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Forward and Backward Planning

Ade Febransyah
afebran@pmbs.ac.id
Let’s take a look in B-schools industry
Forward planning

Level 1:
Projected State
Focus

Level 2: T/U 1 T/U 2 T/U i


Trends/Uncertainties

Level 3:
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario j
Scenarios

Level 4:
Capabilities Capability 1 Capability 2 Capability k

Level 4:
Projected State 1 State 2 State l
state
Backward planning
Level 1:
Desired State
Focus

Achievement Achievement
Level 2: Achievement i
1 2
Desired
Achievements

Level 3: Problem 1 Problem 2 Problem j


Problems

Level 4:
Actor 1 Actor 2 Actor k
Actors

Level 5:
Strategy 1 Strategy 2 Strategy l
Strategies
ACTION PLAN
What (scenarios) lie ahead in your industry?
Will they affect your business, positively or negatively?
What (strategies) to run to become more or stay
competitive?
Action #1: Scenarios for apps-based
transportation industry ?

TRENDS UNCERTAINTIES SCENARIOS


 How about:

- E-commerce industry?
- Financing industry?
- Retail industry?
- Property industry?
- Energy industry?
- Mining industry?
- Automotive industry?
Action #2: Projecting your company’s
future
 Based on scenarios, what will likely your company end
up in the future, with regard to your current capability?
Action #3: Formulating strategies to win the
competition

 Based on the desired state, what are the right strategies


to make business highly-competitive?

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