EXCEL REVIEW CENTER ECE REVIEW FOR APRIL 2020 BOARD EXAM PROBSTAT

Answer Key to Take Home PR = probability of drawing a red 78

Probability and Statistics card N
6
PK & R = probability of drawing a king
N  13 days
1. D. 0.85 at the same time a red card
Let A be the event that the family PK or D  PK  PR - PK & R
owns a flat screen TV and B be the 12. B. 576
4 26 2 Number of ways the 4 boys can be
event that the family owns a PK or D   -
52 52 52 arranged = 4!
computer.
P(A or B)  P(A)  P(B)  P(A and B) PK or D  0.5385
Number of ways the 4 girls can be
P(A or B)  0.8  0.7  0.65 arranged = 4!
7. A. 1/8
P(A or B)  0.85 Let: N  (4!)(4!)
p = probability of getting a head in a N  576 ways
2. C. 0.40625 single throw of a fair coin
A = event that a person over 40 has q = probability of getting a tail in a 13. C. 0.53
cancer single throw of a fair coin Assume the first draw is black and
Ac = event that a person over 40 does P  n C r p r q n r the second draw is white:
not have cancer P1  Pblack x Pwhite
where:
D = event that a person is diagnosed
1 4 6
as having cancer p P1  x
Dc = event that a person is diagnosed 2 10 9
as not having cancer 1 24
q P1 
2 90
P(D)  P(A)P(D | A) n3
  
P Ac P D | Ac  r3
3 0
Assume the first draw is white and
the second draw is black:
P(D)  (0.5)(0.78)  (0.95)(0.06) 1 1 P2  Pwhite x Pblack
P  3 C3    
P(D)  0.096 2 2 6 4
3 P1  x
1 10 9
P  (1)  
P(A | D)  P(A and D)P(D) 2 24
P1 
P A P D | A 1 90
P(A | D)  P
P(D) 8
Let: P = probability that one ball is
(0.05)(0.78)
P(A | D)  black and the other is white
(0.096) 8. B. 15,504
P  P1  P2
P(A | D)  0.40625 
20!
20 C5 24 24
5!(20  5)! P x
90 90
20 C5  15, 504
3. A. 0.950625
P  0.533
 first is non-def    195   195 
P   
 second is non-def   200   200  9. C. 3,628,800 14. B. 60
 0.950625 10! Given word: BANANA
10 P10  Number of A’s = 3
(10  10)!
Number of N’s = 2
10 P10  3, 628,800
4. C. – 0.25
n!
Probability of winning $5 N
1 1 2 p!q!
   10. A. 0.857375
16 16 16 P(non-defective and non-defective 6!
N
Probability of winning -$1 = 14/16 and non-defective) is: 3!2!
 2   14  P  (0.95)(0.95)(0.95) N  60 ways
Expectation  5    1 
 16   16  P  0.857375
1 15. D. 40/81
Expectation    0.25 11. C. 13
4
Total number of games Assume the first draw is black and
5. B. 23 % N  13 C2 the second draw is white:
The probability of at least one 13! P1  Pblack x Pwhite
defective is: N
(13- 2)!2! 4 5
P1  x
C N  78 9 9
P(at least one defective)  1  95 5
100 C5 20
P1 
P(at least one defective)  0.23 Number of games that can be played 81
per day:
P(at least one defective)  23%
13 Assume the first draw is white and
N the second draw is black:
6. C. 0.5385 2
N  6.5 P2  Pwhite x Pblack
Note:
In a pack of 52 playing cards, there N  6 games/day P2 
5 4
x
are 4 king cards, 26 red cards and 2 9 9
king & red cards at the same time Number of days needed to complete 20
P2 
the tournament: 81
PK = probability of drawing a king

CEBU: JRT Bldg. Imus Ave. Cebu City 0917 3239235 | MANILA: CMFFI Bldg. R. Papa St. Sampaloc 09176339235
EXCEL REVIEW CENTER ECE REVIEW FOR OCTOBER 2019 BOARD EXAM PROBSTAT

Let: P = probability that one ball is 1 27. C. 0.9520

Expected value    200
P  nCr  p   q 
black and the other is white r nr
3
P  P1  P2
 66.67 3 X 9X

  9 CX     
1 5
P
20 20
x  67 times P
81 81 x 0    
6 6
40 P  0.9520
P 22. A. 0.3024
81 Possible outcomes = 105
28. D. Sample space
Desirable outcomes = 10 P5
16. D. 0.507
P 29. C. 1
Probability that they have different Probability  10 55
birthdays, P1: 10
P23 Probability  0.3024 30. A. np
P1  365 23
365 31. C. Poisson
P1  0.493 23. B. 120
N   6  1!
32. A. I, II and III
Probability that at least two of them N  120
have the same birthday, P: 33. B. Sqrt [np(1 – p)
P  1  0.493 24. B. 1:4
P  0.507 no. of successful outcomes 34. D. Drawing a card from a deck and
odds  getting a club and an ace
no. of unsuccessful outcomes
17. A. 2 to 9 5 dimes
odds  35. A. Sample
odds 
no. of successful outcomes 11 pennies  6 nickels 
no. of unsuccessful outcomes  3 quarters 
  36. A. 0.857
2 Using Bayes’ Theorem:
odds  1
9 odds  P(E | G)  P(G)
4 P(G | E) 
odds  2 to 9 P(E | G)  P(G)  P(E | T)  P(T)
odds  1: 4
(0.20)(0.75)
18. A. 12,600 P(G | E) 
Permutation with identical elements
25. A. 9/70 (0.20)(0.75)  (0.10)(0.25)
We need only to calculate the
n! P(G | E)  0.857
P probability that the first and second
p!q!s! person all get a roll of each type,
10! since then the rolls for the third 37. A. 0.375
P person are determined. For 3-element word that takes the
1!2!3!4! value of 1 or 2, the possible outcomes
P  12,600 9 6 3 9
Person 1:    are:
9 8 7 28
111 121 122 221
19. D. 70 6 4 2 2
Person 2:    112 211 212 222
5! 6 5 4 5 There are a total of 8 outcomes.
00004
4! The words the contain exactly two
5! Person 3: One roll of each type is left, elements of value 1 are:
0 0 0 1 3 so the probability here is 1. 112 121 211
3!
There are a total of 3 words that
5! So, the probability that each resident
00022 contain exactly two elements of value
3!2! get one roll of each type, P is: 1. Therefore:
5! 9 2 3
0 0 2 1 1 P   1 P
2!2! 28 5 8
0 1 1 1 1
5!
P
9 P  0.375
4! 70
Thus : 38. B. 5/6
5! 5! 5! 5! 5! 26. C. 3/5
 
 P A C  P(B) 
     70  P   A  B '   P  A   
P A C

B  
 
4! 3! 3!2! 2!2! 4! 1    
  P A B
C
  P  B   P  A  B   
 
20. D. 0.215
0.1  0.7  0.5 P A  P(B) 
C
Binomial Distribution
1 
 P  A  B  
 
P AC  
B 


P  n Cr p r q n  r   P(B)  P(AB)
P  A  B   0.3
   
10  7
P 10 C7  0.60   0.40 
7
P AC B  P A C  P(AB)
P  0.215
P  A  B P A B  
C 2 1
P  A B  3 6
21. A. 67 P  B
Expected value  probability P A B 
C 5
P  A B 
0.3
no. of trials 6
0.5
2 1
P   4   P  A B 
3
6 3 5
no. of trials  200

DAVAO: 2nd Fl., MERCO Bldg. Rizal Street cor Bolton Street | BAGUIO: 4th Fl., De Guzman Bldg. Legarda Road
EXCEL REVIEW CENTER ECE REVIEW FOR APRIL 2020 BOARD EXAM PROBSTAT

39. A. 1/6  samples

 
P ABC  P(A)  P(AB)

n

P  AB   
1 1 657
C   59.72
3 6 11

P  AB     x  
1 2
C
6 
n 1

  x  59.72 
2
40. C. 0.57
From the given values   6.74
11  1
P(A)  0.20
CV  0.1128
P(B)  0.16
P(C)  0.14 44. D. 3/14
P(AB)  0.08 4 white, 2 black, 1 blue, 1 red pair of
socks
P(AC)  0.05
Required: 2 pairs of white socks
P(BC)  0.04
 4  3 
P(ABC)  0.02 P    
 8  7 
P  A  (A  B  C  3
P(A | A  B  C)  P
P  A  B  C 14
P(A)
P(A | A  B  C)   1 45. C. 0.05
P  A  B  C
Required: rearranged POKER with
Solving for P  A  B  C  : fix first and last letter, P and O
P  A  B  C    P(A)  P(B)  P(C)  respectively.
1 3!1
 P(AB)  P(AC)  P
  5!
  P(BC)  P  0.05
+P(ABC)
 0.20  0.16  0.14  46. B. 1680
P  A  B  C    n!
  0.08  0.05  0.04
N
p!q!r!
+ 0.02 n = number of total samples
P  A  B  C   0.35 p, q, r = identical samples
8!
Substituting the value 0.35 to Eq. 1: N
P(A) 3!2!2!
P(A | A  B  C)  N  1680
P  A  B  C
0.20
P(A | A  B  C)  47. C. 0.265
0.35 Poisson’s Distribution
P(A | A  B  C)  0.571  x e 
P
x!
41. A. 0.01 λ: Average value
Required: at least two persons have x: number of desired outcomes
the same birthday out of three 3
5x e5
C C P
P  365 2  365 1 x  0 x!
365 C3 365 C3
P  0.265
P  0.0083
48. C. 17
42. A. 13,860 Range = Highest – Lowest
2 balls, 4 dolls, 6 toys Range = 70 – 53
n! Range = 17
N
p!q!r!
49. B. 0.7265
12!
N Total screws: 100
2!4!6! Defective screws: 10
N  13,860  90  89  88 
P   
 100  99  98 
43. A. 11.28%
53, 55, 70, 58, 64, 57, 53, 69, 57, 68, P  0.7265
53
 50. A. 2
CV  Mode is the dominant element in the
 given samples
δ: Standard deviation
μ: Mean

CEBU: JRT Bldg. Imus Ave. Cebu City 0917 3239235 | MANILA: CMFFI Bldg. R. Papa St. Sampaloc 09176339235