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SATELLITEMOBILITYWORLD
Highlight ing Disrupt ive, New, Mobilit y-Focused Sat ellit e Vent ures and Technologies

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In This Issue...
Editorially Speaking...
"5G: Battle for Billions: A Windfall for CBA or the U.S. Treasury?"
Under the Radar: VC Opportunities Page
"Speedcast: Value Overlooked as the Share Price Collapsed"
"Connecting Mobile Phones to Satellite: Lynk's Breakthrough Solution to Reach the Un-Served"
"Teleports for LEOs: ThinKom's Innovative Antenna Solution"
"LeoLabs: Conquering the Threat of Space Junk" 111

VolumeIV, No.VIII September2019 11111


Table of GOTTLIEB'S
Contents...
"Hot News and SATELLITEMOBILITYWORLD
Commentary" (pg.3) Welcome to September! There's a lot happening
in the satellite industry. In Q 4, there's a good
"Under the Radar: possibility that the battle over re-purposing the 3.7 -
Venture Capital 4.2 GHz spectrum will finally be resolved. It's been a
Opportunities" (pg.5) tough fight, and we're covering the latest rounds in
our editorial, 5G: Battle for Billions - A Windfall for the
Editorial : "5G: Battle CBA or the U.S. Treasury?
for the Billions: A
Windfall for the CBA Next, we look at Speedcast. What caused the
or the U.S. Treasury?" sudden precipitous decline in its stock price? Is the
(pg. 5) stock a bargain? In a critical analysis, we'll look at the
company and its future.
"Speedcast: Value
Turning to exciting, new companies and technologies, we have in-depth
Overlooked asthe
interviews with the CEOs of Lynk (formerly, UbiquitiLink) and LeoLabs and a look
Stock Price Collapsed"
at Thinkom's innovative solution for LEO teleports - use of its VICTS antenna in
(pg. 7)
place of massive "dishes."
"Connecting Mobile Lynk 's connects ordinary mobile phones directly to a satellite. Using
Phonesto Satellite: satellites as cellular towers in the sky, the company smashes the assumption that
Lynk'sBreakthrough an ordinary mobile phone cannot connect to a satellite. Well on its way to
Solution to Reach the providing an SMS-based service from space, it has raised over $12 Million in Seed
Un-Served "(pg. 16) capital. Another company we are excited about is LeoLabs.

" Teleportsfor LEOs: It's is in the business of space traffic management. LeoLabs is the leader
ThinKom'sInnovative in attacking the growing problem of space debris in LEO orbit. Using phased array
Antenna Solution" radar, they will soon be tracking over 200,000 objects and providing collision
(pg. 24) alerts, potentially saving the industry millions of dollars. Join us for this exciting
September issue.
"LeoLabs: Conquering
the Threat of Space Satellite Mobility World
Published by Gottlieb International Group, Inc.
Junk" (pg. 32) Arlington, VA USA
Tel: 703-622-8520
Recommended 2
Satellite
Upcoming Mobility World Sept 2019
Industry Click Her e To Su bscr ibe
Events
1f 'Hot' News and Commentary
Softbank Takes £380 million Write-down on 2016 OneWeb
Investment
August 10, 2019: The Sunday Telegraph just reported that earlier this year Softbank booked a £380 impairment loss
against its initial 2016 investment in OneWeb and that some initial investors have taken substantial losses. That's no
surprise, and we believe it's just the beginning. Faced with increasing competition, huge regulatory hurdles, and an
obscure target market, the satellite venture is struggling to find its footing.
Finally, realizing that to survive it needs high paying commercial customers rather than the poor, it's racing down the
same path as 03b and finding out that it's not so easy to find market niches large enough to justify its much larger, 1.2$
billion vs. $5 billion, initial investment, let alone the costs of reconstituting the constellation five years down the road. It's
little wonder that ECAs debt funding is not in the financing mix and that Softbank had to lead a second round of
investment to keep the project going.
As we mentioned in a previous article, it's very lucky for Intelsat that their ill advised merger with OneWeb failed. Had it
gone ahead, for its second round equity investment, Softbank would have almost certainly have demanded an increase in
its initially proposed 39% stake to a controlling interest in the combined companies.

OneWeb's JV Withdraws Application for Frequencies in


Russia - Faces Security and Competitive Issues
August 5, 2019: Facing increased opposition from the Russian Security Service and competitive issues, OneWeb has
withdrawn its application for the frequencies it needs to operate in Russia. While the venture has yet to be denied the
right to operate its service, it has been trying unsuccessfully to gain approval since the end of 2017. In April of 2018,
Roskomnadzor opposed the constellation on the basis that its operation could lead to interference with other space
systems. More recently, the Russian Security Service expressed concern that the constellation could be a threat to
national security. It's apparent that Russian law enforcement is not comfortable with a foreign Internet provider that will
be difficult to control, even if the traffic is passed through in-country ground stations. There has even been talk about
Click Here to Learn More

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Satellite Mobility World Sept 2019
!
New Under TheRadar
Venture Capital Opportunities

Aspublishersof Satellite Mobility World, at times, we see unusual venture capital opportunities . As a service to
our readers, each month we'll post a list of early stage companies that could be of interest to venture capital or
angel investors. Here'sour list for September 2019:
- Lynk (formerly, Ubiquit iLink): Highlighted in this issue, Lynk connects ordinary cell phones directly to satellite,
and will be the first to offer SMS messaging capabilities to cellular subscribers who stray outside the range of the
cellular network. Two seed "Rounds" have already been completed, and $12 Million has been invested so far.
CEO: Charles Miller.

- Phasor Solut ions (www.phasorsolut ions.com): Phasor is about to release the first Electronically Steered
Phased Array antenna. Target markets include maritime, aero and land markets. $39 Million has been invested to
date, and the company are in the process of completing their "C Round." CEO: David Helfgott.

- LeoLabs: This company is a pioneer and the only company dealing with the growing problem of space "junk,"
debris, left behind in low earth orbits. Using phased array radar installations, they will track over 200,000 pieces
of debris, and mitigate the prospect of catastrophic and costly collisions. CEO: Dan Ceperley.

- Sat elles: Satelles provides a backup alternative to GPS for timing and location using the Iridium constellation.
Installed in major stock exchanges around the world, their service provides a signal a thousand times more
powerful than GPS. The company's technology is especially attractive in any timing or location application where
loss of the GPS signal could cause major disruption of service. Backed by Family Offices and major corporate
investors, the company has some very interesting potential. We'll review Satelles in or October issue.
CEO: Michael O'Connor.
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5G - Battle for Billions: A Windfall for CBA or the U.S. Treasury?
The re-allocation of the 3.7 - 4.2 GHz band MHz of the block, pocketing the proceeds. The
is moving toward resolution sometime this fall. For advantages of this Proposal they claim would be a
the last two years, the banter back and forth much more rapid re-purposing of the spectrum than
between the C-Band Alliance and a group is possible through the traditional auction process
consisting largely of some major cellular operators, and preservation of existing C-Band-based broadcast
corporations, Congressional law-makers on both services.
sides of the aisle, and public interest groups has The CBA further backs their position with
accelerated to a fever pitch. In thousands of pages the argument that they built a lucrative content
directed in response to the FCCs requests for distribution business using the spectrum, thereby
comment, proponents and opponents of the enhancing its value. Furthermore, Intelsat claims that
C-Band Alliance's Proposal to re-allocate spectrum they already have paid billions of dollars for
for SG have waged a mighty battle. additional spectrum in the secondary market, mainly
The battle is about the money, potentially through the acquisition of Pan Am Sat.
billions of dollars, generated through the sale of the Lacking in Intelsat's argument is the fact that
spectrum to SG operators, and how to split it despite their purchase, they never secured ownership
between the U.S. Treasury and four satellite of the spectrum, only the right to use it for
operators. distribution of media content via point-to-point
The basis of the fight is an errant FCC satellite transmission. The possibility that the FCC
licensing procedure which reserved, in perpetuity could re-purpose the spectrum at any time still
and for no cost, 500 MHz of contiguous mid-band existed and represented an ongoing business risk.
spectrum almost exclusively for point-to-point A Legal Challenge?
satellite broadcast transmission.
Opponents to the CBA Proposal argue that
Driven by Congress and the FCC who want
granting it would be a violation of the
to re-allocate a portion of that spectrum for SG
Communications Act of 1934 section 3090)(6)(E),
use, the CBA has proposed a plan in which they
since it reserves for the FCC, rather than private
would manage the transition of existing
parties, the right to manage the re-purposing of
broadcasters to adjacent spectrum and re-sell 200
spectrum. Adding to their argument is the potential

Satellite Mobility World Sept 2019


for anti-trust issues, since the CBA Coalition would operators who paid billions of dollars to own
be a single entity with the collective power to their spectrum. Whether this is fair or not is
collude on pricing and determine the amount of certainly open to question.
spectrum that could be made available. Recognizing that awarding such an
Nevertheless, whether the FCC has the enormous sum is a major impediment to the
authority to enact the CBA plan or adoption of their Proposal, the CBA has offered
not is a complex legal question. While to quell objections by making a
the CBA claims that a precedent set "Since the satellite operators, "voluntary" contribution to the U.S.
in the lower courts , the "Chevron only have point-to-point Treasury. Regardless, opponents are
Deference," supports the FCCs right licenses, the FCC would have skeptical, and continue to favor a
to enact their Proposal, their to award them new terrestrial traditional FCC directed auction. At this
opponents have a different view. licenses, presumably for zero point, it's worth reviewing how the
cost, to allow them to resell the Proposal and its claim to billions of
Armed with substantial legal spectrum, putting them on the dollars evolved.
staffs, the Proposal's opponents same footing as cellular
would likely take their argument Hidden Benefits...
operators who paid billions of
back to the courts and, if necessary, dollars to own it. Whether this Hidden behind the deluge of CBA PR
appeal - a protracted process that is fair or not is certainly open and promotion is the potential for a huge
would nullify the Proposals claimed to question." financial benefit to Intelsat. With $14
time-to-market advantage. billion in debt and its revenues in free fall,
Furthermore, another complication a substantial cash infusion could breathe new life
blocking the CBA proposal is the need to issue new into the company.
terrestrial licenses.
On the other hand, without a windfall
Since the satellite operators only have cash infusion, it and the other operators might
point-to-point licenses, the FCC would have to be forced to shift broadcast customers to
award them new terrestrial licenses, presumably adjacent spectrum or even fiber without any
for zero cost, to allow them to re-sel I the spectrum, compensation at all, incurring billions of dollars
putting them on the same footing as cellular in non-reimbursable expense - a financial
crippling disaster for Intelsat.
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To turn the potential crisis to advantage, the CBA Proposal and continue to cite the
Intelsat relied on a two-issue-argument: first, their illegality of allowing private business entities to
claimed ability to make the spectrum available much re-purpose spectrum.
more rapidly than the traditional auction process and Given the huge potential legal and
second, the need to protect the rights of their political risk inherent in approving the CBA
broadcast customers. Proposal and the questionable advantages it
Supported by $700 thousand PR and offers, we believe that the FCC ultimately will
lobbying expense, they focused on the public service take the least risky approach, devising a plan to
advantages of the CBA proposal, thereby compensate the industry for re-locating existing
overshadowing the politically distasteful prospect of broadcast customers to adjacent spectrum and
awarding themselves and other private operators conducting a traditional auction.
billions of dollars - instead of the auction proceeds - Alan Gottlieb
going to the U.S. Treasury.
To put a $10 to $30 billion giveaway in
perspective, consider that the FCCs Connect
America Fund, a program designed to fund the
expansion of rural broadband, will only disburse $2
Billion over the next ten years!
Given the controversial nature of the
proposal, early on, the other three major satellite
operators, SES, Telesat, and Eutelsat, were reluctant
to join Intelsat, but ultimately saw no downside. With
billions of dollars in potential gain and nothing to
lose, they climbed aboard.
Needless to say, public service organizations
and several large corporations vehemently oppose

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Speedcast: Value Overlooked as Share Price Collapsed
Given the 54% drop in Speedcast's stock to Besides, the company has a significant number
$.69 A and the more recent bounce to $1.16, it?s of long term contracts and reported a substantial
apparent that a small number of institutional and amount of new business since its July 2nd forecast
hedge fund investors who own most of the stock update. Speedcast also received a temporary increase
overreacted. in its debt/EBITDA ratio to 4.5 X from its lenders
While the news of a significant write-down through December, significantly lowering the risk of
and the departure of the CFO was unsettling, a stock breaching loan covenants. Even without pro forma
drop of 54% is extreme except in the direst of cost optimization of $20 million, the debt to earnings
circumstances. Speedcast is not a company going the leverage will still be below 4.0 X, which is well
broke, and those selling their shares at fire-sale below typical satellite companies.
prices were mistaken. Given the respectable numbers, the new
To recap the numbers, net profit after tax business booked in 1st half and the eased loan
was $14.7 million - down $21 million from first half covenants, why did the stock drop so much?
2018. The company reported cash outflows of $25.2 The only explanation for such a precipitous
million, including costs relating to the acquisition of fall in the stock price is that a small number of
Globecomm. Net debt also rose to $625 million, an institutional holders and hedge funds, who own the
increase of $39 million vs. the first half of 2018, and 74% of Speedcast stock, ran for the door. With only
the company did a write-down of $150 million. 11% of the float owned by retail investors, there
On the positive side, Speedcast reported wasn't a large enough public float to absorb such a
revenue growth of 17% to $357 million, and EBITDA massive sale.
also increased a respectable 3.0% to $62.2 million That's why when Norges Bank sold 22% or
up from $60.4 million in the 1st half 2018. While 3.86 million shares of its holdings on August 27th, the
organic revenue - revenue minus the Globecomm stock dropped 33% in one session.
acquisition - was flat to slightly down, most of the
drop is attributed to transient issues such as the In comparison, institutions own only 12% of
phasing of the NBN contract. Telstra, and 87% is owned by the public, buffering it
from this sort of extreme volatility. Lacking a
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diversification of holdings in a public market, a with Inmarsat to provide Ku-Band services to vessels
single institutional sale of Speedcast stock can that have since migrated to GX.
result in a massive drop in the stock price. Had
In the future, new contracts announced in
Telstra reported results similar to Speedcast, its
the 1st half of 2019 support a reasonable growth
stock might have only dropped 10% or less.
trend (Table II next page). As Speedcast continues to
Again, looking at the four divisions of the win new business, and its acquisition cycle is
company, it's hard to see much more than transient complete, there is a high probability that the
issues accounting for the decline in organic growth company will advance into a growth cycle.
(Table I). For example, other than the phased
Given the tendency of Institutional investors
revenue structure of the NBN contract, the
and hedge funds to overreact in a thinly traded
contractions were negligible.
market, going private or moving to another exchange
Furthermore, energy revenues have may be two of the best options for Speedcast. Given
stabilized vs. a decline of 14% in 2018 and are the depressed stock price, there should be
expected to grow in the second half, and the fall in considerable interest among the Private Equity
maritime was due to the end of a large contract community. AG

Table I: Gross vs. Organic Revenue % Change

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Table II: New Contracts Announced in 1st half 2019

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For more information

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Lynk's Breakthrough Solution to Reach the Un-Served
A New Start-Up can connect mobile phones direct to satellite
If you think an ordinary cell phone wrong. In reality, cell phones can connect across
can't connect to a satellite, Lynk (formerly much greater distances, but in terrestrial
UbiquitLink), a start-up based in Falls Church, applications are limited by the curvature of the
VA, is about to prove you wrong. earth.
Unlike the mega LEOs that require Because cell phones require "line of sight"
billions of dollars of investment, Lynk will offer connectivity, designers of the phones also limited
basic communication services to those beyond "handshaking" capability to the maximum "line of
the reach of terrestrial cellular networks for a sight" or a distance of 35 Km. To overcome this
fraction of the cost and create a billion dollar problem and achieve connectivity, we employ
venture as well - simply by connecting several strategies.
unmodified mobile phones to satellite. First, we lower the satellite and give it a narrower
To find out how all of this is possible field of view than an Iridium or Globalstar satellite,
and explore the potential for this unique and we use sub Gigahertz spectrum. This allows us
venture, we sat down with CEO, Charles sufficient power to close the link with the phone.
Miller, at their offices in Falls Church. Next, to overcome the distance associated with the
SMW: Based on our research, the maximum limitations of the "handshake" protocol, our
range for a cell phone isaround 35 Km, line of satellites "spoof" the phone, telling it that the
sight, and thisis also the limit for "handshake," satellite is only twenty kilometers away. While the
the point where the phones can establish a link transmission takes longer across the greater
to the cell tower. So, how isit possible to extend distance, the phone assumes that the delay is
the range to 300 miles above the earth? associated with network congestion, and it
continues to signal until the link is closed.
Charles Miller: Previous assumptions
regarding the range of a cell phone are simply In the earliest days of starting the company, we
consulted with numerous experts in RF cellular
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Click for more information 17
Satellite Mobility World Sept 2019
transmission, and they agreed that it was indeed one channel, it can do a billion messages per/year.
possible to establish a functional communication
SMW: What about the ground infrastructure?A critical
link.
question iswhether you plan to inter-link your
SMW: So, you have proved the technology worksas satellites. If inter-linked, you need only a couple of
projected? ground stationsglobally, and you can expand rapidly.
If you don't Inter-link, your expansion would be
Charles Miller: Yes. We tested the solution from a
dependent upon the speed at which you could install
satellite in February, and our link margin was within
ground stationsin each market. Can you elaborate on
1 dB of the predicted value.
your connectivity plan and itscosts?
SMW: According to your website, you propose 24-36
Charles Miller: Initially, the satellites are not
satellitesorbiting at 500 Km (300 Miles). Can you tell
inter-linked and do messaging and IoT on a
usmore about these satellites?
store-and-forward basis. Ultimately, however, we
Charles Miller: Our Satellites are microsats with a are planning for a constellation of inter-linked
five-year design life. Each satellite weighs around 25 satellites of sufficient size to allow for real-time
Kg and delivers 45 to 50 Watts on average, and 150 communication.
Watts of peak power. We'll launch 36 satellites into
Of course, a fully inter-linked constellation will
three planes in 51.6-degree inclined orbits thereby
eliminate the need for large numbers of ground
providing coverage 55 degrees north and south of
stations, but it will also increase the cost of the
the equator.
satellites. However, because we grow in stages, by
SMW: How many simultaneous userscan a single the time we need to build satellites with inter-link
satellite support? capabilities, the viability of the business will be well
established.
Charles Miller: That depends on the power of the
satellite and the spectrum and channels available. An SMW: Other than ground infrastructure or
LTE channel does around 180 Kbps and assuming 3 inter-satellite links, are there any other additional
Kilobits per/message, around 60 messages costs associated with launching the network?
per-second can be supported. If a satellite has only
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for more information.... 19
Satellite Mobility World Sept 2019
Charles Miller: In our business model, for existing applications. For now, however, we're concentrating
cellular subscribers, there is no user terminal cost. on SMS.
So, the cost of customer acquisition is virtually zero. SMW: Has Lynk signed up any trial partners, and can
SMW: Will you be able to do, voice, or broadband you name any of them?
Internet aswell asSMSand IoT? Charles Miller: We have thirty-three trial partners at
Charles Miller: Initially, we plan to focus only on the moment. Twenty-four of the thirty-three are
offering SMS capability since it is a much mobile network operators representing 1.5
more efficient use of satellite capacity "Lynk offersan billion wireless subscribers, and three are
than voice. It has been an extremely opportunity for mobile public, Cellular One in the U.S., Movistar in
profitable niche for cellular carriers even operatorsto reclaim some Argentina and Vodaphone Hutchison in
though IP-based messaging applications of the high margin Australia.
such as What's App and iMessage messaging businessthat SMW: In adopting your solution, what isthe
reduced the size of the SMS messaging they lost. It's a no-risk businessrisk for the carriers?Other than
market. venture with potentially buying wholesale quantitiesof messages, do
significant long-term your cellular operator partners have any
So, a solution that enables the cellular
economic benefits."" investment risk?
carriers to gain back some of their SMS
business makes the adoption of our Charles Miller: Currently, we are not
service extremely attractive. That's why planning to solicit investment from our
we have had such an enthusiastic reception from cellular network partners. We don't want financial
numerous carriers around the world. ties to one cellular operator to prohibit us from doing
SMW: Wouldn't thissolution be a good fit for IoT and business with other competing carriers. Our
even voice or broadband?Do you have plansto enter objective is to reach as many of the world's cellular
any of these markets? subscribers as possible.

Charles Miller: We see significant opportunity in IoT SMW: Can you give usan idea of why cellular operators
early on and ultimately expect to expand to other would be eager to partner with Lynk. How will they
benefit?

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Charles Miller: Before IP based messaging applications Editor's Analysis:
such as What's App and iMessage, SMS was a huge
Global messaging traffic is approximately 60
business for the cellular carriers. Besides, cellular
billion messages per day or 694,000 messages
markets have become saturated, pricing pressures have
increased, and margins have fallen, resulting in an per/second (2016). If the 15% who are unconnected
increasingly challenging economic environment. were always connected, the number could rise by an
additional 104,100 messages per/second. Dividing
Lynk offers an opportunity to for mobile operators to
reclaim some of the high margin messaging business this by 36 satellites, each satellite could see demand
that they lost. It's a no-risk venture with potentially of around 2, 891 messages per second. Where this
significant long-term economic benefits. gets interesting is when we calculate how many
messages per-second we need to generate a $1 billion
SMW: Let'stalk about the market. How big an
opportunity isthere for Lynk. Can you give us an idea? business valuation from a $100 million investment.

Charles Miller: There are two potential markets for our A venture capital investment of $100 Million
service. The first is cellular subscribers who stray would need to generate a company valuation of $1
outside of their network's coverage, and the second is Billion in five years based on traditional venture
the un-served rural population that has not bought a capital metrics. That's $125 million in EBITDA at a
cell phone because it has little or no connectivity. valuation multiple of 8 X. At $.10 per/message that is
In the first case, the available market is huge. Consider 1.25 billion messages per year or 34 million messages
that there are around 5 billion cellular subscribers, and per/year per/satellite or only 1.07 messages
based on analysis of data from app-based connectivity per/second. That means that out of a potential 2,891
firms, 15% or 750 million lack connectivity to the messages per-second per-satellite, only 1.07 messages
mobile network at any time.
per/second are required to produce a company with a
Of course, note that we are not including the potential $1 Billion valuation. This market is so large that Lynk
market for IoT services or those who have no only needs to capture a tiny percentage of it.

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Satellite Mobility World Sept 2019
CharlesMiller isco-founder
and CEO of Lynk. He isa
serial spaceconnectivity
entrepreneurat all. We are still in the solution that's affordable to most everyone.
with 30 years? experience
process of gathering statistics on these
in the space industry. This is not a "build it, and they will come"
markets, but we see the considerable
business. We plan to grow the business one
Charleshas potential.
been the level at a time proving our ability to
founder or While
co-founder of in principle with your
we agree generate revenue at each level.
multiple private ventures
analysis, the latest statistics we have from
and organizations. He isa 75 trillion were sent That's why we are beginning with a limited
GMSA indicate
national leader in the number of satellites and a
globally, suggesting an even larger market.
creation and development "store-and-forward" service and later
Also, we are not talking about specific
of public-private advancing to real-time SMS and IoT,
prices per/message. Retail pricing will be
partnerships in commercial services with higher profitability potential.
driven by MNOs based on local market
space to serve public needs. This makes Lynk an opportunity with little
conditions.
investment risk and enormous upside
One of Charles? previous to remember that one of the
It's important potential. So, you can see why investors are
startupsisprimary
NanoRacks,barriers to reaching the "other 3 excited about the business.
which hasdelivered more
billion" has been the cost of a ground
than 700 payloads to SMW: Can you bring us up to date on how
terminal. In our model, users don't need a
space and is the current much you have raised so far?
$300 terminal or an expensive smartphone.
world leader in
A refurbished feature phone with SMS Charles Miller: On July 17th, we just
nanosatellite launches. can be purchased in Africa for
capabilities announced a successful "Seed 2 Round" in
just as
Charlesserved a few dollars
NASA?s and deliver essential which we raised $5.2 million from
communication.
Senior Advisor for Buying messages by the Revolution's Rise of the Rest Seed Fund,
"sip" is more
Commercial Space from affordable than paying the bringing the total funding raised so far to
high monthly
2009-2012 where he fees required to support a $12 Million. As we continue to prove the
high-speed
advised NASA leadershipbroadband plan. viability of the business, we expect to
on commercial publicmeeting the basic human need for advance rapidly into subsequent
So, we're
private partnerships. investment rounds and have a real-time
communication for the masses with a
SMS business in full operation by
At NASA, he managed USG 2021-2022.
teamsthat developed
strategiesfor commercial 23
Satellite Mobility
development World Sept 2019
of reusable
launch vehicles, on-orbit
For more information

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Satellite Mobility World Sept 2019
With Bill Milroy, ThinKom CTO...
Teleports for LEOs: ThinKom's Innovative Antenna Solution
The coming of LEOs will usher in a whole building LEO and MEO teleports, haven't found
new set of challenges for teleport operators. an ideal antenna solution - at least not yet.
Unlike GEO constellations, LEO constellations
ThinKom, an innovative,
and, in particular, those without inter-satellite
California-based company, is about to introduce
links, will require thousands of tracking dishes
a promising solution based on their VICTS
positioned around the globe.
antenna. Already proven in aero applications,
As many of these LEOs will be small they have developed a way to apply the unique
satellites with limited transmit power, large, attributes of the antenna in a teleport. To find
expensive parabolic antennas will be required on out more, we met with ThinKom CTO, William
the ground, each capable of a continuous Milroy.
tracking motion. Installation and maintenance of
SMW: You claim that your VICTSsolution has
large numbers of these antennas will be
significant advantages over both conventional dish
challenging.
antennas and Electronically Steered Antennas.
Electronically Steered Antennas (ESAs) How isit different, and why isthe VICTSsuperior?
while once considered a viable alternative to
William Milroy: While parabolic dish antennas
traditional dishes have several well-known issues
offer relatively high aperture efficiency,
in teleport antenna applications. Large ESAs
deploying them in the large numbers required to
require tens of thousands of expensive
track NGSO satellites is problematic.
microchips, have excessive power requirements
and generate a significant amount of heat, Compared to our proposed VICTS teleport
making them unsuitable for teleport Installation, they require massive, concrete pads
applications. (or roof reinforcements) and finding skilled
contractors with the appropriate equipment
Consequently, companies like Amazon,
(cranes, earth-moving) to construct them can
Swedish Space Corporation, Kongsberg, and
prove to be difficult and very expensive,
Kratos, who are in the process of designing and
especially in rural areas.
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Satellite Mobility World Sept 2019
Then there is the issue of antenna efficiency and scan angle capabilities and are typically unable
size. As a point of comparison, our 1.0 -meter to support the 5- or 10-degree minimum
diameter X-band ?VICTS?Phased-Array elevation angles required to operate efficiently
(employing just one LNA and dissipating 15 with small imaging satellites.
Watts) provides the same broadside G/T
Unlike an ESA, the VICTS array maintains very
performance as a 1.3 m parabolic dish (i.e. the
high aperture efficiency even out to very large
VICTS array is MORE efficient than the
scan angles, a unique feature related to the
parabolic).
novelty of the
A similarly performing ?1-dimensional
conventional ESA lattice of continuous
Phased-Array is stub radiators?
comprised of some employed in our
8,000 radiating antenna. Compare
elements (2,000 this to the
LNA?s,) requires 2.0 conventional
meter diameter active ?2-dimensional
area, and dissipates an lattice of patch or
excessive amount of open-waveguide
heat - in excess of 600 radiators?employed
Watts in ESA?s, and the advantage becomes obvious.
Advantages of our VICTS solution over ESAs Furthermore, because our ThinKom phased
become even more pronounced as we move to array antenna employs a unique quasi-optical
larger (2.5m to 5.4 m) dish-equivalent systems. stub radiator-based approach to shifting RF
phase to scan the beam, we don't require
Beyond excessive power consumption and cost,
conventional ESA phased arrays have limited

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electronic phase shifters. This serves to us to simultaneously emulate both large and small
dramatically reduce both the cost and power parabolic dish equivalents (emulating two 5.4 m or
consumption versus a conventional ESA. three 4.5m or eight 2.5m independently-steerable
ThinKom?s solution has a several other parabolic antennas, or any combination in
significant advantages versus a conventional between) based demand.
dish installation. Satellites are continuously tracked,
It's modular. Each 1.0 meter diameter horizon-to-horizon, reliably closing high-speed
sub-array constituent element is lightweight, links (250 to 1000 Mbps) at elevation angles as
transportable, freight elevator friendly and low as 5 degrees.
can be fitted into place by two people. - even SMW: Bill, how large isthe market opportunity for
on top of building. your VICTSantenna solution?
The low weight (static and dynamic roof William Milroy: When you consider the vast
loading) means that no expensive number of very small (1U to 3U size class) LEO
reinforcements of the roof (and/or upper satellites coming on line over the next few years
floors) are required (as is often the case with a and the number of 2.5m to 5.4 m equivalent dishes
large dish-based roof-mounted system). to service them, the opportunity is quite
SMW: Can a single array like the one you substantial. Many third-party companies are
propose service multiple satellites? looking to provide teleport services to the new
LEO satellite operators. They see real economic
Bill Milroy: Absolutely. Our array of VICTS advantages based on the efficiencies gained by
antennas is fully re-configurable, on-the-fly, servicing multiple satellite constellations with the
resulting in an extremely versatile and flexible same teleport. As a result, you can expect to see a
multi-beam installation. lot of teleports being built around the world to
For example, the configuration of our service Earth Observation, IoT and broadband
37-module array is software-defined, enabling LEO constellations.

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SMW: Will you be focusing on all segmentsof the
LEO market, or do you have a specific target
market?

William Milroy: Initially, we are targeting


services for the the small satellite Earth
Observation (EO) imaging segment. These
satellites gather an enormous amount of
data, and they need to transmit (download)
it to the ground as rapidly as possible.
Here, our ability to emulate a large antenna
on-demand and link at a very low angle is a
huge advantage. While we will initially
market to the LEO segment, ultimately, we
expect to provide the same antenna
infrastructure (and advantages) for many of
the new LEO and MEO teleports. In this new
LEO environment, innovative teleport
solutions are now a must, and we believe
that the ThinKom solution enables many
unique benefits that will be invaluable to
teleport operators.

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LeoLabs: Conquering The Threat of Space Junk
With thousands of LEOs already in orbit and Dan Ceperley: because of the business revolution
many more to come, avoidance of space debris is going on in lower earth orbit, space junk really is a
becoming a critical problem. Hundreds of thousands growing priority and concern.
of tiny pieces of space junk, some as small as 2 cm, The number of active satellites is increasing pretty
already orbit the earth at speeds approaching quickly. Just a couple of years ago there were
several miles per-second and even the smallest about 600 active satellites in LEO orbit. Now, the
pieces of debris pack a deadly punch. number is over a thousand, and projections are for
As the number of LEOs increases, collision the number to rise to over ten thousand or even
avoidance is becoming a critical issue. To mitigate the fifteen thousand in the next 3-5 years. So, the
threat, satellite operators and defense and amount of new satellite traffic is increasing
regulatory agencies need a solution capable of dramatically.
tracking even the smallest objects. Even with that increase, the amount of debris will
A small California based start-up called always dwarf the number of satellites. A few more
LeoLabs leads the quest for a solution. The company numbers for you: there are about thirteen
is already able to track thousands of objects as small thousand pieces of debris tracked in low earth
as 10 cm using phased array radar and will soon have orbit today. I specifically say ?tracked?because
the capability to track objects as small as 2 cm and that is the debris currently followed by US
send collision alerts. To find out more about LeoLabs STRATCOM, The Combined Space Operations
and how they plan to provide this vital service, we Center, and LeoLabs -10 cm sized objects and
met with Dan Ceperley, the company's CEO. larger.
SMW: The problem of space junk is receiving more and However, if you look at debris 2 cm in size, there
more attention in the press. Hasthe severity of the are actually 250,000 pieces of debris flying
problem been over-hyped?Can you help us better around LEO orbit. That?s 20 X more than if you are
understand the risks associated with the increased just looking at the larger items.
amount of debris floating in LEO orbits? In fact, 95% of the collision risk ? the risk that a
satellite can be shattered and turned into a cloud
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Satellite Mobility World Sept 2019
of debris - can be attributed to these additional I had been at SRI for eight years as their program
237,000 pieces of debris measuring between 2 director for satellite and space debris tracking and
and 10 cm in size. Pieces of debris as small as 2 had done many government-funded projects
cm are moving so fast that they can actually focused on how to track all of these new satellites.
destroy a satellite and generate even more
One of our other co-founders, our CTO, Mike
potentially destructive debris. We view our type
Nicolls, spent eight years at SRI as well, and he was
of space traffic monitoring as an absolute
the chief scientist at a radar facility. He has been
necessity.
intimately involved with radar
We view our mission as processing and maintaining
tracking those 250,000 and operating a radar facility.
items to protect the The work in which he was
satellites owned by our engaged in - studying the
clients. If you are producing Aurora Borealis - generated a
a good set of alerts, the great deal of satellite debris
situation can be managed. tracking data as a bi-product.
SMW: Tell us about the origin Our third co-founder, John
of LeoLabs. Can you give us Buonocore, had been at SRI
an overview of the history for 32 years building radar
and the statusof the systems and CubeSat
company today? payloads, and he is now our principal RF hardware
engineer.
Dan Ceperley: We got our start as a company in
2016. So, we have been in business a little more Our fourth co-founder is Edward Lu, a NASA
than three years. astronaut who flew on two Shuttle and one Soyuz
mission. He has been in space three times and
In June of 2016, we spun out of a research lab,
lived the space debris problem. That is how we got
SRI International. Three of the four co-founders
into the satellite tracking business.
had been working at SRI for several years.
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SMW: 3.You use phased array radar for tracking. we can steer the antenna to the east and a
Can you explain how the technology works? millisecond later, focus on a satellite to the west.
That?s really important today because each radar
Dan Ceperley: LeoLabs is really based on two
is tracking about 1,000 objects per-hour. So, we
major technical areas. One is the phased array
are constantly going back and forth between the
radar network. The other is the on-line software
new satellites and debris that are coming up over
system where the data is archived, analyzed,
the horizon.
and ultimately delivered to customers.
SMW: How do you convert the positional and
We use ground-based radar, and we are building
orbital data derived from the radar into actionable
out a network of six radars around the world.
information?I understand you track junk and
We?re using radar because it operates in
satellites as well and can predict collisions. Can you
daylight, through clouds and at night.
give us some examplesof actual situationsin which
With those facilities, we can track the orbital you identified collision risks, provided the
objects in LEO, and we can also get many information to a satellite operator, and a collision
measurements per-day. With six radar wasavoided?
installations, we will have about 12
Dan Ceperley: This really has become a
opportunities per-day to check on a satellite or
data/science. Our mission is to collect this
a piece of debris. This means we can do tracking
enormous amount of data and use it to inform
around the clock.
satellite operators, defense entities, regulators,
The phased array approach is quite important as and the insurance industry. So, the radar solves
well because it is fully electronically steered. the collection side of the problem, but then we
There are no moving parts. Unlike a large have to do something with the data to make it
mechanical dishes that take time to re-position, useful.
we can focus on where we need to nearly
To solve the second part of the problem, we put
instantaneously.
the data in the Cloud, archive it, spin up large
With a simple software command, for example, amounts of computer processing power and using
proprietary software, we turn it into actionable
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A lot of work goes into the software to assure many ways to slice the data, and collision alerts
that the data is easily accessible and are just one of many.
accessible very quickly. Any sort of
SMW: Once a client isnotified of collision risk, I
calculations we can do, we do ahead of time.
assume that they use thrusters to move the satellite
So, later on, when they are needed, they can
to a different position. Do all satellites, including
be accessed immediately.
CubeSats, have the ability to shift their positions?
While we are often known as a radar
Dan Ceperley: For collision prevention,
company, the majority of our "While we are often known the best practice in use today is the
employees are software engineers. asa radar company, the satellite operator would like to receive
It?s because the value is in the data, majority of our employees a collision alert about 5-7 days before
how you handle it, analyze it and
are software engineers. It?s the time of closest approach, and then
process it. The future is really in the
because the value isin the they want updates, sometimes multiple
analytic ? all the different alerts that
data, how you handle it, times per/day until a couple of days
you can generate. Building our
analyze it and process it. prior. It's necessary to detect risk at
analytical capabilities has been a lot
least 100 orbits before the piece of
of work for our software engineers, The future isreally in the
debris might become close to a satellite
and they have done a fabulous job. analytic ..."
to meet this requirement.
You mentioned collision alerts. These
If there is still a risk of collision 48 hours before
are very important because they can predict
the projected time of impact, the satellite
collisions days in advance. However, there are
operator can program an evasive maneuver and
actually other alerts like watching when
nudge the satellite out of the way.
satellites maneuver or when a satellite has
tumbled or finding newly launched satellites However, some CubeSats don?t have propulsion
and tracking them well so their operators can capabilities. If these satellites are in low enough
bring them into service quickly. There are orbit, there is a technique called differential drag
that can be used to move a satellite around even if
it doesn?t have propulsion.

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The method relies on the solar panels. At satellites and debris many times per day.
lower orbits, if the panels are oriented SMW: How large are these radar sitesand how
perpendicular to the direction of motion, much time does it take to construct them?
impact with the upper atmosphere can be
used to slow down the satellite. Dan Ceperley: Unlike such installations in the
past, our radar sites are very quickly deployable.
SMW: With the addition of your New Zealand For example, in Midland, we built the radar from
based radar installation you will have three breaking ground to delivering data in only six
sites. How doesthis combination of sites months. That?s the model we are taking forward
enhance your ability to track objects? with our other sites as well. These are pretty large
Dan Ceperley: We now have two radar sites in sites. The radar in Midland is about 50 feet wide
the U.S. ? Alaska and Midland, Texas and are and 150 feet long and just over 20 feet tall.
adding a third site in New Zealand. The New SMW: Do you provide both alertsas well asprovide
Zealand site is critically important since it is raw data to customers or third parties for processing
the first tracking radar site in the southern and analysis?
hemisphere. All of the other tracking radar
sites are in the northern hemisphere and for Dan Ceperley: It?s actually even more than that.
that reason, coverage of the southern We view ourselves as a ?software as a service?
hemisphere has been less accurate. business, and we have a range of different
Consequently, our New Zealand site will products.
constitute a big step forward in improving For example, we provide collision alerts,
tracking accuracy. maneuver alerts, tumbling alerts, and launch
After New Zealand, we want a site close to the alerts - mainly, high-level analytics products.
equator and others a little further north and a We analyze the data to look for important or risky
little further south. With six sites, we will be situations, and when necessary, we send alerts.
able to measure orbits in many different We also do orbit solutions which tell the client the
places around the world and to check on location of their satellite over the coming hours

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and days. We can determine the satellite?s information. That information builds trust in our
position and speed when it passes over the services.
radar and its size.
SMW: What are the primary target markets for your
We have an API that facilitates the service?
construction of customized data requests and
Dan Ceperley: We try to build services that are
data transfer in a machine to machine way - a
fundamental across several industries. We like to
critically important capability. That?s how most
roll out services that work for satellite operators,
of our data is delivered. With it, data can be
science and regulatory agencies, and the
transferred directly from our computer to a
insurance industry. Ninety-five per-cent of our
customer?s computer eliminating the need for
work cuts across all of these industries and five-
human intervention. Given the massive amount
per-cent is custom.
of data we collect, M to M transfer is essential.
SMW: How doesthe company generate revenue?
We also provide dashboards on-line. These are
What is the business model?
human-readable versions of our services that
show the data as maps and tables and charts, Dan Ceperley: We fundamentally operate on a
and they are all dynamically generated. subscription basis. Satellite operators and other
customers subscribe to our services, and we send
Someone monitoring a satellite can see the
them a feed of all the information and alerts about
latest version of our data, when it was collected
their satellites.
and when more data will become available.
Because we are a private business and not a However, to do that mission well, we constantly
government entity, customers expect us to have to constantly monitor everything in space.
show up with an indication of service level. We?re continually running the radars to keep
constant tracks of all the satellites and the debris
They need to know when the current data was
in orbit regardless of who is paying for specific
collected, when the information will be
data sets.
updated and when they are going to get new

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About Dan Ceperley:
Dan isCEO and
founder of LeoLabswe're building a real-time picture of
Basically,
He earnedwhat? s going
a PhD in on in space. In the future, when
we launch
Electrical Engineeringthe collision prevention service, I
am confident that many satellite operators
and Computer
will subscribe very quickly. We also expect the
Science from UC
business to grow quite rapidly due to the huge
Berkeleyprojected
with a thesis
increases in LEO satellite traffic and
on computer
space debris in orbit, the amount of data we
simulation of and the new products we plan to offer.
collect,
advanced optical
Given the gravity of the debris problem, and
systems. AsProgram
its potential impact on the health of LEO
Director at SRI
constellations, we see a significant business
International, he led
opportunity.
a team of 20+
engineersand
scientistsand
developed SRI?s
commercial satellite
tracking business.

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