible solution to problem (7) for t = θ , conditional on a realization ξ0 , . . . , ξθ
of the data process, then
so
min ρθ,T (fθ (xθ , ξθ ), fθ+1 (x∗θ+1 , ξθ+1 ), . . . , fT (x∗T , ξT ))
xθ ∈Xθ ξ[0,θ ]
min ρθ,T (fθ (xθ , ξθ ), . . . , fT (xT , ξT )) ,
xτ ∈Xτ ,τ =θ,...,T ξ[0,θ ]
that is, x∗θ , . . . , x∗T derived by (8) is an optimal decision sequence to problem (7) for t = θ , conditional
on a realization ξ0 , . . . , ξθ of the process. According to the mathematical induction method, for every
θ ∈ H, we have shown that (x∗θ , . . . , x∗T ) derived by (8) is an optimal decision sequence to problem (7)
for t = θ , conditional on a realization ξ0 , . . . , ξθ of the process. Consequently, the condition (ii) in TC4
follows.
TIME CONSISTENT GENERALIZED CONVEX RISK MEASURE 11 of 19
Propositions 1 and 2 tell us that: under the condition (memon), if a generalized convex multi-period
risk measure is time consistent, then the multistage investment optimization problem with this gener-
alized convex multi-period risk measure as the objective function would satisfy the time consistency
of optimal policy. It is worth noting that the condition (ii) in TC4 can be directly deduced from TC2,
namely, the condition (memon) is not needed here. Therefore, if a generalized convex multi-period
risk measure is time consistent, then the corresponding multi-stage optimization problem can be solved
recursively in the backward way.
Proposition 3 The necessary and sufficient condition for a generalized convex multi-period risk mea-
sure (ρt,T )Tt=0 to satisfy the time consistency of risk measure is that (ρt,T )Tt=0 has the following form
ρT,T (zT ) = zT
(4.1)
ρt,T (zt , . . . , zT ) = zt + φt (zt+1 + φt+1 (zt+2 + · · · + φT−2 (zT−1 + φT−1 (zT )) · · · )),
where (zt , zt+1 , . . . , zT ) ∈ Yt,T , t = 0, 1, 2, . . . , T − 1, and φt : Yt+1 → Yt , t ∈ H \ {T}, satisfies the fol-
lowing properties:
(ozi) φt (0) = 0;
(omon) If y, z ∈ Yt+1 , and y z, then φt (y) φt (z);
(ocon) For any y, z ∈ Yt+1 and λ ∈ Yt with λ ∈ [0, 1], φt (λy + (1 − λ)z) λφt (y) + (1 − λ)φt (z).
Remark 2 Due to Proposition 1, the time consistency of risk measure in Proposition 3 and in what
follows means that any one of TC1, TC2 or TC3 holds.
Proof. If the generalized convex multi-period risk measure (ρt,T )Tt=0 is time consistent, i.e., TC1, TC2
or TC3 holds, then we have from TC3 and (ta) that
For any zt+1 ∈ Yt+1 , let φt (zt+1 ) = ρt,t+1 (0, zt+1 ), t ∈ H \ {T}. Since (ρt,T )Tt=0 is a generalized convex
multi-period risk measure, it is easy to deduce from Definition 2.1 that φt : Yt+1 → Yt satisfies (ozi),
(omon) and (ocon). Applying TC3 and (ta) repeatedly to (10), we then have (9). This completes the
proof of the necessary part.
As for the sufficient condition, we have φt : Yt+1 → Yt , t ∈ H \ {T}, it is then easy to see from (9)
that ρt,T : Yt,T → Yt . For any zτ ∈ Yτ , τ = t, t + 1, . . . , T, we have
The above two equalities hold because of (9); the inequality is due to that φT−1 (·) satisfies (ocon).
Therefore, ρT−1,T (·) satisfies (con).
Suppose that for t = θ (θ = 1, 2, . . . , T − 1), any λ ∈ [0, 1] and y, z ∈ Yθ,T , we have
Then we prove that ρθ−1,T (·) satisfies (con) when t = θ − 1. In fact, for λ ∈ [0, 1] and yτ , zτ ∈ Yτ , τ =
θ − 1, θ , . . . , T, we have
The two equalities here are due to (11). The first inequality relies on (12) and the property (omon), while
the second inequality holds as φθ−1 (·) satisfies (ocon).
By the induction principle, we have shown that, for all t ∈ H \ {T}, ρt,T (·) satisfies (con).
We can derive from (11) and the monotonicity of φt (·) that ρt,T (·) satisfies TC2. It is then known
from Proposition 1 that TC1 and TC3 hold.
By now, we have proved that (ρt,T )Tt=0 constructed through (9) is a generalized convex multi-period
risk measure which satisfies the time consistency of multi-period risk measure and, consequently, satis-
fies properties TC1, TC2 and TC3.
From (9) and (11), we can see that the risk evaluated at every time and every state is aggre-
gated through the current risk value and the residual risk measurement value, and the value of the
multi-period risk measure in the whole horizon is recursively determined in a backward way. Define
TIME CONSISTENT GENERALIZED CONVEX RISK MEASURE 13 of 19
(a) (b)
φtω (z) = [φt (z)](ω), here z ∈ Yt+1 , ω ∈ Ft . It is easy to derive from (omon) and (ocon) that: for each
ω ∈ Ft , φtω : Yt+1 → R is monotone and convex. That is, φtω (·) is a generalized convex single-period
risk measure. Monotonicity and convexity are fundamental properties that any reasonable risk measure
should meet. Generalized convex risk measures have much broader applications than coherent or con-
vex risk measures. Especially, if Ft = {∅, Ω}, then y ∈ Yt is constant, and Yt can be treated as the set of
real numbers R. Thus, φt (·) can be seen as a generalized convex single-period risk measure satisfying
(ozi), (omon) and (ocon).
On the other hand, given a functional ρ : Y → R, where Y is a linear space formed by
F−measurable functions on (Ω, F, P). If ρ(z), z ∈ Y, satisfies the following three properties (szi),
(smon) and (scon), then ρ(z) is called a real-valued generalized convex single-period risk measure.
(szi) ρ(0) = 0;
(smon) If y, z ∈ Y and y z, then ρ(y) ρ(z);
(scon) For any y, z ∈ Y and λ ∈ [0, 1], ρ(λy + (1 − λ)z) λρ(y) + (1 − λ)ρ(z).
To extend the real-valued generalized convex single-period risk measure ρ(·) to the multi-period
case with respect to the filtration {Ft }t∈H , we define φt (·) = ρ(·|Ft ), t ∈ H \ {T}, similarly to that in
Geman & Ohana (2008) and other papers. It is easy to verify that φt (·) is well defined and satisfies
properties (ozi), (omon) and (ocon). Therefore, if we plug φt (·), t ∈ H \ {T}, into (9), it is then known
from Proposition 3 that (ρt,T )Tt=0 is a generalized convex multi-period risk measure satisfying the time
consistency of multi-period risk measure.
To illustrate how to calculate ρt,T (zt , . . . , zT ) defined in (9) in a backward way, we consider a random
process (z0 , z1 , z2 ) ∈ Y0,2 described by the two-stage tree in Fig. 1(a). The numbers beside the nodes of
the tree are losses, the numbers on the branches are branch occurring probabilities. The current loss at
time 0 is 5. To compute ρ0,2 (z0 , z1 , z2 ), we first calculate ρ1,2 (z1 , z2 ) = z1 + φ1 (z2 ) for each sub-tree at
time t = 1. Applying φ1 (z2 ) = E[z2 |F1 ] yields 1, 2 and 3 for the three sub-trees in turn. We then add these
numbers to the losses at time 1, as shown in Fig. 1b. Applying φ0 (z1 + φ1 (z2 )) = E[z1 + φ1 (z2 )|F0 ]
14 of 19 L. YANG ET AL.
T =1 T =2 T =3
ω p(ω) y z
ω1 0.02 8 8
ω2 0.03 6 6
ω3 0.90 2 5
yields (0 + 1) · 1/3 + (1 + 2) · 1/3 + (2 + 3) · 1/3 = 3, and adding this number to the loss 5 at time
t = 0 finally yields 8, which is the value of ρ0,2 (z0 , z1 , z2 ), please see Fig. 1b.
Then, what conditions should ρ(·) satisfy so that the optimal policy based on (ρt,T )Tt=0 is time con-
sistent? Before answering this question, we first introduce the following property:
(emon) For y, z ∈ Y, if y z, and there exists some ω∗ ∈ Ω with P(ω∗ ) > 0 such that y(ω∗ ) <
z(ω∗ ), then ρ(y) < ρ(z).
If ρ(·) is a real-valued generalized convex single-period risk measure which satisfies (emon), then
ρ(·) can capture the subtle change of the investment risk. (emon) means that ρ(·) is strictly monotone,
and globally considers the risk measurement of the loss distribution. Many existing single-period risk
measures, such as CVaRα (Rockafellar & Uryasev, 2002), TNTα (Chen et al., 2012) and WESα (Chen
& Yang, 2011) 1 , here α < 1, do not satisfy this property, because these risk measures only pay attention
to the partial information of the loss distribution. To illustrate this, we consider a simple example with
only four samples, the concrete data is shown in Table 1. It is easy to see from Table 1 that y z and
y(ω3 ) < z(ω3 ) with P(ω3 ) > 0, also y(ω4 ) < z(ω4 ) with P(ω4 ) > 0, namely, y and z satisfy the condi-
tion in (emon). However, CVaR0.05 (y) = CVaR0.05 (z), and the same conclusion holds for WES0.05 and
TNT0.05 , which contradict with the conclusion of (emon). Based on the loss distributions of y and z, any
rational investor will select y to invest. This shows that, if a risk measure only pays attention to partial
information of the loss distribution, it would not be competent for ranking finely on different portfo-
lio risks. Therefore, a competitive optimal strategy can only be derived from the risk measure which
satisfies (emon).
Demonstrated in Chen et al. (2012) are the favorable financial and mathematical properties of TNTα .
Moreover, TNTα satisfies the property (emon) as long as α = 1.
It is not difficult to show the following conclusion:
Proposition 4 Suppose ρ(·) is a real-valued generalized convex single-period risk measure, and
(ρt,T )Tt=0 is constructed through (9), where φt (·) = ρ(·|Ft ), t ∈ H \ {T}. Then (ρt,T )Tt=0 satisfies the prop-
erty (memon) if and only if ρ(·) satisfies the property (emon).
This proposition and Proposition 3 tell us that: if ρ(·) is a real-valued generalized convex single-
period risk measure satisfying (emon), then (ρt,T )Tt=0 constructed through formula (9), where φt (·) =
ρ(·|Ft ), t ∈ H \ {T}, satisfies both the time consistency of multi-period risk measure and (memon).
Furthermore, combining the above facts with Proposition 2, we can deduce that the optimal decisions
based on (ρt,T )Tt=0 satisfy the time consistency of optimal policy.
We would like to emphasize here that, all the above demonstrations tell us at least three facts: first,
the form of the generalized convex multi-period risk measure satisfying the time consistency of risk
measure should be the form specified by (9), where φt (·) = ρ(·|Ft ), t ∈ H \ {T}, and ρ(·) is a real-
valued generalized convex single-period risk measure; secondly, the multi-period risk measure (ρt,T )Tt=0
constructed from any real-valued generalized convex single-period risk measure ρ(·) according to (9)
Because of the tower property of conditional expectation, it is easy to prove that the resulting multi-
period risk measure (9) constructed from (13) can be written as:
then the multi-period risk measure (ρt,T )Tt=0 composed from φt (·) satisfies the time consistency of risk
measure. Moreover, we can construct different generalized convex multi-period risk measure (ρt,T )Tt=0 s
by selecting proper nonlinear convex weight function w(·)s. If ω(z) = z, then TNTα (z) = CVaRα (z)
would be used to construct (ρt,T )Tt=0 through (9), which is time consistent.
The generalized convex multi-period risk measure (ρt,T )Tt=0 constructed from TNTα (z) satisfies the
time consistency of risk measure. From Propositions 2 and 4, we know that if TNTα (z) satisfies (emon),
then the optimal decisions based on (ρt,T )Tt=0 are time consistent, and the corresponding multistage
investment optimization problem can be solved recursively. If α = 1, it is easy to prove that TNTα (z)
satisfies (emon), consequently, the (ρt,T )Tt=0 constructed from TNT1 (z) is time consistent and the optimal
decisions derived under (ρt,T )Tt=0 also satisfies the time consistency of optimal policy. The following
example corresponds to ω(z) = (c0 + z)γ (γ > 1) and α = 1.
Example 4 ρ(z) = E[(c0 + z)γ ], where γ > 1 and c0 is a large constant.
The multi-period risk measures constructed from TNT1 (z) are risk-averse, they can flexibly reflect
the investor’s degree of risk aversion by selecting proper ω(z). Also, the optimal decisions obtained
from the multistage portfolio selection problem with one of the above generalized convex multi-period
risk measures as the objective function would satisfy the time consistency of optimal policy. What
is more important from the practical point of view, the corresponding multi-stage portfolio selection
problem can be solved in a recursive way.
5. Conclusions
Through discussing necessary properties that a reasonable multi-period risk measure should satisfy,
we introduce a class of generalized convex multi-period risk measures. It is convenient to study the
time consistency of risk measure under this kind of multi-period risk measures, since the existing def-
initions about the time consistency of risk measure are then equivalent. Moreover, we show that the
time consistent generalized convex multi-period risk measure can ensure the time consistency of the
optimal policy derived under the multi-period risk measure. We derive the concrete recursive form of
the generalized convex multi-period risk measure and show how to construct the generalized convex
TIME CONSISTENT GENERALIZED CONVEX RISK MEASURE 17 of 19
multi-period risk measure from existing generalized convex single-period risk measures. Especially, the
corresponding multistage portfolio selection problem under the generalized convex multi-period risk
measure can be solved recursively. All these results are helpful for us to understand and examine the
time consistency of multi-period risk measure and/or optimal investment policy, and are useful for us to
construct reasonable multi-period risk measures and to solve the resulting multi-stage portfolio selection
problem.
As for the future study, it is worthwhile constructing other practical, risk-averse generalized convex
multi-period risk measures in order to suitably reflect the investor’s degree of risk aversion and to find
Acknowledgement
The authors are grateful to four anonymous referees, the associate editor and the editor for their valu-
able comments, which have been of great help in improving the paper significantly in both content
and style.
Funding
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Numbers
70971109, 71371152, 11461008 and 11326204), Research Project of the Humanities and Social Sci-
ences of Guangxi Education Department (Grant Number LX2014046), the Natural Science Foundation
of Guangxi Normal University (Key Project), the Scientific Research Foundation of Guangxi Normal
University for Doctor and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant Number
08143032).
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