NAMA : M.

Aprianda Bustami
NIM : 2016-11-234
A= 2
B= 3
C= 4

POLA PEMBEBANAN
JAM LOAD MW
1 400
2 550
3 680
4 610
5 200

1 BBTU = 1000 MMBTU

P1 = 0.8035714286 Rp/kCal
P2 = 0.1191176471 Rp/kCal
P3 = 0.0826530612 Rp/kCal
P4= 1.0995052226 Rp/kCal

Data Heat Rate

P1 P2
25% 2502 2497
50% 2498 2503
75% 2494 2514
100% 2489 2479

P1(KW) = 80000KW Heat Rate (Kcal/KWh)

25% 20000 2502
50% 40000 2498
75% 60000 2494
100% 80000 2489

P2(KW) = 250000KW Heat Rate (Kcal/KWh)

25% 62500 2497
50% 125000 2503
75% 187500 2514
100% 250000 2479
 P3(KW) = 300000KW Heat Rate (Kcal/KWh)
25% 75000 2602
50% 150000 2398
75% 225000 2544
100% 300000 2339

P4(KW) = 60000KW Heat Rate (Kcal/KWh)

25% 15000 2602
50% 30000 2548
75% 45000 2519
100% 60000 2539

IO Curve P1
180000000 80000000
160000000 160007143 70000000 f(x) = 18458023.8970
f(x) = 1996.7142857143x + 353571.428571373
140000000 60000000
120000000 120246429
50000000
Label Sumbu

100000000

Rp/jam
40000000
80000000 80292857
60000000 30000000
40000000 40210714 20000000 18589798
20000000 10000000
0 0
10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 62500 1

kW

P1=1998.7x + 626786 P2 = 18,411,121x + 439,246 P3=190x + 2,101,454

A1 = 1991.7 A2 = 18,411,121 A3 =190
B1 = 626786 B2 = 439,246 B3 = 2,101,454

Merit Order
P1 P2 P3
1497.4553571429 220.9334558824 139.5596938776
3 2 1
 80
Beban Max P1(MW)
Jam 1 400 MW 20
Jam 2 550 MW 20
Jam 3 680 MW 80
Jam 4 610 MW 45
Jam 5 200MW 20
Bekerja selama 5 jam saja!

PEMBANGKIT PRODUKSI (MWh) TOTAL PRODUKSI (MWh)

P1 185 400
P2 842.5 1250
P3 1302.5 1500
P4 110 300
TOTAL PRODUKSI 2440
TOTAL BIAYA
BIAYA BAHAN BAKAR

80 250
Jam
P1(MW) P2(MW)
1 20 65
2 20 215
3 80 250
4 45 250
5 20 62.5

Fuel Mix
800
700
600
P4
Beban (MWh)

500
400
P1
P2
300
P3
200
100
0
1 2 3 4 5
Jam
 Konsumsi Bahan Bakar
P1 P2
1368.0456349206 MMBTU 306.3974264706
P3 P4
2602 2602 kCal/kWh
2398 2548 kCal/kWh
2544 2519 kCal/kWh
2339 2539 kCal/kWh

Rp/jam
40210714
80292857
120246429
160007143

Rp/jam
18589798
37268934
56149081
73823162
 Rp/jam
16129745
29730306
47310612
57997653

Rp/jam
42913689
84046179
124634415
167498626

IO Curve P2 IO Curv
80000000 70000000
73823162
70000000 f(x) = 18458023.8970588x + 312683.823529348 60000000
60000000 f(x) = 190.9120408163x + 19960
56149081 50000000
50000000
Rp/jam 40000000
40000000 37268934 30000000 297303
30000000
20000000
20000000 18589798 16129745
10000000
10000000
0 0
62500 125000 187500 250000 50000 100000 150000

kW

P4= 2,755x + 1,467,839

A4 =2,768 Rp/kWh
B4 = 1,467,839 Rp/jam

P4
2076.4156129742 Rp/kWh
4
 250 300 60
P2(MW) P3(MW) P4(MW)
65 300 15
215 300 15
250 300 50
250 300 15
62.5 102.5 15

CF (%) TOTAL BIAYA ( RP) BIAYA BAHAN BAKAR (Rp/KWh)

46.25 Rp 277,029,241.07 Rp 1,497.46

67.4 Rp 186,136,436.58 Rp 220.93
86.8333333333 Rp 181,776,501.28 Rp 139.56
36.6666666667 Rp 228,405,717.43 Rp 2,076.42

Rp 873,347,896.35
Rp 3,934.36

300 60
P3(MW) P4(MW)
300 15
300 15
300 50
300 15
102.5 15
Konsumsi Bahan Bakar selama 5 jam
P2 P3
TON 448.8308673469 TON
 IO Curve P3 IO Curve P4
180000000
160000000 f(x) = 2762.2869708631x + 1187465.6
57997653
f(x) = 190.9120408163x + 1996071.42857145 140000000
47310612 120000000 12
100000000
Rp/jam
80000000 84046179
29730306
60000000
16129745 40000000 42913689
20000000
0
100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 10000 20000 30000 40000 5
kW KW
 P4
62.29247 kLiter
 2) Loss Of Load Probability (LOLP)

UNIT CAPACITY FOR Inage Rate (1-for)

P1 80 MW 0.65 0.35
P2 250 MW 0.5133333333 0.4866666667
P3 300 MW 0.46 0.54
P4 60 MW 0.01 0.99

Day Peak Load Reserved

Monday 400 290
Tuesday 550 140
Wednesday 680 10
Thursday 610 80
Friday 200 490
Saturday 290 400
Sunday 130 560
Total
Probability padam dalam 1 minggu (jam)

613.9111664
32011.082248
 A=
B=
C=

MW
Outage In Service Kombinasi Probability
0 690 1 1 1 1 0.0910602
60 630 1 1 1 0 0.0009198
80 610 0 1 1 1 0.1691118
140 550 0 1 1 0 0.0017082
250 440 1 0 1 1 0.0960498
300 390 1 1 0 1 0.0775698
310 380 1 0 1 0 0.0009702
330 360 0 0 1 1 0.1783782
360 330 1 1 0 0 0.0007835333
380 310 0 1 0 1 0.1440582
390 300 0 0 1 0 0.0018018
440 250 0 1 0 0 0.0014551333
550 140 1 0 0 1 0.0818202
610 80 1 0 0 0 0.0008264667
630 60 0 0 0 1 0.1519518
690 00000 0.0015348667
Total 1

Probability not meet demand

0.6411502
0.7372
0.9089398
0.7389082
0.2361333333
0.2375884667
0.1543131333
3.6542331333
613.9111664

Jam/Minggu
Jam/Tahun
 2
3
4

Probability> Outage
1
0.9089398
0.90802
0.7389082
0.7372
0.6411502
0.5635804
0.5626102
0.384232
0.3834484667
0.2393902667
0.2375884667
0.2361333333
0.1543131333
0.1534866667
0.0015348667