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a. l. agarwal · b. l. rajput · er. s. mangesh a. · model formulation to estimate manpower demand for the real.. · p p 828 - 833 829
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients
Model Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients
Model Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients
Model Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
Standardized
Unstandardized Coefficients
Model Coefficients t Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
Chan et al (2003) using simple regres- expenditure in the given project dura- for total project labour and ten essential
sion analysis developed a model to esti- tion. The model can also be used to trades by using multiple regressions.
mate total labour required for any given predict the number of jobs created for They concluded from their study that
type of project using labour demand a given level of investment. The govern- project labour demand depends not
cost relationship. Chan et al (2006) ment can apply this model to check and only on a single factor, but a cluster of
developed a forecasting model on the compare which project type will gener- variables related to the project charac-
basis of labour multipliers approach ate most jobs before committing public teristics, including construction cost,
by driving the relationship between money. Wong et al (2008) developed 11 project complexity attributes, physical
number of workers required and project manpower demand forecasting models site conditions and project type.
Total 7187.875 7
Table 6. ANOVA
Standardized
Un standardized Coefficients
Model Coefficients T Sig.
B Std. Error Beta
Data collection and analysis Collected data about project cost and indicates that entire model is highly
residential/commercial building con- manpower used was used to develop correlated with cost of project. Total
structions during 2005-2012 are con- regression models for all four catego- variation defined by all the variables is
sidered for developing this estimation ries of manpower by using statistical 97.3% i.e. the project is feasible from
model. Manpower requirement varies software SPSS (Statistical Package data point of view with only 2.7% loss of
from building project to infrastructure for the Social Sciences). The outputs data. As per Statistics, if the value of R
project construction and hence data generated by regression analysis for = 1 then the respective model is highly
collection was done only from residen- all four categories of manpower are correlated and R = -1 then the model
tial or commercial building projects. presented respectively in Table 1, Table is highly correlated in reverse fashion
Questionnaire survey is used for col- 2, Table 3 and Table 4. In these tables, i.e. no positive relation can be obtain.
lection of data and data regarding man- the values in column “B” are the coef- In this case, R = 0.986 which is nearly
power utilized and total project costs ficients of the regression equation and equals to 1, hence the correlation can
were collected from selected construc- accordingly the regression models for be found out with very less amount of
tion project sites. Total manpower used various categories of manpower are loss in data. The ANOVA table tests
in all projects was categorized in to four formulated. the acceptability of the model from a
categories as Engineers, Consultants, Table 5 shows the Model summary in statistical perspective (Table 6). The
Administrators and Shop Floor level. which Correlation coefficient R = .986, Regression row displays information
a. l. agarwal · b. l. rajput · er. s. mangesh a. · model formulation to estimate manpower demand for the real.. · p p 828 - 833 831
Analyzed data based on
Manpower categories Actual data collected from site Difference
regression equations obtained
about the variation accounted for by the Validity of the models construction methods, technology
model. The Residual row displays infor- Validity of models was tested by com- and construction materials to get
mation about the variation that is not paring predicted values with actual more accuracy.
accounted for by the model. The regres- values for construction project site
sion and residual sums of squares which is located in Mumbai. Forecasting Conclusion
are not equal, i.e. regression sum of performance of all four models is as Review of literature concluded that
squares is greater than residual sum shown in Table 8. project cost is one of the major fac-
of squares which indicates that about The results of the validation confirm tors which affect project manpower
entire of the variation is explained by that the forecasting models are predict- demand. Hence project cost and man-
the model. The significance value of ing manpower demand with very less power data from selected residential/
the F statistic is less than 0.05 (value = amount of deviation. commercial building projects were col-
0.011), which means that the variation lected to develop regression models
explained by the model is not due to Limitations of the models using multiple regression analysis. By
chance and hence acceptable. Although models predict manpower using this data manpower forecasting
Table 7 gives the regression equation demand for construction projects, it models were created for four catego-
coefficients in consideration with all is acknowledged that the models are ries such as Engineers, Consultants,
the independent variables (Engineers, subject to following limitations: Administrators and Shop Floor level.
Consultants, Administrators and Shop � The study was limited to only residen- The models were then verified by com-
floor labor) and dependent variable tial or commercial building construc- paring predicted values with actual
(Cost of project). tion projects. As project cost vary values for one building construction
from structure to structure, above project. Results of validity test indicate
General Regression Equation: regression models are useful to cal- that the developed models predict man-
Y = -41.76 - 0.843 X1+ 3.027 X2+ 9.557 culate manpower demand only for power demand for construction project
X3 + 0.197 X4 similar kind of projects which involve with minimum deviation. Contracting
similar kind of activities. agencies can use these models to
� The beta coefficient tells that how � Developed regression models estimate manpower requirement for
strongly the independent variable give only approximate manpower effective personals deployments for
is associated with the dependent demand for only four categories execution of a new construction proj-
variable. such as Engineers, Consultants, ect. This facilitates better manpower
� Above table indicates that indepen- Administrators and Shop Floor level. planning and budgeting for projects
dent variable Shop Floor is highly � The results were derived from a and will help to curb delays in comple-
associated (Beta Coefficient .493) sample of selected projects only, tion of construction work.
with dependent variable Cost of which may not be sufficient to
Project. develop regression models for all
� P-Significance value .011 means sig- projects.
nificance i.e. it is the significance of � Labour demand and project cost of
model. construction projects depend upon
� Negative sign for the coefficient of construction methods and technol-
Engineers indicates uncertainty in ogy, construction materials used. It
the data available. is advisable to update models taking
into consideration the change in