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DMAIC METHOD
1. Define
2. Measure
3. Analyze
4. Improve
5. ControlDMADV METHOD
(Six-Sigma)
1. Define
2. Measure
3. Analyze
4. Design
5. Verify
Data is recorded by making marks (checks) on a sheet
Data represents location and number of marks
Can be qualitative or quantitative
5 Ws: WHO, WHAT, WHERE,
WHEN, WHY
Checklist
© Vulcan Cold Forge Pvt. Ltd., 2018
2. CONTROL CHARTS
Specifications are
in one unit (items)
while the control
chart is in another
(average of several
items).
Why do we need
Control Charts?
Monitor process
variation over
time
Differentiate
between special cause and common cause variation
Assess effectiveness of changes
Communicate process performance or variation
Show if a process is in control or out of control
All random or natural processes show common-cause variation, i.e.
unpredictable.
1. Variables
X_x0016_ bar and R charts display subgroup means and ranges.
_x000f_X_x0016_ bar and s charts display subgroup means and standard
deviations.
2. Attributes
A p chart displays the proportion of defective items in a subgroup sample.
An np chart displays the number of defective items in a subgroup sample.
_x000f_A u chart displays the number of defects per unit in a subgroup sample
consisting of an arbitrary number of units.
_x000f_A c chart displays the number of defects in a unit.
Types of Control Charts
+ 3 sigma line
- 3 sigma line
Random Sampling
Each member of the population has an equal
chance of being included in the sample
Stratified Sampling
The population is divided into subgroups and
then randomly sampled
Systematic Sampling
Samples are taken at specific points in time
or intervals
Sample Size?
Detect small changes or large changes?
Normal vs Non-normal data?
Make subgroups and choose frequency of sampling
Subgroups
●
For each subgroup , subgroup Mean and Range is calculated
●
The subgroup ranges provide information about short-term (within subgroup) variability.
●
The subgroup means, when viewed over time, provide information about longer-term (between
subgroup) variability.
●
Control limits are established based on the short-term variability (the ranges) and the average of
●
If too low, then process shifts may go undetected
●
If too large then sensitive to insignificant process shifts
●
As the subgroup size increases, the standard deviation of
●
Subgroup size is a function of the desired sensitivity,
Type I error
probability (α) – A
Type I error occurs
when we conclude
that a control chart is
giving us an out-of-
control signal but the process is actually stable. This may
be considered as a “false alarm.” In control chart applications, it is customary to set α = 0.0027. This is
done so that the control limits trap 99.73% of the statistic that is being plotted on the control chart
(note that 99.73% is trapped by placing control limits at ±3 standard deviations from the process
average for normally distributed statistics such as sample averages). Because α is typically 0.0027, the
formula term involving α is typically Ζ 0.0027/2 = Ζ 0.000135 = 3.
Type II error probability (β) – A Type II error occurs when we fail to detect an out-of-control
condition when the process is actually not stable. This is a serious error, as the whole purpose of the
control chart is to detect a change quickly after the change occurs! As the Type II error is decreased,
the required sample size to detect a process change increases (provided all other factors are
unchanged). Once β is specified by the chart designer (a function of risk tolerance), Ζ β/2 can be
found from a standard normal table, which is available in any statistics textbook.
Subgroup Size matters
Ζ α/2 = the number of standard deviations above zero on the standard normal distribution such that the
area in the tail of the distribution is α/2 (α is the type I error probability and is typically 0.0027 for
control chart applications. In this case, Ζ 0.00135 =3).
Ζ β = the number of standard deviations above zero on the standard normal distribution such that
the area in the tail of the distribution is β (β is the type II error probability). σ = the standard
deviation of the characteristic being charted.
What sample size is required to detect a shift of 0.18 oz with 80% probability? (20% probability that
the chart does not detect the shift).
We have:
Ζ α/2 = Ζ 0.00135 = 3 Ζ β =
Ζ 0.20 = 0.84 σ = 0.12
D = 0.18 oz
What is d2?
RULE 2 : Zone A
2 out of 3 points above or below the 2 sigma limits
RULE 5 : Trends
6/7 points in a row increasing or decreasing
●
Bar graph showing distribution of numerical data
●
Divide the data into bins or range of values or series of intervals of equal size
●
Calculate number of cases that fall into each bin also called frequency