SOAL ASISTENSI PERTEMUAN VIII

Assitant Lecturer : Aji Putera Tanumihardja

TRUE OR FALSE
1. An estimator is consistent if it approaches the estimated population parameter as the
sample size grows larger
2. For a given confidence level and sample size n, the width of the confidence
interval for the population mean is narrower, the greater the population standard
deviation σ.
3. If a random sample of size n is taken from a normal population with a finite variance, then

the statistic follows the t distribution with (n - 1) degrees of freedom, df.

4. Like the z distribution, the t distribution is symmetric around 0, bell-shaped, and with tails
that approach the horizontal axis and eventually cross it.
5. The t distribution has broader tails than the z distribution.
6. The t distribution consists of a family of distributions where the actual shape of each one
depends on the degrees of freedom, df. For lower values of df, the t distribution is similar
to the z distribution.
7. If we want to find the required sample size for the interval estimation of the population
proportion, and no reasonable estimate of this proportion is available, we assume the
worst-case scenario under which .
 MULTIPLE CHOICE

1. How is the unbiasness of estimators defined?

A. An estimator is unbiased if its expected value equals the estimated population parameter.
B. An unbiased estimator approaches the estimated population parameter as the sample size
grows larger.
C. An estimator is unbiased if it always gives the correct value of the estimated population
parameter.
D. An estimator is unbiased if its standard error is lower than that of other estimators of the
estimated population parameter.

2. How is the efficiency of estimators defined?

A. An estimator is efficient if its expected value equals the estimated population parameter.
B. An efficient estimator approaches the estimated population parameter as the sample size
grows larger.
C. An estimator is efficient if it always gives the correct value of the estimated population
parameter.
D. An unbiased estimator is efficient if its standard error is lower than that of other estimators of
the estimated population parameter.

3. An estimator that tends to produce more accurate estimates of the population parameter as
the sample size increases is best characterized as a(n) ____________.
A. Biased estimator
B. Efficient estimator
C. Unbiased estimator
D. Consistent estimator

4. Which of the following is the necessary condition for creating confidence intervals for the
population mean?
A. Normality of the estimator
B. Normality of the population
C. Known population parameter
D. Known standard deviation of the estimator
5. The daily revenue from the sale of fried dough at a local street vendor in Boston is known to be
normally distributed with a known standard deviation of $120. The revenue on each of the last 25
days is noted, and the average is computed as $550. A 95% confidence interval is constructed for
the population mean revenue. If the data from the last 40 days had been used, then the resulting
95% confidence intervals would have been _____________________.
A. Wider, with a larger probability of reporting an incorrect interval
B. Wider, with the same probability of reporting an incorrect interval
C. Narrower, with a larger probability of reporting an incorrect interval
D. Narrower, with the same probability of reporting an incorrect interval

6. The t distribution is similar to the z distribution because _________________.

A. As the degrees of freedom go to infinity, the t distribution converges to the z distribution
B. Both have asymptotic tails—that is, their tails become closer and closer to the horizontal axis,
but never touch it
C. Both A and B are correct
D. Neither A nor B is correct

7. Confidence intervals of the population mean may be created for the cases when the population
standard deviation is known or unknown. How are these two cases treated differently?
A. Use the z table when s is unknown; use the t table when s is known.
B. Use the z table when s is known; use the t table when s is unknown.
C. Use the z table when σ is unknown; use the t table when σ is known.
D. Use the z table when σ is known; use the t table when σ is unknown.

8. When examining the possible outcome of an election, what type of confidence interval is most
suitable for estimating the current support for a candidate?
A. The confidence interval for the sample mean
B. The confidence interval for the population mean
C. The confidence interval for the sample proportion
D. The confidence interval for the population proportion

9. A business school director wants to estimate the mean of annual salaries for the year 2015,
which is five years after students graduated. A random sample of 25 such graduates found a
sample mean of Rp. 124,274,000 and a sample standard deviation of Rp. 14,780,000.
a. Find a 90% confidence interval for the annual salaries mean. Assume that the salaries
are normally distributed.
b. Suppose the director also wants to estimate the mean annual salaries for the year 2016.
If the standard deviation observed in previous study is considered to be reliable to be
used in current study and the error in estimating the mean salaries is to be no more than
 Rp. 1,000,000, then help the director in determining how many graduates should be
surveyed? Use the 99% level of confidence.

10. Gugus pengendalian mutu sebuah perusahaan pupuk memeriksa 10 isi kemasan pupuk
produksi pada sebuah akhir pekan. Hasilnya (dalam kilogram) adalah sebagai berikut.
23 22 23 26 28 25 28 29 26 28
a. Buatlah confidence interval untuk rata-rata populasi berat kemasan dengan tingkat
signifikansi 5%.
b. Misalkan gugus tersebut ingin membuat sebuah confidence interval untuk rata-rata
populasi berat kemasan dengan margin of error sebesar 1,5 kg dan tingkat keyakinan
99%, tentukan besarnya sampel yang diperlukan.
c. Seandainya gugus tersebut bisa mendapatkan sampel sebesar 50 kemasan, apakah
yang akan terjadi dengan margin of error-nya? Jelaskan alasannya.

11. A regent on the island of Sumatra visited several villages in his area. He found out that two
villages have not been electrified. And the next day, in collaboration with electricity
company (PLN), they agreed to build an electricity network in the two villages. The regent
immediately conducted a small research by taking each of the 20 households as samples.
Based on the data obtained, the two villages have different expenditure restrictions. This
certainly has an impact on the application of PLN tariffs that will be imposed in both
villages, whether it can be made the same or not. The regent asked the help of FEB UI 2018
students to conduct several things as asked below.
Another important information that can be known by FEB UI students is that the regent has
not known the population standard deviation of the expenditure in each village. But he also
believes that the expenditure is normally distributed.

Help the regent to conduct several activities as follows:

1. Calculation on sample standard deviations for each village!
2. With that data sample, what is the theoretical probability distribution should be used in
inferential statistics activities?
3. Determine confidence intervals of the mean in Village A with 95% and 99% confidence
levels.
4. What will happen to the width of the interval of the mean if we add the sample size at
similar confidence level?
5. Suppose it is known that the population standard deviation of Village A be Rp0.68
Million. For a confidence interval with the margin of error being targeted as Rp 0.23
Million, what is the confidence level to be admitted?
12. At the end of 2010, about 79% of literate population of Jawa Barat had been capable of
utilising smart phone. A survey at the province at the end of 2011, from a sample of 900
relevant population, resulted in 738 people had been capable of utilising smart phone.

Questions:
a. Based on that sample, construct a confidence interval for the proportion of Jawa Barat
people who had been capable of utilising smart phone at the end of 2011. Use a 90%
and a 95% confidence level.
b. Suppose we want to have the width of the interval is not more than 4%. What should
be the sample size to be taken?

13. Tante Titi, owner of WarTeg Restaurant, is considering redesigning her restaurant by
purchasing new furniture. She has chosen two types of furniture to use for the new design.
To help her deciding on the amount she can afford to invest in the new tables and chairs,
she wishes to determine the average revenue per customer. Tante Titi has asked her staffs
to randomly sample her customers. Her staffs thus collected 9 customers randomly, and
found out that the average revenue were Rp78,300 with the standard deviation of
Rp14,600.
a. According to the sample, what is the restaurants average mean of revenue from each
customer?
b. Using the 95% confidence level, construct the range for the average revenue per
customer.
c. Suppose Tante Titi would like to limit the margin of error to within Rp2,000. At least
how many customers should Tante Titi take to compute the 99% confidence interval
of the population mean?
d. If Tante Titi has limited time so that she can only asks 15 customers but she insists that
the margin of error still to within Rp2,000, what will be her confidence level?
14.. A television broadcast “KKITV” hired a marketing research to know whether this TV
broadcast is still preferred by beholders. The marketing research conducted a study for 16
heads of household on the weekly duration of watching KKITV’s programs. Collected data
from this study is shown below (in hours):
15.0 20.8 17.8 14.0 17.5 17.0 18.2 14.5
19.2 18.0 20.5 20.0 21.0 18.5 19.5 16.5
Questions:
a. Estimate the population mean of duration of watching with 90% confidence level.
b. If the study wants to narrow the margin error by a half, how many heads of household
should the marketing research use in this study? State your result in (c), in a brief
sentence!