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Measuring Population Health (W3) PDF
Measuring Population Health (W3) PDF
Dr Linda Ng Fat
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health
l.ngfat@ucl.ac.uk, @lindangfat
Outline
• 10.05-10.45 Lecture
• 10.45-10.55 Break
• 10.55-11.45 Lecture part II
• 11.45-12.00 Break
• 12.00-12.45 Computer Practical
• 12.45-13.00 Summing up
2
Objectives
3
What data do we need to measure population
health?
Health Lifestyle
Status factors
Examples Examples
• Chronic diseases • Physical activity
• Infectious diseases Population • Diet
• Physical/Mental • Tobacco and Alcohol
health indicators Health consumption
5
Vital registration Censuses
systems
Surveys
Surveillance
systems
Primary Care
Data records
sources Administrative
Hospital records
Maps
Non-health (sector)
records
Qualitative
Big Data
6
Vital registration
• Register vital events, for example, births,
marriages and deaths
o Universal
o Compulsory
• These systems are the best and most-reliable
source for fertility, mortality, life expectancy and
cause-of-death statistics
• Requires expensive infrastructure
• Incomplete in many low- and middle-income
countries
7
Vital registration in UK
8
9
Global vital registration systems
• In 2009…
10
Global birth registrations
• India, China
– Longitudinal registration of demographic events in an
nationally representative sample
11
Censuses
• Count of a national population at a single point
in time
• Collected at regular intervals e.g. UK every ten
years since 1801
• High costs of coverage means limited
questions/accuracy
• Essential features defined by the UN:
– Individual enumeration
– Universality within a defined territory
– Simultaneity
– Defined periodicity 12
13
14
General health question in the 2011 UK
Census
15
Disability question in the 2011 UK Census
16
Surveys
• Information is collected on a sample of the
population
• Data are representative for a specific
population (often national) but needs to
satisfy certain criteria e.g. random sampling,
large enough sample, good response rate
17
Uses
• Have rich data on a specific health topic as well as
living standards and other complementary variables
• Often repeated over time (aka routine data), allowing
for measurement of time trends
• Conducted in multiple countries, allowing for
benchmarking
• Currently the most common and overall most reliable
data source for health monitoring in low- and middle-
income countries
18
Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS)
19
Demographic and Health Surveys countries
20
21
The Health Survey for England
• A series of annual cross-sectional surveys since 1991
• Approx. 4000-15000 households randomly selected and
interviewed each year
• Self-reported data is initially collected through face-to-face
interviews
• Biomedical data collected by a nurse at a later visit
• Large sample size, randomly selected means we can
make inferences about the general population living in
private households
23
Health Survey for England
Covers
• Social & demographic indicators
• Physical health
• Lifestyle behaviours
• Social care
• Physical measures
• Mental and wellbeing
• Some years include additional boost samples of
specific subgroups, e.g. ethnic minorities, children
24
25
http://healthsurvey.hscic.gov.uk/media/63790/HSE2016-pres-med.pdf
Ng Fat et al. BMC Public Health 2018 18:1090 26
https://bmcpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12889-018-5995-3
Non-drinking on in the increase among
young people
27
What was the impact on smokefree
legislation on exposure to secondhand
smoke?
Longitudinal/prospective
• A survey that records observations from the
same groups of individuals over time
• Cohort or panel design
33
Now we are fifty:
http://www.cls.ioe.ac.uk/page.aspx?&sitesectionid=112&sitesectiontitle=Published+work+using+NCDS+data
34
NCDS Sweeps/Waves (data collection points)
35
Establishing the effects of maternal smoking
http://www.cls.ioe.ac.uk/page.aspx?&sitesectionid=112&sitesectiontitle=Published+work+using+NCDS+data 36
37
Knuppel et al. Scientific Reports. 2017 7;3287
Other UK longitudinal studies
http://www.closer.ac.uk/data-resources/timeline/ 38
MRC National Health and Development Study
1946-2016, celebrating 70 years
• https://www.nshd.mrc.ac.uk/nshd/70th-birthday-brochure/
• Further reading: ‘The Life Project’ Helen Pearson
39
Longitudinal/Prospective surveys
• Advantages
o Can examine events and outcomes across time,
including a life span
o ‘Reverse causality’ problem with cross-sectional
studies are not as severe
• Disadvantages
o Costly to administer, not widely available in LIC
o Attrition can be a problem
40
UK Data Service - https://www.ukdataservice.ac.uk/
41
Administrative sources
• Data is primarily collected for
administrative purposes and not for health
research/monitoring purposes
42
Primary Care
records
Non-health (sector)
records
43
Hospital Episode Statistics in England
• Hospital Episode Statistics (HES): Data
warehouse that contains details of:
44
Hospital Episode Statistics in England
47
Primary care in UK
48
Other sources
• Cancer registries
• Disease notifications
• Prescription data in UK
– The Health and Social Care Information Centre has
published monthly general practice level prescribing data
since 2011
49
Cancer registrations
50
Data linkage
Administrative
Administrative
Surveys Contextual
51
Oyebode O et al. Epidemiology and Community Health. 2014; 68:856-682
https://jech.bmj.com/content/68/9/856
52
De-identification of data for linkage purposes
https://www.adrn.ac.uk/policies-procedures/protecting-privacy/de-
identification/
De-identifying data
removes information
such as:
Names
Addresses
Exact date of birth
National Insurance
number
National Health Service
number
tax reference number
53
Data Protection Act 1998
Ensures Data is used
• used fairly and lawfully
• used for limited, specifically stated purposes
• used in a way that is adequate, relevant and not excessive
• accurate
• kept for no longer than is absolutely necessary
• handled according to people’s data protection rights
• kept safe and secure
• not transferred outside the European Economic Area
without adequate protection
54
Data confidentiality
‘Patient and service user information is generally
held under legal and ethical obligations of
confidentiality. Information provided in
confidence should not be used or disclosed in a
form that might identify a patient or service user
without his or her consent. There are a number of
important exceptions to this rule, described later in
this document, but it applies in most circumstances’
Advantages
• Good coverage, and already routinely collected
• Can provide small area statistics
• Can be linked to other databases
Disadvantages
• Limited contextual information
• Data may be erroneous
• Can take time to get access due to data
protection laws
56
Maps
Walkability:
Residential density
+
Junction density
+
Land use mix
Stockton et al. 2016 Development of a novel walkability index for London, United Kingdom: cross-
sectional application to the Whitehall II Study. BMC Public Health. 2016:16:416 58
Qualitative
• E.g. In-depth interview transcripts, diaries,
anthropological field notes, answers to open-
ended survey questions, audio-visual recordings
and images
• Favours depth over breadth
• Can provide contextual information that surveys
lack, however due to small sample findings are
often not generalisable
• But, generalisability may not be the goal.
• Mixed methods research: Qual & Quant combined
59
Big Data
• Datasets that are large and complex occurring in
real-time, commonly as a by-product of everyday
use of technology
• Data is often unstructured, not easily interpreted
by computer programs or traditional data mining
software
• Very broad term encompassing data in health
care systems, social media posts – tweets,
images, videos, google searches, oyster card use,
gps etc
60
Data source appraisal
• Who is included?
• What was the original purpose?
• Social construction of the data
• Quality and monitoring of data
• Consistency between sources
• Data collection methods
• Definitions and analysis
Computer practical – Gordon St (25) -105 Public
Cluster
Topic: Health Survey for England 2013
• Log into Moodle
• Click on Week 3 tab
• Click on ‘Week 3 – Practical Exercise’
• Click Enter
• Complete the step by step instructions
• By the end you should have registered on the UK
Data service
• Don’t click back on your browser!