Professional Documents
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Reserve Estimation
Development Planning
Production Operations Optimisation
Reserve Estimation
Geophysical
estimates from
seismic interpretation
Reserve Estimation
Log Analysis
estimates of porosity
and fluid saturation
Reserve Estimation
1mm
Optimal Development Planning
Geophysical surveys
Well logs
penetration
cuttings
– electrical
– sonic
– nuclear
Pressure data
Formation fluid content data
Tools of the Trade
Proved
Unproved-less certain than proved.
Further subdived to express increasing
uncertainty.
Probable
Possible
Methods of Estimation
Deterministic
– A single best estimate of reserves bases on
known geological, engineering, and economic
data.
Probabilistic
– Known geological, engineering and economic
data are used to generate a range of
estimates and their associated probabilities.
Proved Reserves
Deterministic methods
– reasonable certainty to express a high degree
of confidence that quantities will be
recovered.
Probabilistic methods
– at least 90% probability that the quantities
actually will equal or exceed the estimate.
Proved Reserves
Petrophysical logs
Well test results and rock properties from
recovered core.
Facilities
– Necessary facilities for processing and
transport either in place or will be installed as
backed up by formal contract
Contributions to the Proved Reservoir Area
Probable
Possible
Probabilistic Representation of Reserves
Proven = 500MMstb,
Probable =740-500=240MMstb
Possible =860-740=120MMstb
Probabilistic Representation of Reserves
As field is produced the shape of the curve changes.
Probability converted to recovery leaving less uncertainty in
reserves.
Phases of Development – Production
Profile
During development a number of
phases
the build up phase
– with predilling may not
happen
the plateau phase
– the reservoir is producing at
design capacity for the
facilities.
The decline phase
– the reservoir no longer able
to produce at capacity.
– Plateau phase can be Economic limit - will vary
extended, eg use of artificial according to project type
lift, downhole pumps or gas and size
lift.
Enhanced or Tertiary Recovery
Improved Oil Recovery,
IOR -
covers all approaches to
improve hydrocarbon
recovery