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Trapped Traders PDF
Trapped Traders PDF
HOW they become trapped and what unfolds their losses potentially become larger than
as they are forced to exit losing positions. they already are.
We will expand upon point #2 now for those The market rally will generally be a
who may be unfamiliar with what happens combination of these two scenarios playing
when many traders are forced to exit out.
positions.
Although it is implied, the exact same scenario
Let’s take the scenario where a market has we’ve described is applicable to a falling
just rallied. market – where traders are caught long and
must SELL to cover increasing losses.
A rally is the result of more buyers than
sellers in the market. As fewer traders are Now, let’s get to the “good stuff” and start
willing to sell, and more traders are willing to learning how to figure-out where the majority
buy, the price increases as traders start of traders are going to be positioned on the
offering to pay higher and higher prices. “wrong” side of the market and are forced to
“pay-up” and trade their way out of it –
Now, the market could be rallying as most of fuelling a move which we will ultimately be a
the traders are entering a trade – buying, with part of – in the “right” direction.
the hope of selling later at an even higher
price… or… the market could be rallying as Many of the examples we present to you carry
most of the traders are already short, think a great deal of overlap – by this we mean that
the market is going to continue higher, and we will be getting you to observe one scenario
must BUY to cover their Short positions before on a chart, but with your own knowledge
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A1 – Traders jump in trying to short the B2 – Again, similar to B1, the traders who
market as price breaks previous low hoping shorted into 1140.00 (and previous low) and
for a break-down of the 1140.00 level. All past it are now starting to feel the pain of
selling is fully absorbed by traders looking to their position going against them – buying the
fade the 1140.00 level. market to cover their positions – causing a
rally up to the 1145.00 psychological number.
B1 – The traders who shorted into the
1140.00 level are now in offside positions and A3 – There are a couple of “bounces” off the
are forced to liquidate (by buying back what 1145.00 level before it breaks and the market
they sold) as price continues to rise. moves higher. There is no momentum follow-
through as the buying is absorbed by sellers…
A2 – Similar scenario to A1: traders jumping
in, hoping for a momentum-move down, as B3 – …the market falls back again and the
price breaks previous low and psychological traders who hoped for a move higher are now
number. The market falls a little but all selling starting to liquidate by selling as the market
is again absorbed and the move rapidly loses continues to fall – fuelling the move lower.
momentum.
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A – Traders are selling at the 1162.50 level E - …and sure enough, panic ensues, and a
for over 30-minutes; we can see from the long momentum move is triggered by the traders
“shadows” on the bars (or, candles) of the who sold at A getting forced out and new
chart that the sellers keep coming in. buyers jumping in long as price makes a new
high [note: it is also a new high for the day
B – The market falls, but not very far, before since session Open].
we see buyers coming in at B. The market
then rallies a little…
A – Resistance found at A as price battles to …this is our heads-up! All the traders who
get any higher and falls off… have shorted at A, C, D.2 and D.4 could
potentially find themselves on the wrong side
B – …until some buyers come in at B. Price of the market…
then ranges…
E - …and sure enough, price explodes above
C - …before another attempt is made at going what has been a resistance area…
higher at C. This fails and buyers come in
again at D.1. Price rallies to D.2 before falling F - …buyers storm in to buy the breakout, a
back to D.3 and then rallying to D.4. cluster of stoploss-orders are most likely
triggered and, of course, the trapped traders
It can be observed here that price is now [who sold below the resistance area] are
making higher highs and higher lows as it panicking to get out of their shorts (…in more
approaches the previous resistance level at A. ways than one!).
A – Price breaks the 1140.00 level but fails to 50 percent of the traders think the market is
follow-through on momentum… going up… and the other 50 percent think it is
going down. One group of traders will be
B – …before dropping down to B. Buyers come correct and the other group will be wrong – or
in here and price starts another rally. as we know them, TRAPPED!
C – As price heads toward the high made at A E – The market makes a minor lower high and
traders come in and sell it before it is reached. then very minor higher low before…
D – The market drops rapidly until buyers F - …exploding out above the levels made at
come in at D before price reaches the low A, C and E. Again, the huge momentum-move
made at B. is fuelled by trapped traders getting out and
new buyers jumping in.
Now, after the high and low made at A and B
respectively, a lower high (C) and a higher low
(D) are made.
A – Traders sell at the 1137.50 level; this is also a new high for the day.
level is the low of the previous trading days’
Initial Range.
B – Buyers come in at B.
Observations: Fakey.
A – (Nothing to observe here until B is traders who will be wrong and a group of
formed). traders who will be right.
B – A higher low is made. The market drifts up after making the low at
F.
C – Sellers come in at the 1145.00 level.
G – The sellers at C and E feel pain and start
D – The low at D is higher than the low at A to liquidate – causing the market to move
and matches the low at B. Signs of buying higher.
strength in the market.
A – Point A marks the second higher high. A being forced out of their longs as well.
rough trendline can be drawn to anticipate
another [potential] higher high that traders
may start buying at.
This eBook was about practical, real-life Learning to identify the same patterns over
examples. and over is what will push your trading to new
levels.
In each example, the observations made were
specific to a particular concept we wanted to However, understanding how and why each of
highlight. However, within every example the patterns form is what it takes reach
there are numerous observations that could superstar trader status.
have been made.
We hope this ebook has gone some way to
Trading at a professional level is not about help you understand the how and why of the
having a database of strategies to use on an markets and we wish you the very best in
array of different markets. It is about your trading endeavours.
understanding who is operating in the market
and how they are operating.
Keep it REAL.
Once you learn this - every market becomes
the same to you.
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