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Rating Matrix
Rating : Unrated Srikalahasthi Pipes (LANIND)
YoY growth (%)
| 204
(YoY Growth) FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Total Op. Income (%) 14.5 9.5 4.7 5.9 Opportunity in pipeline!
EBITDA (%) 127.1 58.6 7.1 9.1 Srikalahasthi Pipes (SPL), formerly known as Lanco Industries (LIL), is a
Profit after tax (%) LP 114.4 21.0 14.8 South-India based integrated pipe manufacturing company engaged in
EPS (%) LP 114.4 21.0 14.8 supply of ductile iron (DI) pipes. While on a pan-India basis, SPL
Current multiple commands 13% market share in the DI pipes segment, in its focussed
FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E markets i.e. south and west zone (Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka,
P/E (x) 21.0 9.8 8.1 7.0 Kerala, Tamil Nada, Maharashtra and Goa) SPL’s market share is as high
EV / EBITDA (x) 10.3 6.4 6.0 5.3
as ~75%. Given the strong push by the government on improving water
Book Value (|) 56.7 73.8 95.5 121.0
supply and sewerage infrastructure coupled with leadership position in
P/BV (x) 3.6 2.8 2.1 1.7
southern and western Indian market (75% share in south and west zone),
SPL is well placed to cater to the rising demand. On the back of rising
RoNW (%) 17.2 28.3 26.4 24.0
demand from the user industry segment, the company has recently
RoCE (%) 13.2 21.4 21.0 20.9
augmented its DI pipe capacity from 180 KTPA to 225 KTPA. Driven by
Stock Data higher production, we expect SPL’s topline to grow at a CAGR of 5.3% in
Bloomberg/Reuters Code SRIK IN/SRIK.BO FY15-17E and PAT to report a CAGR of 17.9% during the same period led
Sensex 27,586 by margin expansion (18.0% in FY17E vs. 17.1% in FY15).
Average volumes 365,784 Improvement in water infrastructure to perk up demand
Market Cap (| crore) 811.2 As per the 2011 Census, currently only 31% of India’s population has
52 week H/L 222/37 access to improved sanitation. In order to provide a better habitat facility,
Equity Capital (Rs crore) 39.8 continued emphasis is being given by the government on improving the
Promoter's Stake (%) 50.8 water supply and sewerage infrastructure. Priority attention has been
FII Holding (%) 1.1 given to the state government and centre sponsored programmes such
DII Holding (%) 0.8 as JNNURM, NRDWP and UIDSSM. Under the Twelfth Five Year Plan
(2012-17), ~| 2500 billion has been allocated for development of water
Price movement
supply and sanitation infrastructure. As fortunes of ductile iron pipes are
10,000 250 closely linked to investment in water supply infrastructure, with its
presence in the DI pipes segment, SPL is likely to be the key beneficiary.
8,000 200
Backward integration to aid in maintaining healthy margins…
6,000 150
SPL has taken various initiatives to reduce its operating cost, which has
4,000 100 resulted in margin expansion. One of the key backward integration
initiatives was setting up a sinter plant (commenced operation from
2,000 50
January 2013), which resulted in usage of low cost iron ore fines instead
0 0 of lump ores. Subsequently EBITDA margins improved from 3.9% in
Aug-12 Jan-14 Jul-15 Q3FY13 to 11.8% in Q4FY13 and further to 18.8% in Q4FY15.
Price (R.H.S) Nifty (L.H.S) On strong footing, well placed to cater to rising demand…
On the back of a healthy demand scenario for key user industries, we
Research Analysts believe SPL is well placed to cater to the rising demand. Driven by healthy
Dewang Sanghavi volume growth, we expect SPL’s topline, EBITDA and PAT to grow at a
dewang.sanghavi@icicisecurities.com CAGR of 5.3%, 8.1% and 17.9%, respectively, during FY15-17E.
Exhibit 1: Valuation Metrics
| crore FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Total Operating Income (| crore) 863.9 989.4 1,083.6 1,134.4 1,201.5
EBITDA (| crore) 51.5 117.0 185.6 198.8 216.8
Profit after tax (| crore) (13.1) 38.7 83.0 100.4 115.3
EPS (|) (3.3) 9.7 20.9 25.2 29.0
P/E (x) NA 21.0 9.8 8.1 7.0
Price / Book (x) 4.2 3.6 2.8 2.1 1.7
EV/EBITDA (x) 24.6 10.3 6.4 6.0 5.3
RoCE (%) 4.4 13.2 21.4 21.0 20.9
RoE (%) (6.8) 17.2 28.3 26.4 24.0
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
supply of ductile iron (DI) pipes. In addition to DI pipes, SPL also produces
0.4
low ash metallurgical (LAM) coke and power for captive consumption in
0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 its integrated complex. SPL is also engaged in manufacturing and selling
0.0 slag cement and producing pig iron through the mini blast furnace route.
Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Q4FY15
FII DII SPL’s client list includes marquee names such as Larsen & Toubro,
Hyderabad Metro (HMWSSB), VA Tech Wabag, Sriram EPC, etc.
Srikalahasthi Pipes
DI Sales volume of 1,70,653 Molten Metal / Pig Iron Slag cement sales volume Primarily comprising of
tonnes in FY15 sales volume (excluding (excluding captive other products, Sales of
captive consumption) of consumption) of 68,899 traded products
27,633 tonnes in FY15 tonnes in FY15
Ductile Iron (DI) pipes Capacity – 225000 tonnes per annum, DI pipes is the core product of SPL. DI pipes aids in efficient
& safe transportation of water. Product size range is from 100 mm to 1100 mm diameter
Pig Iron Mini blast furnace has a capacity of 275000 tonnes per annum. Majority of pig iron produce by SPL
is used for captive consumption with balance is sold to nearby foundries & steel factories
Sinter Plant Capacity – 500000 tonnes per annum, in place of high cost lump ores, low cost iron ore fines are
used at feed for sinter plant which results substantial cost saving
Coke oven Plant Capacity – 225000 tonnes per annum, aids in converting coal into coke
Power Two power plants with capacity of 14.5 MW, SPL generates power from waste heat gases of coke
oven plant and Mini blast furnace
Slag cement Capacity – 90000 tonnes per annum, 20% of cement produced is used in captive consumption for
inner coating of DI pipes
3000
2483
2500
2000
(| billion)
1437
1500
1000
621
395
500
167
10 65 44
0
1980-85 1985-90 1990-92 1992-97 1997-01 2001-07 2007-12 2012-17
40.0 10.0
(%)
56.8
49.2
44.0
20.0 5.0
35.7
32.7
30.2
29.7
27.5
24.3
0.0 0.0
Q4FY13 Q1FY14 Q2FY14 Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Q4FY15
EBITDA (LHS) EBITDA margins (%) (RHS)
600 70
53
500 60 60
55
50
400 42
44
(| crore)
(| crore)
37 40
300
30
480
457
200
393
376
369
20
335
331
15
100 10
0 0
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Exhibit 8: Revenue growth trend Exhibit 9: DI pipes sales volume & blended realisation trend
(|/tonne)
(Tonnes)
205084
1000 864
193998
789 150000 44000
(| crore)
170653
728
161456
159358
800
144901
135000
100000 42000
600
50000 40000
400
0 38000
200
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
0
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
DI pipes sales volume (LHS) Blended realisations (RHS)
300.0 25.0
18.0 20.0
17.1 17.5
200.0
12.3 15.0
(| crore)
11.8
(%)
8.5 10.0
216.8
198.8
6.0
185.6
100.0
117.0
5.0
89.2
67.1
51.5
0.0 0.0
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
EBITDA (LHS) EBITDA Margins (%) (RHS)
140 12
115.3
120 10
100.4
100 8
83.0
80 6
(| crore)
(%)
60 4
38.7
40 2
20 0
0 -2
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
-20 -13.1 -4
35
30
28.3
25 26.4
24.0
20 21.4 21.0 20.9
17.2
15
13.2
(%)
10
6.8
5 4.4
0
-1.9
-5 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
-6.8
-10
RoE RoCE
Competition
SPL enjoys dominant position in the south and west zone due to the
absence of any major player. Going forward, SPL’s operational
performance can be notably impacted if any other market player
enters/expands its capacity in the company’s focused southern and
western zone.
Strong Buy: >15%/20% for large caps/midcaps, respectively, with high conviction;
Buy: >10%/15% for large caps/midcaps, respectively;
Hold: Up to +/-10%;
Sell: -10% or more;
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