Paper Alternative Energy

Trisakti University
Shell Energy Transition to 2070

Muhammad Alan Jaeni1

1
NIM: 061001800502-Extension Student 2018-Trisakti University, Majoring Mechanical Engineering
Trisakti University, Jakarta 11440
Phone Number: (+62) 82123927106
Email: alan.jaeni@gmail.com

Abstract

Governments took a great stride forward in 2015, when they came together in Paris to reach a landmark
agreement to tackle climate change. Shell welcomes and supports the Paris Agreement and the ambition to
limit the global rise in temperatures to well below two degrees Celsius (2°C) above pre-industrial levels.
It is an ambition that will depend on unprecedented collaboration between governments, companies and
society, and crucially, realism about the challenges ahead. It requires a transformation in the way energy is
produced, distributed and used. The solutions will vary by economic sector. Some, like clothes and food
manufacturing, require low temperature processes and mechanical activities, which electricity is well suited to
deliver. These can therefore be powered by low and zero carbon sources of power, including renewable energy.
To suffer from this prediction, we have to build up infrastructure to use new energies that low-carbon.
This has identified the reduction in the Net Carbon Footprint of the energy system needed to achieve a
reasonable chance of limiting global warming to well below two degrees Celsius (2°C).

Keywords: Shell, Net Carbon Footprint, Paris Agreement,

1. INTRODUCTION 1.2 Energy Statistic

Society today faces a challenge on an
Today’s energy system is the result of many
unprecedented scale: how to meet increasing
decades of choices by consumers, energy suppliers
energy needs while reducing carbon emissions. As
societies grow and people pursue a higher quality
of life, demand for energy increases. It fuels
economies, homes, schools, industry, transport and
construction. It’s the vital ingredient in the
products and services many of us take for granted
in our everyday lives.

Figure 1 Energy Statistic [1]

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 Paper Alternative Energy
Trisakti University
and governments. Societies want energy that is sources like wind and solar, and low-emission fuels
reliable, widely available and affordable. As a such as biofuels.
result, hydrocarbons account for more than 80% of
the energy mix.

1.3 Societal Challenge

Governments took a great stride forward in

2015, when they came together in Paris to reach a
landmark agreement to tackle climate change.
Shell welcomes and supports the Paris Agreement
and the ambition to limit the global rise in
temperatures to well below two degrees Celsius Figure 3 Primary Demand Energy by Geography [3]

(2°C) above pre-industrial levels. The energy mix varies between regions and
countries because of their different starting points,
levels of development, types of economy, and
energy resources available locally. In north-west
Europe, energy demand remains relatively constant
and renewables overtake hydrocarbons as the
dominant primary energy source.
In countries such as China, India and across
Figure 2 Societal Challenge [2]
Africa, all forms of primary energy – including
It is an ambition that will depend on
both hydrocarbons and renewable sources – grow
unprecedented collaboration between
strongly from today’s base to support
governments, companies and society, and crucially,
industrialisation, build modern economies and
realism about the challenges ahead. It requires a
raise living standards.
transformation in the way energy is produced,
The transition to new sources of energy
distributed and used.
around the world requires major changes to
This is the reality of the change needed
industrial, commercial and residential
across the world to meet the aims of Paris. It is a
infrastructure. This takes time and substantial
transition that will span decades.
investment, so the pace of change will build in the
2020s and accelerate thereafter.
2. ENERGY DEMAND
Energy demand grows during the century as
3. TRANSITION SCENARIO
the global population increases to more than 10
The transition to lower-carbon energy
billion and the world becomes more prosperous.
presents opportunities, as well as risks. It requires
They all feature continued long-term demand for
major changes to industrial, commercial and
oil and gas, alongside rapid growth in renewable
residential infrastructure. This takes time and

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substantial investment. We are reshaping our
company to provide the energy, and related
products and services, that consumers need as
society works to meet the goals of the Paris
Agreement.
4. REDUCING NET CARBON
FOOTPRINT
Shell plan to reduce the Net Carbon
Footprint of the energy products in step with
society’s progress. Already applied own unique
Net Carbon Footprint methodology, using Sky
scenario analysis and the IEA’s Energy
Technology Perspectives 2017 as inputs.
Based on this analysis, believe that society
will have to achieve net zero additional CO2
equivalent emissions from energy by 2070. That
will likely require the world to reduce the amount
of CO2 produced for each unit of energy consumed
from today’s level of around 74 grams to around 43
grams of CO2 per mega joule by 2050.
Figure 2 Emissions of air Pollutants and CO2
type by IEA [1]
Shell’s Net Carbon Footprint
methodology is bespoke and unique. It covers the
total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions associated
Paper Alternative Energy
Trisakti University
with the production, processing and consumption
of the energy products Shell sells. This includes
direct emissions from Shell operations, as well as
those caused by third parties who supply energy for
our production. It includes the hydrocarbons we
procure from other producers, refiners and
manufacturers that we incorporate into our supply
chain, and the emissions from the consumption of
these products by our customers.
The calculation includes biofuels and
electricity products, as well as emissions that we
offset by using carbon capture and storage (CCS),
or natural sinks such as forests and wetlands. It
does not include no energy products such as
chemicals and lubricants. This is because they are
not intended to be burned, which releases CO2.
Figure 3 Net Carbon Footprint [3]
This is a new, and we believe, ground-
breaking methodology. We are working with
respected experts from independent organisations
to review and validate our approach.
After purchasing the products, some
customers will take further steps to reduce
emissions such as embedding them in long-life
materials, or applying CCS, or improving their own
energy efficiency. Because these are outside our
control, our NCF methodology excludes these
(NCF)
emissions reductions and ascribes no credit for
them to Shell unless we are directly involved. For
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this reason, the relative reductions required to
achieve the aims of the Paris Agreement under the
NCF methodology will differ from, but are
consistent with, IEA projections.
Paper Alternative Energy
Trisakti University
This has identified the reduction in the Net
Carbon Footprint of the energy system needed to
achieve a reasonable chance of limiting global
warming to well below two degrees Celsius (2°C).

5. ANALYSIS 6. DAFTAR PUSTAKA

As chart below, MIT predict surface [1] International Energy Agency (IEA). 2017
temperature will continue rise since 90s to 2100. [2] Population-UN World Population Projection
Energy Consumption. 2015
[3] Shell Analysis. 2018
[4] MIT’s findings for Mountains, Oceans and
Sky. 2017

Figure 4 Surface Temperature Prediction [4]

To suffer from this prediction, we have to

build up infrastructure to use new energies that
low-carbon.
Shell analysis that the scenario will actually
work and will result to CO2 goes down as below.
Shell analysis that the scenario will actually work
and will result to CO2 goes down as below.

Figure 5 CO2 Emission Prediction [3]

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