in Health and Clinical Settings Divisi Manajemen Kedokteran Dept. Ilmu Ked. Komunitas Fak. Kedokteran UI What is Evaluation? (AEA) l Everyone has basically done some forms of evaluation, either formally or not - What should I wear today? Should I buy that? Which one should I prioritise? l Evaluation: a systematic process to determine merit, worth, value or significance - Programme evaluation: Has the programme achieved its goals? Can it be improved? Should it continue? Are the results worth the cost? Programme Evaluation l Formative and summative evaluation (Scriven, 1991) - Formative: Support improvement process - Summative: Valuative conclusions besides development l “When the cook tastes the soup, that’s formative evaluation. When the guest tastes it, that’s summative evaluation. (Stake) l This module focuses on formative evaluation So, What is Monitoring? l Systematic and routine collection of information from projects and programmes l Tracks progress against set plans and check compliance to established standards l Monitoring data can be used as part of an evaluation What is being monitored/evaluated? https://www.csiro.au/~/media/About/Images/Impact-images/Framework.jpg Why do we monitor/evaluate? • Work conducted in compliance to plans Accountability • Transparent to beneficiaries • Are we doing things well? Learning • Are we doing the right things Evaluation Criteria (OECD) • Is there (still) a need? Relevance • Were resources used Efficiency wisely? • Did we deliver as planned? Effectiveness • Did it change the lives of Impact target group? • What remains after Sustainability leaving? There are a lot of approaches l Theory driven evaluation, such as Theory of Change, Realist evaluation, etc l Analytical thinking, using Problem Solving Cycle - A thinking process in which an individual scrutinise and break down facts and thoughts l This module will focus on using Problem Solving Cycle Realist Evaluation Problem Solving Cycle Analisis Situasi Identifikasi Evaluasi Masalah Prioritas Masalah Pelaksanaan Problem Solving Penyebab Cycle Masalah Prioritas Alternatif Pemecahan Prioritas Masalah Penyebab Alternatif Masalah Pemecahan Masalah Steps of Programme Evaluation l Identify and define the problem - Identify the output indicators and look for discrepancies between targets and achievements l Prioritise the problem l There are various prioritising method - Decision matrix (ex. I × T × R) - Hanlon technique - Multivoting - Nominal Group Technique (NGT) - Pareto chart I×T×R matrix for prioritising problem l Dept. CM FMUI has routinely conducted programme evaluation using two specific form of decision matrix l I×T×R: Importance, Technical Feasibility, and Resources Availability - I = P+S+RI+DU+SB+PB+PC I×T×R matrix for prioritising problem (2) l All of them are given 1-5 score - Prevalence (how big is the problem) - Severity (how bad is the impact) - Rate of Increase (how fast it grows) - Degree of Unmet Need (how much it affect the community) - Social Benefit - Public Concern - Political Climate I×T×R matrix for prioritising problem (3) No. Problem Importance T R I×T×R list P S RI DU SB PB PC Sum Prioritising Tool: Hanlon Method for Prioritizing Health Problems l Advantageous when the desired outcome is an objective list based on baseline data and numerical values l Rate against specific criteria: Prioritising Tool: Hanlon Method (2) Prioritising Tool: Hanlon Method (3) l Apply ‘PEARL’ test: - Propriety – Is a programme suitable? - Economics – Does it make economic sense? Economic consequences if a problem is not carried out? - Acceptability – Will community accept? Is it wanted? - Resources – Funding available or potentially available? - Legality – Current laws allow implementing? l Eliminate any health problems with ‘No’ answer Prioritising Tool: Hanlon Method (4) l Calculate Priority Score: l D = [A + 2xB] x C l D = Priority Score l A = Size of health problem ranking l B = Seriousness of health problem ranking l C = Effectiveness of intervention ranking l Rank the health problems based on the Priority Score Prioritising Tool: Multivoting l Display the list l Decide how many items on the final list, and choices each member will vote for (usually five, but longer list may need 10) l Each member selects then ranks the choices in order of priority - Write each one on a separate paper, with the ranking - It is possible not to introduce rank, all votes are equal Prioritising Tool: Multivoting (2) l Tally votes. Look at dramatic voting differences, such as item received both 5 and 1 - No pressure to change vote l Repeat the voting process with reduced number of choice (usually half of the remaining list) Prioritising Tool: Multivoting (3) You rank your votes by assigning score five to one http://asq.org/img/learn-about-quality/edmt_multivoting.jpg Assigning no particular rank/order to the votes http://www.cqeacademy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Multivoting.png Prioritising Tool: NGT l NGT is actually a brainstorming tool, altough it can be combined with other tool, such as multivoting for prioritising method l Useful in the early phases of prioritization when there exists a need to generate a lot of ideas in a short amount of time and when input from multiple individuals must be taken into consideration Prioritising Tool: NGT (2) l State and clarify the subject until everyone understands l Silently thinks of and writes down ideas (5 to 10 minutes) as many as possible l In turn, state aloud one idea. Facilitator records it on the flipchart l No discussion, not even questions for clarification. l Ideas do not need to be from the written list Prioritising Tool: NGT (3) l A member may “pass”, but may then add an idea on a subsequent turn. l Continue until all pass or for an agreed-upon length of time. l Discuss each idea in turn. - Wording change only when the originator agrees - Ideas stricken only by unanimous agreement - Clarify meaning, explain logic, Q&A, or state agreement or disagreement l Prioritise the ideas Prioritising Tool: Pareto Chart Approximately 20% of the diagnoses (coronary disease, heart failure, and diabetes) account for over 80% of the total number of hospital admissions and ED visits. This exemplifies the 80/20 rule and provides direction regarding which diseases should be considered for disease management strategies. Steps of Programme Evaluation (2) l Creating conceptual framework to link the prioritised problem with the possible cause - Fish bone diagram - Problem tree diagram Cause-Effect Tool: Problem Tree Cause-Effect Tool: Fishbone diagram METHOD MATERIAL MAN PROBLEM PLANNING ORGANIZING ACTION/CONTROLLING Steps of Programme Evaluation (3) l Identify and define the root cause of the problem - Identify the input and process indicators and look for discrepancies between targets and achievements l Prioritise the root cause of the problem, if needed - I×T×R - Nominal Group Technique (NGT), Multivoting, Decision Matrix, Pareto Chart Steps of Programme Evaluation (4) l Make the problem solving alternatives l Again, prioritise the alternatives (if needed)! - (M×I×V)/C - Nominal Group Technique (NGT), Multivoting, Decision Matrix, Pareto Chart l Conclude the evaluation l Throughout all the evaluation process, we will need data, data, data. The source can be primary, secondary, or tertiary (M×I×V)/C for prioritising problem solution l Effectivity - Magnitude (how big the solution can influence the problem) - Importance (how permanent the solution can be) - Vulnerability (how quick the solution can influence the problem) l Efficiency - Cost (how big the cost for the implementation of the solution is) (M×I×V)/C for prioritising problem solution (2) !×#×$ No. Solution Alternatives Effectivity C % !×#×$ M I V % References AEA Administrator. What is Evaluation? [Internet]. American Evaluation Association: Blogs. 2014 [cited 2017 Jul 6]. Available from: http://www.eval.org/p/bl/et/blogid=2&blogaid=4 Chen H-T. A Comprehensive Typology for Program Evaluation. Am J Eval. 1996 Jun 1;17(2):121–30. Hitchcock S. Monitoring Versus Evaluation: A brief overview of these terms and their application for development actors [Internet]. Council for International Development; 2014. Available from: http://www.cid.org.nz/assets/Key-issues/Good-Development- Practice/Factsheet-17-Monitoring-versus-evaluation.pdf ASQ. Learn About Quality [Internet]. ASQ – Quality Resources. 2004 [cited 2017 Jul 7]. Available from: http://asq.org/learn-about-quality/ Azwar A. Pengantar Administrasi Kesehatan. 3rd ed. Jakarta: Binarupa Aksara; 1996. NACCHO. First Things First: Prioritizing Health Problems. NACCHO; Thank You